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MKLMKLFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

MKL Stock Forecast: Markel Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$1,955
+2.96% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Markel Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $2,010 — +2.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 54 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$23.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
54/ 100
Median analyst target
$2,010
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$5.2B+17.8% y/y
Net income$1.2B
Free cash flow$384.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.0%
1M
+12.5%
YTD
−9.1%
1Y
−1.4%
From 52W high
−10.8%
From 52W low
+14.1%
$1,712
$2,192
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MKL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Markel Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
54/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
92
Issuance
78
Volatility
74
Growth
52
Accruals
47
Quality
42
Value
40
Momentum
37
Size
9

Revisions (92): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Momentum (37): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MKL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MKL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1,600$1,700$1,800$1,900$2,000$2,100$2,200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MKLHigh $2,107Median $2,010Low $1,624

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
1 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $1,624Median $2,010High $2,107

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$2,100 → $1,950
6 Feb 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
7 Feb 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
2 Dec 2024TD CowenDowngradeHold—
1 Nov 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
9 Oct 2024JefferiesMaintainsHold—
23 July 2024CitigroupMaintainsSell—
9 July 2024TD CowenInitiatesBuy—
3 May 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
3 May 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
15 Mar 2024Janney Montgomery ScottDowngradeNeutral—
5 Feb 2024JefferiesDowngradeHold—
2 Feb 2024RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform—
8 Jan 2024RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform—
22 Nov 2023CitigroupInitiatesSell—
3 Nov 2023RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
3 Nov 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
7 Sept 2023JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
4 Aug 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
3 Feb 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MKL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

MKL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Markel Group, Inc. returned −1.4% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MKL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
859095100105110115120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MKLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MKL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.8%
Fundamentals

Markel Group, Inc. (MKL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.5×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.8×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−11.2%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−65.5%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
9.9%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Net margin
11.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.8%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.2%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Markel Group, Inc. (MKL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Markel Group, Inc. has a market value of $23.2B and an enterprise value of $21.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $16.7B. The latest quarter shrank 11.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.3B, a 14.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $181.86.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.1B.

  • Markel Group, Inc. spent $530.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 12.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.5×; forward P/E: 15.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Markel Group, Inc. employs 22,900 people — $728K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MKL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MKLMarkel Group, Inc.$23.2B54
LLoews Corp.$23.0B45
WRBW.R. Berkley Corp.$28.6B54
CINFCincinnati Financial Corp.$29.7B75
AIZAssurant, Inc.$15.5B79
CNACNA Financial Corp.$13.0B63
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.$12.9B79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Markel Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MKL news & analysis

AM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of Cavello Bay Reinsurance Limited Following Enstar Group Limited's Transaction with Markel Group Inc.

Business Wire · 3 Nov 2026neutral

AM Best said Cavello Bay Reinsurance Limited’s credit ratings are unchanged following Enstar Group’s announcement of a reinsurance agreement with Markel. The agreement covers Markel’s global reinsurance reserves and certain exited insurance lines.

Why it matters — The item reports a transaction involving Markel and confirms that AM Best left the reinsurer’s ratings unchanged.

What Markel Group (MKL) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 30 Oct 2026positive

Markel Group reported higher third-quarter adjusted operating income, supported by improved insurance underwriting, growth in non-insurance businesses and increased investment income. These factors offset unfavorable equity-market valuation changes.

Why it matters — The results highlight how underwriting, non-insurance business growth and investment income contributed to adjusted operating income despite unfavorable equity-market valuation changes.

Markel: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

The Motley Fool · 30 Oct 2026positive

Markel secured $1.2 billion in adverse development protection from Enstar, while industrial adjusted operating income increased 29% on 10% organic revenue growth.

Why it matters — The protection agreement and industrial growth are key developments for MKL watchers assessing the company’s business performance.

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 29 Oct 2026neutral

Markel Group held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 29, 2026, with company executives and analysts participating. The excerpt contains introductory remarks and does not provide quarterly results or management commentary.

Why it matters — MKL watchers can note the call took place, but the excerpt does not include information about performance or outlook.

Markel Group (MKL) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

Markel Group reported quarterly earnings of $35.07 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $27.93. Earnings were $30.90 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — MKL watchers may note the earnings beat and the comparison with the year-ago quarter.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MKL stock

What is the MKL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Markel Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $2,010, with estimates ranging from $1,624 to $2,107. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MKL stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Markel Group, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Markel Group, Inc. 54 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MKL?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Markel Group, Inc. ranks 54 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (92 of 100).

Will MKL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +2.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Markel Group, Inc. 54 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MKL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Markel Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MKL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1,624 to $2,107 over the next 12 months.

How has MKL stock performed over the past year?

Markel Group, Inc. returned -1.4% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Markel Group, Inc. do?

Markel Group Inc. is a diversified financial holding company focused on specialty insurance, reinsurance, investing, and a portfolio of operating businesses.

What is the latest news on MKL?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 3 Nov 2026): "AM Best Comments on Credit Ratings of Cavello Bay Reinsurance Limited Following Enstar Group Limited's Transaction with Markel Group Inc.". AM Best said Cavello Bay Reinsurance Limited’s credit ratings are unchanged following Enstar Group’s announcement of a reinsurance agreement with Markel. The agreement covers Markel’s global reinsurance reserves and certain exited insurance lines.

Company

About Markel Group, Inc.

Markel Group Inc. is a diversified financial holding company focused on specialty insurance, reinsurance, investing, and a portfolio of operating businesses. Through its insurance operations, Markel provides tailored property and casualty coverage for niche commercial risks, along with program services, fronting solutions, and insurance-linked securities capabilities. Its investment activities support the broader insurance platform by managing capital across public and private markets. The company also owns controlling interests in businesses across industrial, consumer, and financial services markets through its Markel Ventures segment. Markel Group serves customers in the United States and international markets, with operations structured to give its businesses a high degree of independence while contributing to a broad, multi-segment financial platform.

CEO Mr. Thomas Sinnickson Gayner · 22,900 employees · United States · https://www.mklgroup.com