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HGV Stock Forecast: Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$42
−0.74% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $51 — +21.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$51
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$1.4B+7.3% y/y
Operating income$153.0M
Net income$15.0M
Free cash flow$113.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.5%
1M
−7.6%
YTD
−6.5%
1Y
−11.1%
From 52W high
−23.5%
From 52W low
+13.2%
$37
$55
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HGV stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
90
Growth
79
Issuance
64
Quality
64
Momentum
54
Accruals
52
Volatility
51
Revisions
38
Size
29

Value (90): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Revisions (38): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Size (29): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HGV stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HGV, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HGVHigh $74Median $51Low $46

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
4 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $46Median $51High $74

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$58 → $54
3 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
3 Aug 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$55 → $47
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$51 → $46
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$75 → $74
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$55 → $58
18 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Mar 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
2 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
2 Mar 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
27 Feb 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
16 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
18 Nov 2025Wells FargoInitiatesEqual-Weight—
14 Nov 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HGV appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HGV vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned −11.1% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HGV vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HGVS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HGV analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−13.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. (HGV) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.9×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.8×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.2%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−52.0%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.7%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.7%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
3.2%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.5%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.3%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. (HGV) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. has a market value of $3.3B and an enterprise value of $11.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.3B. The latest quarter grew 6.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $166.0M, a 3.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.77.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $342.0M, after $121.0M of capital spending.

  • Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. spent $600.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 78.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 23.9×; forward P/E: 7.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. employs 22,300 people — $237K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HGV vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$3.3B
64
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$3.4B
67
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$4.9B
50
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.$2.2B
71
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.$2.2B
98
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.6B
74
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$6.0B
51

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HGV news & analysis

Hilton Grand Vacations to Participate in Fireside Chat at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference

Business Wire · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Hilton Grand Vacations announced that president and CFO Dan Mathewes will participate in a live fireside chat at the Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference on Thursday, Sept. 10 at noon ET. A live webcast will be available on the Investor Relations website's Events & Presentations section.

Why it matters — HGV watchers may gain insight into the company's outlook through the CFO's public remarks at a major investor conference.

Hilton Grand Vacations Announces Ocean Reserve, a Hilton Grand Vacations Club, a Premier Oceanfront Property in Myrtle Beach

Business Wire · 24 Aug 2026positive

Hilton Grand Vacations announced Ocean Reserve, a new Hilton Grand Vacations Club oceanfront resort in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. It will be the company's fourth property in Myrtle Beach and eighth in the state, located adjacent to its existing Ocean 22 resort.

Why it matters — HGV watchers would care because this expansion grows the company's resort portfolio in a key vacation destination, signaling continued investment in its Myrtle Beach footprint.

HGV Announces New Share Repurchase Plan

Business Wire · 20 Aug 2026positive

Hilton Grand Vacations announced that its Board of Directors approved a new two-year share repurchase plan authorizing the repurchase of up to $600 million of its outstanding common stock. The new plan will commence once the existing two-year repurchase plan, approved in July 2025 for an aggregate amount of up to $600 million, is fully completed.

Why it matters — A HGV watcher would care because the new $600 million buyback plan signals the company's continued commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Hilton Grand Vacations Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026positive

Hilton Grand Vacations reported second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $293 million, a 5% increase year-over-year, driven by cost controls and efficiency initiatives that partially offset lower contract sales and productivity pressures in parts of its Bluegreen business.

Why it matters — The earnings growth signals that HGV's cost-management efforts are gaining traction despite headwinds in contract sales and Bluegreen performance.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call, covering the company's financial results and management commentary for the quarter.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide HGV watchers with direct insight into management's discussion of quarterly performance, strategy, and outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HGV stock

What is the HGV stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $51, with estimates ranging from $46 to $74. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HGV stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HGV?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (90 of 100).

Will HGV stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +21.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HGV stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HGV are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $46 to $74 over the next 12 months.

How has HGV stock performed over the past year?

Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. returned -11.1% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc. do?

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates resort-based timeshare products and club memberships.

What is the latest news on HGV?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 27 Aug 2026): "Hilton Grand Vacations to Participate in Fireside Chat at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference". Hilton Grand Vacations announced that president and CFO Dan Mathewes will participate in a live fireside chat at the Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Conference on Thursday, Sept. 10 at noon ET. A live webcast will be available on the Investor Relations website's Events & Presentations section.

Company

About Hilton Grand Vacations, Inc.

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. is a vacation ownership and hospitality company that develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates resort-based timeshare products and club memberships. The company focuses on vacation ownership interests, points-based club programs, and ancillary reservation services that give members access to branded resorts and travel benefits. Its business is organized around real estate sales and financing, alongside resort operations and club management, supporting both new sales and ongoing member services. Hilton Grand Vacations serves leisure travelers through a portfolio of branded resort properties and exchange options in popular destinations across the United States, Europe, Japan, and other international markets. Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, Hilton Grand Vacations plays a significant role in the global vacation ownership market by combining hospitality, resort management, and consumer financing under one platform.

CEO Mr. Mark D. Wang · 22,300 employees · United States · https://www.hiltongrandvacations.com