FLYIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseFLY Stock Forecast: Firefly Aerospace, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Firefly Aerospace, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $45 — +105.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 9 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
FLY stock analysis: one number for the whole business
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Firefly Aerospace, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (63): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Momentum (1): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Firefly Aerospace, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
FLY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FLY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +105.6% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Equal-Weight | $25 |
| 15 June 2026 | Keybanc | Upgrade | Overweight | $50 |
| 15 June 2026 | Keybanc | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 5 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Keybanc | Initiates | Sector Weight | — |
| 25 Nov 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 17 Nov 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Deutsche Bank | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 13 Nov 2025 | Roth Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Sept 2025 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 2 Sept 2025 | Deutsche Bank | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 2 Sept 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 2 Sept 2025 | Jefferies | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 2 Sept 2025 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 2 Sept 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Initiates | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
FLY analyst estimate revisions
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
Firefly Aerospace, Inc. (FLY) financial data
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
- Trailing P/E
- −4.4×
- Price / sales
- 20.9×
- Price / book
- 3.1×
- EV / EBITDA
- −12.3×
Cheaper than 89% of US stocks
Cheaper than 9% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Cheaper than 86% of US stocks
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- 44.8%
- Earnings growth (YoY)
- —
- Gross margin
- 21.6%
- Operating margin
- −115.9%
- Net margin
- −193.8%
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 2% of US stocks
- Return on equity
- −62.1%
- Return on assets
- −16.8%
- Dividend yield
- —
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 22% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
FLY vs competitors
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FLY appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Frequently asked questions about FLY stock
What is the FLY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Firefly Aerospace, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $45, with estimates ranging from $25 to $65. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Is FLY stock a buy right now?
Of the 10 analysts covering Firefly Aerospace, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Firefly Aerospace, Inc. 9 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FLY?
As at 1 Aug 2026, Firefly Aerospace, Inc. ranks 9 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (63 of 100).
Will FLY stock go up?
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +105.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Firefly Aerospace, Inc. 9 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
What is the FLY stock forecast for 2030?
No analyst covering Firefly Aerospace, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FLY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $25 to $65 over the next 12 months.
What does Firefly Aerospace, Inc. do?
Firefly Aerospace Inc. is a U.S.-based space and defense technology company that designs, manufactures, and operates launch vehicles, lunar landers, and orbital spacecraft for government, national security, and commercial customers.
About Firefly Aerospace, Inc.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. is a U.S.-based space and defense technology company that designs, manufactures, and operates launch vehicles, lunar landers, and orbital spacecraft for government, national security, and commercial customers. The company focuses on providing responsive, reliable mission solutions across the space domain, from low Earth orbit to cislunar space and lunar surface operations. Firefly Aerospace’s core offerings include small- to medium-lift launch services, lunar payload delivery, and in-space transportation and hosting, enabling end-to-end support from launch through on-orbit and lunar mission operations. Its vertically integrated model spans propulsion, structures, avionics, and spacecraft systems, allowing tight control over cost, schedule, and performance. Headquartered in Cedar Park, Texas, Firefly Aerospace plays a significant role in tactically responsive space and critical national security missions, serving U.S. civil space agencies, defense organizations, and commercial satellite operators. By combining launch, lander, and orbital vehicle capabilities, the company occupies a central position in the rapidly evolving space economy as a comprehensive provider of space access and mission services.
CEO Mr. Jason Kim · 1,409 employees · United States · https://www.fireflyspace.com