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ESTC Stock Forecast: Elastic NV Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$83
−0.11% on the day

The 30 Wall Street analysts covering Elastic NV hold a median 12-month price target of $115 — +37.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 67 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$8.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
67 / 100
Median analyst target
$115
Analysts covering
30
Revenue$478.1M+15.1% y/y
Operating income−$3.7M
Net income−$16.7M
Free cash flow$131.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 July 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−13.3%
1M
+9.2%
YTD
+10.5%
1Y
−6.4%
From 52W high
−16.5%
From 52W low
+92.6%
$43
$100
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ESTC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Elastic NV on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
67 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
94
Quality
89
Issuance
62
Value
62
Growth
57
Momentum
45
Volatility
42
Accruals
31
Size
17

Revisions (94): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ESTC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ESTC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ESTCHigh $130Median $115Low $75

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says30 analysts
18 Buy12 Hold0 Sell
Low $75Median $115High $130

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +37.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Sept 2026WedbushAssumesOutperform$125
28 Aug 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
28 Aug 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$90 → $108
28 Aug 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$95 → $120
28 Aug 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
28 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
28 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$94 → $118
28 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$80 → $120
28 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
28 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
28 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$91 → $100
28 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
28 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$104 → $128
28 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$80 → $100
28 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
28 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
28 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$106 → $120
28 Aug 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$100 → $120
28 Aug 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
28 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$93 → $105

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ESTC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ESTC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Elastic NV returned −6.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ESTC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ESTCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ESTC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.1%
Analysts raising
23
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Elastic NV (ESTC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.8×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.9×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / book
6.8×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−354.3×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.1%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
15.1%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Gross margin
74.5%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Operating margin
−0.6%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Net margin
20.8%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
33.1%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.6%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Elastic NV (ESTC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Elastic NV has a market value of $8.8B and an enterprise value of $7.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $1.8B. The latest quarter grew 15.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $375.6M, a 20.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.57.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 July 2026: $349.0M.

  • Elastic NV spent $380.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 31 July 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 105.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 23.8×; forward P/E: 21.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Elastic NV employs 3,834 people — $470K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 July 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ESTC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Application
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ESTCElastic NV$8.8B
67
IDCCInterDigital, Inc.$9.0B
89
PCORProcore Technologies, Inc.$8.0B
45
BSYBentley Systems, Inc.$9.4B
70
PAYCPaycom Software, Inc.$9.7B
79
PCTYPaylocity Holding Corp.$7.7B
84
FROGJFrog Ltd.$10.3B
74

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Elastic NV — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ESTC news & analysis

Elastic Introduces Serverless Vector Database: Ship in Minutes, Scale Affordably to Hundreds of Billions of Vectors

Business Wire · 11 Sept 2026positive

Elastic announced Elasticsearch Vector Database, a new serverless offering designed for large-scale vector search and AI applications. The product includes expert-tuned defaults to help developers build vector search applications quickly, with Elastic handling embeddings and related tasks.

Why it matters — This expands Elastic's product portfolio into the growing serverless vector-search and AI application space, potentially broadening its addressable market.

Insider Sales Eclipse $450M Across 3 AI Winners, With NVIDIA Leading the Pack

MarketBeat · 10 Sept 2026neutral

The AI buildout has created winners across computing, power machinery, and software industries, but three top names have seen substantial insider selling totaling over $450 million, led by NVIDIA. The selling follows strong recent performance in these AI-related companies.

Why it matters — As a software company tied to the AI theme, insider selling in AI winners could signal to Elastic watchers a pattern worth monitoring in the sector.

How Elastic Stock Bounced 48.3% Higher Last Month

The Motley Fool · 7 Sept 2026positive

Elastic's stock rose 48.3% last month, helped by a broad software-sector rally on Aug. 13 and its Q1 2027 earnings release on Aug. 27, which beat Wall Street's revenue and earnings estimates by wide margins.

Why it matters — A stock watcher would note that Elastic delivered a strong quarterly earnings beat, indicating robust operational performance beyond the sector-wide rally.

3 Earnings Season Winners That Analysts Can't Stop Upgrading

MarketBeat · 7 Sept 2026positive

MarketBeat notes that earnings season is when analysts typically update their ratings and price targets in response to newly reported quarterly data, and it highlights three companies that analysts keep upgrading during this period.

Why it matters — An ESTC watcher would care because analyst rating and price-target updates during earnings season signal how the investment community is responding to recent results.

Elastic Brings OpenAI GPT Cyber Models Into Elastic Security to Help Defenders Investigate and Remediate Threats Faster

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026positive

Elastic announced plans to integrate OpenAI GPT cyber models into Elastic Security, giving security teams specialized cyber reasoning capabilities for alert triage, investigation, detection engineering, and remediation. The integration aims to streamline these workflows without requiring customers to deploy and manage separate model infrastructure.

Why it matters — For ESTC watchers, this signals Elastic's ongoing push to embed advanced AI capabilities directly into its security platform, potentially strengthening its competitive position in the security analytics market.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ESTC stock

What is the ESTC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 30 Wall Street analysts covering Elastic NV have a median 12-month price target of $115, with estimates ranging from $75 to $130. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ESTC stock a buy right now?

Of the 30 analysts covering Elastic NV, 18 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Elastic NV 67 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ESTC?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Elastic NV ranks 67 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (94 of 100).

Will ESTC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 30 analysts implies +37.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Elastic NV 67 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ESTC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Elastic NV publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ESTC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $75 to $130 over the next 12 months.

How has ESTC stock performed over the past year?

Elastic NV returned -6.4% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Elastic NV do?

Elastic N.V. is a software company focused on search, observability, and security solutions built on its Elasticsearch platform.

What is the latest news on ESTC?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 11 Sept 2026): "Elastic Introduces Serverless Vector Database: Ship in Minutes, Scale Affordably to Hundreds of Billions of Vectors". Elastic announced Elasticsearch Vector Database, a new serverless offering designed for large-scale vector search and AI applications. The product includes expert-tuned defaults to help developers build vector search applications quickly, with Elastic handling embeddings and related tasks.

Company

About Elastic NV.

Elastic N.V. is a software company focused on search, observability, and security solutions built on its Elasticsearch platform. Elastic N.V. provides tools that help organizations search, analyze, and visualize large volumes of structured and unstructured data across cloud, hybrid, and self-managed environments. Its product portfolio includes Elasticsearch, Kibana, Elastic Observability, Elastic Security, and Elastic Cloud, serving use cases such as enterprise search, log analytics, application performance monitoring, and threat detection. The company supports customers across industries including technology, financial services, healthcare, retail, manufacturing, and the public sector. Elastic N.V. plays a central role in the data infrastructure market by enabling businesses to turn complex data into searchable, actionable insights through a unified platform.

CEO Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni · 3,834 employees · Netherlands · https://www.elastic.co