THGFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $238 — -5.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 93 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (96): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Value (47): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on THG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $230 → $235 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $235 → $245 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $240 → $250 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $240 → $230 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $222 → $232 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $235 → $240 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $220 → $222 |
| 30 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $215 → $235 |
| 29 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $225 → $240 |
| 29 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | $220 |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $195 → $215 |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 10 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $205 → $225 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
THG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. returned +45.6% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Cheaper than 63% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. has a market value of $8.5B and an enterprise value of $8.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.7B. The latest quarter grew 4.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $755.6M, a 11.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $20.95.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B, after $10.6M of capital spending.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. spent $232.5M on share buybacks and $132.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 11.9×; forward P/E: 12.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.53%, paying out 18% of earnings.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. employs 4,900 people — $1.4M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A Zacks Investment Research headline reports that Hanover Insurance Group (THG) is up 1.83% over one week and poses whether the company could be a top stock pick for momentum investors.
Why it matters — THG watchers may note the reported one-week gain and the article’s focus on momentum investing.
The Hanover Insurance Group reported third-quarter operating earnings per share of $5.15, its best third-quarter operating EPS result. It said underwriting performance improved across Personal Lines, Core Commercial and Specialty.
Why it matters — THG watchers may note the reported record third-quarter operating EPS alongside improvement across the company’s three named business areas.
The Hanover Insurance Group held its third-quarter 2026 earnings call on October 29, 2026. The excerpt lists company participants and analysts from several research firms, but provides no discussion of results or outlook.
Why it matters — THG watchers can note the earnings-call date and participants, though this excerpt contains no financial details.
A Zacks Investment Research article titled “Here's Why Hanover Insurance Group (THG) is a Strong Momentum Stock” discusses Zacks Style Scores as a way for investors to identify stocks rated highly for their investing style.
Why it matters — THG watchers may be interested in the article’s characterization of the company as a strong momentum stock and its reference to Zacks’ rating approach.
Zacks says Hanover Insurance’s Q3 2026 top- and bottom-line results provide one view of quarterly performance, and highlights comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
Why it matters — Those comparisons add context for THG watchers assessing the quarter beyond its headline revenue and earnings figures.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $238, with estimates ranging from $223 to $260. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. 93 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ranks 93 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies -5.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. 93 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for THG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $223 to $260 over the next 12 months.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. returned +45.6% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company that provides coverage and related services for individuals, families, and businesses.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 2 Nov 2026): "Hanover Insurance Group (THG) Is Up 1.83% in One Week: What You Should Know". A Zacks Investment Research headline reports that Hanover Insurance Group (THG) is up 1.83% over one week and poses whether the company could be a top stock pick for momentum investors.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company that provides coverage and related services for individuals, families, and businesses. The Hanover offers a broad portfolio that includes personal automobile, homeowners, umbrella, and other personal lines, along with commercial insurance products such as commercial property, commercial automobile, workers’ compensation, and general liability. It also serves specialty markets through products for professional and executive lines, marine, surety, excess and surplus business, and other niche commercial risks. The company distributes its products primarily through independent agents and brokers across the United States, supporting customers with underwriting, claims handling, and risk management services. Based in Worcester, Massachusetts, The Hanover Insurance Group plays a significant role in the U.S. insurance market through its diversified product mix and focus on both standard and specialized coverage.
CEO Mr. John Conner Roche · 4,900 employees · United States · https://www.hanover.com
