MCRIConsumer Cyclical · Resorts & CasinosThe 6 Wall Street analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $124 — +9.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Revisions (39): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.
Size (34): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MCRI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $128 → $123 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | $128 → $125 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | $125 → $128 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $102 → $128 |
| 21 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $116 → $114 |
| 20 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $125 → $144 |
| 20 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $99 → $116 |
| 19 May 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
MCRI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. returned +27.3% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Cheaper than 26% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. has a market value of $2.0B and an enterprise value of $1.9B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $562.0M. The latest quarter grew 2.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $114.6M, a 20.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.24.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $154.3M.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. spent $70.2M on share buybacks and $21.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 18.1×; forward P/E: 16.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.05%, paying out 19% of earnings.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. employs 2,740 people — $205K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Monarch Casino reported quarterly earnings of $1.76 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.91. Earnings were $1.69 per share a year earlier.
Why it matters — MCRI watchers may note that earnings missed the consensus estimate while exceeding the year-ago per-share figure.
Monarch Casino & Resort reported record third-quarter 2026 net revenue of $146.3 million and adjusted EBITDA of $56.0 million. Net income was $32.0 million, and diluted EPS was $1.76.
Why it matters — The quarterly results show year-over-year increases in revenue, adjusted EBITDA, net income and diluted EPS.
Monarch Casino & Resort announced it will release its 2026 third-quarter financial results after the market closes on October 27, 2026.
Why it matters — MCRI watchers can note the scheduled timing of the company’s quarterly results release.
Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, a Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. property, received eight Gold awards in the 2026 Best of Sierra Nevada, voted by community members, across categories including hotel, restaurant, and casino offerings. It also earned additional Silver and Bronze recognitions across gaming, hotel, dining and spa.
Why it matters — Recognition of Atlanta as Northern Nevada's premier gaming, dining and hospitality destination reflects positively on the quality of a key MCRI asset and its appeal to both visitors and locals.
Ahead of its third-quarter report, Monarch Casino & Resort was reiterated with a Buy rating, supported by strong EBITDA and free cash flow from its Atlantis and Black Hawk properties. Texas Capital also initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $147/share upside target, aligning with the author's long-term valuation of $140–$150. The article cites Reno tourism momentum and infrastructure upgrades as supportive for Atlantis, while Black Hawk shows strong adjusted gross revenue growth and high visitation.
Why it matters — The reiteration of a Buy rating and fresh Buy initiation highlight continued analyst confidence in MCRI's cash flow generation and growth momentum across its two properties ahead of its quarterly results.
The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $124, with estimates ranging from $114 to $144. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 6 analysts covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +9.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MCRI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $114 to $144 over the next 12 months.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. returned +27.3% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. is a regional gaming and hospitality company that owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada, and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 27 Oct 2026): "Monarch Casino (MCRI) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates". Monarch Casino reported quarterly earnings of $1.76 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.91. Earnings were $1.69 per share a year earlier.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. is a regional gaming and hospitality company that owns and operates the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada, and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The company focuses on integrated resort experiences that combine casino gaming with hotel accommodations, dining, spa services, and event amenities. Its properties serve travelers and leisure guests seeking full-service resort destinations, with operations centered on lodging, food and beverage, and gaming entertainment. Monarch Casino & Resort plays a notable role in the U.S. regional casino market by concentrating on two core resort assets and a guest experience built around casino operations, hospitality services, and destination leisure offerings.
CEO Mr. John Farahi · 2,740 employees · United States · https://www.monarchcasino.com
