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RLIRLIFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

RLI Stock Forecast: RLI Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$56
−1.23% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering RLI Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $58 — +2.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 61 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
61 / 100
Median analyst target
$58
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$575.6M+15.2% y/y
Net income$168.0M
Free cash flow$142.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−7.1%
1M
−15.5%
YTD
−8.0%
1Y
−6.2%
From 52W high
−15.5%
From 52W low
+22.9%
$46
$66
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RLI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores RLI Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
61 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
88
Quality
85
Volatility
84
Revisions
77
Momentum
53
Issuance
44
Value
33
Size
22
Accruals
22

Growth (88): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (22): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RLI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RLIHigh $74Median $58Low $53

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
1 Buy5 Hold2 Sell
Low $53Median $58High $74

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 Aug 2026JefferiesDowngradeUnderperform$53
29 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$70 → $74
29 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
29 July 2026Wells FargoDowngradeUnderweight$57
29 July 2026Wells FargoDowngradeUnderweight—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$55 → $62
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$67 → $70
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
9 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
23 Jan 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Perform—
23 Jan 2026JefferiesUpgradeHold—
23 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
15 Jan 2026Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—
6 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
3 Oct 2025Truist SecuritiesInitiatesHold—
24 Apr 2025Compass PointDowngradeNeutral—
24 Apr 2025JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Perform—
9 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RLI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RLI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, RLI Corp. returned −6.2% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RLI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RLIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RLI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.2%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

RLI Corp. (RLI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.9×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.6×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.3×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.2%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
35.1%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
36.9%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
22.2%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
25.2%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.3%

Higher than 28% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

RLI Corp. (RLI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • RLI Corp. has a market value of $5.2B and an enterprise value of $5.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter grew 15.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $438.7M, a 22.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.76.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $517.0M, after $7.0M of capital spending.

  • RLI Corp. spent $428.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 91.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.9×; forward P/E: 21.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.26%, paying out 14% of earnings.

  • RLI Corp. employs 1,193 people — $1.7M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RLI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RLIRLI Corp.$5.2B
61
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.$5.2B
61
MCYMercury General Corp.$5.4B
75
WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group Ltd.$4.8B
72
HGTYHagerty, Inc.$4.7B
35
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.$7.6B
87
KNSLKinsale Capital Group, Inc.$7.7B
49

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own RLI Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RLI news & analysis

RLI Rises 6.2% in 3 Months: Time to Hold or Fold the Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 23 Sept 2026positive

RLI's stock has risen 6.2% over the past three months. The company's disciplined underwriting, rising investment income, and strong capital returns are cited as supporting profitability as property and casualty market pricing moderates.

Why it matters — RLI watchers would care because the item highlights the financial drivers underpinning the insurer's recent stock gains amid a moderating P&C pricing environment.

3 P&C Insurers Stand to Gain From Higher Fixed-Income Yields

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Sept 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research report notes that the Federal Reserve's rate hike to 3.75-4% can boost investment income for property and casualty insurers including TRV, SIGI, and RLI, as their maturing bonds are reinvested at higher yields.

Why it matters — RLI is named among the insurers that could see improved investment income from higher fixed-income yields as its bonds mature and are reinvested.

The Dividend Kings Ranked By Quality Scores (September 2026)

Seeking Alpha · 18 Sept 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article ranks the Dividend Kings — companies with 50+ years of consecutive dividend increases — using the author's 9F Quality Scores, which blend qualitative and quantitative factors. The piece highlights ADP as the best total-return candidate among them, citing its high quality, undervaluation, and projected dividend growth.

Why it matters — RLI watchers would care because this ranking assesses dividend-growth companies like RLI within the broader Dividend Kings context, offering a comparative quality assessment of peers in the same category.

4 Financial Stocks That Kept Raising Dividends Through 2 Historic Crashes

24/7 Wall Street · 31 Aug 2026positive

A 24/7 Wall Street article highlights financial stocks that continued raising their dividends through both the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 market shock, despite the sector's typical vulnerability during periods of panic.

Why it matters — A watcher of RLI would care because dividend resilience through historic crashes signals financial strength and reliability in the sector being highlighted.

RLI's NII Growth Remains Sustainable Despite Potential Rate Declines

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026positive

RLI's net investment income growth is described as sustainable, supported by higher reinvestment yields, portfolio growth, and strong operating cash flow, even amid potential interest rate declines.

Why it matters — RLI watchers would care because the article indicates the company's investment income engine can remain resilient even if rates fall.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RLI stock

What is the RLI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering RLI Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $58, with estimates ranging from $53 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RLI stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering RLI Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks RLI Corp. 61 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RLI?

As at 23 Sept 2026, RLI Corp. ranks 61 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (88 of 100).

Will RLI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +2.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks RLI Corp. 61 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RLI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering RLI Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $53 to $74 over the next 12 months.

How has RLI stock performed over the past year?

RLI Corp. returned -6.2% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does RLI Corp. do?

RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides property, casualty, and surety coverage through its subsidiaries.

What is the latest news on RLI?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 23 Sept 2026): "RLI Rises 6.2% in 3 Months: Time to Hold or Fold the Stock?". RLI's stock has risen 6.2% over the past three months. The company's disciplined underwriting, rising investment income, and strong capital returns are cited as supporting profitability as property and casualty market pricing moderates.

Company

About RLI Corp.

RLI Corp. is a specialty insurance holding company that provides property, casualty, and surety coverage through its subsidiaries. The company focuses on niche and hard-to-place risks, serving businesses and individuals with customized underwriting solutions across commercial liability, transportation, property, marine, and other specialty lines. Its surety business offers contract bonds, licenses, and related bonding products for commercial, industrial, and energy customers. RLI Corp. distributes its products through brokers, independent agents, and other insurance channels, with an emphasis on tailored coverage and in-house underwriting expertise. Headquartered in Peoria, Illinois, RLI Corp. plays a notable role in the U.S. specialty insurance market by supporting clients that need specialized risk management and bond solutions.

CEO Mr. Craig William Kliethermes CPCU, FCAS, MAAA · 1,193 employees · United States · https://www.rlicorp.com