TICKERNERD
Menu
FOSLFOSLConsumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

FOSL Stock Forecast: Fossil Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$7.00
−1.13% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $8 — +14.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$417.5M
Ticker Nerd rank
62 / 100
Median analyst target
$8.00
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$209.7M−4.9% y/y
Operating income$7.3M
Net income−$10.6M
Free cash flow−$10.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.9%
1M
+37.0%
YTD
+86.2%
1Y
+184.6%
From 52W high
−3.0%
From 52W low
+291.1%
$1.79
$7.22
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FOSL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Fossil Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 7 Oct 2026
62 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
99
Revisions
94
Accruals
77
Quality
60
Size
55
Issuance
27
Value
25
Growth
23
Volatility
6

Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Volatility (6): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FOSL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FOSL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FOSLHigh $12.00Median $8.00Low $7.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $7.00Median $8.00High $12.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Mar 2026Maxim GroupMaintainsBuy$5.00 → $7.00
1 July 2025Maxim GroupInitiatesBuy—
16 Mar 2020Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
7 Nov 2019KeybancDowngradeSector Weight—
7 Nov 2019KeyBancDowngradeSector Weight—
7 Nov 2019Wells FargoMaintainsUnderperform—
8 Aug 2018KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
8 Aug 2018KeyBancMaintainsOverweight—
4 June 2018KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
4 June 2018KeyBancMaintainsOverweight—
14 Feb 2018BuckinghamMaintainsUnderperform—
14 Feb 2018Buckingham ResearchMaintainsUnderperform—
14 Feb 2018KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
14 Feb 2018KeyBancMaintainsOverweight—
8 Nov 2017B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform—
8 Nov 2017Bank of AmericaMaintainsUnderperform—
8 Nov 2017BuckinghamMaintainsNeutral—
8 Nov 2017Buckingham ResearchMaintainsNeutral—
8 Nov 2017KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
8 Nov 2017KeyBancMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FOSL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FOSL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Fossil Group, Inc. returned +184.6% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FOSL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250300Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FOSLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FOSL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−4.9×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

Price / book
4.4×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
20.9×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−4.9%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.9%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Gross margin
62.4%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.5%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Net margin
−7.1%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−66.5%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Fossil Group, Inc. has a market value of $417.5M and an enterprise value of $647.0M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $985.2M. The latest quarter shrank 4.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$69.2M, a −7.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.28.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$41.2M.

  • Fossil Group, Inc. spent $1.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 59.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: −4.9×; forward P/E: 54.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Fossil Group, Inc. employs 4,500 people — $219K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FOSL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFootwear & Accessories
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FOSLFossil Group, Inc.$417.5M
62
WEYSWeyco Group, Inc.$491.9M
88
RCKYRocky Brands, Inc.$346.3M
93
FWDIForward Industries, Inc.$551.9M
18
DBIDesigner Brands, Inc.$292.4M
98
VRAVera Bradley, Inc.$141.6M
97
WWWWolverine World Wide, Inc.$1.5B
87

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Fossil Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FOSL news & analysis

Somnigroup Advances Growth With Innovation and Retail Synergies

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that Somnigroup (SGI) is advancing growth through innovation, Mattress Firm synergies, and vertical integration, which are strengthening its bedding platform and supporting efficiency. The report highlights these operational developments as drivers of SGI's continued progress.

Why it matters — As a peer within the broader home-furnishings and bedding sector, Somnigroup's strategic moves offer context for competitive dynamics that may be relevant to FOSL watchers monitoring industry trends.

Are Retail-Wholesale Stocks Lagging Fossil Group (FOSL) This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026neutral

A Zacks Investment Research report compares the year-to-date performance of Fossil Group (FOSL) and Genesco (GCO) against their retail-wholesale sector, examining whether the group's stocks have lagged the broader sector this year.

Why it matters — A FOSL watcher would care because the report indicates how Fossil Group is faring relative to both a peer company and the wider retail-wholesale sector through the current year.

Buy 5 Apparel & Shoes Stocks Striding Ahead in 2026 for Steady Returns

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research report highlights FOSL among five apparel and footwear stocks positioned for growth through 2026, citing solid demand, digital expansion, and innovation as supporting factors.

Why it matters — The report points to FOSL as one of the few apparel names expected to benefit from sustained demand and digital growth, offering a positive outlook for the company's positioning through 2026.

Is Fossil Group (FOSL) Stock Outpacing Its Retail-Wholesale Peers This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a report comparing how Fossil Group (FOSL) and Genesco (GCO) have performed relative to their retail-wholesale sector so far this year. The piece frames the question of whether FOSL stock is outpacing its sector peers.

Why it matters — FOSL watchers would care because the report tracks how the company's stock is performing against a rival and the wider retail-wholesale sector for the year.

How Wolverine's Strong Brand Portfolio Anchors Its Growth Strategy

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks reports that Wolverine World Wide (WWW) is driving growth through its strong brand portfolio, global reach, and product innovation, led by Merrell and Saucony, prompting the company to raise its 2026 outlook.

Why it matters — A FOSL watcher may note this as comparable-sector news about another branded apparel company's growth strategy, though it does not directly involve Fossil Group.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FOSL stock

What is the FOSL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $8, with estimates ranging from $7 to $12. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FOSL stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Fossil Group, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Fossil Group, Inc. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FOSL?

As at 7 Oct 2026, Fossil Group, Inc. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).

Will FOSL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +14.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Fossil Group, Inc. 62 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FOSL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Fossil Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FOSL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $12 over the next 12 months.

How has FOSL stock performed over the past year?

Fossil Group, Inc. returned +184.6% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Fossil Group, Inc. do?

Fossil Group Inc. is a global lifestyle accessories company that designs, markets, and distributes fashion-oriented products for consumers and brand partners.

What is the latest news on FOSL?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 25 Sept 2026): "Somnigroup Advances Growth With Innovation and Retail Synergies". Zacks Investment Research reports that Somnigroup (SGI) is advancing growth through innovation, Mattress Firm synergies, and vertical integration, which are strengthening its bedding platform and supporting efficiency. The report highlights these operational developments as drivers of SGI's continued progress.

Company

About Fossil Group, Inc.

Fossil Group Inc. is a global lifestyle accessories company that designs, markets, and distributes fashion-oriented products for consumers and brand partners. Fossil Group Inc. offers traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, and select apparel through a mix of owned and licensed brands. Its portfolio includes Fossil, Skagen, Michele, Relic, and Zodiac, along with licensed names such as Armani Exchange, Diesel, Emporio Armani, Kate Spade New York, Michael Kors, Skechers, and Tory Burch. The company sells through wholesale accounts, company-owned retail and outlet stores, e-commerce channels, and other distribution partners across North America, Europe, and Asia. Headquartered in Richardson, Texas, Fossil Group Inc. plays a notable role in the global fashion accessories market by combining brand management, product design, and broad retail distribution.

CEO Mr. Franco Fogliato · 4,500 employees · United States · https://www.fossilgroup.com