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MGM Stock Forecast: MGM Resorts International Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$40
−2.06% on the day

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering MGM Resorts International hold a median 12-month price target of $50 — +25.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 65 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$10.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
65 / 100
Median analyst target
$50
Analysts covering
22
Revenue$4.5B+1.0% y/y
Operating income$302.2M
Net income$322.8M
Free cash flow$317.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.0%
1M
−9.6%
YTD
+9.3%
1Y
+12.9%
From 52W high
−21.3%
From 52W low
+29.9%
$31
$51
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MGM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MGM Resorts International on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
65 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
99
Accruals
84
Value
69
Volatility
68
Momentum
62
Revisions
55
Quality
39
Growth
35
Size
15

Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (35): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MGM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MGM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MGMHigh $60Median $50Low $43

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says22 analysts
9 Buy11 Hold2 Sell
Low $43Median $50High $60

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$45 → $55
17 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$54 → $55
30 July 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
30 July 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$52 → $54
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$52 → $53
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$39 → $48
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 July 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$46 → $52
7 July 2026Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight—
7 July 2026Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight$33 → $48
15 June 2026StifelDowngradeHold—
12 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
4 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
3 June 2026CBREDowngradeHold—
27 May 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
27 May 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
19 May 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
1 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MGM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MGM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, MGM Resorts International returned +12.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MGM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140150Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MGMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MGM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.8%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

MGM Resorts International (MGM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.2×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Price / book
4.0×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.1×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
497.4%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
44.5%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.8%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Net margin
2.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
18.9%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

MGM Resorts International (MGM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • MGM Resorts International has a market value of $10.2B and an enterprise value of $38.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $17.8B. The latest quarter grew 1.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $673.6M, a 3.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.65.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B, after $968.5M of capital spending.

  • MGM Resorts International spent $773.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 251.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 24.2×; forward P/E: 19.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.03%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • MGM Resorts International employs 60,000 people — $296K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MGM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MGMMGM Resorts International$10.2B
65
WYNNWynn Resorts Ltd.$9.1B
63
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.$6.0B
54
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$5.9B
49
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.6B
74
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.0B
50
LVSLas Vegas Sands Corp.$27.7B
84

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MGM Resorts International — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MGM news & analysis

MGM Stock Slips 14% in 3 Months: Is the Pullback a Buying Opportunity?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026negative

MGM's stock has fallen 13.9% over the past three months, bringing its growth plans into focus. However, uneven Las Vegas demand, ongoing digital losses, and heavy spending on the Osaka project cloud the investment case for the company.

Why it matters — MGM watchers would follow this because the recent price slide and the headwinds of Vegas demand, digital losses, and Osaka spending affect the outlook for the company's growth plans and financial performance.

BetMGM Named Official Sports Betting and Online Casino Partner of the Minnesota Vikings in Canada

GlobeNewsWire · 10 Sept 2026positive

BetMGM has been named the Official Sports Betting and Online Casino partner of the Minnesota Vikings in Canada. The agreement includes the launch of an exclusive Vikings-themed casino game ahead of the football season.

Why it matters — This partnership expands BetMGM's brand reach and market presence in Canada through a major NFL team affiliation, potentially boosting MGM's sports betting and online casino operations.

BetMGM Debuts Comprehensive Slate of Product and Pricing Enhancements for Football Season

PRNewsWire · 9 Sept 2026positive

BetMGM unveiled its 2026-27 football season lineup, featuring product innovations, weekly promotions, and legendary experiences such as Legendary Thursdays, BetDefense, and an Ultimate Teams free-to-play offering. The announcement highlights "It Happens Here" at BetMGM.

Why it matters — BetMGM is a joint venture of MGM Resorts International, so its expanded football-season product and promotional slate reflects ongoing investment and engagement in a key sports-betting segment.

‘Gambling with our lives': Anthropic researcher quits, warns against self-improving AI

TechCrunch · 9 Sept 2026neutral

An Anthropic researcher has resigned, warning that unrestrained development of self-improving AI models could threaten human lives. The resignation reflects growing concerns within the AI industry about the risks of advanced autonomous systems.

Why it matters — While unrelated to MGM's operations, this news highlights broader technology and regulatory trends that could influence the business environment in which MGM operates.

MGM Legal Notice: BFA Law Notifies MGM Resorts Shareholders of the Ongoing Investigation into the $48.30 per share Offer

GlobeNewsWire · 9 Sept 2026neutral

Bleichmar Fonti & Auld LLP, a securities law firm, announced it is investigating Barry Diller's bid to acquire MGM Resorts International at $48.30 per share. The firm is notifying MGM shareholders about the ongoing investigation into the offer.

Why it matters — The law firm investigation introduces legal and regulatory scrutiny around the proposed acquisition that MGM shareholders would want to monitor.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MGM stock

What is the MGM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering MGM Resorts International have a median 12-month price target of $50, with estimates ranging from $43 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MGM stock a buy right now?

Of the 22 analysts covering MGM Resorts International, 9 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MGM Resorts International 65 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MGM?

As at 12 Sept 2026, MGM Resorts International ranks 65 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).

Will MGM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +25.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MGM Resorts International 65 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MGM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MGM Resorts International publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MGM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $60 over the next 12 months.

How has MGM stock performed over the past year?

MGM Resorts International returned +12.9% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MGM Resorts International do?

MGM Resorts International is a global gaming and entertainment company that owns and operates destination resort properties in the United States and abroad. The company’s portfolio includes casino resorts, hotels, convention and meeting spaces, restaurants, nightlife, retail, and live entertainment experiences.

What is the latest news on MGM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 10 Sept 2026): "MGM Stock Slips 14% in 3 Months: Is the Pullback a Buying Opportunity?". MGM's stock has fallen 13.9% over the past three months, bringing its growth plans into focus. However, uneven Las Vegas demand, ongoing digital losses, and heavy spending on the Osaka project cloud the investment case for the company.

Company

About MGM Resorts International.

MGM Resorts International is a global gaming and entertainment company that owns and operates destination resort properties in the United States and abroad. The company’s portfolio includes casino resorts, hotels, convention and meeting spaces, restaurants, nightlife, retail, and live entertainment experiences. Its operations are organized across major business segments such as Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital, reflecting a mix of traditional resort operations and online gaming services. MGM Resorts International serves leisure travelers, business groups, convention guests, and gaming customers through well-known brands including Bellagio, MGM Grand, Mandalay Bay, Aria, and Park MGM. Headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, MGM Resorts International plays a significant role in the hospitality and casino gaming market by combining large-scale resort operations with digital betting and entertainment offerings.

CEO Mr. William Joseph Hornbuckle IV · 60,000 employees · United States · https://www.mgmresorts.com