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HGV Stock Forecast: Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$35
−1.39% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $51 — +47.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$2.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$51
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$1.4B+7.3% y/y
Operating income$153.0M
Net income$15.0M
Free cash flow$113.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.3%
1M
−10.3%
YTD
−22.5%
1Y
−19.4%
From 52W high
−36.6%
From 52W low
+1.9%
$34
$55
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HGV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
91
Growth
79
Quality
65
Issuance
64
Accruals
53
Volatility
45
Momentum
44
Revisions
43
Size
30

Value (91): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Revisions (43): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Size (30): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HGV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HGV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HGVHigh $74Median $51Low $39

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
4 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $39Median $51High $74

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +47.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Oct 2026JP MorganInitiatesNeutral$39
10 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
10 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$71 → $69
18 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$58 → $54
18 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
3 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$55 → $47
3 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$51 → $46
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$75 → $74
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$55 → $58
18 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Mar 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
2 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
2 Mar 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HGV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HGV vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned −19.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HGV vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HGVS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HGV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−12.1%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. (HGV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.0×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 79% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.2×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.2%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−52.0%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.7%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.7%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
3.2%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.5%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.3%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. (HGV) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. has a market value of $2.7B and an enterprise value of $10.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.3B. The latest quarter grew 6.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $166.0M, a 3.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.77.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $342.0M, after $121.0M of capital spending.

  • Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. spent $600.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 78.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 20.0×; forward P/E: 6.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. employs 22,300 people — $237K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HGV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$2.7B
63
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$3.6B
70
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.$2.1B
97
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.$1.9B
72
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.1B
70
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$5.3B
47
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.3B
64

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HGV news & analysis

Hilton Grand Vacations Sets the Stage for 2027 HGV Tournament of Champions with Musical Lineup

Business Wire · 7 Oct 2026positive

Hilton Grand Vacations said its Tournament of Champions will return to Lake Nona Golf & Country Club from Feb. 4–7, 2027, with recent LPGA Tour champions and a celebrity field. The event will mark HGV’s sixth year as tournament host.

Why it matters — The tournament is an HGV-hosted sports and entertainment event, making its return relevant to the company’s experiences and brand activities.

Hilton Grand Vacations: Overdone Macro Fears Create A Significant Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 5 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha upgraded Hilton Grand Vacations to 'strong buy,' citing over 50% upside potential and a $55 price target. The upgrade is based on resilient recurring revenue, improving credit quality, and an aggressive buyback program with a 20%+ capital return yield, despite macro headwinds and weak VOI sales.

Why it matters — The upgrade highlights HGV's recurring revenue stability and strong capital returns, which could reassure investors concerned about macro pressures and softening timeshare sales.

Hilton Grand Vacations Opens Ka Haku, a Hilton Club in Waikiki

Business Wire · 2 Oct 2026positive

Hilton Grand Vacations opened Ka Haku, a Hilton Club, in Waikiki, marking the company's 14th resort in Hawaii and its first Hilton Club-branded property in the state. The property offers 205 studios and one-, two-, and three-bedroom suites with ocean, mountain, and city views.

Why it matters — This expansion adds a new Hilton Club-branded property to HGV's Hawaii portfolio, introducing a boutique ownership experience in a key vacation market.

Hilton Grand Vacations to Participate in Fireside Chat at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference

Business Wire · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Hilton Grand Vacations announced that president and CFO Dan Mathewes will participate in a live fireside chat at the Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference on Thursday, Sept. 10 at noon ET. A live webcast will be available on the Investor Relations website's Events & Presentations section.

Why it matters — HGV watchers may gain insight into the company's outlook through the CFO's public remarks at a major investor conference.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HGV stock

What is the HGV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $51, with estimates ranging from $39 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HGV stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HGV?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (91 of 100).

Will HGV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +47.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 63 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HGV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HGV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $39 to $74 over the next 12 months.

How has HGV stock performed over the past year?

Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned -19.4% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. do?

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates resort-based timeshare products and club memberships.

What is the latest news on HGV?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 7 Oct 2026): "Hilton Grand Vacations Sets the Stage for 2027 HGV Tournament of Champions with Musical Lineup". Hilton Grand Vacations said its Tournament of Champions will return to Lake Nona Golf & Country Club from Feb. 4–7, 2027, with recent LPGA Tour champions and a celebrity field. The event will mark HGV’s sixth year as tournament host.

Company

About Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates resort-based timeshare products and club memberships. The company focuses on vacation ownership interests, points-based club programs, and ancillary reservation services that give members access to branded resorts and travel benefits. Its business is organized around real estate sales and financing, alongside resort operations and club management, supporting both new sales and ongoing member services. Hilton Grand Vacations serves leisure travelers through a portfolio of branded resort properties and exchange options in popular destinations across the United States, Europe, Japan, and other international markets. Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, Hilton Grand Vacations plays a significant role in the global vacation ownership market by combining hospitality, resort management, and consumer financing under one platform.

CEO Mr. Mark D. Wang · 22,300 employees · United States · https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com