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FOSLFOSLConsumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

FOSL Stock Forecast: Fossil Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$5.57
−0.18% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $7.5 — +34.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$329.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$7.50
Analysts covering
2
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.5%
1M
+38.2%
YTD
+48.1%
1Y
+137.0%
From 52W high
−8.5%
From 52W low
+211.2%
$1.79
$6.09
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FOSL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Fossil Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
98
Revisions
77
Accruals
77
Size
60
Quality
58
Issuance
27
Value
26
Growth
22
Volatility
6

Momentum (98): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Volatility (6): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FOSL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FOSL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2.00$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FOSLHigh $8.00Median $7.50Low $7.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $7.00Median $7.50High $8.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +34.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Mar 2026Maxim GroupMaintainsBuy$5.00 → $7.00
1 July 2025Maxim GroupInitiatesBuy—
16 Mar 2020Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
7 Nov 2019KeybancDowngradeSector Weight—
7 Nov 2019KeyBancDowngradeSector Weight—
7 Nov 2019Wells FargoMaintainsUnderperform—
8 Aug 2018KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
8 Aug 2018KeyBancMaintainsOverweight—
4 June 2018KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
4 June 2018KeyBancMaintainsOverweight—
14 Feb 2018BuckinghamMaintainsUnderperform—
14 Feb 2018Buckingham ResearchMaintainsUnderperform—
14 Feb 2018KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
14 Feb 2018KeyBancMaintainsOverweight—
8 Nov 2017B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform—
8 Nov 2017Bank of AmericaMaintainsUnderperform—
8 Nov 2017BuckinghamMaintainsNeutral—
8 Nov 2017Buckingham ResearchMaintainsNeutral—
8 Nov 2017KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
8 Nov 2017KeyBancMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FOSL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

FOSL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−3.8×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 88% of US stocks

Price / book
3.1×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
18.7×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−4.8%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−3.7%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Gross margin
59.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.5%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
−7.1%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−66.5%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

FOSL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFootwear & Accessories
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FOSLFossil Group, Inc.$329.2M
56
FWDIForward Industries, Inc.$318.1M
20
RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.$356.2M
94
DBIDesigner Brands, Inc.$292.4M
93
WEYSWeyco Group, Inc.$432.2M
88
VRAVera Bradley, Inc.$91.4M
86
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.$1.7B
84

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Fossil Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FOSL news & analysis

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and the transcript of that call has been published on Seeking Alpha. The item is the transcript of the company's second-quarter 2026 earnings call.

Why it matters — A FOSL watcher would care because the Q2 2026 earnings call transcript offers an official record of what management discussed regarding the company's quarterly performance and outlook.

Fossil Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 13 Aug 2026positive

Fossil Group reported Q2 2026 net sales of $211 million, down 4% year-over-year but ahead of internal expectations, with improving sales trends. CEO Franco Fogliato noted progress in the turnaround plan and anticipates a return to companywide sales growth in the fourth quarter.

Why it matters — The results suggest Fossil's turnaround efforts are gaining traction, and the outlook for a return to sales growth in Q4 is a key milestone for investors monitoring the company's recovery.

Fossil Group (FOSL) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026positive

Fossil Group reported a second-quarter loss of $0.13 per share, which was narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.29 loss, and the company beat revenue estimates. This compares with a loss of $0.10 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — For FOSL watchers, the loss came in well above analyst expectations and revenue beat estimates, indicating a stronger-than-anticipated second-quarter performance relative to forecasts.

Fossil Group, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results

GlobeNewsWire · 12 Aug 2026positive

Fossil Group reported second quarter 2026 net sales of $210 million, with gross margin expanding 490 basis points to 62.4%. The company posted operating income of $3 million (2% operating margin) and constant currency adjusted operating income of $9 million (4% operating margin), and raised its full-year 2026 financial outlook.

Why it matters — The company delivered a quarter ahead of expectations and raised its full-year outlook, indicating improving profitability and margin performance for FOSL.

Fossil Group (FOSL) Soars 19.0%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Fossil Group (FOSL) jumped 19.0% in its last session on higher-than-average trading volume. However, the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not help the stock continue moving higher in the near term.

Why it matters — A FOSL watcher would care because while the stock posted a strong price move, weakening earnings estimate revisions could signal limited further upside in the near term.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FOSL stock

What is the FOSL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $7.5, with estimates ranging from $7 to $8. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FOSL stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Fossil Group, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FOSL?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Fossil Group, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (98 of 100).

Will FOSL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +34.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Fossil Group, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FOSL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Fossil Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FOSL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $8 over the next 12 months.

How has FOSL stock performed over the past year?

Fossil Group, Inc. returned +137.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Fossil Group, Inc. do?

Fossil Group Inc. is a company that designs, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories globally.

What is the latest news on FOSL?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 13 Aug 2026): "Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and the transcript of that call has been published on Seeking Alpha. The item is the transcript of the company's second-quarter 2026 earnings call.

Company

About Fossil Group, Inc.

Fossil Group Inc. is a company that designs, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories globally. It specializes in men's and women's fashion watches, including traditional and smartwatches, alongside jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, shoes, soft accessories, and clothing. The company operates across key geographical segments: Americas, Europe, and Asia, serving a diverse customer base through multiple channels such as department stores, specialty retail locations, watch and jewelry stores, its own retail and factory outlet stores, mass market retailers, and e-commerce sites including owned and affiliate platforms. It also manages licensed and franchised Fossil stores, retail concessions, and airline outlets, with additional brands like WATCH STATION and WSI. Founded in 1984 and headquartered in Richardson, Texas, Fossil Group Inc. plays a significant role in the fashion accessories market by blending style and functionality to meet consumer demands in both direct-to-consumer and wholesale environments.

CEO Mr. Franco Fogliato · 4,500 employees · United States · https://www.fossilgroup.com