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MTN Stock Forecast: Vail Resorts, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$138
−1.59% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $139 — +0.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$5.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
49 / 100
Median analyst target
$139
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$1.2B−7.0% y/y
Operating income$507.3M
Net income$340.2M
Free cash flow−$28.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.0%
1M
−8.1%
YTD
+7.1%
1Y
−1.5%
From 52W high
−13.9%
From 52W low
+17.6%
$117
$160
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vail Resorts, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
49 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Accruals
66
Value
66
Momentum
61
Quality
58
Issuance
58
Revisions
44
Size
23
Growth
19

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (19): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MTN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTNHigh $195Median $139Low $119

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
4 Buy7 Hold2 Sell
Low $119Median $139High $195

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Sept 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsHold$134 → $138
13 Aug 2026Goldman SachsInitiatesSell$132
9 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$138 → $119
9 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
9 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
9 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$124 → $126
9 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
9 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$172 → $167
9 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
9 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$212 → $195
8 June 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
8 June 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$200 → $191
23 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
17 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
12 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
11 Mar 2026Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—
10 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
10 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
10 Mar 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
10 Mar 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MTN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Vail Resorts, Inc. returned −1.5% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MTNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−15.8%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
30.0×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / book
9.0×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.0×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−7.0%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−19.3%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
57.0%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Operating margin
42.1%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
5.5%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.9%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.9%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
6.4%

Higher than 86% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Vail Resorts, Inc. (MTN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. has a market value of $5.0B and an enterprise value of $8.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $2.8B. The latest quarter shrank 7.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $176.7M, a 6.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.40.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $173.5M, after $237.6M of capital spending.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. spent $245.0M on share buybacks and $317.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 35.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 30.0×; forward P/E: 22.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 6.39%, paying out 191% of earnings.

  • Vail Resorts, Inc. employs 6,800 people — $416K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · market figures as at 23 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.0B
49
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.2B
72
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$5.4B
49
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.$6.0B
59
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$3.5B
68
WYNNWynn Resorts Ltd.$8.5B
62
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$2.9B
61

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vail Resorts, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTN news & analysis

Unlocking Q4 Potential of Vail Resorts (MTN): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Zacks Investment Research · 23 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research examines Wall Street estimates for Vail Resorts' performance in the quarter ended July 2026, going beyond top-and-bottom-line figures to look at key metrics. The item previews deeper insight into the company's potential quarterly results.

Why it matters — MTN watchers would gain a more granular view of the company's upcoming financial performance beyond headline revenue and earnings estimates.

Vail Resorts (MTN) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Sept 2026positive

Zacks reports that Vail Resorts (MTN) has the right combination of key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The article outlines expectations ahead of the earnings release.

Why it matters — MTN watchers follow this item because a likely earnings beat could shape expectations for the company's upcoming quarterly results and investor sentiment.

Ski or Ride 4 Days at Vail Mountain, Whistler Blackcomb, Park City Mountain and More for $471, Just $118/Day, with Epic Day Pass

PRNewsWire · 21 Sept 2026positive

Vail Resorts is promoting its Epic Day Pass, offering four days of skiing or riding at destinations such as Vail Mountain, Whistler Blackcomb, and Park City Mountain for $471, about $118 per day. The pass must be purchased by October 7 to save up to 65% compared to window lift ticket prices.

Why it matters — A MTN watcher would care because Epic Day Pass sales and early purchase deadlines are key indicators of season pass demand and advance revenue for Vail Resorts.

Personal Principles as An Investment Screener

ETF Trends · 19 Sept 2026neutral

The article from ETF Trends discusses using personal principles as an investment screener. The excerpt describes the author's recent move to Southeast Wyoming, an adjustment from living at near sea-level and in high humidity.

Why it matters — A MTN watcher might note the Mountain West setting referenced in the excerpt, though the piece centers on an investment-screening approach rather than Vail Resorts specifically.

Vail Resorts Likely To Report Q4 Loss; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call

Benzinga · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Vail Resorts is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter earnings after the market closes on Monday, Sept. 28, with analysts revising their forecasts ahead of the call and expecting the company to report a quarterly loss.

Why it matters — A Vail Resorts watcher would care because the upcoming earnings release and revised analyst forecasts could signal how the company is performing heading into the next quarter.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTN stock

What is the MTN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $139, with estimates ranging from $119 to $195. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTN stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Vail Resorts, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vail Resorts, Inc. 49 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTN?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Vail Resorts, Inc. ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

Will MTN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +0.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vail Resorts, Inc. 49 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vail Resorts, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $119 to $195 over the next 12 months.

How has MTN stock performed over the past year?

Vail Resorts, Inc. returned -1.5% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vail Resorts, Inc. do?

Vail Resorts Inc. is a mountain resort operator that provides access to ski and snowboard destinations, lodging, dining, retail, and rental services across a network of resorts in North America, Australia, and Switzerland.

What is the latest news on MTN?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 23 Sept 2026): "Unlocking Q4 Potential of Vail Resorts (MTN): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics". Zacks Investment Research examines Wall Street estimates for Vail Resorts' performance in the quarter ended July 2026, going beyond top-and-bottom-line figures to look at key metrics. The item previews deeper insight into the company's potential quarterly results.

Company

About Vail Resorts, Inc.

Vail Resorts Inc. is a mountain resort operator that provides access to ski and snowboard destinations, lodging, dining, retail, and rental services across a network of resorts in North America, Australia, and Switzerland. The company’s core offerings center on lift access products, including seasonal pass programs and single-day tickets, supported by ski and snowboard school, equipment rentals, specialty retail, and on-mountain food and beverage operations. Vail Resorts also operates hotels, vacation rentals, condominiums, and other hospitality assets near its resort communities, helping create an integrated travel and leisure experience. Its business is organized around three main segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. Vail Resorts Inc. plays a significant role in outdoor recreation and destination hospitality, serving guests, local communities, and seasonal travelers through a broad portfolio of mountain-based services and properties.

CEO Mr. Robert A. Katz · 6,800 employees · United States · https://www.vailresorts.com