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ESTC Stock Forecast: Elastic NV Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$87
+0.76% on the day

The 31 Wall Street analysts covering Elastic NV hold a median 12-month price target of $72 — -16.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 65 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$9.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
65 / 100
Median analyst target
$72
Analysts covering
31
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+15.4%
1M
+39.1%
YTD
+14.9%
1Y
+13.4%
From 52W high
−8.2%
From 52W low
+100.2%
$43
$94
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ESTC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Elastic NV on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
65 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
89
Revisions
85
Issuance
72
Growth
63
Value
60
Volatility
43
Momentum
41
Accruals
28
Size
17

Quality (89): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (28): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ESTC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ESTC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ESTCHigh $120Median $72Low $53

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says31 analysts
18 Buy12 Hold1 Sell
Low $53Median $72High $120

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −16.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$70 → $87
13 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$75 → $100
21 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$73 → $66
21 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
26 June 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$90 → $83
26 June 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
25 June 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesNeutral$59
25 June 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesNeutral—
29 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
29 May 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
29 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesNeutral—
29 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
29 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
29 May 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
29 May 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
29 May 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy—
29 May 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform—
29 May 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform—
27 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
26 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ESTC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

ESTC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+14.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Elastic NV (ESTC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.3×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.2×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / book
7.1×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−287.0×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.0%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
16.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Gross margin
75.4%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Operating margin
−3.5%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
21.1%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
33.4%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.7%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ESTC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Application
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ESTCElastic NV$9.0B
65
PCORProcore Technologies, Inc.$9.0B
40
IDCCInterDigital, Inc.$8.8B
87
TTANServiceTitan, Inc.$8.4B
70
PAYCPaycom Software, Inc.$9.7B
80
PCTYPaylocity Holding Corp.$8.1B
86
BSYBentley Systems, Inc.$11.0B
68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Elastic NV — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ESTC news & analysis

Elastic (ESTC) Soars 11.5%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026positive

Elastic (ESTC) was a significant mover last session, soaring 11.5% on higher-than-average trading volume. According to the report, the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.

Why it matters — ESTC watchers would care because the strong price move combined with a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions signals that analysts see continued momentum for the stock in the near term.

Elastic to Announce First Quarter Fiscal 2027 Earnings Results on Thursday, August 27, 2026

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Elastic announced it will release its first quarter fiscal 2027 financial results, for the period ended July 31, 2026, after U.S. market close on Thursday, August 27, 2026. The company will hold a conference call at 2:00 p.m. PT that day to review the results and business outlook, with a live webcast available on its investor relations website.

Why it matters — This sets the date and logistics for Elastic's upcoming earnings release and conference call, which ESTC watchers will follow to assess the company's quarterly performance and outlook.

Why Elastic (ESTC) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research has published a piece identifying Elastic (ESTC) as a top growth stock for the long-term, referencing its Zacks Style Scores tool for identifying strong stocks.

Why it matters — ESTC watchers would care because the item highlights Elastic as a strong long-term growth stock according to Zacks' research framework.

Elastic Advances the Agentic SOC, Bringing Security Teams Closer to Alert Zero

Business Wire · 31 July 2026positive

Elastic announced major advances to its agentic security operations platform ahead of Black Hat USA 2026, including expanded Attack Discovery, broader endpoint protection, and enhanced native workflow automation.

Why it matters — The announcement signals Elastic is enhancing its security platform to address the growing challenge of AI-driven attacks, which could strengthen its value proposition for customers managing alert overload.

Elastic (ESTC) Crossed Above the 200-Day Moving Average: What That Means for Investors

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026positive

Elastic (ESTC) shares crossed above their 200-day moving average, a technical indicator that suggests a potential long-term bullish trend for the stock.

Why it matters — Investors tracking ESTC may view this technical milestone as a signal of positive momentum in the stock's longer-term price direction.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ESTC stock

What is the ESTC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 31 Wall Street analysts covering Elastic NV have a median 12-month price target of $72, with estimates ranging from $53 to $120. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ESTC stock a buy right now?

Of the 31 analysts covering Elastic NV, 18 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Elastic NV 65 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ESTC?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Elastic NV ranks 65 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (89 of 100).

Will ESTC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 31 analysts implies -16.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Elastic NV 65 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ESTC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Elastic NV publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ESTC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $53 to $120 over the next 12 months.

How has ESTC stock performed over the past year?

Elastic NV returned +13.4% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Elastic NV do?

Elastic N.V. is a software company that provides search, observability, and security solutions built on its Elastic Search AI Platform.

What is the latest news on ESTC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Aug 2026): "Elastic (ESTC) Soars 11.5%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?". Elastic (ESTC) was a significant mover last session, soaring 11.5% on higher-than-average trading volume. According to the report, the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.

Company

About Elastic NV.

Elastic N.V. is a software company that provides search, observability, and security solutions built on its Elastic Search AI Platform. Its technology helps organizations search, analyze, and protect large volumes of data in real time, supporting use cases such as enterprise search, log and infrastructure monitoring, application performance, and threat detection. Elastic serves customers across industries including technology, financial services, healthcare, government, and retail, with offerings designed for cloud, hybrid, and on-premises environments. The company’s products are used by development, operations, security, and data teams that need scalable tools for managing complex data workloads. Elastic N.V. is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

CEO Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni · 4,019 employees · Netherlands · https://www.elastic.co