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AIR Stock Forecast: AAR Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$100
−4.24% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering AAR Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $153 — +53.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$4.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
84 / 100
Median analyst target
$153
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$928.0M+23.0% y/y
Operating income$77.2M
Net income$50.7M
Free cash flow$39.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.8%
1M
−21.3%
YTD
+20.3%
1Y
+19.9%
From 52W high
−35.2%
From 52W low
+28.8%
$77
$154
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AIR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AAR Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Oct 2026
84 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
96
Growth
90
Momentum
76
Quality
75
Issuance
69
Value
66
Volatility
34
Size
26
Accruals
25

Revisions (96): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AIR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AIR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AIRHigh $168Median $153Low $145

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
5 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $145Median $153High $168

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +53.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 Sept 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$155 → $160
28 Sept 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$145
15 Sept 2026GuggenheimInitiatesNeutral—
15 Sept 2026GuggenheimInitiatesNeutral—
27 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
27 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$128 → $145
14 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$150 → $155
14 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
30 June 2026KeybancDowngradeSector Weight—
30 June 2026KeybancDowngradeSector Weight—
9 Apr 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
26 Mar 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
25 Mar 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
25 Mar 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
6 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesReiteratesBuy—
23 Feb 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
26 Jan 2026Goldman SachsInitiatesNeutral—
14 Jan 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
7 Jan 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
7 Jan 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AIR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AIR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, AAR Corp. returned +19.9% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AIR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AIRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AIR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.7%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

AAR Corp. (AIR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
21.3×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / book
2.4×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.9×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.1%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
16.6%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Gross margin
19.0%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.1%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Net margin
5.5%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.3%

Higher than 64% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

AAR Corp. (AIR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • AAR Corp. has a market value of $4.2B and an enterprise value of $5.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $3.3B. The latest quarter grew 24.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $187.7M, a 5.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.83.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $33.3M, after $36.6M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 39.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 21.3×; forward P/E: 15.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.30%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • AAR Corp. employs 7,100 people — $466K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AIR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AIRAAR Corp.$4.2B
84
KRMNKarman Holdings, Inc.$4.2B
16
FLYFirefly Aerospace, Inc.$3.6B
7
ACHRArcher Aviation, Inc.$3.6B
8
BETABETA Technologies, Inc.$4.6B
1
MRCYMercury Systems, Inc.$4.8B
77
VSECVSE Corp.$4.8B
33

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AAR Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AIR news & analysis

Here's Why AAR (AIR) is a Strong Growth Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights AAR Corp. (AIR) as a strong growth stock using its Style Scores system, which helps investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style. The article explains why investors should take advantage of this screening tool.

Why it matters — AIR watchers would care because the article positions AAR favorably as a top-rated growth stock according to Zacks' ranking methodology.

After Plunging 20.5% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for AAR (AIR)

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026positive

AAR (AIR) has become technically oversold after plunging 20.5% in four weeks, which suggests heavy selling pressure may be exhausted. Wall Street analysts are also revising earnings estimates higher, indicating a potential near-term trend reversal for the stock.

Why it matters — An AIR watcher would care because the combination of oversold technical conditions and upward earnings estimate revisions points to a possible reversal of the recent decline.

Cleared for Takeoff: AAR Corp. Expands Its Aerospace Aftermarket Reach

MarketBeat · 1 Oct 2026neutral

AAR Corp. is expanding its aerospace aftermarket operations as the commercial aviation industry contends with an ongoing supply chain bottleneck. The article highlights AAR's move to broaden its reach in the aftermarket segment.

Why it matters — Expanding into the aerospace aftermarket positions AAR to capture demand arising from persistent commercial aviation supply chain constraints.

Here's Why AAR Corp Stock Slumped Today Despite Excellent Earnings

The Motley Fool · 29 Sept 2026negative

AAR Corp. reported strong earnings but its stock declined on the day. The market appears to be focusing on debt issuance related to an acquisition that makes strategic and operational sense at a good price, amid concerns over a rising-rate environment.

Why it matters — AIR watchers would care because market sentiment around the acquisition's debt financing could weigh on the stock despite solid underlying earnings.

AAR Corp. (AIR) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 29 Sept 2026neutral

AAR Corp. (AIR) held its Q1 2027 earnings call, the transcript of which has been published on Seeking Alpha. The call covered the company's quarterly results and management commentary.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides AIR investors with direct insight into the company's most recent quarterly performance and management's outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AIR stock

What is the AIR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering AAR Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $153, with estimates ranging from $145 to $168. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AIR stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering AAR Corp., 5 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AAR Corp. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AIR?

As at 7 Oct 2026, AAR Corp. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (96 of 100).

Will AIR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +53.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AAR Corp. 84 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AIR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AAR Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AIR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $145 to $168 over the next 12 months.

How has AIR stock performed over the past year?

AAR Corp. returned +19.9% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AAR Corp. do?

AAR Corp. is a global aerospace and defense aftermarket solutions company that supports commercial aviation, government, and military customers.

What is the latest news on AIR?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 5 Oct 2026): "Here's Why AAR (AIR) is a Strong Growth Stock". Zacks Investment Research highlights AAR Corp. (AIR) as a strong growth stock using its Style Scores system, which helps investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style. The article explains why investors should take advantage of this screening tool.

Company

About AAR Corp.

AAR Corp. is a global aerospace and defense aftermarket solutions company that supports commercial aviation, government, and military customers. The company provides aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, along with parts supply, repair engineering, software-enabled support, and integrated logistics solutions. Its offerings also include used serviceable material, replacement components, fleet support programs, and expeditionary services such as mobility systems and specialized cargo and shelter equipment. AAR Corp. serves airlines, defense operators, original equipment manufacturers, and other aviation customers that rely on efficient aircraft readiness and supply chain support. Headquartered in Wood Dale, Illinois, AAR Corp. focuses on keeping aircraft and related systems operating reliably across the global aviation aftermarket.

CEO Mr. John McClain Holmes III · 7,100 employees · United States · https://www.aarcorp.com