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MCRIMCRIConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos

MCRI Stock Forecast: Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$124
+1.05% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $125 — +0.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 99 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$2.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
99 / 100
Median analyst target
$125
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
−1.2%
YTD
+30.4%
1Y
+23.4%
From 52W high
−7.3%
From 52W low
+40.6%
$88
$134
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MCRI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
99 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
98
Quality
96
Momentum
91
Issuance
85
Value
82
Revisions
81
Growth
68
Accruals
66
Size
35

Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (66): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (35): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MCRI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MCRI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$90$100$110$120$130$140$150Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MCRIHigh $144Median $125Low $114

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
1 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $114Median $125High $144

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$102 → $128
21 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$116 → $114
20 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$125 → $144
14 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$99 → $116
19 May 2026MacquarieMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2026MacquarieMaintainsNeutral—
22 Apr 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
22 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 Oct 2025StifelMaintainsHold—
22 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 July 2025StifelMaintainsHold—
17 July 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
17 July 2025Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight—
16 July 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
23 Apr 2025MacquarieMaintainsNeutral—
23 Apr 2025StifelMaintainsHold—
23 Apr 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MCRI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MCRI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.4%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.9×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
3.9×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.5×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.2%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
20.4%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Gross margin
55.7%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Operating margin
27.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
20.4%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
20.5%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Return on assets
12.9%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.0%

Higher than 22% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MCRI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResorts & Casinos
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MCRIMonarch Casino & Resort, Inc.$2.2B
99
PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.$2.5B
71
HGVHilton Grand Vacations, Inc.$3.6B
64
VACMarriott Vacations Worldwide Corp.$4.2B
63
MTNVail Resorts, Inc.$5.2B
42
CZRCaesars Entertainment, Inc.$6.0B
50
BYDBoyd Gaming Corp.$6.0B
77

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MCRI news & analysis

Monarch Casino Resort Spa Earns Two More USA TODAY 10Best Readers' Choice Awards Nominations, Including First for Best Casino Restaurant

GlobeNewsWire · 27 July 2026positive

Monarch Casino Resort Spa received two USA TODAY 10Best Readers' Choice Awards nominations: Monarch Chophouse for Best Casino Restaurant (its first nomination) and Monarch Rewards for Best Players Club.

Why it matters — The nominations suggest Monarch's strategy of building a complete luxury resort experience is gaining national recognition across dining, gaming, and wellness.

Monarch Casino: Hotels Are Carrying The Crown (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 24 July 2026positive

Monarch Casino reported a 6% EPS beat, driven by hotel segment growth with hotel revenue rising 13% YoY, despite a 5% post-earnings stock pullback. Adjusted EBITDA margin dipped slightly to ~37% due to higher food and beverage costs and wage inflation.

Why it matters — The growing contribution of hotel revenue, now over 15% of total revenue, highlights a key shift in Monarch's business mix that could influence future performance and valuation. The article upgrades the stock's rating. The upgrade in rating indicates analysts see positive momentum ahead. The article's tone is positive, emphasizing growth in the hotel segment, strong cash generation, and well-controlled expenses, while noting minor margin pressure from cost inflation. The sentiment is positive.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MCRI stock

What is the MCRI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $125, with estimates ranging from $114 to $144. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MCRI stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. 99 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MCRI?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. ranks 99 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).

Will MCRI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +0.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. 99 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MCRI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MCRI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $114 to $144 over the next 12 months.

How has MCRI stock performed over the past year?

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. returned +23.4% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. do?

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. is a dynamic entity in the hospitality and gaming industry, operating with a focus on providing premium entertainment experiences.

What is the latest news on MCRI?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 27 July 2026): "Monarch Casino Resort Spa Earns Two More USA TODAY 10Best Readers' Choice Awards Nominations, Including First for Best Casino Restaurant". Monarch Casino Resort Spa received two USA TODAY 10Best Readers' Choice Awards nominations: Monarch Chophouse for Best Casino Restaurant (its first nomination) and Monarch Rewards for Best Players Club.

Company

About Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc.

Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. is a dynamic entity in the hospitality and gaming industry, operating with a focus on providing premium entertainment experiences. The company owns and manages two primary properties: Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada, and Monarch Casino Resort Spa in Black Hawk, Colorado. These establishments offer a robust combination of casino gaming, luxurious hotel accommodations, gourmet dining options, and spa services. Monarch's facilities cater to both leisure and business travelers, contributing significantly to the local economies through tourism and employment. The company's commitment to high-quality service and customer satisfaction positions it as a notable player in the regional gaming market. Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. continues to enhance its offerings and expand its market presence, capitalizing on the growing demand in the entertainment and leisure sectors.

CEO Mr. John Farahi · 2,740 employees · United States · https://www.monarchcasino.com