HGVConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & CasinosThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $51 — +45.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 61 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (90): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Revisions (36): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.
Size (30): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HGV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +45.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $71 → $69 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $58 → $54 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $55 → $47 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $51 → $46 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $75 → $74 |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $55 → $58 |
| 17 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 18 May 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HGV appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned −18.7% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 79% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. has a market value of $2.8B and an enterprise value of $10.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.3B. The latest quarter grew 6.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $166.0M, a 3.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.77.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $342.0M, after $121.0M of capital spending.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. spent $600.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 20.2×; forward P/E: 6.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. employs 22,300 people — $237K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. presented at the Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference, with a transcript of the presentation published on Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — Conference presentations give HGV watchers insight into the company's current positioning and thinking as presented directly to investors and analysts.
Hilton Grand Vacations announced that president and CFO Dan Mathewes will participate in a live fireside chat at the Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference on Thursday, Sept. 10 at noon ET. A live webcast will be available on the Investor Relations website's Events & Presentations section.
Why it matters — HGV watchers may gain insight into the company's outlook through the CFO's public remarks at a major investor conference.
Hilton Grand Vacations announced Ocean Reserve, a new Hilton Grand Vacations Club oceanfront resort in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. It will be the company's fourth property in Myrtle Beach and eighth in the state, located adjacent to its existing Ocean 22 resort.
Why it matters — HGV watchers would care because this expansion grows the company's resort portfolio in a key vacation destination, signaling continued investment in its Myrtle Beach footprint.
Hilton Grand Vacations announced that its Board of Directors approved a new two-year share repurchase plan authorizing the repurchase of up to $600 million of its outstanding common stock. The new plan will commence once the existing two-year repurchase plan, approved in July 2025 for an aggregate amount of up to $600 million, is fully completed.
Why it matters — A HGV watcher would care because the new $600 million buyback plan signals the company's continued commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Hilton Grand Vacations reported second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $293 million, a 5% increase year-over-year, driven by cost controls and efficiency initiatives that partially offset lower contract sales and productivity pressures in parts of its Bluegreen business.
Why it matters — The earnings growth signals that HGV's cost-management efforts are gaining traction despite headwinds in contract sales and Bluegreen performance.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $51, with estimates ranging from $46 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 61 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 23 Sept 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. ranks 61 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +45.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 61 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HGV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $46 to $74 over the next 12 months.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned -18.7% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates resort-based timeshare products and club memberships.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 10 Sept 2026): "Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript". Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. presented at the Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference, with a transcript of the presentation published on Seeking Alpha.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates resort-based timeshare products and club memberships. The company focuses on vacation ownership interests, points-based club programs, and ancillary reservation services that give members access to branded resorts and travel benefits. Its business is organized around real estate sales and financing, alongside resort operations and club management, supporting both new sales and ongoing member services. Hilton Grand Vacations serves leisure travelers through a portfolio of branded resort properties and exchange options in popular destinations across the United States, Europe, Japan, and other international markets. Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, Hilton Grand Vacations plays a significant role in the global vacation ownership market by combining hospitality, resort management, and consumer financing under one platform.
CEO Mr. Mark D. Wang · 22,300 employees · United States · https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com
