KNSLKNSLFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

KNSL Stock Forecast: Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$360
−0.34% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $375 — +4.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 16 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$8.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
49 / 100
Median analyst target
$375
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$548.5M+16.8% y/y
Net income$175.9M
Free cash flow$239.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.9%
1M
−2.0%
YTD
−7.9%
1Y
−16.3%
From 52W high
−24.7%
From 52W low
+24.0%
$290
$478
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

KNSL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 16 Sept 2026
49 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
86
Revisions
78
Growth
78
Issuance
68
Volatility
61
Momentum
32
Value
19
Size
17
Accruals
16

Quality (86): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (16): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

KNSL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KNSL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$250$300$350$400$450$500Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26KNSLHigh $405Median $375Low $259

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
1 Buy9 Hold2 Sell
Low $259Median $375High $405

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$345$390
27 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
27 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$366$377
20 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
20 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$380$390
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$357$366
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
21 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
27 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform
27 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
27 Apr 2026Wells FargoDowngradeEqual-Weight
9 Apr 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral
9 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
6 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight
19 Mar 2026JefferiesDowngradeUnderperform
25 Feb 2026BMO CapitalDowngradeUnderperform
23 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
17 Feb 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral
17 Feb 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
15 Jan 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. KNSL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

KNSL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. returned −16.3% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

KNSL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26KNSLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

KNSL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.4%
Analysts raising
11
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.6×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.1×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
4.0×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.2×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.8%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
31.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
40.7%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Net margin
28.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
30.3%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.6%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.3%

Higher than 5% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. has a market value of $8.2B and an enterprise value of $8.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 16.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $568.7M, a 28.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $24.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0B, after $34.9M of capital spending.

  • Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. spent $233.1M on share buybacks and $19.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 22.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.6×; forward P/E: 16.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.28%, paying out 3% of earnings.

  • Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. employs 711 people $2.8M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

KNSL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc.$8.2B
49
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.$8.1B
87
ORIOld Republic International Corp.$9.9B
71
AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc.$11.9B
65
MCYMercury General Corp.$5.6B
75
RLIRLI Corp.$5.6B
62
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.$5.3B
64

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest KNSL news & analysis

Why the Market Dipped But Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Gained Today

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026positive

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) closed at $363.89 on the latest trading day, up 1.08% from its prior close, gaining even as the broader market dipped.

Why it matters — This report highlights KNSL's share price movement on a day when the wider market declined, offering a data point for those tracking the stock's recent performance.

Why Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026negative

On the latest trading day, Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) shares settled at $367.29, a -1.58% decline from the prior close, a dip greater than the broader market.

Why it matters — The decline signals that KNSL underperformed the wider market on the trading day, which is relevant to investors tracking the stock's near-term movement.

3 Insurers to Add to Portfolio as AI Transforms Insurance Operations

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research report highlights Travelers, Kinsale Capital, and Allstate as insurers using AI, data, and technology to improve efficiency, underwriting, and growth in insurance operations as AI transforms the industry.

Why it matters — The report positions Kinsale Capital as one of a select group of insurers leveraging AI and technology to enhance its operations, signaling its competitiveness in a transforming industry.

Kinsale Capital's Small-Account Focus Supports E&S Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Sept 2026positive

Zacks reports that Kinsale Capital's focus on small-account business supports its excess and surplus (E&S) growth, especially as softer pricing heightens competition in large property risks.

Why it matters — A KNSL watcher would care because the small-account strategy may offer a competitive advantage and support growth even as market conditions in large property lines become more challenging.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about KNSL stock

What is the KNSL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $375, with estimates ranging from $259 to $405. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is KNSL stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Kinsale Capital Group, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. 49 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 16 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank KNSL?

As at 16 Sept 2026, Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (86 of 100).

Will KNSL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +4.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. 49 out of 100 as at 16 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the KNSL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KNSL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $259 to $405 over the next 12 months.

How has KNSL stock performed over the past year?

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. returned -16.3% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. do?

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company focused on property and casualty coverage in the United States.

What is the latest news on KNSL?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Sept 2026): "Why the Market Dipped But Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Gained Today". Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) closed at $363.89 on the latest trading day, up 1.08% from its prior close, gaining even as the broader market dipped.

Company

About Kinsale Capital Group, Inc.

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company focused on property and casualty coverage in the United States. The company concentrates exclusively on the excess and surplus lines market, where it underwrites hard-to-place risks that often fall outside the scope of standard insurance carriers. Its offerings span commercial property, casualty, professional liability, and other niche specialty lines, serving businesses and individuals through a broad network of independent brokers. Kinsale Capital Group also provides personal lines products, including high-value homeowners coverage, alongside commercial insurance solutions for industries such as construction, healthcare, life sciences, energy, aviation, and transportation. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, Kinsale Capital Group plays a focused role in the specialty insurance market by combining underwriting expertise with a diversified product portfolio.

CEO Mr. Michael Patrick Kehoe J.D. · 711 employees · United States · https://www.kinsalecapitalgroup.com