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MTN Stock Forecast: Vail Resorts, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$149
−2.04% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $141 — -5.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$141
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$1.2B−7.0% y/y
Operating income$507.3M
Net income$340.2M
Free cash flow−$28.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.9%
1M
+8.0%
YTD
+18.0%
1Y
+3.2%
From 52W high
−5.2%
From 52W low
+29.5%
$115
$158
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vail Resorts, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Issuance
88
Accruals
76
Momentum
74
Value
65
Quality
57
Revisions
43
Size
22
Growth
20

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (20): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTNHigh $192Median $141Low $117

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
5 Buy7 Hold2 Sell
Low $117Median $141High $192

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Oct 2026Ladenburg ThalmannInitiatesBuy$192
12 Oct 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$157 → $172
30 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
30 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$147 → $142
29 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
29 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$119 → $117
29 Sept 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold$138 → $132
29 Sept 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
29 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$126 → $150
29 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
29 Sept 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$160 → $156
29 Sept 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
29 Sept 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$161 → $157
29 Sept 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
29 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$195 → $191
29 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
29 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$125 → $130
29 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
24 Sept 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
24 Sept 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$174 → $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MTN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Vail Resorts, Inc. returned +3.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−12.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.3×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.9×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / book
22.1×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.9×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.5%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−7.0%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
57.0%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Operating margin
−73.7%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Net margin
5.2%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
26.0%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.9%

Higher than 94% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. has a market value of $5.3B and an enterprise value of $8.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter grew 2.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $176.7M, a 6.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.40.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $173.5M, after $237.6M of capital spending.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. spent $245.0M on share buybacks and $317.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 35.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 36.3×; forward P/E: 22.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.94%, paying out 216% of earnings.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. employs 6,500 people — $436K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.3B
64
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$5.3B
47
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.1B
70
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.$6.0B
62
MGMMGM Resorts International$7.4B
57
WYNNWynn Resorts Ltd.$7.7B
57
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$3.6B
70

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vail Resorts, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTN news & analysis

Vail Resorts vs Host Hotels: Which Leisure Dividend Can Weather the Next Soft Patch?

24/7 Wall Street · 14 Oct 2026negative

The article compares Vail Resorts with Host Hotels, describing Vail as having endured a snow-starved winter with thin margins while Host benefited from World Cup crowds and Maui’s recovery. It frames the companies’ dividends in terms of resilience to a potential downturn.

Why it matters — MTN watchers may find the comparison relevant because it highlights questions about Vail’s margins and dividend resilience during a weak period.

LTH vs. MTN: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares Life Time Group Holdings (LTH) and Vail Resorts (MTN) as potential value investments in the Leisure and Recreation Services sector, asking which offers the better value opportunity.

Why it matters — The comparison puts MTN in a value-focused stock discussion alongside LTH, though the excerpt provides no conclusion about which is the better value.

Vail Resorts' 6.47% Dividend Faces Weather Risk as Free Cash Flow Falls Short

24/7 Wall Street · 2 Oct 2026negative

Vail Resorts is paying a 6.47% dividend while borrowing money to fund it, as its free cash flow falls short. Management is counting on normal snowfall to avoid repeating what the CEO described as the worst weather the company has ever faced.

Why it matters — MTN watchers would care because heavy borrowing to fund the dividend and reliance on favorable snowfall could strain the company's finances if weather conditions remain poor.

These Analysts Revise Their Forecasts On Vail Resorts Following Q4 Results

Benzinga · 29 Sept 2026neutral

Vail Resorts reported mixed fourth-quarter results on Monday, prompting analysts to revise their forecasts for the company following the release.

Why it matters — Analyst forecast revisions following quarterly results can signal how Wall Street views MTN's near-term outlook.

Vail Resorts Launches Epic Ascent, Bringing Concierge Services and Personalized Experiences to Private Ski Lessons

PRNewsWire · 29 Sept 2026positive

Vail Resorts announced Epic Ascent private lessons at Vail Mountain and Beaver Creek, featuring concierge services, white-glove gear rental, high-touch support, and skip-the-lift-line access for individuals or groups up to six. The company also plans to expand its connected Ski & Ride School in the My Epic app to 14 resorts, with Epic Pass holders eligible for a 20% savings on group lessons and equipment rentals before pass prices rise after October 7.

Why it matters — This new premium private lesson offering and expanded digital ski school could enhance guest experiences and drive revenue at core destinations for MTN.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTN stock

What is the MTN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $141, with estimates ranging from $117 to $192. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTN stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vail Resorts, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTN?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Vail Resorts, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

Will MTN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies -5.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vail Resorts, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vail Resorts, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $117 to $192 over the next 12 months.

How has MTN stock performed over the past year?

Vail Resorts, Inc. returned +3.2% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vail Resorts, Inc. do?

Vail Resorts Inc. is a mountain resort operator that provides access to ski and snowboard destinations, lodging, dining, retail, and rental services across a network of resorts in North America, Australia, and Switzerland.

What is the latest news on MTN?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 14 Oct 2026): "Vail Resorts vs Host Hotels: Which Leisure Dividend Can Weather the Next Soft Patch?". The article compares Vail Resorts with Host Hotels, describing Vail as having endured a snow-starved winter with thin margins while Host benefited from World Cup crowds and Maui’s recovery. It frames the companies’ dividends in terms of resilience to a potential downturn.

Company

About Vail Resorts, Inc.

Vail Resorts Inc. is a mountain resort operator that provides access to ski and snowboard destinations, lodging, dining, retail, and rental services across a network of resorts in North America, Australia, and Switzerland. The company’s core offerings center on lift access products, including seasonal pass programs and single-day tickets, supported by ski and snowboard school, equipment rentals, specialty retail, and on-mountain food and beverage operations. Vail Resorts also operates hotels, vacation rentals, condominiums, and other hospitality assets near its resort communities, helping create an integrated travel and leisure experience. Its business is organized around three main segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. Vail Resorts Inc. plays a significant role in outdoor recreation and destination hospitality, serving guests, local communities, and seasonal travelers through a broad portfolio of mountain-based services and properties.

CEO Mr. Robert A. Katz · 6,500 employees · United States · https://www.vailresorts.com