RLIRLIFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

RLI Stock Forecast: RLI Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$64
−0.34% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering RLI Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $58 — -9.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 59 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
59 / 100
Median analyst target
$58
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.7%
1M
+6.0%
YTD
+4.2%
1Y
+2.5%
From 52W high
−2.9%
From 52W low
+39.1%
$46
$66
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RLI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores RLI Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
59 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
88
Quality
86
Volatility
85
Revisions
80
Issuance
44
Momentum
44
Value
29
Size
22
Accruals
22

Growth (88): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (22): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RLI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RLIHigh $74Median $58Low $53

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
1 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $53Median $58High $74

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −9.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$70$74
29 July 2026Wells FargoDowngradeUnderweight$57
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$55$62
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$67$70
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
9 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
7 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
23 Jan 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Perform
23 Jan 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold
23 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
15 Jan 2026Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight
6 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
3 Oct 2025Truist SecuritiesInitiatesHold
24 Apr 2025Compass PointDowngradeNeutral
24 Apr 2025JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Perform
9 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
27 Jan 2025Compass PointMaintainsBuy
27 Jan 2025JefferiesDowngradeUnderperform
24 Jan 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RLI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

RLI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.9%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

RLI Corp. (RLI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.9×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Price / book
3.3×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.4×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.2%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
35.1%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
36.9%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
22.2%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
25.2%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Dividend yield
13.9%

Higher than 93% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

RLI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RLIRLI Corp.$5.8B
59
MCYMercury General Corp.$5.8B
75
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.$5.7B
58
WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group Ltd.$5.1B
78
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.$7.8B
88
HGTYHagerty, Inc.$4.4B
29
LMNDLemonade, Inc.$4.1B
22

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own RLI Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RLI news & analysis

RLI Declares Regular Dividend

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

RLI announced a Q3 regular cash dividend of $0.18 per share, payable on September 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of August 31, 2026.

Why it matters — Investors and shareholders of RLI would be interested in the declared dividend payment date, record date, and per-share amount.

RLI's Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Premium Growth, Investment Income

Zacks Investment Research · 24 July 2026positive

RLI reported second-quarter earnings that surpassed analyst estimates, driven by premium growth, higher investment income, and favorable reserve development.

Why it matters — This earnings beat signals that RLI's core underwriting and investment operations are performing well, which could support investor confidence in the insurer's financial health.

RLI Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 24 July 2026positive

RLI reported Q2 results featuring profitable underwriting and higher investment income, while management stressed disciplined growth, capital returns, and selectivity in competitive specialty insurance markets.

Why it matters — The quarter shows RLI is maintaining underwriting discipline and improving investment income in a tough market environment.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RLI stock

What is the RLI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering RLI Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $58, with estimates ranging from $53 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RLI stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering RLI Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks RLI Corp. 59 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RLI?

As at 13 Aug 2026, RLI Corp. ranks 59 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (88 of 100).

Will RLI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies -9.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks RLI Corp. 59 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RLI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering RLI Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $53 to $74 over the next 12 months.

How has RLI stock performed over the past year?

RLI Corp. returned +2.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does RLI Corp. do?

RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance company that delivers a wide range of property and casualty insurance products.

What is the latest news on RLI?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 13 Aug 2026): "RLI Declares Regular Dividend". RLI announced a Q3 regular cash dividend of $0.18 per share, payable on September 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of August 31, 2026.

Company

About RLI Corp.

RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance company that delivers a wide range of property and casualty insurance products. Focused primarily on writing diverse and tailored coverage options, RLI Corp. serves various niche markets, offering lines such as general liability, professional liability, and commercial property insurance. The company's unique approach caters to industries that require specialized coverage options not typically provided by traditional insurers, including specialty property, casualty programs, and surety bonds. Headquartered in Peoria, Illinois, RLI Corp. leverages its extensive expertise and innovative underwriting capabilities to provide solutions that help businesses manage complex risks. Its essential role in the financial market stems from its ability to mitigate risk, ensuring that businesses and professionals have the security to operate efficiently and confidently. With a robust financial strength and a commitment to long-term client relationships, RLI Corp. underlines its position as a dynamic force within the specialty insurance sector.

CEO Mr. Craig William Kliethermes CPCU, FCAS, MAAA · 1,193 employees · United States · https://www.rlicorp.com