KRMNIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseThe 14 Wall Street analysts covering Karman Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $79 — +108.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 17 of 100 as at 27 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Karman Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (73): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (11): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KRMN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +108.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $91 → $59 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Oppenheimer | Initiates | Outperform | $40 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Macquarie | Initiates | Outperform | $65 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Overweight | $79 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 28 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $85 → $70 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Guggenheim | Initiates | Buy | $63 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Guggenheim | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $118 → $85 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | BWS Financial | Maintains | Sell | $37 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | BWS Financial | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $76 → $78 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $100 → $80 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $125 → $80 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterates | Overweight | $114 → $91 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
KRMN appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 28 Oct 2026, Karman Holdings, Inc. returned −55.5% against +13.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Cheaper than 8% of US stocks
Cheaper than 6% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Karman Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $4.9B and an enterprise value of $5.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $589.6M. The latest quarter grew 58.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $37.2M, a 6.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.29.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$27.7M.
Trailing P/E: 132.0×; forward P/E: 38.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Karman Holdings, Inc. employs 1,400 people — $421K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Karman Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research says Karman Holdings has a history of earnings surprises and currently has two key factors that may support a beat in its next quarterly report.
Why it matters — KRMN watchers may view the article as highlighting factors relevant to the company’s upcoming earnings report.
Karman Space & Defense announced that it has scheduled its third-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings release, conference call and webcast.
Why it matters — The announcement provides KRMN watchers with details about the company’s upcoming quarterly results communication.
Karman Space & Defense entered a seven-year, $218 million agreement with Lockheed Martin to provide shrouds for the THAAD program.
Why it matters — The agreement gives Karman increased visibility to invest in staffing, equipment and manufacturing capacity to support THAAD demand.
David Stinnett purchased 27,000 shares of Karman Holdings at a weighted average price of $37.32 per share, totaling $1.0 million. The purchase equaled 0.77% of his prior stake, bringing his total direct position to approximately 3.5 million shares.
Why it matters — An insider's significant purchase with his own funds signals confidence in the company, which Karman Holdings watchers would note as a potentially constructive signal.
Analysts warn that the entire space supply chain — including builders of lunar modules, satellite hardware, and heavy components — is relying on revenue timelines tied to a single rocket that these suppliers do not own. The market's assessment of that risk is reflected in the performance gap between two stocks.
Why it matters — As a space supplier, KRMN's revenue outlook may be dependent on the launch schedule of a rocket it does not control, so this concentrated industry risk is directly relevant to its prospects.
The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Karman Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $79, with estimates ranging from $40 to $100. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 14 analysts covering Karman Holdings, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Karman Holdings, Inc. 17 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 27 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 27 Oct 2026, Karman Holdings, Inc. ranks 17 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +108.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Karman Holdings, Inc. 17 out of 100 as at 27 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Karman Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KRMN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $100 over the next 12 months.
Karman Holdings, Inc. returned -55.5% over the 12 months to 28 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Karman Holdings Inc. Common Stock is the equity of Karman Holdings Inc., an aerospace and defense company focused on mission-critical systems for missile, hypersonic, space, and launch applications.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 26 Oct 2026): "Will Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?". Zacks Investment Research says Karman Holdings has a history of earnings surprises and currently has two key factors that may support a beat in its next quarterly report.
Karman Holdings Inc. Common Stock is the equity of Karman Holdings Inc., an aerospace and defense company focused on mission-critical systems for missile, hypersonic, space, and launch applications. Karman Holdings designs, tests, manufactures, and sells payload protection and deployment systems, aerodynamic interstage systems, and propulsion systems that support complex flight programs. Its products also include metallic and composite flight hardware, sub-assemblies, and other engineered components used in launch vehicle, satellite, spacecraft, and missile defense environments. The company serves customers across hypersonics and strategic missile defense, tactical missile and integrated defense systems, and space and launch markets. Headquartered in Huntington Beach, California, Karman Holdings plays a specialized role in supplying hardware and integrated solutions for demanding aerospace and defense programs.
CEO Mr. Anthony C. Koblinski · 1,400 employees · United States · https://karman-sd.com
