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AFGAFGFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

AFG Stock Forecast: American Financial Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$143
−0.08% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $155 — +8.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 65 of 100 as at 16 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$11.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
65 / 100
Median analyst target
$155
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$2.0B+3.2% y/y
Net income$248.0M
Free cash flow$92.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.9%
1M
−2.5%
YTD
+7.8%
1Y
+8.2%
From 52W high
−2.6%
From 52W low
+16.5%
$123
$147
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AFG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American Financial Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 16 Sept 2026
65 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
83
Momentum
82
Growth
75
Volatility
72
Issuance
60
Quality
57
Value
42
Accruals
25
Size
14

Revisions (83): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AFG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AFG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$130$140$150$160$170$180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AFGHigh $175Median $155Low $136

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
2 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $136Median $155High $175

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$148 → $153
10 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$140 → $156
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$158 → $173
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$140 → $148
26 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
6 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
1 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
9 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
25 Mar 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
5 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
15 Jan 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight—
6 Nov 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
12 Aug 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
11 Aug 2025JefferiesMaintainsHold—
9 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
9 May 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
9 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
7 Feb 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AFG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AFG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, American Financial Group, Inc. returned +8.2% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AFG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AFGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AFG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.6%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.6×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.5×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.8×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.8%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
42.5%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
17.2%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Net margin
11.8%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.4%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.6%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.4%

Higher than 53% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • American Financial Group, Inc. has a market value of $11.9B and an enterprise value of $12.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.2B. The latest quarter grew 5.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $953.0M, a 11.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.44.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B.

  • American Financial Group, Inc. spent $88.0M on share buybacks and $576.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 82.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.6×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.45%, paying out 30% of earnings.

  • American Financial Group, Inc. employs 8,500 people — $962K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AFG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.$11.9B
65
CNACNA Financial Corp.$13.0B
77
AIZAssurant, Inc.$14.2B
76
ORIOld Republic International Corp.$9.9B
71
KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc.$8.2B
49
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.$8.1B
87
LLoews Corp.$22.4B
45

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American Financial Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AFG news & analysis

American Financial Near 52-Week High: Time to Hold the Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

Zacks reports that American Financial Group (AFG) is trading near its 52-week high. The article highlights AFG's specialty property and casualty diversification, firm renewal pricing, and excess capital generation as factors supporting its growth and shareholder returns.

Why it matters — AFG watchers would care because the report affirms the company's financial strengths behind its recent stock performance near a 52-week high.

American Financial Group Lifted Its Dividend 10.2% and Kept Buying Back Stock

The Motley Fool · 4 Sept 2026positive

American Financial Group raised its dividend in the second quarter, extending its annual streak of increases to 21 years. The company also repurchased $86 million in shares during the first half of 2026.

Why it matters — AFG watchers would view the dividend hike and continued share buybacks as signs of consistent shareholder return and financial stability.

American Financial (AFG) Down 2.8% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026negative

American Financial Group (AFG) reported earnings about 30 days ago, and its stock has declined 2.8% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares.

Why it matters — Investors tracking AFG would be interested in the stock's post-earnings performance and the outlook following its latest quarterly report.

American Financial Group (AFG) is a Top-Ranked Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 31 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted American Financial Group (AFG) as a top-ranked momentum stock using its Style Scores system. The piece discusses using these rankings to identify potentially strong-performing stocks.

Why it matters — AFG watchers would care because the coverage signals the stock has received a favorable momentum ranking from Zacks' style-score methodology.

American Financial Group, Inc. Announces Closing of the Sale of Charleston Harbor Resort & Marina

Business Wire · 31 Aug 2026positive

American Financial Group, Inc. announced it has completed the previously announced sale of Charleston Harbor Resort & Marina. The company expects to recognize pretax core operating earnings of approximately $125 million ($1.20 per share, after tax) from the sale, subject to final cost accounting and customary closing adjustments.

Why it matters — AFG watchers would care because the completed sale is expected to contribute roughly $125 million in pretax core operating earnings, subject to closing adjustments.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AFG stock

What is the AFG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $155, with estimates ranging from $136 to $175. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AFG stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American Financial Group, Inc. 65 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 16 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AFG?

As at 16 Sept 2026, American Financial Group, Inc. ranks 65 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (83 of 100).

Will AFG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +8.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American Financial Group, Inc. 65 out of 100 as at 16 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AFG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering American Financial Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AFG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $136 to $175 over the next 12 months.

How has AFG stock performed over the past year?

American Financial Group, Inc. returned +8.2% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does American Financial Group, Inc. do?

American Financial Group, Inc. is an insurance holding company headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

What is the latest news on AFG?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Sept 2026): "American Financial Near 52-Week High: Time to Hold the Stock?". Zacks reports that American Financial Group (AFG) is trading near its 52-week high. The article highlights AFG's specialty property and casualty diversification, firm renewal pricing, and excess capital generation as factors supporting its growth and shareholder returns.

Company

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group, Inc. is an insurance holding company headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio. Through Great American Insurance Group, the company focuses on specialty property and casualty insurance for businesses, with products that serve commercial property, transportation, casualty, financial, and other niche insurance needs. Its operations are organized around property and casualty insurance and related financial activities, supporting clients through underwriting expertise and specialized coverage solutions. American Financial Group plays a notable role in the U.S. insurance market by targeting selected commercial segments where tailored products and disciplined risk management are central to its business model.

CEO Mr. Stephen Craig Lindner · 8,500 employees · United States · https://www.afginc.com