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KRMN Stock Forecast: Karman Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$31
−5.71% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Karman Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $83 — +162.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 16 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$4.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
16 / 100
Median analyst target
$83
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$182.1M+58.2% y/y
Operating income$34.8M
Net income$14.0M
Free cash flow−$17.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
−21.5%
YTD
−57.1%
1Y
−58.3%
From 52W high
−72.8%
From 52W low
0.0%
$31
$115
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

KRMN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Karman Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Oct 2026
16 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
67
Growth
51
Quality
47
Value
43
Size
26
Volatility
22
Accruals
17
Momentum
13
Issuance
11

Revisions (67): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (11): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

KRMN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KRMN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$40$60$80$100$120$140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26KRMNHigh $135Median $83Low $63

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
11 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $63Median $83High $135

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +162.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
28 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$85 → $70
15 Sept 2026GuggenheimInitiatesBuy$63
15 Sept 2026GuggenheimInitiatesBuy—
13 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
13 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$118 → $85
10 Aug 2026BWS FinancialMaintainsSell$37
10 Aug 2026BWS FinancialMaintainsSell—
10 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$76 → $78
10 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$100 → $80
7 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$125 → $80
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight—
7 Aug 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$114 → $91
24 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
24 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$100 → $85
1 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$97 → $76
20 May 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. KRMN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

KRMN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Karman Holdings, Inc. returned −58.3% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

KRMN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26KRMNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

KRMN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.0%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Karman Holdings, Inc. (KRMN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
117.9×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Price / sales
7.4×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Price / book
10.4×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
33.8×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
58.2%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
106.1%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
43.0%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.2%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
6.3%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.5%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.1%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Karman Holdings, Inc. (KRMN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Karman Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $4.4B and an enterprise value of $5.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $589.6M. The latest quarter grew 58.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $37.2M, a 6.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.29.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$27.7M.

  • Shares outstanding: 132.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 117.9×; forward P/E: 34.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Karman Holdings, Inc. employs 1,400 people — $421K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

KRMN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
KRMNKarman Holdings, Inc.$4.4B
16
AIRAAR Corp.$4.0B
84
BETABETA Technologies, Inc.$4.6B
1
MRCYMercury Systems, Inc.$4.8B
77
FLYFirefly Aerospace, Inc.$3.6B
7
ACHRArcher Aviation, Inc.$3.6B
8
VSECVSE Corp.$4.8B
33

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Karman Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest KRMN news & analysis

David Stinnett Purchases 27,000 Karman Holdings Shares for $1 Million. Is the Defense Contractor Now a Buy?

The Motley Fool · 29 Sept 2026positive

David Stinnett purchased 27,000 shares of Karman Holdings at a weighted average price of $37.32 per share, totaling $1.0 million. The purchase equaled 0.77% of his prior stake, bringing his total direct position to approximately 3.5 million shares.

Why it matters — An insider's significant purchase with his own funds signals confidence in the company, which Karman Holdings watchers would note as a potentially constructive signal.

Analysts Warn the Entire Space Trade Is Sitting in Neutral Waiting on One Rocket

24/7 Wall Street · 24 Sept 2026negative

Analysts warn that the entire space supply chain — including builders of lunar modules, satellite hardware, and heavy components — is relying on revenue timelines tied to a single rocket that these suppliers do not own. The market's assessment of that risk is reflected in the performance gap between two stocks.

Why it matters — As a space supplier, KRMN's revenue outlook may be dependent on the launch schedule of a rocket it does not control, so this concentrated industry risk is directly relevant to its prospects.

Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop

Seeking Alpha · 19 Sept 2026positive

Karman Holdings was upgraded to Buy by a Seeking Alpha author following a 68% stock decline, strong Q2 results with 24% organic growth, a record $1.3B backlog, and raised 2026 revenue and EBITDA guidance. The upgrade also cites improved 2027 revenue visibility.

Why it matters — KRMN watchers would care because the upgrade highlights improved multi-year demand visibility, though execution risks remain, including weak free cash flow, elevated leverage, unresolved internal control issues, and a recent CFO transition.

Why Karman Holdings Stock Was Wilting Again This Week

The Motley Fool · 4 Sept 2026negative

Karman Holdings stock declined again this week after a short-seller firm accused the company of having weak internal controls and criticized its acquisition policy. The allegations added fresh pressure to the stock.

Why it matters — A KRMN watcher would care because the short-seller's allegations about internal controls and acquisition practices could raise governance and strategy concerns for the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about KRMN stock

What is the KRMN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Karman Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $83, with estimates ranging from $63 to $135. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is KRMN stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Karman Holdings, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Karman Holdings, Inc. 16 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank KRMN?

As at 7 Oct 2026, Karman Holdings, Inc. ranks 16 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (67 of 100).

Will KRMN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +162.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Karman Holdings, Inc. 16 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the KRMN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Karman Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KRMN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $63 to $135 over the next 12 months.

How has KRMN stock performed over the past year?

Karman Holdings, Inc. returned -58.3% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Karman Holdings, Inc. do?

Karman Holdings Inc. Common Stock is the equity of Karman Holdings Inc., an aerospace and defense company focused on mission-critical systems for missile, hypersonic, space, and launch applications.

What is the latest news on KRMN?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 29 Sept 2026): "David Stinnett Purchases 27,000 Karman Holdings Shares for $1 Million. Is the Defense Contractor Now a Buy?". David Stinnett purchased 27,000 shares of Karman Holdings at a weighted average price of $37.32 per share, totaling $1.0 million. The purchase equaled 0.77% of his prior stake, bringing his total direct position to approximately 3.5 million shares.

Company

About Karman Holdings, Inc.

Karman Holdings Inc. Common Stock is the equity of Karman Holdings Inc., an aerospace and defense company focused on mission-critical systems for missile, hypersonic, space, and launch applications. Karman Holdings designs, tests, manufactures, and sells payload protection and deployment systems, aerodynamic interstage systems, and propulsion systems that support complex flight programs. Its products also include metallic and composite flight hardware, sub-assemblies, and other engineered components used in launch vehicle, satellite, spacecraft, and missile defense environments. The company serves customers across hypersonics and strategic missile defense, tactical missile and integrated defense systems, and space and launch markets. Headquartered in Huntington Beach, California, Karman Holdings plays a specialized role in supplying hardware and integrated solutions for demanding aerospace and defense programs.

CEO Mr. Anthony C. Koblinski · 1,400 employees · United States · https://karman-sd.com