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MTNMTNConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

MTN Stock Forecast: Vail Resorts, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$148
+1.98% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $144 — -3.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$5.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
42 / 100
Median analyst target
$144
Analysts covering
12
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.4%
1M
+0.4%
YTD
+15.3%
1Y
+3.5%
From 52W high
−7.3%
From 52W low
+26.5%
$117
$160
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vail Resorts, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
42 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
88
Value
70
Accruals
66
Issuance
58
Quality
57
Momentum
48
Revisions
38
Size
24
Growth
19

Volatility (88): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (19): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTNHigh $195Median $144Low $119

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says12 analysts
5 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $119Median $144High $195

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −3.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$138 → $119
9 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$124 → $126
9 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$172 → $167
9 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$212 → $195
8 June 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$200 → $191
23 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
17 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
12 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
11 Mar 2026Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—
10 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
10 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
10 Mar 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
10 Mar 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
10 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
13 Jan 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
29 Dec 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
23 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
11 Dec 2025Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
11 Dec 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
9 Dec 2025Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MTN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−15.8%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
32.0×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / book
9.4×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.3×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−7.0%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−19.3%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Gross margin
57.0%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Operating margin
42.1%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
5.5%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.9%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.9%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Dividend yield
6.1%

Higher than 86% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MTN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.2B
42
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.$6.0B
50
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$6.0B
77
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$4.2B
63
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$6.6B
51
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$3.6B
64
WYNNWynn Resorts Ltd.$10.6B
60

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vail Resorts, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTN news & analysis

This Vail Resorts Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bearish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Thursday

Benzinga · 13 Aug 2026negative

Benzinga reports that Wall Street analysts changed their outlooks on top companies, including Vail Resorts, where an analyst began coverage on a bearish note. The article highlights top analyst initiations for Thursday and directs readers to its analyst ratings page for a full list of changes.

Why it matters — A MTN watcher would care because an analyst initiation with a bearish stance can signal a shift in how the market views the company's outlook.

MCS vs. MTN: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a comparison piece examining which of Marcus Corporation (MCS) and Vail Resorts (MTN) currently presents the better value opportunity within the Leisure and Recreation Services sector. The article poses the question of which stock offers investors the stronger value option at this time.

Why it matters — MTN watchers would care because the piece directly evaluates Vail Resorts against a peer on value metrics, offering context for how the company is positioned within its sector.

Bill Hornbuckle Appointed to Vail Resorts Board of Directors

PRNewsWire · 30 July 2026positive

Vail Resorts announced the appointment of Bill Hornbuckle to its board of directors via a July 30 press release.

Why it matters — MTN watchers may view the addition of a new board member as a routine governance update that could bring fresh perspective to the company's strategic oversight.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTN stock

What is the MTN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $144, with estimates ranging from $119 to $195. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTN stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vail Resorts, Inc. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTN?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Vail Resorts, Inc. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (88 of 100).

Will MTN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies -3.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vail Resorts, Inc. 42 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vail Resorts, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $119 to $195 over the next 12 months.

How has MTN stock performed over the past year?

Vail Resorts, Inc. returned +3.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vail Resorts, Inc. do?

Vail Resorts, Inc. is a mountain resort and leisure company that owns and operates a broad portfolio of ski and all-season destinations, primarily in North America and select international markets.

What is the latest news on MTN?

The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 13 Aug 2026): "This Vail Resorts Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bearish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Thursday". Benzinga reports that Wall Street analysts changed their outlooks on top companies, including Vail Resorts, where an analyst began coverage on a bearish note. The article highlights top analyst initiations for Thursday and directs readers to its analyst ratings page for a full list of changes.

Company

About Vail Resorts, Inc.

Vail Resorts, Inc. is a mountain resort and leisure company that owns and operates a broad portfolio of ski and all-season destinations, primarily in North America and select international markets. Headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado, it manages numerous well-known resorts that offer alpine skiing, snowboarding, and a range of summer activities such as hiking and mountain biking. The company’s operations span integrated business segments that include mountain operations, lodging, and associated real estate near its resort properties, providing guests with on-mountain experiences, accommodation, dining, and related services. Vail Resorts focuses on destination and regional visitors, serving both domestic and international guests across the leisure and tourism ecosystem. Its networked portfolio and hospitality services position the company as a significant participant in the consumer cyclical sector, particularly within the resorts and casinos industry, catering to winter sports enthusiasts and year-round outdoor recreation travelers.

CEO Mr. Robert A. Katz · 6,800 employees · United States · https://www.vailresorts.com