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MKLMKLFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

MKL Stock Forecast: Markel Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$1,785
−0.13% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Markel Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $1,955 — +9.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 34 of 100 as at 16 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$22.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
34 / 100
Median analyst target
$1,955
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$5.2B+17.8% y/y
Net income$1.2B
Free cash flow$384.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.2%
1M
−0.8%
YTD
−17.0%
1Y
−7.4%
From 52W high
−18.6%
From 52W low
+1.9%
$1,751
$2,192
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MKL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Markel Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 16 Sept 2026
34 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
78
Volatility
72
Quality
53
Value
49
Revisions
49
Growth
43
Momentum
38
Accruals
31
Size
9

Issuance (78): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MKL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MKL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1,600$1,700$1,800$1,900$2,000$2,100$2,200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MKLHigh $2,107Median $1,955Low $1,671

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
0 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $1,671Median $1,955High $2,107

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$2,100 → $1,950
6 Feb 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
7 Feb 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
2 Dec 2024TD CowenDowngradeHold—
1 Nov 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
9 Oct 2024JefferiesMaintainsHold—
23 July 2024CitigroupMaintainsSell—
9 July 2024TD CowenInitiatesBuy—
3 May 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
3 May 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
15 Mar 2024Janney Montgomery ScottDowngradeNeutral—
5 Feb 2024JefferiesDowngradeHold—
2 Feb 2024RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform—
8 Jan 2024RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform—
22 Nov 2023CitigroupInitiatesSell—
3 Nov 2023RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
3 Nov 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
7 Sept 2023JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
4 Aug 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
3 Feb 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MKL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MKL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, Markel Group, Inc. returned −7.4% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MKL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
9095100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MKLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MKL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−16.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

Markel Group, Inc. (MKL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.9×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 62% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
77.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
30.1%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Net margin
13.8%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.5%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.8%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Markel Group, Inc. (MKL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Markel Group, Inc. has a market value of $22.1B and an enterprise value of $21.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $16.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.3B, a 14.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $181.86.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.1B.

  • Markel Group, Inc. spent $530.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 12.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 9.9×; forward P/E: 15.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Markel Group, Inc. employs 22,900 people — $728K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MKL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MKLMarkel Group, Inc.$22.1B
34
LLoews Corp.$22.4B
45
WRBW.R. Berkley Corp.$26.0B
64
CINFCincinnati Financial Corp.$26.6B
65
AIZAssurant, Inc.$14.2B
76
CNACNA Financial Corp.$13.0B
77
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.$11.9B
65

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Markel Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MKL news & analysis

Markel International appoints Nick Rugg to Head of Financial Institutions & Fintech - PFR & Cyber, International

PRNewsWire · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Markel Insurance, the insurance operation within Markel Group Inc., announced the appointment of Nick Rugg as Head of Financial Institutions & Fintech – PFR & Cyber within its London-based specialty insurance operation, with immediate effect.

Why it matters — The appointment adds leadership to Markel's London specialty insurance business in the financial institutions, fintech, professional and cyber lines.

Markel Is Built Like a Smaller Berkshire Hathaway. Its Stock Sits 18% Below Its 52-Week High.

The Motley Fool · 17 Sept 2026neutral

The Motley Fool published an article describing Markel as built like a smaller Berkshire Hathaway, with insurance operations alongside a portfolio of stocks and controlled businesses. The piece notes that Markel's stock sits 18% below its 52-week high and emphasizes that investors should take a long-term view of the company.

Why it matters — The article frames Markel's distinctive investment-driven business model and current valuation for MKL watchers considering the company's long-term prospects.

Markel International bolsters leadership in new Marine Transportation business with two key appointments

PRNewsWire · 15 Sept 2026positive

Markel Insurance, the insurance operation within Markel Group Inc., announced two new leadership appointments in its new Marine Transportation business: Dean Johnson as Head of Transport & Logistics and Rhys O'Neill as Head of Marine Liability.

Why it matters — These appointments signal Markel is strengthening leadership and building out its newly formed Marine Transportation business, which could expand the company's specialty insurance capabilities.

Markel Taps California's Workers' Compensation Market With Midwest

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026positive

Markel is expanding its footprint in California's workers' compensation market through its Midwest operations, targeting small businesses while emphasizing disciplined risk selection in its underwriting approach.

Why it matters — This expansion signals potential growth opportunities for Markel's workers' compensation business in a large state insurance market while maintaining a focus on underwriting discipline.

Markel Chairman Steve Markel to Retire and Will Be Succeeded by Tom Gayner

PRNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Markel Group Inc. announced that Steve Markel, Chairman of the Board, will retire and will not seek re-election at the 2027 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, after more than 50 years of service. Tom Gayner will succeed him as Chairman, while Simon Wilson and Andrew Crowley have been promoted to Co-Presidents, and a Leadership Council has been established comprising the Lead Independent Director, Chairman, and Co-Presidents.

Why it matters — Markel watchers would care because the leadership transition marks a significant change in corporate governance and succession as a long-serving chairman steps down and the executive structure is reorganized.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MKL stock

What is the MKL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Markel Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $1,955, with estimates ranging from $1,671 to $2,107. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MKL stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Markel Group, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Markel Group, Inc. 34 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 16 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MKL?

As at 16 Sept 2026, Markel Group, Inc. ranks 34 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (78 of 100).

Will MKL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +9.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Markel Group, Inc. 34 out of 100 as at 16 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MKL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Markel Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MKL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1,671 to $2,107 over the next 12 months.

How has MKL stock performed over the past year?

Markel Group, Inc. returned -7.4% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Markel Group, Inc. do?

Markel Group Inc. is a diversified financial holding company focused on specialty insurance, reinsurance, investing, and a portfolio of operating businesses.

What is the latest news on MKL?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 17 Sept 2026): "Markel International appoints Nick Rugg to Head of Financial Institutions & Fintech - PFR & Cyber, International". Markel Insurance, the insurance operation within Markel Group Inc., announced the appointment of Nick Rugg as Head of Financial Institutions & Fintech – PFR & Cyber within its London-based specialty insurance operation, with immediate effect.

Company

About Markel Group, Inc.

Markel Group Inc. is a diversified financial holding company focused on specialty insurance, reinsurance, investing, and a portfolio of operating businesses. Through its insurance operations, Markel provides tailored property and casualty coverage for niche commercial risks, along with program services, fronting solutions, and insurance-linked securities capabilities. Its investment activities support the broader insurance platform by managing capital across public and private markets. The company also owns controlling interests in businesses across industrial, consumer, and financial services markets through its Markel Ventures segment. Markel Group serves customers in the United States and international markets, with operations structured to give its businesses a high degree of independence while contributing to a broad, multi-segment financial platform.

CEO Mr. Thomas Sinnickson Gayner · 22,900 employees · United States · https://www.mklgroup.com