AFGFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $152 — +4.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 66 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American Financial Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (92): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AFG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $153 → $147 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $175 → $166 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $148 → $153 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $140 → $156 |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $158 → $173 |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $140 → $148 |
| 26 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Aug 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 11 Aug 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AFG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, American Financial Group, Inc. returned +8.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 59% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
American Financial Group, Inc. has a market value of $12.1B and an enterprise value of $12.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.2B. The latest quarter grew 5.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $953.0M, a 11.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.44.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B.
American Financial Group, Inc. spent $88.0M on share buybacks and $576.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 12.7×; forward P/E: 12.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.42%, paying out 30% of earnings.
American Financial Group, Inc. employs 8,500 people — $962K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American Financial Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
AFG expects to release its 2026 third-quarter results after 5:00 p.m. ET on November 3, 2026, and will hold a conference call to discuss them at 11:30 a.m. ET on November 4.
Why it matters — AFG watchers can note when the company plans to publish its quarterly results and discuss them on a call.
Zacks Investment Research compares American Financial Group (AFG) and American Tower (AMT) with their respective sector performance so far this year. The excerpt does not provide performance figures or say whether AFG outperformed.
Why it matters — The comparison gives AFG watchers context on how the stock has performed relative to its sector, but the excerpt does not state the result.
Seeking Alpha’s weekly dividend roundup reports that AFG posted a double-digit dividend increase during September 26–October 2, 2026.
Why it matters — AFG watchers may note the reported payout increase as a dividend-related development for the company.
Zacks Investment Research reports that AFG, along with AVNT and OZK, hiked dividends amid market volatility driven by inflation, rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions.
Why it matters — AFG watchers may note the dividend increase as the company is highlighted among three stocks that raised dividends amid volatile markets.
Zacks Investment Research highlights American Financial Group as a long-term momentum stock, citing the Zacks Style Scores as a feature intended to help investors identify strong stocks across value, growth, and momentum styles.
Why it matters — AFG watchers may note that the item frames the company positively through Zacks’ momentum-oriented stock research.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $152, with estimates ranging from $136 to $170. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American Financial Group, Inc. 66 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, American Financial Group, Inc. ranks 66 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +4.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American Financial Group, Inc. 66 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering American Financial Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AFG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $136 to $170 over the next 12 months.
American Financial Group, Inc. returned +8.9% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
American Financial Group, Inc. is an insurance holding company headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 13 Oct 2026): "American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Its Conference Call and Webcast to Discuss 2026 Third Quarter Results". AFG expects to release its 2026 third-quarter results after 5:00 p.m. ET on November 3, 2026, and will hold a conference call to discuss them at 11:30 a.m. ET on November 4.
American Financial Group, Inc. is an insurance holding company headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. Through Great American Insurance Group, the company focuses on specialty property and casualty insurance for businesses, with products that serve commercial property, transportation, casualty, financial, and other niche insurance needs. Its operations are organized around property and casualty insurance and related financial activities, supporting clients through underwriting expertise and specialized coverage solutions. American Financial Group plays a notable role in the U.S. insurance market by targeting selected commercial segments where tailored products and disciplined risk management are central to its business model.
CEO Mr. Stephen Craig Lindner · 8,500 employees · United States · https://www.afginc.com
