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EPMEPMEnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

EPM Stock Forecast: Evolution Petroleum Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$3.72
−3.12% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Evolution Petroleum Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $4.75 — +27.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 26 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$133.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
26 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.75
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$20.2M−10.6% y/y
Operating income−$558K
Net income−$8.9M
Free cash flow−$2.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.5%
1M
−1.3%
YTD
+10.9%
1Y
−21.1%
From 52W high
−24.9%
From 52W low
+21.9%
$3.05
$4.95
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

EPM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Evolution Petroleum Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
26 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
71
Accruals
70
Revisions
48
Value
38
Quality
36
Volatility
34
Growth
25
Momentum
25
Issuance
18

Size (71): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Issuance (18): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

EPM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on EPM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26EPMHigh $6.00Median $4.75Low $4.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
3 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $4.00Median $4.75High $6.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
28 Aug 2026Northland Capital MarketsUpgradeOutperform—
20 May 2026Freedom BrokerDowngradeHold—
24 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy—
23 Dec 2025Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy—
23 Dec 2025Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesBuy—
20 May 2025Northland Capital MarketsMaintainsMarket Perform—
23 Apr 2025Northland Capital MarketsDowngradeMarket Perform—
6 Feb 2025Northland Capital MarketsMaintainsOutperform—
4 Apr 2024Roth MKMMaintainsBuy—
18 Sept 2023Roth MKMReiteratesBuy—
10 Nov 2022Roth CapitalUpgradeBuy—
12 July 2022Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform—
6 July 2022Roth CapitalDowngradeNeutral—
5 Oct 2021Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
22 Apr 2021Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
4 Sept 2020Roth CapitalUpgradeBuy—
11 Feb 2019Roth CapitalUpgradeBuy—
15 Aug 2018Johnson RiceDowngradeHold—
23 July 2018Roth CapitalDowngradeNeutral—
21 Mar 2018Johnson RiceInitiatesAccumulate—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. EPM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

EPM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Evolution Petroleum Corp. returned −21.1% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

EPM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26EPMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

EPM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Evolution Petroleum Corp. (EPM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
59.9×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.6×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.2×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−10.6%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.6%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Gross margin
9.5%

Higher than 9% of US stocks

Operating margin
−51.7%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Net margin
−4.4%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−5.6%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.2%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
12.9%

Higher than 92% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Evolution Petroleum Corp. (EPM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Evolution Petroleum Corp. has a market value of $133.7M and an enterprise value of $184.6M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $83.2M. The latest quarter shrank 10.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$3.6M, a −4.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.11.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: −$13.4M, after $10.6M of capital spending.

  • Evolution Petroleum Corp. spent $405K on share buybacks and $16.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 35.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 59.9×; forward P/E: 74.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 12.94%, paying out 600% of earnings.

  • Evolution Petroleum Corp. employs 11 people — $7.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

EPM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
EPMEvolution Petroleum Corp.$133.7M
26
EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.$189.5M
34
PEDPEDEVCO Corp.$197.4M
55
AMPYAmplify Energy Corp.$199.5M
51
EPEmpire Petroleum Corp.$99.5M
18
ANNAAleAnna, Inc.$233.3M
51
BSINBig Sky Industrial, Inc.$83.3M
19

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Evolution Petroleum Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest EPM news & analysis

Evolution Petroleum Declares $0.12 per Share Cash Dividend for Fiscal Q1 2027

GlobeNewsWire · 10 Sept 2026positive

Evolution Petroleum's Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.12 per share of common stock for fiscal Q1 2027, payable on September 30, 2026, to stockholders of record as of September 21, 2026. This marks the company's 52nd consecutive quarterly cash dividend since December 31, 2013.

Why it matters — The declaration continues Evolution Petroleum's long-running streak of quarterly cash dividends, indicating ongoing consistency in returning capital to shareholders.

