AFGAFGFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

AFG Stock Forecast: American Financial Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$146
+0.42% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $155 — +5.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$12.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$155
Analysts covering
7
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.5%
1M
+4.3%
YTD
+10.4%
1Y
+15.5%
From 52W high
−0.3%
From 52W low
+19.3%
$123
$147
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AFG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American Financial Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
90
Revisions
85
Growth
75
Momentum
69
Issuance
60
Quality
57
Value
42
Accruals
24
Size
14

Volatility (90): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (24): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AFG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AFG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$130$140$150$160$170$180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AFGHigh $175Median $155Low $136

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says7 analysts
2 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $136Median $155High $175

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$148$153
10 Aug 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$140$156
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$158$173
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$140$148
26 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
6 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
1 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
9 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
25 Mar 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
5 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
15 Jan 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight
6 Nov 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral
12 Aug 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
11 Aug 2025JefferiesMaintainsHold
9 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
9 May 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
9 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
7 Feb 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeMarket Perform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AFG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

AFG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.5%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.8×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.5×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.9×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.8%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
42.5%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
17.2%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Net margin
11.8%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.4%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.6%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.4%

Higher than 54% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AFG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.$12.1B
64
CNACNA Financial Corp.$13.8B
80
AIZAssurant, Inc.$14.1B
72
ORIOld Republic International Corp.$10.3B
74
KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc.$8.6B
44
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.$7.8B
89
LLoews Corp.$23.3B
46

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American Financial Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AFG news & analysis

Here's Why American Financial Group (AFG) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted American Financial Group (AFG) as a strong momentum stock, noting that its Zacks Style Scores can help investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style.

Why it matters — AFG watchers would gain insight into the company being recognized by an investment research firm for its momentum characteristics.

American Financial Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 5 Aug 2026positive

American Financial Group reported record second-quarter pre-tax property and casualty operating income. The result was supported by stronger underwriting margins, premium growth and higher investment income.

Why it matters — The record operating income underscores the strength of AFG's property and casualty segment across underwriting, premiums and investments, which is a key driver for watchers of the company.

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026neutral

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) released a transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, as covered by Seeking Alpha. The item is a record of the company's quarterly earnings discussion.

Why it matters — AFG watchers can review the transcript of the Q2 2026 earnings call for the company's own discussion of its quarterly results.

AFG Q2 Earnings Beat on Strong P&C Underwriting, Investment Income

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026positive

American Financial Group's Q2 results benefited from stronger underwriting, premium growth, and higher investment income, which drove earnings above estimates. The company beat expectations on the strength of its property and casualty business and investment results.

Why it matters — An AFG watcher would care because the earnings beat indicates strong performance in the company's core P&C underwriting and higher investment income in the quarter.

American Financial (AFG) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026neutral

American Financial (AFG) released its earnings for the quarter ended June 2026, with revenue and EPS reflecting how the business performed. The report considers key metrics against Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.

Why it matters — AFG watchers would care because the report benchmarks the company's quarterly results against analyst expectations and prior-year performance, offering insight into how the quarter went.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AFG stock

What is the AFG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $155, with estimates ranging from $136 to $175. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AFG stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering American Financial Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American Financial Group, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AFG?

As at 15 Aug 2026, American Financial Group, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (90 of 100).

Will AFG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +5.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American Financial Group, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AFG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering American Financial Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AFG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $136 to $175 over the next 12 months.

How has AFG stock performed over the past year?

American Financial Group, Inc. returned +15.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does American Financial Group, Inc. do?

American Financial Group Inc. is an insurance holding company that provides property and casualty insurance products primarily in the United States.

What is the latest news on AFG?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "Here's Why American Financial Group (AFG) is a Strong Momentum Stock". Zacks Investment Research highlighted American Financial Group (AFG) as a strong momentum stock, noting that its Zacks Style Scores can help investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style.

Company

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group Inc. is an insurance holding company that provides property and casualty insurance products primarily in the United States. It focuses on specialized commercial products for businesses, including coverage for property and transportation, specialty casualty, and specialty financial risks. These offerings encompass insurance for vehicles and commercial property, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses, workers' compensation, risk management for lending and leasing institutions, trade credit insurance, and other tailored solutions. The company also engages in the sale of fixed and fixed-indexed annuities targeting retail customers, financial institutions, and education markets. Operating through its subsidiaries, American Financial Group Inc. maintains a diversified investment portfolio featuring fixed maturities and alternative investments to support its insurance operations. It emphasizes strong underwriting margins and returns capital to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases. Founded in 1959 and headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, the company plays a key role in the specialty insurance sector, serving niche commercial needs with a focus on disciplined risk management.

CEO Mr. Stephen Craig Lindner · 8,500 employees · United States · https://www.afginc.com