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FXNCFXNCFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

FXNC Stock Forecast: First National Corp. (Virginia) Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$31
+1.26% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia) hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +3.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 91 of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$284.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
91 / 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$23.3M+6.6% y/y
Net income$5.7M
Free cash flow$6.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.5%
1M
−0.8%
YTD
+26.8%
1Y
+38.4%
From 52W high
−2.3%
From 52W low
+48.0%
$21
$32
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FXNC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores First National Corp. (Virginia) on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Sept 2026
91 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
96
Growth
87
Revisions
87
Volatility
74
Issuance
63
Size
63
Quality
54
Accruals
45
Value
38

Momentum (96): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Value (38): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FXNC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FXNC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$22$24$26$28$30$32$34Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FXNCHigh $33Median $33Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
0 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $32Median $33High $33

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 June 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesMarket Perform—
8 Oct 2024Hovde GroupInitiatesOutperform—
1 Aug 2024Janney Montgomery ScottUpgradeBuy—
12 Sept 2023Janney Montgomery ScottDowngradeNeutral—
16 Nov 2022Janney Montgomery ScottInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FXNC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FXNC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, First National Corp. (Virginia) returned +38.4% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FXNC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FXNCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FXNC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.6%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

First National Corp. (Virginia) (FXNC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.2×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.1×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.0%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
13.7%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
33.1%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
23.8%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.8%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.2%

Higher than 48% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

First National Corp. (Virginia) (FXNC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • First National Corp. (Virginia) has a market value of $284.4M and an enterprise value of $158.7M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $90.5M. The latest quarter grew 10.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $21.7M, a 24.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.40.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $26.2M.

  • First National Corp. (Virginia) spent $339K on share buybacks and $5.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 9.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.2×; forward P/E: 12.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.16%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • First National Corp. (Virginia) employs 308 people — $294K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FXNC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FXNCFirst National Corp. (Virginia)$284.4M
91
FRAFFranklin Financial Services Corp. (Pennsylvania)$283.3M
87
FUNCFirst United Corp.$286.2M
95
QNBCQNB Corp.$278.9M
28
ATLOAmes National Corp.$288.6M
94
GBFHGBank Financial Holdings, Inc.$288.7M
20
WNEBWestern New England Bancorp, Inc.$276.8M
74

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own First National Corp. (Virginia) — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FXNC news & analysis

All You Need to Know About FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) Rating Upgrade to Buy

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research upgraded FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), citing growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade suggests the stock might move higher based on improved earnings outlook.

Why it matters — An upgrade to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) reflects improving optimism about FXNC's earnings prospects, which is a key signal for investors tracking the company's near-term outlook.

First National Corp. (FXNC) Could Be a Great Choice

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether First National Corp. (FXNC) qualifies as a strong dividend stock, highlighting the challenge of finding good dividend investments. The piece evaluates FXNC's potential as a dividend-paying stock for shareholders.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers would care because the article assesses the company's attractiveness as a dividend stock, a key consideration for income-focused investors.

Are You Looking for a High-Growth Dividend Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) qualifies as a high-growth dividend stock. The article highlights the benefits of dividends for shareholders and poses the question of whether FXNC has what it takes to be a great dividend stock.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers would care because the item focuses investor attention on the company's dividend profile and growth potential.

First National Corp. (FXNC) Beats Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026positive

First National Corp. (FXNC) reported second-quarter earnings of $0.63 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.59 per share and rising from $0.57 per share in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings beat, which also marks year-over-year growth, may signal operational strength to FXNC shareholders tracking the company's financial performance.

First National Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Performance

GlobeNewsWire · 29 July 2026positive

First National Corporation (NASDAQ: FXNC) reported consolidated net income of $5.7 million for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, with basic and diluted earnings per common share of $0.64 and $0.63, respectively.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers track quarterly earnings as a key indicator of the company's financial health and operational performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FXNC stock

What is the FXNC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia) have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $32 to $33. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FXNC stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia), 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks First National Corp. (Virginia) 91 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FXNC?

As at 14 Sept 2026, First National Corp. (Virginia) ranks 91 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (96 of 100).

Will FXNC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +3.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks First National Corp. (Virginia) 91 out of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FXNC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering First National Corp. (Virginia) publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FXNC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $33 over the next 12 months.

How has FXNC stock performed over the past year?

First National Corp. (Virginia) returned +38.4% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does First National Corp. (Virginia) do?

First National Corp. of Virginia is a bank holding company that provides consumer and business banking services through its subsidiary, First Bank.

What is the latest news on FXNC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Sept 2026): "All You Need to Know About FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) Rating Upgrade to Buy". Zacks Investment Research upgraded FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), citing growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade suggests the stock might move higher based on improved earnings outlook.

Company

About First National Corp. (Virginia).

First National Corp. of Virginia is a bank holding company that provides consumer and business banking services through its subsidiary, First Bank. First National Corp. of Virginia offers a range of deposit and lending products, including checking and savings accounts, money market and retirement accounts, certificates of deposit, mortgage lending, home equity lending, construction loans, commercial mortgages, and treasury management services. The company also serves small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, estates, local governmental entities, and non-profit organizations, supporting everyday banking needs as well as relationship-based commercial finance. Headquartered in Strasburg, Virginia, First National Corp. of Virginia plays a regional role in community banking by combining traditional deposit services with lending, cash management, and other financial solutions tailored to local customers.

CEO Mr. Scott C. Harvard · 308 employees · United States · https://www.fbvirginia.com