FNDConsumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail

FND Stock Forecast: Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026

$57

−0.85% on the day

The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $59 — +3.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap

$6.2B

Ticker Nerd rank

32 / 100

Median analyst target

$59

Analysts covering

Total return, dividends reinvested

+3.0%

−3.3%

YTD

−6.3%

−27.1%

From 52W high

−36.9%

From 52W low

+31.2%

$43

$90

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

FND stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026

32 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions

Accruals

Issuance

Quality

Growth

Value

Size

Volatility

Momentum

Revisions (77): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Momentum (10): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

FND stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FND, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says23 analysts

7 Buy13 Hold3 Sell

Low $38Median $59High $75

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
31 July 2026	Morgan Stanley	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$56 → $64
31 July 2026	Piper Sandler	Maintains	Overweight	$70 → $72
31 July 2026	Telsey Advisory Group	Maintains	Outperform	$61 → $68
31 July 2026	Truist Securities	Maintains	Buy	$65 → $70
31 July 2026	UBS	Maintains	Neutral	$55 → $60
31 July 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Equal-Weight	$50 → $55
7 July 2026	Evercore ISI Group	Maintains	In-Line	$51 → $60
7 July 2026	Evercore ISI Group	Maintains	In-Line	—
8 May 2026	Mizuho	Maintains	Neutral	—
1 May 2026	Citigroup	Maintains	Neutral	—
1 May 2026	Evercore ISI Group	Maintains	In-Line	—
1 May 2026	Guggenheim	Maintains	Buy	—
1 May 2026	Piper Sandler	Reiterates	Overweight	—
1 May 2026	TD Cowen	Maintains	Hold	—
1 May 2026	UBS	Maintains	Neutral	—
1 May 2026	Wells Fargo	Maintains	Equal-Weight	—
24 Apr 2026	Barclays	Maintains	Equal-Weight	—
24 Apr 2026	JP Morgan	Maintains	Neutral	—
21 Apr 2026	Citigroup	Maintains	Neutral	—
17 Apr 2026	Zelman & Assoc	Maintains	Neutral	—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

FND analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

EPS revision, 90 days

+3.5%

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 26.9×
Price / sales: 1.3×
Price / book: 2.5×
EV / EBITDA: 16.0×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 3.0%
Earnings growth (YoY): 51.7%
Gross margin: 48.2%
Operating margin: 5.4%
Net margin: 4.9%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: 9.7%
Return on assets: 2.7%
Dividend yield: —

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

FND vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelHome Improvement Retail

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
FNDFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc.	$6.2B	32
HVTHaverty Furniture Cos., Inc.	$403.5M	93
LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.	$116.5B	52
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.*	$6.2B	78
RUSHARush Enterprises, Inc.*	$6.2B	95
CROXCrocs, Inc.*	$6.1B	91
JMKEJersey Mike's Subs, Inc.*	$6.3B	0

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few home improvement retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FND appears on the weeks it earns a place.

News

Latest FND news & analysis

Floor & Decor: Better Demand Is Not Yet A Durable Earnings Recovery

Seeking Alpha · 3 Aug 2026negative

Floor & Decor remains a hold as comparable sales and transactions stayed negative and adjusted EPS was flat in Q2 2026. Sales growth came from new store openings while underlying profitability was weak, with adjusted gross margin down 20 basis points to 43.7% and no clear earnings bridge from pro sales or digital initiatives. Pro sales and digital initiatives show promise, but neither has yet delivered positive transaction growth or a clear earnings bridge.

Why it matters — Floor & Decor watchers would care because improving demand signals have not yet translated into a durable earnings recovery, leaving profit and margin trends weak.

Floor & Decor Q2 2026: Tentative Green Shoots

Seeking Alpha · 3 Aug 2026positive

For the first time in more than a year, Floor & Decor reported a quarter without cutting its annual guidance. The company's steady Pro customer mix shift continued in Q2 2026, and management outlined three buckets for the planned use of tariff refunds.

Why it matters — FND watchers would care because the unchanged guidance, continued Pro mix growth, and a clear plan for tariff refunds offer the first tentative signs of stabilizing conditions after a year of guidance cuts.

Floor & Decor Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026neutral

Floor & Decor reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.58, unchanged year over year, as the company managed expenses and generated free cash flow amid continued softness in large discretionary flooring projects.

Why it matters — The results show how Floor & Decor is navigating weak demand for big-ticket flooring projects while maintaining profitability and free cash flow.

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 31 July 2026neutral

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. released the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, as published by Seeking Alpha. The excerpt provides no further details from the call itself.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts offer direct insight into management's perspective on the company's recent performance and outlook, which is key for FND shareholders and analysts.

Floor & Dcor (FND) Q2 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026neutral

Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) reported its Q2 2026 earnings, with the article comparing the company's key metrics to Wall Street estimates and prior-year figures.

Why it matters — This matters because how FND's metrics stack up against analyst expectations can signal the company's operational health and market performance in the retail flooring sector.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FND stock

What is the FND stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $59, with estimates ranging from $38 to $75. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FND stock a buy right now?

Of the 23 analysts covering Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FND?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (77 of 100).

Will FND stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 23 analysts implies +3.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FND stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FND are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $38 to $75 over the next 12 months.

How has FND stock performed over the past year?

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. returned -27.1% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. do?

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is a leading specialty retailer focusing on the sale of hard surface flooring and related accessories.

What is the latest news on FND?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 3 Aug 2026): "Floor & Decor: Better Demand Is Not Yet A Durable Earnings Recovery". Floor & Decor remains a hold as comparable sales and transactions stayed negative and adjusted EPS was flat in Q2 2026. Sales growth came from new store openings while underlying profitability was weak, with adjusted gross margin down 20 basis points to 43.7% and no clear earnings bridge from pro sales or digital initiatives. Pro sales and digital initiatives show promise, but neither has yet delivered positive transaction growth or a clear earnings bridge.

Company

About Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is a leading specialty retailer focusing on the sale of hard surface flooring and related accessories. The company's primary function is to offer a wide variety of high-quality, competitively priced flooring products such as tiles, wood, stone, and laminate, as well as significant assortments of decorative accessories and installation materials. With a vast product assortment, Floor & Decor serves the needs of homeowners, professional contractors, and commercial businesses seeking durable and stylish flooring solutions. Notable for its large format stores, the company emphasizes an extensive inventory that allows customers to find the right product immediately, supported by knowledgeable staff providing expert advice. The company operates within the home improvement and renovation industry, which plays a critical role in the retail sector, driving consumer spending and economic activity. Established to cater to both the residential replacement market and new home construction, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. has established itself as a significant player in the flooring industry, appealing to a diverse customer base seeking both functional and aesthetically pleasing floor designs.

CEO Mr. Bradley S. Paulsen · 10,469 employees · United States · https://www.flooranddecor.com