ESTCTechnology · Software - ApplicationThe 30 Wall Street analysts covering Elastic NV hold a median 12-month price target of $115 — +21.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 5 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Elastic NV on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ESTC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sept 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Neutral | $100 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Wedbush | Assumes | Outperform | $125 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | $90 → $108 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $95 → $120 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $94 → $118 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $80 → $120 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Neutral | $91 → $100 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $104 → $128 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $80 → $100 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $106 → $120 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $120 |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ESTC appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 5 Oct 2026, Elastic NV returned +10.9% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Elastic NV has a market value of $10.0B and an enterprise value of $9.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $1.8B. The latest quarter grew 15.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $375.6M, a 20.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.57.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $349.0M.
Elastic NV spent $380.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.
Trailing P/E: 27.1×; forward P/E: 24.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Elastic NV employs 3,834 people — $470K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Elastic NV — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research reports that recent movements in the options market for Elastic NV (ESTC) stock warrant close investor attention, as the activity may signal expectations of a spike in the stock.
Why it matters — An ESTC watcher would care because unusual options-market activity could hint at anticipated price movement ahead for the stock.
Elastic (NYSE: ESTC) unveiled a new metrics offering during an observability-focused investor call, positioning it as a faster and more storage-efficient way for customers to manage metrics alongside logs, traces, and other data types on a unified platform.
Why it matters — ESTC watchers would follow this because it expands Elastic's unified observability platform with a new product aimed at improving performance and storage efficiency for metrics management.
Elastic N.V. (ESTC) held a discussion, captured in a Seeking Alpha transcript, covering a new metrics offering and enhancements to its observability platform. The headline indicates that company representatives discussed these product developments, though no specific details were provided in the excerpt.
Why it matters — ESTC watchers would care because the items discussed relate to Elastic's observability and metrics product direction, which are central to its core business.
According to Zacks Investment Research, Elastic's stock recently crossed above its 20-day moving average, a technical signal suggesting a short-term bullish trend. The company reached what the report describes as a key level of support.
Why it matters — A move above the 20-day moving average is a technical indicator that stock watchers often follow to gauge short-term momentum and potential support levels for the share price.
Elastic announced the launch of jina-ocr-v1, a new optical character recognition model for end-to-end document processing. At 574M active parameters, the model delivers frontier-grade accuracy at roughly one tenth the size of the benchmark leader, converting complex visual documents into structured, machine-readable text such as Markdown in a single pass.
Why it matters — A new OCR model could expand Elastic's document-processing and search capabilities, potentially broadening the use cases for its platform.
The 30 Wall Street analysts covering Elastic NV have a median 12-month price target of $115, with estimates ranging from $75 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 30 analysts covering Elastic NV, 18 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Elastic NV 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 5 Oct 2026, Elastic NV ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 30 analysts implies +21.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Elastic NV 71 out of 100 as at 5 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Elastic NV publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ESTC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $75 to $130 over the next 12 months.
Elastic NV returned +10.9% over the 12 months to 5 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Elastic N.V. is a software company focused on search, observability, and security solutions built on its Elasticsearch platform.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 5 Oct 2026): "Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Elastic Stock?". Zacks Investment Research reports that recent movements in the options market for Elastic NV (ESTC) stock warrant close investor attention, as the activity may signal expectations of a spike in the stock.
Elastic N.V. is a software company focused on search, observability, and security solutions built on its Elasticsearch platform. Elastic N.V. provides tools that help organizations search, analyze, and visualize large volumes of structured and unstructured data across cloud, hybrid, and self-managed environments. Its product portfolio includes Elasticsearch, Kibana, Elastic Observability, Elastic Security, and Elastic Cloud, serving use cases such as enterprise search, log analytics, application performance monitoring, and threat detection. The company supports customers across industries including technology, financial services, healthcare, retail, manufacturing, and the public sector. Elastic N.V. plays a central role in the data infrastructure market by enabling businesses to turn complex data into searchable, actionable insights through a unified platform.
CEO Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni · 3,834 employees · Netherlands · https://www.elastic.co
