HGVConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & CasinosThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $40 — -9.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (99): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Momentum (47): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (29): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HGV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −9.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 10 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $46 → $39 |
| 2 Nov 2026 | Citizens | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $40 → $35 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $39 → $38 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $51 → $38 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $47 → $40 |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $50 → $39 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 8 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Neutral | $39 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $71 → $69 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $58 → $54 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $55 → $47 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $51 → $46 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
HGV appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned +7.8% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 78% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. has a market value of $3.1B and an enterprise value of $10.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.3B. The latest quarter grew 54.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $166.0M, a 3.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.77.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $342.0M, after $121.0M of capital spending.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. spent $600.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 8.2×; forward P/E: 8.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. employs 22,300 people — $237K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Hilton Grand Vacations reported third-quarter results below prior expectations, with contract sales down 11% and sales-conversion challenges across its Legacy and Bluegreen operations. The company lowered its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook, citing weaker sales and a slower ramp in execution initiatives.
Why it matters — The results and reduced outlook highlight ongoing sales and execution challenges for HGV.
Hilton Grand Vacations announced a $200 million accelerated share repurchase agreement with Deutsche Bank AG, London Branch, under its previously announced 2025 and 2026 Repurchase Authorization. As of Oct. 30, 2026, it reported $17 million remaining under the 2025 Repurchase Plan and $600 million of remaining availability.
Why it matters — The agreement and remaining authorization availability provide HGV watchers with an update on the company’s share repurchase activity.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. published the transcript of its Q3 2026 earnings call.
Why it matters — The transcript is a source of information for HGV watchers seeking details from the company's quarterly earnings call.
A Zacks Investment Research item says HGV’s revenue and EPS for the quarter ended September 2026 provide one view of its performance, and highlights comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago figures.
Why it matters — Those comparisons offer HGV watchers additional context on quarterly performance beyond revenue and EPS alone.
Hilton Grand Vacations reported quarterly earnings of $4.03 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.01. Earnings were $0.60 per share in the year-ago quarter.
Why it matters — The reported earnings beat and year-over-year increase are relevant to investors tracking HGV’s quarterly results.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $35 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies -9.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 82 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HGV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $74 over the next 12 months.
Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned +7.8% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates resort-based timeshare products and club memberships.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 30 Oct 2026): "Hilton Grand Vacations Q3 Earnings Call Highlights". Hilton Grand Vacations reported third-quarter results below prior expectations, with contract sales down 11% and sales-conversion challenges across its Legacy and Bluegreen operations. The company lowered its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook, citing weaker sales and a slower ramp in execution initiatives.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates resort-based timeshare products and club memberships. The company focuses on vacation ownership interests, points-based club programs, and ancillary reservation services that give members access to branded resorts and travel benefits. Its business is organized around real estate sales and financing, alongside resort operations and club management, supporting both new sales and ongoing member services. Hilton Grand Vacations serves leisure travelers through a portfolio of branded resort properties and exchange options in popular destinations across the United States, Europe, Japan, and other international markets. Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, Hilton Grand Vacations plays a significant role in the global vacation ownership market by combining hospitality, resort management, and consumer financing under one platform.
CEO Mr. Mark D. Wang · 22,300 employees · United States · https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com
