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MTNMTNConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

MTN Stock Forecast: Vail Resorts, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$136
−0.18% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $140 — +2.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$4.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
50 / 100
Median analyst target
$140
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$1.2B−7.0% y/y
Operating income$507.3M
Net income$340.2M
Free cash flow−$28.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.9%
1M
−8.8%
YTD
+5.8%
1Y
−9.0%
From 52W high
−15.0%
From 52W low
+16.1%
$117
$160
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vail Resorts, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
50 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
93
Value
72
Accruals
66
Quality
58
Issuance
58
Momentum
51
Revisions
49
Size
24
Growth
19

Volatility (93): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (19): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTNHigh $195Median $140Low $119

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
5 Buy6 Hold2 Sell
Low $119Median $140High $195

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Aug 2026Goldman SachsInitiatesSell$132
9 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$138 → $119
9 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
9 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
9 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$124 → $126
9 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
9 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$172 → $167
9 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$212 → $195
9 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 June 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$200 → $191
8 June 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
23 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
17 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
12 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
11 Mar 2026Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—
10 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
10 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
10 Mar 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
10 Mar 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
10 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MTN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Vail Resorts, Inc. returned −9.0% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−15.8%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.4×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

Price / book
8.8×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.9×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−7.0%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−19.3%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Gross margin
57.0%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Operating margin
42.1%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
5.5%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.9%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.9%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
6.5%

Higher than 87% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. has a market value of $4.9B and an enterprise value of $8.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter shrank 7.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $176.7M, a 6.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.40.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $173.5M, after $237.6M of capital spending.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. spent $245.0M on share buybacks and $317.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 35.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 29.4×; forward P/E: 21.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 6.51%, paying out 191% of earnings.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. employs 6,800 people — $416K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$4.9B
50
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.6B
74
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$6.0B
51
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.$6.0B
57
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$3.4B
67
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$3.4B
64
WYNNWynn Resorts Ltd.$9.5B
62

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vail Resorts, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTN news & analysis

Baron Focused Growth Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Update

Seeking Alpha · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Baron Focused Growth Fund released its Q2 2026 portfolio update, reporting a 13.26% quarterly gain versus 24.02% for the Russell 2500 Growth Index and noting it held 28 investments as of June 30, 2026. The fund reiterated its commitment to long-term investing in competitively advantaged growth businesses.

Why it matters — The update offers perspective on the fund's holdings and performance context that MTN watchers may find useful given the fund's focus on growth businesses.

Vail Resorts Announces Sue Decker Will Transition Off of Board After Eleven Years of Service

PRNewsWire · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Vail Resorts announced that board member Sue Decker will not stand for reelection at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders after eleven years of service. The board is undertaking an active search for a new director as part of its ongoing commitment to board refreshment.

Why it matters — MTN watchers would care because this board transition reflects the company's ongoing board refreshment efforts and a change in its governance composition.

Shareholder turns on Vail ski resorts in blistering price fixing lawsuit as Epic Pass costs explode

New York Post · 27 Aug 2026negative

A shareholder has filed a lawsuit against Vail Resorts alleging price fixing, as the cost of the company's Epic Pass has risen sharply. The New York Post reports that Vail Resorts is facing this revolt from within.

Why it matters — A price-fixing lawsuit from a shareholder could expose Vail Resorts to legal, reputational, and financial risks tied to its pricing strategy for the Epic Pass.

This Vail Resorts Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bearish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Thursday

Benzinga · 13 Aug 2026negative

Benzinga reports that Wall Street analysts changed their outlooks on top companies, including Vail Resorts, where an analyst began coverage on a bearish note. The article highlights top analyst initiations for Thursday and directs readers to its analyst ratings page for a full list of changes.

Why it matters — A MTN watcher would care because an analyst initiation with a bearish stance can signal a shift in how the market views the company's outlook.

MCS vs. MTN: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a comparison piece examining which of Marcus Corporation (MCS) and Vail Resorts (MTN) currently presents the better value opportunity within the Leisure and Recreation Services sector. The article poses the question of which stock offers investors the stronger value option at this time.

Why it matters — MTN watchers would care because the piece directly evaluates Vail Resorts against a peer on value metrics, offering context for how the company is positioned within its sector.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTN stock

What is the MTN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $119 to $195. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTN stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vail Resorts, Inc. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTN?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Vail Resorts, Inc. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (93 of 100).

Will MTN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +2.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vail Resorts, Inc. 50 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vail Resorts, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $119 to $195 over the next 12 months.

How has MTN stock performed over the past year?

Vail Resorts, Inc. returned -9.0% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vail Resorts, Inc. do?

Vail Resorts Inc. is a mountain resort operator that provides access to ski and snowboard destinations, lodging, dining, retail, and rental services across a network of resorts in North America, Australia, and Switzerland.

What is the latest news on MTN?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 3 Sept 2026): "Baron Focused Growth Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Update". Baron Focused Growth Fund released its Q2 2026 portfolio update, reporting a 13.26% quarterly gain versus 24.02% for the Russell 2500 Growth Index and noting it held 28 investments as of June 30, 2026. The fund reiterated its commitment to long-term investing in competitively advantaged growth businesses.

Company

About Vail Resorts, Inc.

Vail Resorts Inc. is a mountain resort operator that provides access to ski and snowboard destinations, lodging, dining, retail, and rental services across a network of resorts in North America, Australia, and Switzerland. The company’s core offerings center on lift access products, including seasonal pass programs and single-day tickets, supported by ski and snowboard school, equipment rentals, specialty retail, and on-mountain food and beverage operations. Vail Resorts also operates hotels, vacation rentals, condominiums, and other hospitality assets near its resort communities, helping create an integrated travel and leisure experience. Its business is organized around three main segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. Vail Resorts Inc. plays a significant role in outdoor recreation and destination hospitality, serving guests, local communities, and seasonal travelers through a broad portfolio of mountain-based services and properties.

CEO Mr. Robert A. Katz · 6,800 employees · United States · https://www.vailresorts.com