MCYMCYFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

MCY Stock Forecast: Mercury General Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$105
+0.44% on the day

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Mercury General Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $120 — +13.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 75 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
75 / 100
Median analyst target
$120
Analysts covering
1
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.8%
1M
−2.2%
YTD
+12.8%
1Y
+42.3%
From 52W high
−5.2%
From 52W low
+46.1%
$72
$111
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MCY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mercury General Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
75 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
98
Momentum
94
Growth
94
Value
67
Revisions
63
Issuance
45
Volatility
41
Size
22
Accruals
15

Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (15): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MCY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MCY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$70$80$90$100$110$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MCYHigh $120Median $120Low $120

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says1 analysts
1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $120Median $120High $120

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
22 Sept 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesStrong Buy$90$100
4 Aug 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesStrong Buy
12 Feb 2025Raymond JamesUpgradeStrong Buy
7 July 2023Raymond JamesDowngradeOutperform
8 May 2023Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy
4 Nov 2022Raymond JamesUpgradeStrong Buy
3 Apr 2020Raymond JamesDowngradeUnderperform
29 Oct 2019Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeMarket Perform
19 Feb 2016Raymond JamesUpgradeMarket Perform
11 Feb 2015Keefe Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeUnderperform
11 Feb 2015Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsDowngradeUnderperform
4 Nov 2014Keefe Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
4 Nov 2014Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform
3 Nov 2014Compass PointMaintainsNeutral
26 Sept 2014Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeMarket Perform
28 Aug 2014Compass PointInitiatesNeutral
7 Mar 2013MacquarieDowngradeNeutral
17 Jan 2013MacquarieUpgradeOutperform
9 Jan 2013StifelUpgradeHold
9 Jan 2013Stifel NicolausUpgradeHold

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MCY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MCY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+30.6%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Mercury General Corp. (MCY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.2×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.9×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Price / book
2.1×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
3.7×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.8%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
58.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
19.9%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
14.8%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
39.0%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.6%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.2%

Higher than 29% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MCY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MCYMercury General Corp.$5.8B
75
RLIRLI Corp.$5.9B
59
SIGISelective Insurance Group, Inc.$5.7B
58
WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group Ltd.$5.1B
78
HGTYHagerty, Inc.$4.4B
29
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.$7.8B
88
LMNDLemonade, Inc.$4.1B
22

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mercury General Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MCY news & analysis

MCY Outperforms Industry in a Year: Time to Add it for Better Returns?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

Mercury General has outperformed its industry over the past year, supported by premium growth, strong property and casualty performance, and rising investment income.

Why it matters — MCY watchers would care because the company's operational strengths in premium growth and investment income are driving its market outperformance.

Back to School Means Back to Traffic: Mercury Insurance Urges Drivers to Reset Their Commute

PRNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Mercury Insurance issued a public-safety message urging drivers to adjust their commuting habits as students return to school. The announcement cites NHTSA data showing 1,069 fatalities in school-transportation-related crashes from 2015 through 2024.

Why it matters — The announcement reflects Mercury's broader public-engagement and safety-awareness positioning relevant to the auto insurer's consumer-facing brand.

Mercury Gives Oklahoma Homeowners More Ways to Save and Strengthen Their Homes Against Hail and Wildfire

PRNewsWire · 11 Aug 2026positive

Mercury Insurance launched a new enhanced homeowners insurance product for Oklahoma homeowners offering hail-resistant roofing savings averaging $420, an option to upgrade to a stronger roof after a covered loss, and new wildfire mitigation discounts.

Why it matters — This new Oklahoma homeowners product expands Mercury's offerings in a hail- and wildfire-prone market and may help it remain competitive with added coverage options and cost savings.

Should Value Investors Buy Mercury General (MCY) Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article discussing whether value investors should consider buying Mercury General (MCY) stock, framed around its Zacks Rank system, which focuses on earnings estimates and estimate revisions while also monitoring value, growth, and momentum trends.

Why it matters — A Mercury General watcher would care because the piece evaluates MCY through Zacks' earnings-estimate and revision methodology, which values MCY as a stock of interest to value investors.

3 Stocks to Watch After Crushing Q2 Earnings Expectations: CAT, MCY & ZBRA

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026positive

Mercury General, along with Caterpillar and Zebra Technologies, posted impressive second-quarter results that exceeded expectations, drawing attention as a stock worth watching for quality additions to investor portfolios.

Why it matters — MCY watchers would care because the article highlights Mercury General's strong second-quarter earnings that beat expectations, marking it as a company worth a closer look.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MCY stock

What is the MCY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering Mercury General Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $120, with estimates ranging from $120 to $120. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MCY stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering Mercury General Corp., 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mercury General Corp. 75 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MCY?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Mercury General Corp. ranks 75 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).

Will MCY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 1 analysts implies +13.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mercury General Corp. 75 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MCY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Mercury General Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MCY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $120 to $120 over the next 12 months.

How has MCY stock performed over the past year?

Mercury General Corp. returned +42.3% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Mercury General Corp. do?

Mercury General Corporation is a prominent insurance holding company that provides a broad range of personal automobile insurance products across the United States. Established in 1961 and headquartered in Los Angeles, California, Mercury General plays a significant role in the insurance sector by offering policies primarily for private passenger vehicles.

What is the latest news on MCY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "MCY Outperforms Industry in a Year: Time to Add it for Better Returns?". Mercury General has outperformed its industry over the past year, supported by premium growth, strong property and casualty performance, and rising investment income.

Company

About Mercury General Corp.

Mercury General Corporation is a prominent insurance holding company that provides a broad range of personal automobile insurance products across the United States. Established in 1961 and headquartered in Los Angeles, California, Mercury General plays a significant role in the insurance sector by offering policies primarily for private passenger vehicles. Beyond basic auto coverage, the company also extends its services to include homeowners, renters, and mechanical breakdown insurance, catering to diverse customer needs. With a focus on customer service and competitive pricing, Mercury General operates through a network of independent agents, facilitating personalized interactions and localized service with policyholders. The company’s strategic emphasis on underwriting discipline and cost management ensures its sustainability and profitability in the highly competitive insurance market. As one of the largest insurers in California, Mercury General holds a strong market position, reflecting its robust financial operations and extensive industry expertise. Its commitment to financial responsibility and adaptability to regulatory changes underscores its significance in the U.S. insurance landscape. Mercury General continues to influence insurance market dynamics through innovation and efficient service delivery.

CEO Mr. Gabriel Tirador · 4,380 employees · United States · https://www.mercuryinsurance.com