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MGM Stock Forecast: MGM Resorts International Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$30
−1.77% on the day

The 23 Wall Street analysts covering MGM Resorts International hold a median 12-month price target of $48 — +61.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$7.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$48
Analysts covering
23
Revenue$4.5B+1.0% y/y
Operating income$302.2M
Net income$322.8M
Free cash flow$317.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.4%
1M
−27.2%
YTD
−17.8%
1Y
−9.4%
From 52W high
−40.8%
From 52W low
0.0%
$30
$51
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MGM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MGM Resorts International on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
99
Accruals
83
Value
75
Revisions
48
Momentum
46
Volatility
43
Quality
39
Growth
35
Size
18

Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (35): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (18): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MGM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MGM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$25$30$35$40$45$50$55$60Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MGMHigh $57Median $48Low $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says23 analysts
10 Buy11 Hold2 Sell
Low $40Median $48High $57

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +61.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 Sept 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$55
24 Sept 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$60 → $55
11 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$50 → $46
11 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
17 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy—
17 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$45 → $55
17 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$54 → $55
17 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
30 July 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$52 → $54
30 July 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$52 → $53
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$39 → $48
9 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
7 July 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$46 → $52
7 July 2026Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight—
7 July 2026Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight$33 → $48
15 June 2026StifelDowngradeHold—
12 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MGM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MGM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, MGM Resorts International returned −9.4% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MGM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MGMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MGM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−3.0%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

MGM Resorts International (MGM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.9×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

Price / book
3.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.1×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
497.4%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Gross margin
44.5%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.8%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Net margin
2.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
18.9%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 62% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

MGM Resorts International (MGM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • MGM Resorts International has a market value of $7.7B and an enterprise value of $35.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $17.8B. The latest quarter grew 1.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $673.6M, a 3.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.65.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B, after $968.5M of capital spending.

  • MGM Resorts International spent $773.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 251.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.9×; forward P/E: 15.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.04%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • MGM Resorts International employs 60,000 people — $296K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MGM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MGMMGM Resorts International$7.7B
56
WYNNWynn Resorts Ltd.$8.0B
60
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.$6.0B
61
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$5.5B
43
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.2B
59
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.1B
72
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$3.6B
68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MGM Resorts International — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MGM news & analysis

BetMGM Voted Most Trusted Online Casino Brand* in the 2026 BrandSpark Most Trusted® Awards

PRNewsWire · 7 Oct 2026positive

BetMGM announced it was voted America’s Most Trusted Online Casino Brand in the 2026 BrandSpark American Trust Study, based on an independent study of more than 35,000 U.S. consumers. The study was presented in partnership with Newsweek.

Why it matters — BetMGM is a sports betting and iGaming operator, so the recognition is relevant to MGM watchers following the company’s brand and gaming business.

Notice of BetMGM Q3 2026 Update and Conference Call

PRNewsWire · 6 Oct 2026neutral

BetMGM, jointly owned by MGM Resorts and Entain, will release a business update for July 1–September 30, 2026, on October 13, 2026.

Why it matters — The update will provide information about BetMGM, a business jointly owned by MGM Resorts.

New Strong Sell Stocks for October 5th

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Oct 2026negative

MGM Resorts International was added to the Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on October 5th, 2026, along with APLD and JAKK. This designation follows Zacks Investment Research's ranking methodology.

Why it matters — A Strong Sell rating from Zacks signals a negative outlook for MGM that could influence investor perception.

MGM Resorts Stock Sinks After Diller Deal Collapse: Overreaction or Warning?

MarketBeat · 4 Oct 2026negative

MGM Resorts International stock has fallen about 17% in 2026, with most of that decline occurring since the beginning of June following the collapse of the Diller deal. The article examines whether the drop is an overreaction or a warning sign for the company.

Why it matters — A MGM watcher would care because the significant stock decline following the failed Diller deal raises questions about the company's near-term outlook and investor sentiment.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MGM stock

What is the MGM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 23 Wall Street analysts covering MGM Resorts International have a median 12-month price target of $48, with estimates ranging from $40 to $57. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MGM stock a buy right now?

Of the 23 analysts covering MGM Resorts International, 10 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MGM Resorts International 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MGM?

As at 6 Oct 2026, MGM Resorts International ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).

Will MGM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 23 analysts implies +61.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MGM Resorts International 56 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MGM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MGM Resorts International publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MGM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $57 over the next 12 months.

How has MGM stock performed over the past year?

MGM Resorts International returned -9.4% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MGM Resorts International do?

MGM Resorts International is a global gaming and entertainment company that owns and operates destination resort properties in the United States and abroad. The company’s portfolio includes casino resorts, hotels, convention and meeting spaces, restaurants, nightlife, retail, and live entertainment experiences.

What is the latest news on MGM?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 7 Oct 2026): "BetMGM Voted Most Trusted Online Casino Brand* in the 2026 BrandSpark Most Trusted® Awards". BetMGM announced it was voted America’s Most Trusted Online Casino Brand in the 2026 BrandSpark American Trust Study, based on an independent study of more than 35,000 U.S. consumers. The study was presented in partnership with Newsweek.

Company

About MGM Resorts International.

MGM Resorts International is a global gaming and entertainment company that owns and operates destination resort properties in the United States and abroad. The company’s portfolio includes casino resorts, hotels, convention and meeting spaces, restaurants, nightlife, retail, and live entertainment experiences. Its operations are organized across major business segments such as Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, MGM China, and MGM Digital, reflecting a mix of traditional resort operations and online gaming services. MGM Resorts International serves leisure travelers, business groups, convention guests, and gaming customers through well-known brands including Bellagio, MGM Grand, Mandalay Bay, Aria, and Park MGM. Headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, MGM Resorts International plays a significant role in the hospitality and casino gaming market by combining large-scale resort operations with digital betting and entertainment offerings.

CEO Mr. William Joseph Hornbuckle IV · 60,000 employees · United States · https://www.mgmresorts.com