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ECX Stock Forecast: ECARX Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Oct 2026
$0.87
+3.11% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering ECARX Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $2.85 — +226.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 14 of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$342.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
14 / 100
Median analyst target
$2.85
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$225.2M+45.3% y/y
Operating income−$6.2M
Net income−$12.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.7%
1M
−18.5%
YTD
−49.3%
1Y
−57.2%
From 52W high
−67.0%
From 52W low
+5.1%
$0.83
$2.64
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ECX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ECARX Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Oct 2026
14 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
91
Size
60
Revisions
39
Quality
32
Value
28
Momentum
12
Issuance
11
Accruals
10
Volatility
10

Growth (91): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Volatility (10): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ECX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ECX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1.00$2.00$3.00$4.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ECXHigh $4.11Median $2.85Low $2.40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $2.40Median $2.85High $4.11

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +226.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Feb 2025UBSInitiatesBuy$3.20
11 Feb 2025UBSInitiatesBuy—
20 June 2023Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—
22 May 2023Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatesOverweight—
12 Dec 2022CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
12 Dec 2022Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
5 Dec 2022BTIGMaintainsBuy—
4 Nov 2022CitigroupUpgradeBuy—
4 Nov 2022NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
4 Nov 2022Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
12 Oct 2022JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
5 Oct 2022CitigroupDowngradeNeutral—
19 Sept 2022BTIGMaintainsBuy—
13 Sept 2022Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
9 Sept 2022NeedhamUpgradeBuy—
5 Aug 2022Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
21 July 2022Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy—
18 July 2022BTIGMaintainsBuy—
18 July 2022RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
17 May 2022CitigroupMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ECX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ECX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 12 Oct 2026, ECARX Holdings, Inc. returned −57.2% against +20.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ECX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ECXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ECX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−106.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

ECARX Holdings, Inc. (ECX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−2.2×

Cheaper than 86% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 85% of US stocks

Price / book
−1.3×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
62.3×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
47.5%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
45.3%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Gross margin
19.8%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Operating margin
−2.8%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
−2.3%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
23.3%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.4%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

ECARX Holdings, Inc. (ECX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • ECARX Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $342.7M and an enterprise value of $836.3M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $881.3M. The latest quarter grew 47.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$19.3M, a −2.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.08.

  • Shares outstanding: 393.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: −2.2×; forward P/E: 11.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • ECARX Holdings, Inc. employs 1,400 people — $629K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ECX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ECXECARX Holdings, Inc.$342.7M
14
HLLYHolley, Inc.$296.1M
97
SESSES AI Corp.$293.3M
43
CPSCooper-Standard Holdings, Inc.$364.7M
44
STRTStrattec Security Corp.$265.2M
94
MNROMonro, Inc.$413.1M
43
MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.$211.6M
42

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ECARX Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ECX news & analysis

ECARX Completes Acquisition of Flyme Software Business, Securing End-to-End Operating System Capabilities

PRNewsWire · 5 Oct 2026positive

ECARX completed its acquisition of the entire Flyme software business portfolio, announced on June 22, 2026, acquiring 100% of the equity in Hubei Qiguang Technology Co., Ltd. The deal brings Flyme Auto and Flyme OS fully in-house, with Flyme operating as an independent software division to preserve R&D continuity.

Why it matters — Completing this acquisition secures ECARX's end-to-end operating system capabilities and aligns its hardware and software roadmaps across the full technology stack, which is central to its automotive intelligence strategy.

All You Need to Know About ECARX Holdings, Inc. (ECX) Rating Upgrade to Buy

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research upgraded ECARX Holdings, Inc. (ECX) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects. The upgrade suggests the stock might move higher on rising confidence in the company's financial outlook.

Why it matters — The rating upgrade signals increased analyst confidence in ECX's earnings potential, which ECX watchers would view as a notable positive shift in sentiment toward the company.

ECARX Surpasses 12 Million Vehicles Globally, Marking New Milestone in Automotive Intelligence

PRNewsWire · 17 Sept 2026positive

ECARX announced that its technologies have been deployed in more than 12 million vehicles worldwide, spanning 18 OEMs, 28 brands and 159 markets. The announcement marks a new milestone in automotive intelligence for the company.

Why it matters — A ECX watcher would care because surpassing 12 million vehicles globally signals broad adoption of ECARX technologies across many manufacturers and markets.

ECARX to Present at the Sidoti Small-Cap Investor Conference on September 24, 2026

PRNewsWire · 10 Sept 2026neutral

ECARX Holdings Inc. announced that its Chief Operating Officer, Peter Cirino, is scheduled to present at the Sidoti Small-Cap Investor Conference, which is being hosted virtually from September 23-24, 2026. The presentation is set for September 24, 2026.

Why it matters — The presentation gives ECARX an opportunity to communicate its business to investors at a small-cap investor conference, which may increase visibility among the investment community.

Flyme AIOS to Deploy WorkBuddy AI Tools Across All Flyme Platforms

PRNewsWire · 2 Sept 2026positive

ECARX announced that Tencent Cloud's WorkBuddy, an AI-powered smart work assistant, will be integrated with Flyme AIOS through the joint development of WorkBuddy AI tools across the Flyme ecosystem. The announcement follows ECARX's definitive agreement to acquire Flyme AIOS.

Why it matters — This signals expanded AI capabilities and a strategic partnership with Tencent Cloud for the Flyme AIOS platform ECARX is acquiring.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ECX stock

What is the ECX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering ECARX Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $2.85, with estimates ranging from $2.4 to $4.11. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ECX stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering ECARX Holdings, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ECARX Holdings, Inc. 14 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ECX?

As at 12 Oct 2026, ECARX Holdings, Inc. ranks 14 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (91 of 100).

Will ECX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +226.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ECARX Holdings, Inc. 14 out of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ECX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering ECARX Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ECX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $2.4 to $4.11 over the next 12 months.

How has ECX stock performed over the past year?

ECARX Holdings, Inc. returned -57.2% over the 12 months to 12 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does ECARX Holdings, Inc. do?

ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares represents ownership in ECARX Holdings, a global automotive technology company focused on smart vehicle systems.

What is the latest news on ECX?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 5 Oct 2026): "ECARX Completes Acquisition of Flyme Software Business, Securing End-to-End Operating System Capabilities". ECARX completed its acquisition of the entire Flyme software business portfolio, announced on June 22, 2026, acquiring 100% of the equity in Hubei Qiguang Technology Co., Ltd. The deal brings Flyme Auto and Flyme OS fully in-house, with Flyme operating as an independent software division to preserve R&D continuity.

Company

About ECARX Holdings, Inc.

ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares represents ownership in ECARX Holdings, a global automotive technology company focused on smart vehicle systems. ECARX develops and supplies automotive computing platforms, system-on-chip modules, intelligent cockpit solutions, digital instrument clusters, infotainment head units, and software stacks for connected and increasingly software-defined vehicles. The company also provides central computing platforms, vehicle chip-set solutions, operating systems, cloud connectivity, and related research, development, and technical services. Its products and services are used by automakers and mobility partners seeking integrated hardware and software for in-vehicle computing, connectivity, and driver experience. ECARX Holdings serves the automotive and mobility technology market across China and international markets, positioning itself within the broader shift toward intelligent, connected vehicle architecture.

CEO Mr. Ziyu Shen · 1,400 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.ecarxgroup.com