THGFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & CasualtyThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $233 — +2.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 87 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (94): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (24): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on THG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $240 → $230 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $222 → $232 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $235 → $240 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $220 → $222 |
| 30 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $215 → $235 |
| 29 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $225 → $240 |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | $220 |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $195 → $215 |
| 13 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 10 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 10 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $205 → $225 |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Market Perform | $211 → $220 |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $220 → $225 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. THG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. returned +29.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. has a market value of $7.7B and an enterprise value of $8.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.7B. The latest quarter grew 4.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $755.6M, a 11.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $20.95.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B, after $10.6M of capital spending.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. spent $232.5M on share buybacks and $132.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.6×; forward P/E: 11.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.71%, paying out 18% of earnings.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. employs 4,900 people — $1.4M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research says Hanover Insurance (THG) is well positioned to outperform the market, citing above-average growth in its financials.
Why it matters — THG watchers may note the article’s positive assessment of the company’s financial growth.
A Zacks Investment Research headline describes Hanover Insurance Group (THG) as a top growth stock for the long term. The excerpt says Zacks Style Scores help investors find top-rated stocks based on investing style.
Why it matters — THG watchers may note the item presents Zacks’ stock-rating framework and a favorable growth characterization of the company.
The Heartland Value Plus Fund fell 8.26% in the third quarter, compared with a 4.91% loss for the Russell 2000 Value Index. The fund reported positive selection effects in Financials, alongside Real Estate and Materials, and negative selection effects in several other sectors.
Why it matters — The fund’s positive selection effect in Financials may be relevant to THG watchers, though the excerpt does not identify THG or specify its contribution.
Zacks Investment Research says it focuses on its Zacks Rank system, which uses earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also monitoring value, growth, and momentum trends. The headline raises whether Hanover Insurance Group stock is undervalued, but the excerpt provides no specific valuation conclusion about THG.
Why it matters — THG watchers may note the article's valuation framing, though the excerpt does not state whether the stock is undervalued.
Zacks reports that The Hanover Insurance Group (THG) is outperforming its industry and trading at a premium, supported by its pricing discipline, Specialty margins, and higher investment income, with AI boosting underwriting efficiency. The article frames a question of whether to buy or exit given the premium valuation.
Why it matters — THG watchers would care because the piece highlights the company's earnings drivers and competitive positioning, while also flagging its premium valuation as a consideration for investors.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $233, with estimates ranging from $223 to $260. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. 87 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ranks 87 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +2.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. 87 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for THG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $223 to $260 over the next 12 months.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. returned +29.8% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company that provides coverage and related services for individuals, families, and businesses.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Oct 2026): "Hanover Insurance (THG) is an Incredible Growth Stock: 3 Reasons Why". Zacks Investment Research says Hanover Insurance (THG) is well positioned to outperform the market, citing above-average growth in its financials.
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. is a property and casualty insurance holding company that provides coverage and related services for individuals, families, and businesses. The Hanover offers a broad portfolio that includes personal automobile, homeowners, umbrella, and other personal lines, along with commercial insurance products such as commercial property, commercial automobile, workers’ compensation, and general liability. It also serves specialty markets through products for professional and executive lines, marine, surety, excess and surplus business, and other niche commercial risks. The company distributes its products primarily through independent agents and brokers across the United States, supporting customers with underwriting, claims handling, and risk management services. Based in Worcester, Massachusetts, The Hanover Insurance Group plays a significant role in the U.S. insurance market through its diversified product mix and focus on both standard and specialized coverage.
CEO Mr. John Conner Roche · 4,900 employees · United States · https://www.hanover.com
