FNDConsumer Cyclical · Home Improvement RetailThe 23 Wall Street analysts covering Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $54 — +13.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 34 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (73): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Momentum (9): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FND, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 11 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $50 → $55 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $59 → $57 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $58 → $52 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Downgrade | Market Perform | $68 → $50 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $70 → $65 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $60 → $54 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Stifel | Downgrade | Hold | $75 → $52 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | $59 → $47 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $55 → $45 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $59 → $49 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $55 → $50 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $60 → $55 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $56 → $64 |
| 31 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $70 → $72 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
FND appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and serversIn full
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. returned −26.9% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 67% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $5.1B and an enterprise value of $6.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.7B. The latest quarter grew 3.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $232.2M, a 4.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.15.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $211.4M.
Trailing P/E: 22.2×; forward P/E: 22.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. employs 10,469 people — $450K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| FNDFloor & Decor Holdings, Inc. | $5.1B | 34 |
| HVTHaverty Furniture Cos., Inc. | $455.3M | 96 |
| MBLYMobileye Global, Inc.* | $5.1B | 52 |
| RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.* | $5.2B | 46 |
| CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc.* | $5.0B | 52 |
| GOLFAcushnet Holdings Corp.* | $5.0B | 71 |
| REYNReynolds Consumer Products, Inc.* | $5.0B | 78 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few home improvement retail companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Floor & Decor reported fiscal third-quarter earnings growth, managing costs and expanding its professional customer business amid continued pressure on demand for large discretionary home-improvement projects.
Why it matters — FND watchers may note the earnings growth and business expansion alongside ongoing demand pressure in a key discretionary category.
Floor & Decor Holdings held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 29, 2026. The excerpt identifies company executives and participating analysts but provides no earnings results or discussion details.
Why it matters — FND watchers can note the call date and participants, but the excerpt contains no financial or operating information to assess.
Floor & Decor reported quarterly earnings of $0.61 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.57. Earnings were $0.53 per share in the year-ago quarter.
Why it matters — The quarterly result gives FND watchers an update on earnings performance versus analyst consensus and the prior-year period.
A Zacks Investment Research item says Floor & Decor’s Q3 2026 top- and bottom-line results provide one view of performance for the quarter ended September 2026, and points readers to compare key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. The excerpt does not provide the metrics or comparison results.
Why it matters — FND watchers may use those comparisons to assess quarterly performance beyond the headline revenue and earnings figures.
Floor & Decor announced Board leadership changes effective January 1, 2027: Executive Chair Thomas Taylor will become Chair of the Board. The Board also appointed Lauren Taylor Wolfe as a new independent director as part of a succession and refreshment process.
Why it matters — The announcement outlines changes to FND’s Board leadership and composition.
The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $54, with estimates ranging from $38 to $72. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 23 analysts covering Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. 34 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. ranks 34 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 23 analysts implies +13.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. 34 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FND are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $38 to $72 over the next 12 months.
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. returned -26.9% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., a multi-channel specialty retailer focused on hard surface flooring and related accessories.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 30 Oct 2026): "Floor & Decor Q3 Earnings Call Highlights". Floor & Decor reported fiscal third-quarter earnings growth, managing costs and expanding its professional customer business amid continued pressure on demand for large discretionary home-improvement projects.
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., a multi-channel specialty retailer focused on hard surface flooring and related accessories. The company serves homeowners, professional installers, contractors, and commercial buyers through a broad assortment of tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natural stone products, along with installation materials and decorative finishing items. Its business is centered on the home improvement retail market, with an offering designed to support both do-it-yourself projects and professionally installed flooring solutions. Floor & Decor also participates in the commercial surfaces segment, supplying materials used in a range of building and renovation applications. Founded in 2000 and headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. plays a significant role in the specialty flooring category by combining product breadth, in-store selection, and omnichannel distribution for residential and commercial customers.
CEO Mr. Bradley S. Paulsen · 10,469 employees · United States · https://www.flooranddecor.com
