FXNCFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

FXNC Stock Forecast: First National Corp. (Virginia) Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026

$31

+0.13% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia) hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +4.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 90 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap

$280.7M

Ticker Nerd rank

90 / 100

Median analyst target

$33

Analysts covering

Revenue$21.9M+6.3% y/y

Net income$4.9M

Free cash flow$5.9M

Quarterly, 7 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown

Total return, dividends reinvested

−2.2%

+4.5%

YTD

+24.7%

+35.3%

From 52W high

−4.0%

From 52W low

+45.5%

$21

$32

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

FXNC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores First National Corp. (Virginia) on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026

90 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum

Revisions

Growth

Volatility

Size

Issuance

Quality

Accruals

Value

Momentum (92): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Value (40): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FXNC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FXNC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts

0 Buy3 Hold0 Sell

Low $32Median $33High $33

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
26 June 2026	Raymond James	Initiates	Market Perform	—
8 Oct 2024	Hovde Group	Initiates	Outperform	—
1 Aug 2024	Janney Montgomery Scott	Upgrade	Buy	—
12 Sept 2023	Janney Montgomery Scott	Downgrade	Neutral	—
16 Nov 2022	Janney Montgomery Scott	Initiates	Buy	—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FXNC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Performance

FXNC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, First National Corp. (Virginia) returned +35.3% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FXNC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FXNC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

EPS revision, 90 days

+3.6%

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

First National Corp. (Virginia) (FXNC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 13.0×
Price / sales: 3.1×
Price / book: 1.4×
EV / EBITDA: —

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 10.0%
Earnings growth (YoY): 13.7%
Gross margin: —
Operating margin: 33.1%
Net margin: 23.8%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: 11.8%
Return on assets: 1.1%
Dividend yield: 2.2%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

First National Corp. (Virginia) (FXNC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

First National Corp. (Virginia) has a market value of $280.7M and an enterprise value of $155.0M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $89.1M. The latest quarter grew 10.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $21.0M, a 23.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.33.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $23.8M, after $2.5M of capital spending.
First National Corp. (Virginia) spent $339K on share buybacks and $5.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.
Shares outstanding: 9.0M.
Trailing P/E: 13.0×; forward P/E: 12.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.19%, paying out 28% of earnings.
First National Corp. (Virginia) employs 308 people — $289K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 25 Aug 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FXNC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
FXNCFirst National Corp. (Virginia)	$280.7M	90
FUNCFirst United Corp.	$279.0M	93
FRAFFranklin Financial Services Corp. (Pennsylvania)	$277.7M	86
LCNBLCNB Corp.	$276.8M	86
WNEBWestern New England Bancorp, Inc.	$275.8M	76
ATLOAmes National Corp.	$282.4M	95
CFFIC&F Financial Corp.	$275.1M	65

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own First National Corp. (Virginia) — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FXNC news & analysis

First National Corp. (FXNC) Could Be a Great Choice

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether First National Corp. (FXNC) qualifies as a strong dividend stock, highlighting the challenge of finding good dividend investments. The piece evaluates FXNC's potential as a dividend-paying stock for shareholders.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers would care because the article assesses the company's attractiveness as a dividend stock, a key consideration for income-focused investors.

Are You Looking for a High-Growth Dividend Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) qualifies as a high-growth dividend stock. The article highlights the benefits of dividends for shareholders and poses the question of whether FXNC has what it takes to be a great dividend stock.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers would care because the item focuses investor attention on the company's dividend profile and growth potential.

First National Corp. (FXNC) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

First National Corp. (FXNC) reported second-quarter earnings of $0.63 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.59 per share and rising from $0.57 per share in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings beat, which also marks year-over-year growth, may signal operational strength to FXNC shareholders tracking the company's financial performance.

First National Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Performance

GlobeNewsWire · 29 July 2026positive

First National Corporation (NASDAQ: FXNC) reported consolidated net income of $5.7 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, with basic and diluted earnings per common share of $0.64 and $0.63, respectively.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers track quarterly earnings as a key indicator of the company's financial health and operational performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FXNC stock

What is the FXNC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia) have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $32 to $33. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FXNC stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia), 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks First National Corp. (Virginia) 90 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FXNC?

As at 22 Aug 2026, First National Corp. (Virginia) ranks 90 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (92 of 100).

Will FXNC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +4.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks First National Corp. (Virginia) 90 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FXNC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering First National Corp. (Virginia) publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FXNC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $33 over the next 12 months.

How has FXNC stock performed over the past year?

First National Corp. (Virginia) returned +35.3% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does First National Corp. (Virginia) do?

First National Corp. is a bank holding company based in Strasburg, Virginia.

What is the latest news on FXNC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 24 Aug 2026): "First National Corp. (FXNC) Could Be a Great Choice". Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether First National Corp. (FXNC) qualifies as a strong dividend stock, highlighting the challenge of finding good dividend investments. The piece evaluates FXNC's potential as a dividend-paying stock for shareholders.

Company

About First National Corp. (Virginia).

First National Corp. is a bank holding company based in Strasburg, Virginia. It owns all of the stock of its primary operating subsidiary, First Bank, which delivers personal banking, business banking, and wealth management solutions. First Bank serves customers primarily in the Virginia areas of Strasburg, Winchester, and Staunton, offering a range of community-focused financial services including deposit accounts, loans, and investment management. The company emphasizes efficient operations and growth in markets where community engagement is highly valued, providing reliable banking products tailored to individuals, businesses, and local needs. Through First Bank, First National Corp. supports everyday financial requirements with personalized service and local expertise. Founded in Strasburg, Virginia, it operates as a key player in Virginia's community banking sector, fostering strong relationships and consistent service delivery.

CEO Mr. Scott C. Harvard · 308 employees · United States · https://www.fbvirginia.com