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VACVACConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

VAC Stock Forecast: Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$101
−0.10% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $132 — +31.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 68 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
68 / 100
Median analyst target
$132
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$1.3B+5.9% y/y
Operating income$170.0M
Net income$77.0M
Free cash flow$66.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.0%
1M
−11.2%
YTD
+79.9%
1Y
+44.8%
From 52W high
−18.6%
From 52W low
+131.2%
$44
$124
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VAC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
68 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
91
Accruals
83
Momentum
82
Value
72
Issuance
69
Volatility
37
Size
28
Growth
25
Quality
17

Revisions (91): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Quality (17): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VAC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VAC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VACHigh $147Median $132Low $65

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
7 Buy2 Hold3 Sell
Low $65Median $132High $147

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +31.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$97 → $134
7 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$94 → $140
7 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$68 → $101
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight$51 → $52
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
14 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$66 → $68
14 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
30 June 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy—
12 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
7 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
6 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
10 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
9 Mar 2026CitizensDowngradeMarket Perform—
5 Mar 2026MizuhoUpgradeOutperform—
2 Mar 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
27 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
26 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
26 Feb 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VAC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

VAC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. returned +44.8% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

VAC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VACS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

VAC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+14.6%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (VAC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.7×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

Price / book
1.7×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.2×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.7%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
11.6%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Gross margin
41.3%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Operating margin
18.5%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Net margin
−9.8%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−14.7%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.8%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 65% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (VAC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. has a market value of $3.5B and an enterprise value of $8.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.2B. The latest quarter grew 9.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$334.0M, a −6.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−9.74.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $99.0M, after $45.0M of capital spending.

  • Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. spent $25.0M on share buybacks and $109.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 34.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.7×; forward P/E: 10.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.14%, paying out 69% of earnings.

  • Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. employs 21,100 people — $245K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

VAC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$3.5B
68
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$2.9B
61
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.0B
49
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.2B
72
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$5.4B
49
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.$2.1B
98
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.$2.1B
69

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VAC news & analysis

Marriott Vacations Stock Jumps 46% in 6 Months: Is More Upside Ahead?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026positive

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (VAC) shares have risen 46% over the past six months, a rally attributed to stronger contract sales, improving cash flow, cost discipline, and a discounted valuation according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — The report highlights drivers behind VAC's recent stock appreciation that investors following the company would want to consider.

Best Income Stocks to Buy for September 8th

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026positive

On September 8, 2026, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (VAC), along with HPQ and E, was added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) income stocks list.

Why it matters — A VAC watcher would care because inclusion on Zacks' Strong Buy income stock list signals positive analyst recognition of the company's income potential.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend

Business Wire · 2 Sept 2026positive

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation announced that its Board of Directors authorized a quarterly cash dividend of $0.80 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on or around September 30, 2026, to stockholders of record as of the close of business on September 16, 2026.

Why it matters — The declaration of a quarterly cash dividend signals the company's ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Why Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) as a top momentum stock for the long term. The report references the Zacks Style Scores as a tool for identifying strong, market-beating stocks.

Why it matters — A VAC watcher would note that the company is being recommended in a prominent stock-research ranking focused on long-term momentum.

New Strong Buy Stocks for August 31st

Zacks Investment Research · 31 Aug 2026neutral

On August 31st, Zacks Investment Research added five stocks to its Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) list. The specific companies included are not identified in the excerpt.

Why it matters — The report does not mention Marriott Vacations Worldwide, so it carries no direct news or rating change for VAC watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VAC stock

What is the VAC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $132, with estimates ranging from $65 to $147. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VAC stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp., 7 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. 68 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VAC?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. ranks 68 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (91 of 100).

Will VAC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +31.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. 68 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VAC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VAC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $65 to $147 over the next 12 months.

How has VAC stock performed over the past year?

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. returned +44.8% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. do?

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that provides vacation ownership, exchange, rental, and resort management services. Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation operates a portfolio of branded programs and products that includes Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residences by Marriott, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, Hyatt Vacation Club, and related vacation ownership offerings.

What is the latest news on VAC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 10 Sept 2026): "Marriott Vacations Stock Jumps 46% in 6 Months: Is More Upside Ahead?". Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. (VAC) shares have risen 46% over the past six months, a rally attributed to stronger contract sales, improving cash flow, cost discipline, and a discounted valuation according to Zacks Investment Research.

Company

About Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that provides vacation ownership, exchange, rental, and resort management services. Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation operates a portfolio of branded programs and products that includes Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residences by Marriott, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, Hyatt Vacation Club, and related vacation ownership offerings. The company also manages exchange networks, membership programs, and third-party resort and property management services through its broader vacation business. Its operations serve travelers, owners, and resort partners across leisure and lodging markets, making it a significant participant in the global vacation ownership industry. Based in Orlando, Florida, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation focuses on delivering branded vacation experiences and managing a range of hospitality assets and related services.

CEO Mr. Matthew E. Avril CPA · 21,100 employees · United States · https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com