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HGV Stock Forecast: Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$46
+2.27% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $53 — +15.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$53
Analysts covering
10
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.6%
1M
−6.6%
YTD
+2.6%
1Y
+1.5%
From 52W high
−16.0%
From 52W low
+24.2%
$37
$55
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HGV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
90
Growth
79
Issuance
64
Quality
63
Momentum
57
Accruals
51
Volatility
44
Revisions
38
Size
28

Value (90): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Revisions (38): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Size (28): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HGV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HGV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HGVHigh $74Median $53Low $46

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says10 analysts
4 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $46Median $53High $74

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$55 → $47
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$51 → $46
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$75 → $74
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$55 → $58
18 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Mar 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
2 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
2 Mar 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
27 Feb 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
16 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
18 Nov 2025Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—
14 Nov 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
21 Aug 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 Aug 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
1 Aug 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HGV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

HGV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. (HGV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
26.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
3.3×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.0×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.2%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−52.0%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.7%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.7%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Net margin
3.2%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.5%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.3%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

HGV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$3.6B
64
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$4.2B
63
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.2B
42
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.$2.5B
71
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.$2.2B
99
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.$6.0B
50
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$6.0B
77

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HGV news & analysis

Hilton Grand Vacations Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026positive

Hilton Grand Vacations reported second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $293 million, a 5% increase year-over-year, driven by cost controls and efficiency initiatives that partially offset lower contract sales and productivity pressures in parts of its Bluegreen business.

Why it matters — The earnings growth signals that HGV's cost-management efforts are gaining traction despite headwinds in contract sales and Bluegreen performance.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call, covering the company's financial results and management commentary for the quarter.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide HGV watchers with direct insight into management's discussion of quarterly performance, strategy, and outlook.

Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) Surpasses Q2 Earnings Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026positive

Hilton Grand Vacations reported Q2 earnings of $0.89 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.86 per share and up from $0.54 per share a year ago.

Why it matters — The earnings beat signals stronger-than-expected financial performance for the quarter, which may reflect positively on the company's operational momentum.

Hilton Grand Vacations Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 30 July 2026neutral

Hilton Grand Vacations reported second quarter 2026 results, with total contract sales of $810 million and total revenues of $1.358 billion. Net income attributable to stockholders was $12 million (diluted EPS of $0.15), while adjusted net income was $72 million.

Why it matters — The results provide a key update on HGV's financial performance, including contract sales and revenue figures that reflect business trends in the vacation ownership segment.

Hilton Grand Vacations Is Cheap As Earnings Near

Seeking Alpha · 27 July 2026positive

Seeking Alpha notes that Hilton Grand Vacations has rapid revenue growth and an attractive valuation, with management targeting $1.5 billion in inventory monetizations and maintaining a strong record of capital returns to shareholders.

Why it matters — The article highlights HGV's attractive valuation and management's inventory optimization strategy, which are key factors for investors monitoring the company's financial performance and shareholder returns.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HGV stock

What is the HGV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $53, with estimates ranging from $46 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HGV stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HGV?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (90 of 100).

Will HGV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +15.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HGV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HGV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $46 to $74 over the next 12 months.

How has HGV stock performed over the past year?

Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned +1.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. do?

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a leading global operator and developer of timeshare resorts.

What is the latest news on HGV?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 31 July 2026): "Hilton Grand Vacations Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Hilton Grand Vacations reported second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $293 million, a 5% increase year-over-year, driven by cost controls and efficiency initiatives that partially offset lower contract sales and productivity pressures in parts of its Bluegreen business.

Company

About Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a leading global operator and developer of timeshare resorts. As a specialized entity in the hospitality industry, it primarily focuses on the development, marketing, and operation of vacation ownership resorts. Hilton Grand Vacations caters to travelers seeking premium vacation experiences, offering them the opportunity to convert planned vacation time into investments in vacation properties. The company's properties are strategically located in desirable vacation destinations worldwide, providing access to high-quality accommodations and amenities for its members and guests. Notably, Hilton Grand Vacations benefits from its affiliation with the Hilton brand, recognized globally for its luxurious accommodations and customer service. This connection enhances its market appeal and strengthens customer loyalty. Through its timeshares, the company supports the tourism sector by extending the accessibility of luxury vacation experiences to more individuals, while also promoting sustainable travel habits by encouraging repeated visits to familiar destinations. The organization plays a crucial role in diversifying the portfolio of the Hilton brand, catering to varying customer needs within the vacation industry.

CEO Mr. Mark D. Wang · 22,300 employees · United States · https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com