Evolution Petroleum Schedules Fiscal Q4 and Full Year 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call

GlobeNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Evolution Petroleum announced it will release its fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2026 financial and operating results on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, after market close. The company will hold a conference call on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, featuring President and CEO Kelly Loyd, CFO Ryan Stash, and COO Mark Bunch.

Why it matters — EPM watchers would care because the scheduled earnings release and conference call provide the date and details for the company's fiscal year-end results and management commentary on its performance.

Earnings Preview: Evolution Petroleum (EPM) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026negative

Zacks published an earnings preview ahead of Evolution Petroleum's (EPM) fourth-quarter report, noting that the company does not possess the right combination of key factors for a likely earnings beat. The piece frames the upcoming earnings as expected to decline and offers key expectations for investors.

Why it matters — EPM watchers would care because the preview signals caution over whether the company can beat expectations when its next quarterly results are reported.

Evolution Petroleum Closes Strategic Acquisition of Midland Basin Mineral & Royalty Interests

GlobeNewsWire · 20 Aug 2026positive

Evolution Petroleum has closed its previously announced acquisition of mineral and royalty interests in the core Midland Basin of the Permian Basin for a total purchase price of $16 million, with an effective date of August 1, 2026. The company states the acquisition is immediately accretive to cash flow per share and expects production from the acquisition to more than double by the end of fiscal 2029.

Why it matters — EPM watchers would care because the completed acquisition expands the company's mineral and royalty footprint in a core Permian Basin region and is expected to contribute production growth over the coming years.

Evolution Petroleum Announces Pricing of Public Offering of Common Stock

GlobeNewsWire · 19 Aug 2026neutral

Evolution Petroleum Corp. announced the pricing on August 18, 2026, of its underwritten public offering of 3,700,000 shares of common stock at $3.25 per share, for expected gross proceeds of about $12.025 million before deductions. The company also granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 555,000 shares at the same price.

Why it matters — EPM watchers would follow this offering because the new share issuance and potential additional option shares affect the company's capital position and outstanding share count.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about EPM stock

What is the EPM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Evolution Petroleum Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $4.75, with estimates ranging from $4 to $6. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is EPM stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Evolution Petroleum Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Evolution Petroleum Corp. 26 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank EPM?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Evolution Petroleum Corp. ranks 26 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (71 of 100).

Will EPM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +27.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Evolution Petroleum Corp. 26 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the EPM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Evolution Petroleum Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for EPM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4 to $6 over the next 12 months.

How has EPM stock performed over the past year?

Evolution Petroleum Corp. returned -21.1% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Evolution Petroleum Corp. do?

Evolution Petroleum Corporation, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and optimization of onshore producing properties in the United States.

What is the latest news on EPM?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 10 Sept 2026): "Evolution Petroleum Declares $0.12 per Share Cash Dividend for Fiscal Q1 2027". Evolution Petroleum's Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.12 per share of common stock for fiscal Q1 2027, payable on September 30, 2026, to stockholders of record as of September 21, 2026. This marks the company's 52nd consecutive quarterly cash dividend since December 31, 2013.

Company

About Evolution Petroleum Corp.

Evolution Petroleum Corporation, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, and optimization of onshore producing properties in the United States. The company concentrates on mature reservoirs and enhanced recovery operations, including carbon dioxide-based projects and non-operated interests across established oil and gas basins. Its portfolio spans assets in Louisiana, Wyoming, North Dakota, Texas, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, supporting production from crude oil, natural gas, and associated hydrocarbons. Evolution Petroleum Corporation, Inc. plays a specialized role in the energy market by managing long-life fields, applying reservoir engineering expertise, and seeking efficient recovery from existing assets rather than large-scale frontier exploration. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, and founded in 2003, the company serves as a focused upstream energy producer with exposure to multiple U.S. hydrocarbon regions.

CEO Mr. Kelly W. Loyd · 11 employees · United States · https://www.evolutionpetroleum.com