FXNCFXNCFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

FXNC Stock Forecast: First National Corp. (Virginia) Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$32
+1.95% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia) hold a median 12-month price target of $31 — -5.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 93 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$292.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
93 / 100
Median analyst target
$31
Analysts covering
3
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+9.1%
1M
+7.8%
YTD
+29.8%
1Y
+57.0%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+58.1%
$20
$32
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FXNC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores First National Corp. (Virginia) on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
93 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
99
Revisions
90
Growth
87
Volatility
83
Issuance
63
Size
62
Quality
53
Accruals
44
Value
38

Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Value (38): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own First National Corp. (Virginia) — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

FXNC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FXNC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FXNCHigh $33Median $31Low $28

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says3 analysts
0 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $28Median $31High $33

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 June 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesMarket Perform
8 Oct 2024Hovde GroupInitiatesOutperform
1 Aug 2024Janney Montgomery ScottUpgradeBuy
12 Sept 2023Janney Montgomery ScottDowngradeNeutral
16 Nov 2022Janney Montgomery ScottInitiatesBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

FXNC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.0%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

First National Corp. (Virginia) (FXNC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.5×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.2×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.8%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
13.7%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
33.1%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Net margin
23.8%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.1%

Higher than 47% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

FXNC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FXNCFirst National Corp. (Virginia)$292.7M
93
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp$284.1M
47
FUNCFirst United Corp.$286.8M
96
FRAFFranklin Financial Services Corp. (Pennsylvania)$282.9M
85
FNRNFirst Northern Community Bancorp$288.6M
65
LCNBLCNB Corp.$282.2M
84
ISBAIsabella Bank Corp.$291.3M
47
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FXNC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest FXNC news & analysis

First National Corp. (FXNC) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

First National Corp. (FXNC) reported second-quarter earnings of $0.63 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.59 per share and rising from $0.57 per share in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings beat, which also marks year-over-year growth, may signal operational strength to FXNC shareholders tracking the company's financial performance.

First National Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Performance

GlobeNewsWire · 29 July 2026positive

First National Corporation (NASDAQ: FXNC) reported consolidated net income of $5.7 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, with basic and diluted earnings per common share of $0.64 and $0.63, respectively.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers track quarterly earnings as a key indicator of the company's financial health and operational performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FXNC stock

What is the FXNC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia) have a median 12-month price target of $31, with estimates ranging from $28 to $33. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FXNC stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia), 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks First National Corp. (Virginia) 93 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FXNC?

As at 1 Aug 2026, First National Corp. (Virginia) ranks 93 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).

Will FXNC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies -5.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks First National Corp. (Virginia) 93 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FXNC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering First National Corp. (Virginia) publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FXNC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $28 to $33 over the next 12 months.

How has FXNC stock performed over the past year?

First National Corp. (Virginia) returned +57.0% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does First National Corp. (Virginia) do?

First National Corp. is a bank holding company based in Strasburg, Virginia.

What is the latest news on FXNC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 July 2026): "First National Corp. (FXNC) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates". First National Corp. (FXNC) reported second-quarter earnings of $0.63 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.59 per share and rising from $0.57 per share in the same quarter last year.

Company

About First National Corp. (Virginia).

First National Corp. is a bank holding company based in Strasburg, Virginia. It owns all of the stock of its primary operating subsidiary, First Bank, which delivers personal banking, business banking, and wealth management solutions. First Bank serves customers primarily in the Virginia areas of Strasburg, Winchester, and Staunton, offering a range of community-focused financial services including deposit accounts, loans, and investment management. The company emphasizes efficient operations and growth in markets where community engagement is highly valued, providing reliable banking products tailored to individuals, businesses, and local needs. Through First Bank, First National Corp. supports everyday financial requirements with personalized service and local expertise. Founded in Strasburg, Virginia, it operates as a key player in Virginia's community banking sector, fostering strong relationships and consistent service delivery.

CEO Mr. Scott C. Harvard · 308 employees · United States · https://www.fbvirginia.com