RLIFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering RLI Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $58 — +2.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 60 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores RLI Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (89): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Accruals (22): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Underperform | $53 |
| 29 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $70 → $74 |
| 29 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Underweight | $57 |
| 29 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $55 → $62 |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $67 → $70 |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Hold | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Jan 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Truist Securities | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Compass Point | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 24 Apr 2025 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 9 Apr 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RLI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, RLI Corp. returned −5.3% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
RLI Corp. has a market value of $5.1B and an enterprise value of $5.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 15.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $438.7M, a 22.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.76.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $517.0M, after $7.0M of capital spending.
RLI Corp. spent $428.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 11.8×; forward P/E: 20.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.29%, paying out 14% of earnings.
RLI Corp. employs 1,193 people — $1.7M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own RLI Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
RLI Corp. announced it will release its third quarter 2026 earnings after market close on Monday, October 19, and will hold a teleconference on the results. The release is scheduled for that date per the company's announcement.
Why it matters — RLI watchers would care because this sets the date for the company's quarterly earnings report and teleconference, which they will follow for the financial results.
Zacks Investment Research highlights RLI along with KNSL, PLMR and SKWD as specialty insurers positioned to capture rising demand from niche risks. The report notes the specialty insurance market is headed toward $279 billion by 2031.
Why it matters — The article positions RLI among a select group of specialty insurers expected to benefit from growing demand in niche risk areas, which is relevant for those tracking the company's growth prospects.
RLI's stock has risen 6.2% over the past three months. The company's disciplined underwriting, rising investment income, and strong capital returns are cited as supporting profitability as property and casualty market pricing moderates.
Why it matters — RLI watchers would care because the item highlights the financial drivers underpinning the insurer's recent stock gains amid a moderating P&C pricing environment.
A Zacks Investment Research report notes that the Federal Reserve's rate hike to 3.75-4% can boost investment income for property and casualty insurers including TRV, SIGI, and RLI, as their maturing bonds are reinvested at higher yields.
Why it matters — RLI is named among the insurers that could see improved investment income from higher fixed-income yields as its bonds mature and are reinvested.
A Seeking Alpha article ranks the Dividend Kings — companies with 50+ years of consecutive dividend increases — using the author's 9F Quality Scores, which blend qualitative and quantitative factors. The piece highlights ADP as the best total-return candidate among them, citing its high quality, undervaluation, and projected dividend growth.
Why it matters — RLI watchers would care because this ranking assesses dividend-growth companies like RLI within the broader Dividend Kings context, offering a comparative quality assessment of peers in the same category.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering RLI Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $58, with estimates ranging from $47 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering RLI Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks RLI Corp. 60 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, RLI Corp. ranks 60 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (89 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +2.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks RLI Corp. 60 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering RLI Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $47 to $74 over the next 12 months.
RLI Corp. returned -5.3% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides property, casualty, and surety coverage through its subsidiaries.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 1 Oct 2026): "RLI Third Quarter Earnings Release & Teleconference". RLI Corp. announced it will release its third quarter 2026 earnings after market close on Monday, October 19, and will hold a teleconference on the results. The release is scheduled for that date per the company's announcement.
RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides property, casualty, and surety coverage through its subsidiaries. The company focuses on niche and hard-to-place risks, serving businesses and individuals with customized underwriting solutions across commercial liability, transportation, property, marine, and other specialty lines. Its surety business offers contract bonds, licenses, and related bonding products for commercial, industrial, and energy customers. RLI Corp. distributes its products through brokers, independent agents, and other insurance channels, with an emphasis on tailored coverage and in-house underwriting expertise. Headquartered in Peoria, Illinois, RLI Corp. plays a notable role in the U.S. specialty insurance market by supporting clients that need specialized risk management and bond solutions.
CEO Mr. Craig William Kliethermes CPCU, FCAS, MAAA · 1,193 employees · United States · https://www.rlicorp.com
