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MPAA Stock Forecast: Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$11
+0.66% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +69.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$201.6M
Ticker Nerd rank
62 / 100
Median analyst target
$18
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$168.0M−10.8% y/y
Operating income$1.9M
Net income−$13.4M
Free cash flow−$16.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.6%
1M
−9.4%
YTD
−13.8%
1Y
−35.5%
From 52W high
−40.0%
From 52W low
+11.8%
$10
$18
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MPAA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Sept 2026
62 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
93
Volatility
69
Size
68
Revisions
65
Quality
63
Issuance
58
Momentum
39
Accruals
38
Growth
17

Value (93): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Growth (17): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MPAA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MPAA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MPAAHigh $20Median $18Low $16

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $16Median $18High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +69.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Mar 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform$18
16 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy—
12 Dec 2025Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy—
12 Dec 2025Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesBuy$20
13 Feb 2023Roth MKMMaintainsBuy—
16 June 2021Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
11 Aug 2020Craig-HallumDowngradeHold—
17 Mar 2020B. Riley FBRMaintainsBuy—
17 Mar 2020B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Feb 2020B. Riley FBRMaintainsBuy—
11 Feb 2020B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2018B. Riley FBRUpgradeBuy—
10 Nov 2016B. Riley FBRUpgradeBuy—
10 Nov 2016B. Riley SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
10 Aug 2016B. Riley FBRDowngradeNeutral—
10 Aug 2016B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
14 Mar 2016CL KingInitiatesBuy—
11 Aug 2015B. Riley FBRMaintainsBuy—
11 Aug 2015B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
23 Sept 2013Craig-HallumInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MPAA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MPAA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. returned −35.5% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MPAA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MPAAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MPAA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+9.2%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (MPAA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.7×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Price / book
0.8×

Cheaper than 78% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.6×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−10.8%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.8%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.2%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.8%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Net margin
−0.5%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−1.6%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.3%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (MPAA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. has a market value of $201.6M and an enterprise value of $413.1M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $769.5M. The latest quarter shrank 10.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$4.1M, a −0.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.31.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$10.2M.

  • Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. spent $11.3M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 18.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.7×; forward P/E: 6.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. employs 5,600 people — $137K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 17 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MPAA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MPAAMotorcar Parts of America, Inc.$201.6M
62
SRIStoneridge, Inc.$201.4M
57
SESSES AI Corp.$195.0M
43
MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.$246.1M
42
MKDWMKDWELL Tech Inc.$250.7M
6
CAASChina Automotive Systems, Inc.$152.4M
68
STRTSTRATTEC Security Corp.$286.7M
94

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MPAA news & analysis

Motorcar Parts Of America Is A Better Play Than Most Auto-Oriented Firms

Seeking Alpha · 26 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reiterates a "Buy" rating on Motorcar Parts of America despite recent revenue and profit declines, citing attractive valuation multiples. The firm projects FY2027 annualized revenue near $900 million, supported by acquisitions and aftermarket growth, while noting MPAA's non-discretionary products and rising vehicle age bolster aftermarket demand.

Why it matters — The article highlights resilient aftermarket demand for MPAA's non-discretionary products and management's revenue outlook through FY2027, which MPAA watchers would find relevant for assessing the company's longer-term prospects despite near-term operational disruptions.

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (MPAA) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (MPAA) released a transcript of prepared remarks from its Q1 2027 earnings call. The transcript covers management's commentary on the company's financial results and performance for the quarter.

Why it matters — The prepared remarks provide MPAA stakeholders with management's perspective on the company's quarterly financial performance and operational highlights.

Motorcar Parts of America Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Motorcar Parts of America reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 outlook after reporting first-quarter sales affected by the timing of customer orders. Management emphasized new business commitments, brake-category expansion, and operating-efficiency efforts as growth drivers for the remainder of the year.

Why it matters — A watcher would care because the company's reaffirmed long-term outlook, despite a sales dip from order timing, signals confidence in its strategic initiatives to drive future performance.

Motorcar Parts of America Reports Fiscal 2027 First Quarter Results

Business Wire · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Motorcar Parts of America reported financial results for its fiscal 2027 first quarter ended June 30, noting the timing of orders. The company reaffirmed fiscal 2027 net sales guidance of $780 million to $800 million and operating income guidance of $86 million to $91 million, stating it remains on target to meet full-year expectations.

Why it matters — The reaffirmed full-year guidance signals management's confidence that the quarter's results reflect order timing rather than a broader downturn.

Motorcar Parts of America Extends Credit Facility With PNC Bank

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026positive

Motorcar Parts of America extended the maturity date of its $238.62 million revolving credit facility with PNC Bank to August 2031, with enhancements aimed at improving working capital flexibility and liquidity.

Why it matters — The extension and improved terms signal the company's solid financial position and provide MPAA with greater long-term financial flexibility to support its operations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MPAA stock

What is the MPAA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $16 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MPAA stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Motorcar Parts of America, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MPAA?

As at 17 Sept 2026, Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (93 of 100).

Will MPAA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +69.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. 62 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MPAA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MPAA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $16 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has MPAA stock performed over the past year?

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. returned -35.5% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. do?

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. is a North American automotive parts company that manufactures, remanufactures, and distributes replacement components for the aftermarket.

What is the latest news on MPAA?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 26 Aug 2026): "Motorcar Parts Of America Is A Better Play Than Most Auto-Oriented Firms". Seeking Alpha reiterates a "Buy" rating on Motorcar Parts of America despite recent revenue and profit declines, citing attractive valuation multiples. The firm projects FY2027 annualized revenue near $900 million, supported by acquisitions and aftermarket growth, while noting MPAA's non-discretionary products and rising vehicle age bolster aftermarket demand.

Company

About Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. is a North American automotive parts company that manufactures, remanufactures, and distributes replacement components for the aftermarket. Its product portfolio includes light-duty rotating electrical products such as alternators and starters, wheel hub assemblies and bearings, brake-related parts, and turbochargers, along with test solutions and diagnostic equipment. The company serves automotive retail chains, warehouse distributors, and original equipment manufacturers through aftermarket and warranty replacement programs. Motorcar Parts of America also supports heavy-duty applications across truck, industrial, marine, and agricultural markets. Its business is organized into Hard Parts, Test Solutions and Diagnostic Equipment, and Heavy Duty segments, positioning it as a diversified supplier within the vehicle repair and maintenance ecosystem. Headquartered in Torrance, California, Motorcar Parts of America focuses on essential replacement products that support ongoing vehicle operation and servicing.

CEO Mr. Selwyn H. Joffe CPA · 5,600 employees · United States · https://www.motorcarparts.com