MKLMKLFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

MKL Stock Forecast: Markel Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$1,796
+0.41% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Markel Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $1,955 — +8.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$22.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
35 / 100
Median analyst target
$1,955
Analysts covering
7
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.8%
1M
−8.5%
YTD
−16.5%
1Y
−8.8%
From 52W high
−18.1%
From 52W low
+2.5%
$1,751
$2,192
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MKL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Markel Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
35 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
78
Volatility
77
Quality
53
Value
49
Revisions
47
Growth
43
Momentum
40
Accruals
31
Size
10

Issuance (78): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MKL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MKL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1,600$1,700$1,800$1,900$2,000$2,100$2,200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MKLHigh $2,107Median $1,955Low $1,671

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says7 analysts
0 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $1,671Median $1,955High $2,107

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$2,100$1,950
6 Feb 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
7 Feb 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform
2 Dec 2024TD CowenDowngradeHold
1 Nov 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform
9 Oct 2024JefferiesMaintainsHold
23 July 2024CitigroupMaintainsSell
9 July 2024TD CowenInitiatesBuy
3 May 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform
3 May 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
15 Mar 2024Janney Montgomery ScottDowngradeNeutral
5 Feb 2024JefferiesDowngradeHold
2 Feb 2024RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform
8 Jan 2024RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform
22 Nov 2023CitigroupInitiatesSell
3 Nov 2023RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
3 Nov 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
7 Sept 2023JefferiesInitiatesBuy
4 Aug 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
3 Feb 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MKL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MKL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−16.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Markel Group, Inc. (MKL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.9×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
77.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
30.1%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Net margin
13.8%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.5%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.8%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MKL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MKLMarkel Group, Inc.$22.2B
35
LLoews Corp.$22.6B
46
WRBW.R. Berkley Corp.$25.5B
63
CINFCincinnati Financial Corp.$26.3B
69
AIZAssurant, Inc.$14.2B
75
CNACNA Financial Corp.$13.3B
79
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.$12.0B
64

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Markel Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MKL news & analysis

Markel Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026neutral

Markel Group reported second-quarter adjusted operating income of $436 million, down from $578 million a year earlier, while net income to common shareholders rose to $1.2 billion on $1.2 billion of net investment gains.

Why it matters — The quarterly results show that operating income declined year over year but net income was boosted significantly by investment gains that more than offset losses from the prior quarter.

MKL Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates on Weak Industrial, Financial Units

Zacks Investment Research · 31 July 2026negative

Markel Group's second-quarter earnings missed estimates, driven by weaker performance in its Industrial and Financial segments, which offset stronger underwriting and investment income.

Why it matters — A miss in core segments like Industrial and Financial signals potential headwinds for MKL's overall profitability, making this a key development for shareholders tracking earnings quality.

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Markel Group Inc. released the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, published by Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides MKL watchers with management's detailed discussion of the company's second-quarter results and outlook.

Markel Group (MKL) Misses Q2 Earnings Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026negative

Markel Group reported Q2 earnings of $19.51 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $29.94 per share and falling short of the $25.46 per share it earned in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings miss, which also represents a year-over-year decline, signals weaker-than-expected performance that shareholders would want to understand.

Markel Group reports 2026 second quarter and six-months results

PRNewsWire · 29 July 2026neutral

Markel Group Inc. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2026 via a press release on July 29, 2026.

Why it matters — Investors tracking Markel Group would want to review the quarterly results to assess the company's recent financial performance and operational trends.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MKL stock

What is the MKL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Markel Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $1,955, with estimates ranging from $1,671 to $2,107. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MKL stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Markel Group, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Markel Group, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MKL?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Markel Group, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (78 of 100).

Will MKL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +8.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Markel Group, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MKL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Markel Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MKL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1,671 to $2,107 over the next 12 months.

How has MKL stock performed over the past year?

Markel Group, Inc. returned -8.8% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Markel Group, Inc. do?

Markel Group Inc. is a diversified financial holding company that offers specialized insurance and investment solutions globally.

What is the latest news on MKL?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 31 July 2026): "Markel Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Markel Group reported second-quarter adjusted operating income of $436 million, down from $578 million a year earlier, while net income to common shareholders rose to $1.2 billion on $1.2 billion of net investment gains.

Company

About Markel Group, Inc.

Markel Group Inc. is a diversified financial holding company that offers specialized insurance and investment solutions globally. Its primary function is to underwrite specialty insurance products across diverse fields such as professional liability, environmental insurance, and reinsurance. Beyond traditional insurance, Markel Group Inc. engages in a range of programs tailored to niche markets, emphasizing personalized service and expert risk management. A distinguishing feature of Markel is its balance between underwriting operations and investment activities, enabling it to leverage financial strengths to capitalize on strategic opportunities. The investment arm of Markel focuses on acquiring equities and fixed-income securities, allowing for portfolio diversification and potential return enhancement. By targeting businesses outside the conventional insurance space, the company also invests in various ventures, reflecting its commitment to a broad, flexible approach. In the financial markets, Markel Group Inc. is recognized for its innovation and ability to adapt to evolving industry demands. It serves as a bellwether for specialty insurance trends and financial strategies, often reflected in its agility and unique investment philosophies. Headquartered in Glen Allen, Virginia, Markel continues to influence the global insurance landscape with its strategic foresight and financial acumen.

CEO Mr. Thomas Sinnickson Gayner · 22,900 employees · United States · https://www.mklgroup.com