MKLFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Markel Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $1,955 — +8.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 37 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Markel Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (78): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MKL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $2,100 → $1,950 |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 7 Feb 2025 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 2 Dec 2024 | TD Cowen | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 1 Nov 2024 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 9 Oct 2024 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 23 July 2024 | Citigroup | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 9 July 2024 | TD Cowen | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 3 May 2024 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 3 May 2024 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 15 Mar 2024 | Janney Montgomery Scott | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 5 Feb 2024 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 2 Feb 2024 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
| 8 Jan 2024 | RBC Capital | Downgrade | Sector Perform | — |
| 22 Nov 2023 | Citigroup | Initiates | Sell | — |
| 3 Nov 2023 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 3 Nov 2023 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 7 Sept 2023 | Jefferies | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 4 Aug 2023 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 3 Feb 2023 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MKL appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Markel Group, Inc. returned −8.1% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 62% of US stocks
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Markel Group, Inc. has a market value of $22.2B and an enterprise value of $21.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $16.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $2.3B, a 14.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $181.86.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.1B.
Markel Group, Inc. spent $530.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 9.9×; forward P/E: 15.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Markel Group, Inc. employs 22,900 people — $728K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Markel Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Markel Insurance appointed Josephine Stroud Head of Energy Liability and named Jenny McFarlane Senior Underwriter – Marine & Energy Liability in London. The company said the appointments strengthen its London Market underwriting team.
Why it matters — The appointments are an update on Markel's underwriting team and Marine & Energy Liability operations in London.
Markel Insurance announced a dedicated Contractors & Trades sector in Canada, offering brokers an insurance proposition for contractors, trades and specialist construction-related businesses. It combines casualty, property and selected specialist coverage, drawing on Markel’s environmental liability and property and casualty expertise.
Why it matters — The launch reflects Markel’s expansion of a sector-focused insurance offering for Canadian businesses.
Markel Group is expanding its U.S. specialty insurance footprint with a new Chemical, Oil & Gas-related Energy Property offering for small and midsize businesses.
Why it matters — The offering marks an expansion of Markel’s energy property coverage for smaller businesses.
Markel Insurance launched its Chemical, Oil & Gas related Energy Property (CORE) offering for small to midsize US-domiciled businesses across the chemical, oil, gas and broader energy sectors. It also appointed Candice Walker to lead First-Party Energy and named Michael McClain Senior Underwriter – Energy.
Why it matters — The launch adds a dedicated property solution to Markel’s US First-Party Energy proposition, and the appointments establish leadership and underwriting roles for the offering.
Markel Group’s underwriting profitability is improving through disciplined risk selection, portfolio optimization and expense efficiency as pricing softens.
Why it matters — MKL watchers may care that underwriting discipline is helping address softer pricing.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Markel Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $1,955, with estimates ranging from $1,532 to $2,107. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Markel Group, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Markel Group, Inc. 37 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Markel Group, Inc. ranks 37 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (78 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +8.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Markel Group, Inc. 37 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Markel Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MKL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1,532 to $2,107 over the next 12 months.
Markel Group, Inc. returned -8.1% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Markel Group Inc. is a diversified financial holding company focused on specialty insurance, reinsurance, investing, and a portfolio of operating businesses.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 15 Oct 2026): "Markel strengthens Marine & Energy Liability team in London with key appointments". Markel Insurance appointed Josephine Stroud Head of Energy Liability and named Jenny McFarlane Senior Underwriter – Marine & Energy Liability in London. The company said the appointments strengthen its London Market underwriting team.
Markel Group Inc. is a diversified financial holding company focused on specialty insurance, reinsurance, investing, and a portfolio of operating businesses. Through its insurance operations, Markel provides tailored property and casualty coverage for niche commercial risks, along with program services, fronting solutions, and insurance-linked securities capabilities. Its investment activities support the broader insurance platform by managing capital across public and private markets. The company also owns controlling interests in businesses across industrial, consumer, and financial services markets through its Markel Ventures segment. Markel Group serves customers in the United States and international markets, with operations structured to give its businesses a high degree of independence while contributing to a broad, multi-segment financial platform.
CEO Mr. Thomas Sinnickson Gayner · 22,900 employees · United States · https://www.mklgroup.com
