HIGFinancial Services · Insurance - DiversifiedThe 24 Wall Street analysts covering The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $145 — +5.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 74 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (85): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (30): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HIG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +5.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $144 → $137 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Initiates | Hold | $137 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $164 → $158 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $144 → $145 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $154 → $144 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $145 → $135 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $155 → $149 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Mizuho | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Mizuho | Downgrade | Neutral | $163 → $154 |
| 28 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $143 → $144 |
| 27 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $145 → $150 |
| 27 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 27 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $165 → $164 |
| 27 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $149 → $152 |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | $148 → $146 |
| 15 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 10 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $145 → $146 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
HIG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. returned +9.9% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. has a market value of $36.1B and an enterprise value of $36.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $28.6B. The latest quarter grew 3.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 15.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $15.47.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.8B, after $7.0M of capital spending.
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. spent $1.7B on share buybacks and $646.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 9.0×; forward P/E: 9.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.78%, paying out 15% of earnings.
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. employs 19,200 people — $1.5M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HIGThe Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | $36.1B | 74 |
| ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. | $39.4B | 73 |
| AIGAmerican International Group, Inc. | $42.7B | 55 |
| PLGOPelagos Insurance Capital Ltd. | $2.4B | 82 |
| CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc.* | $36.1B | 93 |
| COINCoinbase Global, Inc.* | $40.1B | 27 |
| XZOExzeo Group, Inc. | $1.8B | 3 |
* Nearest Financial Services names by size — few insurance - diversified companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The article highlights HIG among companies with robust dividend increases, high-quality scores, and strong dividend-safety metrics.
Why it matters — HIG watchers may note the article’s positive assessment of the company’s dividend growth and safety.
The Motley Fool highlighted that Hartford’s straight-through small business policy processing reached 78% in the third quarter. Small business written premium grew 7%, with an 85.2 underlying combined ratio.
Why it matters — These figures provide HIG watchers with an update on small business premium growth, policy processing, and underwriting performance.
Elon Musk endorsed as credible a $1.5 trillion claim about crash-cost reductions from self-driving technology. The excerpt says auto insurers have not priced in the potential implications for dividends retirees depend on.
Why it matters — HIG watchers may be interested in the excerpt’s suggestion that self-driving-related reductions in crash costs could affect auto insurers and their dividends.
The Hartford held its third-quarter 2026 financial results webcast on October 27, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and analysts participating but provides no earnings results or discussion details.
Why it matters — HIG watchers should note the earnings call took place, though this excerpt contains no information about the company’s financial performance or outlook.
The Hartford reported third-quarter 2026 core earnings of $956 million, or $3.50 per diluted share. Strength in Business Insurance and investment operations offset higher workers’ compensation frequency, elevated disability claims, and competitive conditions in certain markets.
Why it matters — HIG watchers can weigh the strength in two areas against the claims and market pressures described on the earnings call.
The 24 Wall Street analysts covering The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $145, with estimates ranging from $135 to $163. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 24 analysts covering The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 16 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. 74 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. ranks 74 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (85 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +5.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. 74 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HIG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $135 to $163 over the next 12 months.
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. returned +9.9% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. is a diversified insurance and financial services holding company headquartered in Hartford, Connecticut.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Nov 2026): "Dividend Announcements: October 24-30, 2026 (Part 1 Of 2)". The article highlights HIG among companies with robust dividend increases, high-quality scores, and strong dividend-safety metrics.
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. is a diversified insurance and financial services holding company headquartered in Hartford, Connecticut. The company operates through subsidiaries under the brand name The Hartford, serving individuals, businesses, and organizations across the United States and internationally. Its core businesses include commercial insurance, personal insurance, employee benefits, and property and casualty operations, alongside Hartford Funds, which provides investment products and related asset management services. The Hartford Insurance Group offers a broad range of coverage and risk management solutions, including workers’ compensation, property, automobile, liability, life, accident, disability, and retirement-oriented benefits. It distributes products through independent agents, brokers, sales teams, and policyholder service channels, making it a significant participant in the insurance and financial services market.
CEO Mr. Christopher Jerome Swift CPA · 19,200 employees · United States · https://www.thehartford.com
