FOSLConsumer Cyclical · Footwear & AccessoriesThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $9 — +32.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 2 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Fossil Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (100): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Volatility (8): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FOSL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +32.2% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | Lake Street | Initiates | Buy | $10 |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Maxim Group | Maintains | Buy | $5.00 → $7.00 |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Maxim Group | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 July 2025 | Maxim Group | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 16 Mar 2020 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 7 Nov 2019 | Keybanc | Downgrade | Sector Weight | — |
| 7 Nov 2019 | KeyBanc | Downgrade | Sector Weight | — |
| 7 Nov 2019 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 8 Aug 2018 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Aug 2018 | KeyBanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 June 2018 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 June 2018 | KeyBanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 14 Feb 2018 | Buckingham | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 14 Feb 2018 | Buckingham Research | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 14 Feb 2018 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 14 Feb 2018 | KeyBanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Nov 2017 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 8 Nov 2017 | Bank of America | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 8 Nov 2017 | Buckingham | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 Nov 2017 | Buckingham Research | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
FOSL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Nov 2026, Fossil Group, Inc. returned +227.4% against +11.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 90% of US stocks
Cheaper than 85% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Fossil Group, Inc. has a market value of $392.7M and an enterprise value of $623.2M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $985.2M. The latest quarter shrank 4.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$69.2M, a −7.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.28.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$41.2M.
Fossil Group, Inc. spent $1.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: −4.6×; forward P/E: 51.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Fossil Group, Inc. employs 4,500 people — $219K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Fossil Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Fossil Group announced that it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on November 10, 2026. The company will hold a conference call to discuss the results at 5:00 p.m. ET that day.
Why it matters — FOSL watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company’s third-quarter results and discussion.
The article argues that Q4 has historically generated a large share of S&P 500 annual returns, particularly after midterm election years. It names consumer cyclicals including FOSL among early breakout candidates, citing institutional interest and analyst targets.
Why it matters — FOSL is mentioned as a potential breakout candidate in the article’s seasonal market thesis.
Zacks Investment Research reports that Somnigroup (SGI) is advancing growth through innovation, Mattress Firm synergies, and vertical integration, which are strengthening its bedding platform and supporting efficiency. The report highlights these operational developments as drivers of SGI's continued progress.
Why it matters — As a peer within the broader home-furnishings and bedding sector, Somnigroup's strategic moves offer context for competitive dynamics that may be relevant to FOSL watchers monitoring industry trends.
A Zacks Investment Research report compares the year-to-date performance of Fossil Group (FOSL) and Genesco (GCO) against their retail-wholesale sector, examining whether the group's stocks have lagged the broader sector this year.
Why it matters — A FOSL watcher would care because the report indicates how Fossil Group is faring relative to both a peer company and the wider retail-wholesale sector through the current year.
A Zacks Investment Research report highlights FOSL among five apparel and footwear stocks positioned for growth through 2026, citing solid demand, digital expansion, and innovation as supporting factors.
Why it matters — The report points to FOSL as one of the few apparel names expected to benefit from sustained demand and digital growth, offering a positive outlook for the company's positioning through 2026.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $9, with estimates ranging from $7 to $12. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Fossil Group, Inc. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Nov 2026, Fossil Group, Inc. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +32.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Fossil Group, Inc. 63 out of 100 as at 2 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Fossil Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FOSL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $12 over the next 12 months.
Fossil Group, Inc. returned +227.4% over the 12 months to 2 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Fossil Group Inc. is a global lifestyle accessories company that designs, markets, and distributes fashion-oriented products for consumers and brand partners.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 20 Oct 2026): "Fossil Group, Inc. Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call". Fossil Group announced that it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on November 10, 2026. The company will hold a conference call to discuss the results at 5:00 p.m. ET that day.
Fossil Group Inc. is a global lifestyle accessories company that designs, markets, and distributes fashion-oriented products for consumers and brand partners. Fossil Group Inc. offers traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, and select apparel through a mix of owned and licensed brands. Its portfolio includes Fossil, Skagen, Michele, Relic, and Zodiac, along with licensed names such as Armani Exchange, Diesel, Emporio Armani, Kate Spade New York, Michael Kors, Skechers, and Tory Burch. The company sells through wholesale accounts, company-owned retail and outlet stores, e-commerce channels, and other distribution partners across North America, Europe, and Asia. Headquartered in Richardson, Texas, Fossil Group Inc. plays a notable role in the global fashion accessories market by combining brand management, product design, and broad retail distribution.
CEO Mr. Franco Fogliato · 4,500 employees · United States · https://www.fossilgroup.com
