VACConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & CasinosThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $123 — +1.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (88): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Quality (17): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VAC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +1.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $94 → $140 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $68 → $101 |
| 17 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $51 → $52 |
| 17 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $66 → $68 |
| 14 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 30 June 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 7 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Citizens | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Mar 2026 | Mizuho | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Underweight | — |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VAC appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Cheaper than 66% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research published an article asking whether Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) has what it takes to be a top momentum stock, inviting momentum investors to consider the company's prospects.
Why it matters — A VAC watcher would care because the piece evaluates whether the company is positioned to attract momentum-focused investors.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide reported second-quarter results that exceeded the high end of its guidance for contract sales and adjusted EBITDA. The company attributed the performance to higher sales productivity, stronger owner engagement, and new commercial programs.
Why it matters — A VAC watcher would care because the company surpassed the top of its own guidance for key metrics like contract sales and adjusted EBITDA.
A Zacks Investment Research article identified Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) as a stock passing its "Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain" screening, suggesting it has strong recent momentum while still trading at a reasonable price.
Why it matters — VAC watchers would care because the article highlights the stock's combination of momentum and valuation, which could draw increased investor attention.
Marriott Vacations' stock rallied 40% over the past year, driven by robust VOI sales and resilient recurring revenue. Q2 results beat expectations, with adjusted EBITDA up 6% and contract sales rising 22%, prompting the company to raise its full-year EBITDA and EPS guidance.
Why it matters — The stronger-than-anticipated VOI demand and improved profitability outlook, reflected in raised guidance, are directly relevant to VAC's performance and earnings trajectory.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and the transcript of that call has been published by Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — The Q2 2026 earnings call transcript provides investors with the company's own commentary on its quarterly performance and outlook.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $123, with estimates ranging from $52 to $147. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp., 7 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Aug 2026, Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (88 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +1.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. 63 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VAC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $52 to $147 over the next 12 months.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp. returned +67.9% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a leading vacation ownership company operating in the leisure and hospitality industry. It develops, markets, sells, and manages vacation ownership products under prominent brands including Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residences by Marriott, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, The Ritz-Carlton Destination Club, and Hyatt Residence Club.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?". Zacks Investment Research published an article asking whether Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) has what it takes to be a top momentum stock, inviting momentum investors to consider the company's prospects.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a leading vacation ownership company operating in the leisure and hospitality industry. It develops, markets, sells, and manages vacation ownership products under prominent brands including Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residences by Marriott, Sheraton Vacation Club, Westin Vacation Club, The Ritz-Carlton Destination Club, and Hyatt Residence Club. These offerings provide luxurious vacation packages and timeshare interests primarily in the United States, with additional properties in Europe and the Asia Pacific region. The company also provides purchase money financing to buyers of its vacation ownership products. Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation operates through two key segments: Vacation Ownership, which generates the majority of revenue from sales and management of ownership interests, and Exchange & Third-Party Management, encompassing exchange networks like Interval International and Trading Places International, along with resort management services under brands such as Vacation Resorts International and Aqua-Aston. This structure enables comprehensive vacation experiences, including exchanges, rentals, and property management for third parties.
CEO Mr. Matthew E. Avril CPA · 21,100 employees · United States · https://www.marriottvacationsworldwide.com