RLIFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering RLI Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $56 — -19.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 65 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores RLI Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (90): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Value (27): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −19.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $69 → $74 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $51 → $53 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $57 → $51 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Underperform | $53 |
| 29 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $70 → $74 |
| 29 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Underweight | $57 |
| 29 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $55 → $62 |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $67 → $70 |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Hold | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
RLI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, RLI Corp. returned +23.2% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Cheaper than 26% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
RLI Corp. has a market value of $6.1B and an enterprise value of $6.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter shrank 6.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $438.7M, a 22.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.76.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $517.0M, after $7.0M of capital spending.
RLI Corp. spent $428.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 15.6×; forward P/E: 24.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.08%, paying out 16% of earnings.
RLI Corp. employs 1,193 people — $1.7M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own RLI Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research upgraded RLI Corp. to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), citing growing optimism about the company’s earnings prospects. The excerpt says this might drive the stock higher in the near term.
Why it matters — RLI watchers may note the upgrade as a signal of increased optimism about the company’s earnings prospects.
RLI reported an 86% combined ratio in the third quarter. Excess property premium fell 17% as competitors expanded market capacity.
Why it matters — The figures highlight RLI's quarterly underwriting results and a competitive shift affecting excess property premiums.
RLI Corp. held its third-quarter 2026 earnings call on October 20, with company executives and analysts participating. The excerpt provides the call details and opening, but no financial results or management commentary.
Why it matters — RLI watchers can note the call took place, though the excerpt contains no business updates or performance details.
RLI reported third-quarter operating earnings of $0.86 per share, up from $0.82 a year earlier. Underwriting profitability and higher investment income offset competitive conditions in several specialty insurance markets.
Why it matters — The results highlight how underwriting performance and investment income helped offset competitive pressures across some of RLI’s specialty markets.
The Zacks item says RLI Corp.’s headline results for the quarter ended September 2026 can be assessed alongside key metrics, Wall Street estimates, and year-ago actuals. The excerpt does not provide the results or comparisons.
Why it matters — Those comparisons would help RLI watchers evaluate quarterly performance, but the excerpt gives no metric-level details.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering RLI Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $56, with estimates ranging from $48 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering RLI Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks RLI Corp. 65 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, RLI Corp. ranks 65 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies -19.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks RLI Corp. 65 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering RLI Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $48 to $74 over the next 12 months.
RLI Corp. returned +23.2% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides property, casualty, and surety coverage through its subsidiaries.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 23 Oct 2026): "RLI Corp. (RLI) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?". Zacks Investment Research upgraded RLI Corp. to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), citing growing optimism about the company’s earnings prospects. The excerpt says this might drive the stock higher in the near term.
RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides property, casualty, and surety coverage through its subsidiaries. The company focuses on niche and hard-to-place risks, serving businesses and individuals with customized underwriting solutions across commercial liability, transportation, property, marine, and other specialty lines. Its surety business offers contract bonds, licenses, and related bonding products for commercial, industrial, and energy customers. RLI Corp. distributes its products through brokers, independent agents, and other insurance channels, with an emphasis on tailored coverage and in-house underwriting expertise. Headquartered in Peoria, Illinois, RLI Corp. plays a notable role in the U.S. specialty insurance market by supporting clients that need specialized risk management and bond solutions.
CEO Mr. Craig William Kliethermes CPCU, FCAS, MAAA · 1,193 employees · United States · https://www.rlicorp.com
