FXNCFXNCFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

FXNC Stock Forecast: First National Corp. (Virginia) Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$30
−1.52% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia) hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +8.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 88 of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$279.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
88/ 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$23.3M+6.6% y/y
Net income$5.7M
Free cash flow$6.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.6%
1M
+3.7%
YTD
+22.8%
1Y
+40.0%
From 52W high
−5.4%
From 52W low
+40.0%
$22
$32
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FXNC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores First National Corp. (Virginia) on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 29 Oct 2026
88/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
99
Momentum
94
Growth
80
Volatility
76
Size
62
Quality
58
Value
44
Accruals
42
Issuance
38

Revisions (99): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (38): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

FXNC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FXNC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$22$24$26$28$30$32$34Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FXNCHigh $34Median $33Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
0 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $32Median $33High $34

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 June 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesMarket Perform—
8 Oct 2024Hovde GroupInitiatesOutperform—
1 Aug 2024Janney Montgomery ScottUpgradeBuy—
12 Sept 2023Janney Montgomery ScottDowngradeNeutral—
16 Nov 2022Janney Montgomery ScottInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

FXNC appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

The AI build-out map
PDF
  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

FXNC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, First National Corp. (Virginia) returned +40.0% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FXNC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FXNCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FXNC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.6%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

First National Corp. (Virginia) (FXNC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.9×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.9×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.3%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
24.3%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
37.5%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
24.5%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.2%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.2%

Higher than 80% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

First National Corp. (Virginia) (FXNC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • First National Corp. (Virginia) has a market value of $279.7M and an enterprise value of $155.4M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $90.5M. The latest quarter grew 13.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $21.7M, a 24.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.40.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $26.2M.

  • First National Corp. (Virginia) spent $339K on share buybacks and $5.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 9.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.9×; forward P/E: 11.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.23%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • First National Corp. (Virginia) employs 308 people — $294K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 30 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FXNC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FXNCFirst National Corp. (Virginia)$279.7M88
VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corp.$277.6M76
WNEBWestern New England Bancorp, Inc.$282.2M83
LCNBLCNB Corp.$283.9M80
FBLAFB Bancorp, Inc.$274.6M32
HWBKHawthorn Bancshares, Inc.$273.8M80
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp$289.2M55

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own First National Corp. (Virginia) — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FXNC news & analysis

FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research says FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) reported headline numbers for the quarter ended September 2026 and highlights comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago results.

Why it matters — These comparisons may help FXNC watchers assess quarterly performance against expectations and the prior-year quarter.

First National Corp. (FXNC) Tops Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 23 Oct 2026positive

First National Corp. reported quarterly earnings of $0.76 per share, above the Zacks consensus estimate of $0.63. Earnings were $0.58 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers may note the company exceeded the consensus earnings estimate and reported higher per-share earnings than a year ago.

Why First National Corp. (FXNC) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research asks whether First National Corp. (FXNC) has the qualities of a strong dividend stock, noting that finding one can be challenging.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers may be interested in the article’s focus on the company’s dividend appeal.

First National Corp. (FXNC) Could Be a Great Choice

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether First National Corp. (FXNC) qualifies as a strong dividend stock, highlighting dividends as a key shareholder benefit. The piece poses the question of whether FXNC has what it takes to be a great dividend choice.

Why it matters — FXNC watchers would care because the article spotlights the company as a potential dividend-focused investment, drawing attention to its shareholder value proposition.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FXNC stock

What is the FXNC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia) have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $32 to $34. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FXNC stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering First National Corp. (Virginia), 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks First National Corp. (Virginia) 88 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 29 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FXNC?

As at 29 Oct 2026, First National Corp. (Virginia) ranks 88 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (99 of 100).

Will FXNC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +8.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks First National Corp. (Virginia) 88 out of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FXNC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering First National Corp. (Virginia) publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FXNC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $34 over the next 12 months.

How has FXNC stock performed over the past year?

First National Corp. (Virginia) returned +40.0% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does First National Corp. (Virginia) do?

First National Corp. of Virginia is a bank holding company that provides consumer and business banking services through its subsidiary, First Bank.

What is the latest news on FXNC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 23 Oct 2026): "FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) Q3 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates". Zacks Investment Research says FIRST NAT CP (FXNC) reported headline numbers for the quarter ended September 2026 and highlights comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago results.

Company

About First National Corp. (Virginia).

First National Corp. of Virginia is a bank holding company that provides consumer and business banking services through its subsidiary, First Bank. First National Corp. of Virginia offers a range of deposit and lending products, including checking and savings accounts, money market and retirement accounts, certificates of deposit, mortgage lending, home equity lending, construction loans, commercial mortgages, and treasury management services. The company also serves small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, estates, local governmental entities, and non-profit organizations, supporting everyday banking needs as well as relationship-based commercial finance. Headquartered in Strasburg, Virginia, First National Corp. of Virginia plays a regional role in community banking by combining traditional deposit services with lending, cash management, and other financial solutions tailored to local customers.

CEO Mr. Scott C. Harvard · 308 employees · United States · https://www.fbvirginia.com