KNSLFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 12 Wall Street analysts covering Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $351 — -10.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (85): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Value (19): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KNSL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −10.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Neutral | $264 → $285 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $375 → $400 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $377 → $348 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 9 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $390 → $375 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Neutral | $259 → $264 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $390 → $350 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $345 → $390 |
| 27 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $366 → $377 |
| 27 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 20 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $380 → $390 |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $357 → $366 |
| 21 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
KNSL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. returned +1.0% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 26% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. has a market value of $8.5B and an enterprise value of $8.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter shrank 8.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $568.7M, a 28.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $24.68.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.0B, after $34.9M of capital spending.
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. spent $233.1M on share buybacks and $19.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.8×; forward P/E: 17.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.26%, paying out 4% of earnings.
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. employs 711 people — $2.8M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) recently moved above its 50-day moving average. The excerpt describes this as a short-term bullish technical signal.
Why it matters — KNSL watchers may note the move as a technical indicator of the stock’s recent direction.
Kinsale Capital’s gross written premium decreased 4.8% as competition in commercial property intensified. The company repurchased $100 million of common stock in Q3.
Why it matters — The figures highlight both competitive pressure in commercial property and the company’s Q3 share repurchases.
Kinsale Capital Group held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 23, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and analysts participating but provides no financial results or discussion details.
Why it matters — KNSL watchers are alerted to the quarterly call, but the excerpt contains no substantive information about the company’s performance.
Kinsale Capital’s Q3 2026 earnings beat estimates by 15.15%, supported by higher investment income and earned premiums, despite lower revenues and rising expenses.
Why it matters — KNSL watchers may note the earnings beat alongside the mixed revenue and expense trends.
Kinsale Capital Group reported higher operating earnings, strong underwriting profitability and increased investment income in the third quarter. The company also said competition in the E&S market pressured written premiums, particularly in commercial property.
Why it matters — The update highlights stronger earnings and investment income alongside competitive pressure on written premiums.
The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $351, with estimates ranging from $285 to $405. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 12 analysts covering Kinsale Capital Group, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (85 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies -10.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. 43 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KNSL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $285 to $405 over the next 12 months.
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. returned +1.0% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company focused on property and casualty coverage in the United States.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 Oct 2026): "Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) Recently Broke Out Above the 50-Day Moving Average". Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) recently moved above its 50-day moving average. The excerpt describes this as a short-term bullish technical signal.
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. is a specialty insurance company focused on property and casualty coverage in the United States. The company concentrates exclusively on the excess and surplus lines market, where it underwrites hard-to-place risks that often fall outside the scope of standard insurance carriers. Its offerings span commercial property, casualty, professional liability, and other niche specialty lines, serving businesses and individuals through a broad network of independent brokers. Kinsale Capital Group also provides personal lines products, including high-value homeowners coverage, alongside commercial insurance solutions for industries such as construction, healthcare, life sciences, energy, aviation, and transportation. Headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, Kinsale Capital Group plays a focused role in the specialty insurance market by combining underwriting expertise with a diversified product portfolio.
CEO Mr. Michael Patrick Kehoe J.D. · 711 employees · United States · https://www.kinsalecapitalgroup.com
