CINFFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Cincinnati Financial Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $186 — -2.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 75 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Cincinnati Financial Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (86): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Accruals (28): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CINF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −2.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $190 → $171 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $201 → $190 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | $197 → $193 |
| 30 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | $190 → $200 |
| 28 July 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $175 → $197 |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Market Perform | $191 → $201 |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 26 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 28 Apr 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Apr 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 28 Oct 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
CINF appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Cincinnati Financial Corp. returned +23.7% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 12% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Cincinnati Financial Corp. has a market value of $28.3B and an enterprise value of $27.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $12.9B. The latest quarter shrank 18.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $2.8B, a 21.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $17.49.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $3.4B, after $19.0M of capital spending.
Cincinnati Financial Corp. spent $342.0M on share buybacks and $533.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.8×; forward P/E: 20.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.04%, paying out 22% of earnings.
Cincinnati Financial Corp. employs 5,705 people — $2.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Cincinnati Financial Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research asks whether Cincinnati Financial (CINF) has the attributes of a top stock pick for momentum investors. The excerpt does not provide its findings.
Why it matters — CINF watchers may note that the item evaluates the company from a momentum-investing perspective, but the excerpt offers no conclusion.
Elon Musk described a $1.5 trillion reduction in crash costs attributed to self-driving technology as credible. The excerpt says auto insurers have not priced in the potential implications for dividends retirees depend on.
Why it matters — CINF watchers may consider the claim’s potential implications for auto insurers and dividend income, though the excerpt provides no company-specific details.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 27, 2026. The excerpt lists company representatives and participating analysts but provides no discussion of results or outlook.
Why it matters — The transcript identifies the participants and timing of the call, but the supplied excerpt contains no financial or operating details for CINF watchers to assess.
Cincinnati Financial reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $459 million and non-GAAP operating income of $443 million. Higher catastrophe losses weighed on underwriting results, while investment income increased.
Why it matters — The results show how catastrophe losses and investment income affected CINF’s quarterly performance.
Cincinnati Financial’s Q3 earnings beat estimates by 43.7%, supported by premium growth and investment income. Higher catastrophe losses and expenses were offsets.
Why it matters — CINF watchers may note the earnings beat and its stated drivers alongside the higher catastrophe losses and expenses.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Cincinnati Financial Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $186, with estimates ranging from $171 to $204. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Cincinnati Financial Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Cincinnati Financial Corp. 75 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, Cincinnati Financial Corp. ranks 75 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (86 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies -2.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Cincinnati Financial Corp. 75 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Cincinnati Financial Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CINF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $171 to $204 over the next 12 months.
Cincinnati Financial Corp. returned +23.7% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation is a property and casualty insurance holding company that provides commercial, personal, excess and surplus, and life insurance products through its operating businesses. Cincinnati Financial Corporation serves policyholders, independent agents, and businesses with coverage designed for commercial property, liability, auto, workers’ compensation, homeowners, and specialty risks.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 2 Nov 2026): "Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Cincinnati Financial (CINF) is a Great Choice". Zacks Investment Research asks whether Cincinnati Financial (CINF) has the attributes of a top stock pick for momentum investors. The excerpt does not provide its findings.
Cincinnati Financial Corporation is a property and casualty insurance holding company that provides commercial, personal, excess and surplus, and life insurance products through its operating businesses. Cincinnati Financial Corporation serves policyholders, independent agents, and businesses with coverage designed for commercial property, liability, auto, workers’ compensation, homeowners, and specialty risks. Its business also includes investment activities that support insurance operations and contribute to overall financial strength. The company operates through five segments: Commercial Lines Insurance, Personal Lines Insurance, Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance, Life Insurance, and Investments, giving it a diversified role within the insurance market. Cincinnati Financial Corporation is recognized for its focus on insurance underwriting, risk management, and long-term client relationships across the United States.
CEO Mr. Stephen Michael Spray · 5,705 employees · United States · https://www.cinfin.com
