AIRIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering AAR Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $145 — -0.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 75 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AAR Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (92): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AIR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.2% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $128 → $145 |
| 14 July 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $150 → $155 |
| 14 July 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 June 2026 | Keybanc | Downgrade | Sector Weight | — |
| 30 June 2026 | Keybanc | Downgrade | Sector Weight | — |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 25 Mar 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Truist Securities | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Jan 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Jefferies | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 26 Nov 2025 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 29 Sept 2025 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Sept 2025 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 24 Sept 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AIR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 4% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AAR Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
This article compares the year-to-date performance of AAR (AIR) and Astronics Corporation (ATRO) against their aerospace sector. Its focus is on how each stock has fared relative to the broader sector this year.
Why it matters — AAR watchers would care because the piece indicates whether the company's share performance is tracking, outrunning, or falling behind its aerospace peers so far this year.
Zacks Investment Research highlights AAR (AIR) as a top candidate for momentum investors, asking whether the company has the qualities to be a strong momentum stock pick and suggesting it warrants investor attention.
Why it matters — This piece signals that AAR is being recognized as a potential momentum leader, which could draw increased investor attention to the stock.
AAR Corp. (AIR) shares reached a 52-week high, and the article examines whether the company can continue to gain, looking at its fundamentals for clues.
Why it matters — The item is relevant to AIR watchers because it highlights that the stock has reached a 52-week high and that the company's fundamentals are being evaluated as an indicator of its ongoing momentum.
Zacks Investment Research published an article highlighting that AAR (AIR) possesses solid growth attributes that could help it outperform the market.
Why it matters — The piece signals that analysts see growth potential in AAR, which could influence investor perception of the company.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering AAR Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $145, with estimates ranging from $128 to $155. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering AAR Corp., 5 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AAR Corp. 75 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Aug 2026, AAR Corp. ranks 75 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies -0.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AAR Corp. 75 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering AAR Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AIR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $128 to $155 over the next 12 months.
AAR Corp. returned +88.3% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
AAR Corp. is a leading provider of products and services to the commercial aviation, government, and defense markets across North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and other international regions.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 12 Aug 2026): "Are Aerospace Stocks Lagging AAR (AIR) This Year?". This article compares the year-to-date performance of AAR (AIR) and Astronics Corporation (ATRO) against their aerospace sector. Its focus is on how each stock has fared relative to the broader sector this year.
AAR Corp. is a leading provider of products and services to the commercial aviation, government, and defense markets across North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and other international regions. The company operates through four key segments: Parts Supply, which involves leasing and selling aircraft components and aftermarket replacement parts; Repair & Engineering, offering airframe maintenance, component repair, and landing gear overhaul services; Integrated Solutions, encompassing fleet management, operations of customer-owned aircraft, and customized supply chain logistics programs; and Expeditionary Services, focused on designing, manufacturing, and repairing transportation pallets, containers, and shelters for military and humanitarian deployments. AAR Corp. supports a diverse customer base including passenger and cargo airlines, OEMs, aircraft leasing companies, the U.S. Department of Defense, foreign militaries, and non-governmental organizations. Founded in 1951 and headquartered in Wood Dale, Illinois, AAR Corp. plays a vital role in the aviation aftermarket by delivering maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services, inventory management, and engineering solutions essential for global aircraft operations and defense logistics.
CEO Mr. John McClain Holmes III · 7,100 employees · United States · https://www.aarcorp.com