GROBasic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & MiningThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering Brazil Potash Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $5 — +180.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 21 of 100 as at 23 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Brazil Potash Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Size (73): Smaller than most of the companies we track.
Value (6): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GRO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +180.9% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Initiates | Speculative Buy | — |
| 16 June 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Initiates | Speculative Buy | — |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Jan 2025 | Roth MKM | Initiates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
GRO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Brazil Potash Corp. returned −31.5% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 85% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Cheaper than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Brazil Potash Corp. has a market value of $110.3M and an enterprise value of $35.0M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $0.0.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$28.1M.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$24.9M.
Trailing P/E: −1.5×; forward P/E: −6.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Brazil Potash Corp. employs 36 people.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Brazil Potash Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Brazil Potash reported positive initial results from testing AI-powered X-ray Transmission sorting technology at the Autazes Potash Project. Testing was first announced in December 2025.
Why it matters — The company said the technology shows potential for higher production and a longer mine life at the project.
Brazil Potash's subsidiary Potássio do Brasil signed a definitive agreement with Brazilian power company Gera Center for a modular power plant at the Autazes Potash Project. The 28-year contract supplies power for five years during construction, followed by 23 years as backup power once the mine operates, reducing upfront capital expenditure.
Why it matters — A GRO watcher would care because securing a long-term power contract lowers the project's upfront construction costs and ensures reliable energy for both building and operation.
Brazil Potash Corp. announced that President Lula signed the Profert program into law, which, combined with the SUFRAMA tax benefit, could unlock construction cost savings and preferential government financing for its Autazes Potash Project. The company also noted favorable Brazilian court rulings and milestones for the project.
Why it matters — A GRO watcher would care because the new law, tax benefits, supportive government policy, and favorable court rulings could improve the financing and cost outlook for the Autazes Potash Project.
Brazil's Supreme Federal Court rejected a petition that sought to halt construction permits and other development activities at Brazil Potash Corp.'s Autazes Potash Project in the state of Amazonas.
Why it matters — The favorable court ruling removes a legal obstacle to continued construction and development of GRO's key Autazes potash project, its core asset for its future mining operations.
The Brazilian Senate passed the "Profert" Fertilizer Industry Development Program bill (PL 699/2023), which creates tax incentives, authorizes BNDES funding for fertilizer project construction, and establishes domestic-content requirements for fertilizer sold in Brazil. Brazil Potash highlighted the potential impact on construction funding for its Autazes Potash Project, and the bill now awaits presidential signature.
Why it matters — The legislation could reduce Brazil Potash's construction costs by up to roughly US$190 million when combined with the SUFRAMA incentive and open new funding avenues for its Autazes Project.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Brazil Potash Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $5, with estimates ranging from $3.5 to $12. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering Brazil Potash Corp., 5 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Brazil Potash Corp. 21 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 23 Oct 2026, Brazil Potash Corp. ranks 21 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +180.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Brazil Potash Corp. 21 out of 100 as at 23 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Brazil Potash Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GRO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3.5 to $12 over the next 12 months.
Brazil Potash Corp. returned -31.5% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Brazil Potash Corp. is a mineral exploration and development company focused on potash properties in Brazil.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 13 Oct 2026): "Brazil Potash AI-Powered X-Ray Transmission Sorting Testing Shows Potential for Higher Production and Longer Mine Life". Brazil Potash reported positive initial results from testing AI-powered X-ray Transmission sorting technology at the Autazes Potash Project. Testing was first announced in December 2025.
Brazil Potash Corp. is a mineral exploration and development company focused on potash properties in Brazil. The company’s core asset is the Autazes Project in Amazonas, which is being developed as a source of potash, a key nutrient used in agricultural fertilizers. Its business centers on the exploration, extraction, and processing of potash ore to support domestic fertilizer supply in Brazil. Brazil Potash Corp. serves the broader materials and agricultural chemicals value chain by aiming to strengthen local access to potash for crop production. Headquartered in Toronto, Canada, the company operates within the industrial minerals segment and is positioned around a single strategic project with direct relevance to Brazil’s farming sector.
CEO Mr. Matthew Simpson M.B.A., P.Eng. · 36 employees · Canada · https://www.brazilpotash.com
