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MCRIMCRIConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

MCRI Stock Forecast: Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$118
+0.41% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $127 — +7.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$2.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
98 / 100
Median analyst target
$127
Analysts covering
6
Revenue$142.6M+4.2% y/y
Operating income$38.6M
Net income$32.5M
Free cash flow$25.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.7%
1M
−4.8%
YTD
+24.4%
1Y
+15.6%
From 52W high
−11.6%
From 52W low
+34.1%
$88
$134
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MCRI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
98 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
96
Volatility
94
Issuance
85
Value
80
Revisions
79
Momentum
78
Growth
67
Accruals
66
Size
34

Quality (96): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (66): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (34): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MCRI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MCRI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$90$100$110$120$130$140$150Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MCRIHigh $144Median $127Low $114

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says6 analysts
1 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $114Median $127High $144

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +7.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsNeutral$125 → $128
21 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
21 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$102 → $128
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$116 → $114
20 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
20 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$125 → $144
14 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$99 → $116
19 May 2026MacquarieMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2026MacquarieMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
22 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 Oct 2025StifelMaintainsHold—
22 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 July 2025StifelMaintainsHold—
17 July 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MCRI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MCRI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. returned +15.6% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MCRI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MCRIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MCRI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.4%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.8×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.7×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / book
3.7×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.0×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.2%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
20.4%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Gross margin
55.7%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Operating margin
27.4%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Net margin
20.4%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.9%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.0%

Higher than 22% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. has a market value of $2.1B and an enterprise value of $2.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $562.0M. The latest quarter grew 4.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $114.6M, a 20.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.24.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $154.3M.

  • Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. spent $70.2M on share buybacks and $21.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 17.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.8×; forward P/E: 17.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.02%, paying out 19% of earnings.

  • Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. employs 2,740 people — $205K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MCRI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.$2.1B
98
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.$2.1B
69
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$2.9B
61
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$3.5B
68
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.0B
49
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$5.2B
72
RRRRed Rock Resorts, Inc.$5.4B
49

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MCRI news & analysis

“Mike & Molly” Star Billy Gardell Brings His Stand-Up Comedy to Atlantis Casino Resort Spa October 3

GlobeNewsWire · 21 Sept 2026neutral

Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, operated by Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., announced that comedian and actor Billy Gardell will perform stand-up comedy on October 3 at 8 p.m. The announcement was made via GlobeNewsWire on September 21, 2026.

Why it matters — MCRI watchers would care because the event highlights ongoing entertainment programming at Atlantis, a property owned and operated by the company.

Five Atlantis Restaurants Earn Tripadvisor Travelers' Choice Awards for 2026

GlobeNewsWire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Atlantis Casino Resort Spa announced that five of its restaurants earned the 2026 Tripadvisor Travelers' Choice Award. The recognition places these restaurants among the top 10% of restaurants worldwide.

Why it matters — The award signals quality and positive guest recognition for dining at the Atlantis property, which is part of Monarch Casino & Resort.

Spa Monarch Named No. 1 Best Hotel Spa in the Nation by USA TODAY 10Best Voters

GlobeNewsWire · 19 Aug 2026positive

Spa Monarch was named the No. 1 Best Hotel Spa in the Nation by USA TODAY 10Best voters, marking the company's first No. 1 ranking. The Monarch Chophouse and Monarch Rewards are also competing for 2026 Readers' Choice Awards.

Why it matters — A national top ranking for one of Monarch's properties offers positive recognition that could boost the brand's reputation and visibility among customers.

Monarch Casino Resort Spa Earns Two More USA TODAY 10Best Readers' Choice Awards Nominations, Including First for Best Casino Restaurant

GlobeNewsWire · 27 July 2026positive

Monarch Casino Resort Spa received two USA TODAY 10Best Readers' Choice Awards nominations: Monarch Chophouse for Best Casino Restaurant (its first nomination) and Monarch Rewards for Best Players Club.

Why it matters — The nominations suggest Monarch's strategy of building a complete luxury resort experience is gaining national recognition across dining, gaming, and wellness.

Monarch Casino: Hotels Are Carrying The Crown (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 24 July 2026positive

Monarch Casino reported a 6% EPS beat, driven by hotel segment growth with hotel revenue rising 13% YoY, despite a 5% post-earnings stock pullback. Adjusted EBITDA margin dipped slightly to ~37% due to higher food and beverage costs and wage inflation.

Why it matters — The growing contribution of hotel revenue, now over 15% of total revenue, highlights a key shift in Monarch's business mix that could influence future performance and valuation. The article upgrades the stock's rating. The upgrade in rating indicates analysts see positive momentum ahead. The article's tone is positive, emphasizing growth in the hotel segment, strong cash generation, and well-controlled expenses, while noting minor margin pressure from cost inflation. The sentiment is positive.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MCRI stock

What is the MCRI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $127, with estimates ranging from $114 to $144. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MCRI stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MCRI?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (96 of 100).

Will MCRI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +7.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. 98 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MCRI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MCRI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $114 to $144 over the next 12 months.

How has MCRI stock performed over the past year?

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. returned +15.6% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. do?

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. is a regional gaming and hospitality company that owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada, and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado.

What is the latest news on MCRI?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 21 Sept 2026): "“Mike & Molly” Star Billy Gardell Brings His Stand-Up Comedy to Atlantis Casino Resort Spa October 3". Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, operated by Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., announced that comedian and actor Billy Gardell will perform stand-up comedy on October 3 at 8 p.m. The announcement was made via GlobeNewsWire on September 21, 2026.

Company

About Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. is a regional gaming and hospitality company that owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada, and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The company focuses on integrated resort experiences that combine casino gaming with hotel accommodations, dining, spa services, and event amenities. Its properties serve travelers and leisure guests seeking full-service resort destinations, with operations centered on lodging, food and beverage, and gaming entertainment. Monarch Casino & Resort plays a notable role in the U.S. regional casino market by concentrating on two core resort assets and a guest experience built around casino operations, hospitality services, and destination leisure offerings.

CEO Mr. John Farahi · 2,740 employees · United States · https://www.monarchcasino.com