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MTBMTBFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

MTB Stock Forecast: M&T Bank Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$225
+1.20% on the day

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering M&T Bank Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $245 — +9.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 68 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$32.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
68/ 100
Median analyst target
$245
Analysts covering
22
Revenue$2.5B+4.1% y/y
Net income$818.0M
Free cash flow$1.2B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.1%
1M
+2.6%
YTD
+13.8%
1Y
+27.8%
From 52W high
−11.0%
From 52W low
+27.8%
$176
$252
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MTB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores M&T Bank Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
68/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
93
Issuance
71
Quality
69
Momentum
67
Value
59
Growth
58
Volatility
57
Accruals
31
Size
7

Revisions (93): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (31): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MTB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$250$300Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTBHigh $294Median $245Low $198

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says22 analysts
6 Buy14 Hold2 Sell
Low $198Median $245High $294

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Oct 2026Wolfe ResearchDowngradeUnderperform—
21 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$225 → $230
20 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$250 → $235
19 Oct 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$262 → $258
19 Oct 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
19 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
19 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$301 → $294
19 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$255 → $245
19 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
14 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$285 → $255
14 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
8 Oct 2026TD CowenReinstatesHold$245
7 Oct 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesOutperform$250
7 Oct 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesOutperform—
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$255 → $238
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
2 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$266 → $249
2 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
1 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$260 → $230
1 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MTB appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

MTB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, M&T Bank Corp. returned +27.8% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MTB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MTBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MTB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.8%
Analysts raising
6
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

M&T Bank Corp. (MTB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.6×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.4×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 62% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.5%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−2.1%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
43.1%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
31.9%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.6%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.4%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 84% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

M&T Bank Corp. (MTB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • M&T Bank Corp. has a market value of $32.3B and an enterprise value of $39.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $9.8B. The latest quarter grew 0.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $3.0B, a 30.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $18.94.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.6B, after $209.0M of capital spending.

  • M&T Bank Corp. spent $3.0B on share buybacks and $1.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 144.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.6×; forward P/E: 10.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.70%, paying out 32% of earnings.

  • M&T Bank Corp. employs 21,562 people — $456K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MTB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MTBM&T Bank Corp.$32.3B68
HBANHuntington Bancshares, Inc.$32.6B9
BAPCredicorp Ltd.$28.5B58
CFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc. (Rhode Island)$28.3B41
FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. (North Carolina)$25.8B75
RFRegions Financial Corp.$24.7B66
KEYKeyCorp$23.4B64

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own M&T Bank Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MTB news & analysis

Top 25 Attractive Dividend Stocks For November 2026

Seeking Alpha · 3 Nov 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha used a quantitative screen to rank 25 dividend stocks for November 2026, selecting companies with forward yields above 2% and stated future return potential of at least 12%. Comcast was the highest-yielding highlighted pick at 5.68%, and Texas Instruments had the highest expected return at 40%.

Why it matters — The item discusses dividend-stock screening, but the excerpt does not mention M&T Bank, so it offers no MTB-specific information.

This M&T Bank Analyst Turns Bearish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Tuesday

Benzinga · 27 Oct 2026negative

Benzinga reports that an analyst turned bearish on M&T Bank, listing it among Tuesday’s top five downgrades. The excerpt directs readers to its analyst ratings page for the complete set of rating changes.

Why it matters — The downgrade is a change in analyst outlook relevant to M&T Bank watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MTB stock

What is the MTB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering M&T Bank Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $245, with estimates ranging from $198 to $294. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MTB stock a buy right now?

Of the 22 analysts covering M&T Bank Corp., 6 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks M&T Bank Corp. 68 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MTB?

As at 4 Nov 2026, M&T Bank Corp. ranks 68 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (93 of 100).

Will MTB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +9.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks M&T Bank Corp. 68 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MTB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering M&T Bank Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $198 to $294 over the next 12 months.

How has MTB stock performed over the past year?

M&T Bank Corp. returned +27.8% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does M&T Bank Corp. do?

M&T Bank Corporation is a financial holding company that provides commercial and retail banking, wealth management, mortgage, trust, and investment services through its banking subsidiaries. Its offerings include deposit accounts, business and consumer lending, residential and commercial real estate finance, treasury management, payment solutions, and other services for individuals, corporations, small businesses, institutions, and government-related organizations.

What is the latest news on MTB?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 3 Nov 2026): "Top 25 Attractive Dividend Stocks For November 2026". Seeking Alpha used a quantitative screen to rank 25 dividend stocks for November 2026, selecting companies with forward yields above 2% and stated future return potential of at least 12%. Comcast was the highest-yielding highlighted pick at 5.68%, and Texas Instruments had the highest expected return at 40%.

Company

About M&T Bank Corp.

M&T Bank Corporation is a financial holding company that provides commercial and retail banking, wealth management, mortgage, trust, and investment services through its banking subsidiaries. Its offerings include deposit accounts, business and consumer lending, residential and commercial real estate finance, treasury management, payment solutions, and other services for individuals, corporations, small businesses, institutions, and government-related organizations. Through Wilmington Trust, the company also delivers wealth planning, fiduciary administration, asset management, and specialized institutional services. M&T Bank Corporation serves regional markets across the northeastern and mid-Atlantic United States, supporting household finances, business operations, property transactions, and institutional capital management. Its diversified platform combines relationship-based banking with specialized financial services, giving the company a significant role in channeling deposits into loans, facilitating payments, managing assets, and supporting economic activity across the communities and industries it serves. Headquartered in Buffalo, New York, M&T Bank Corporation operates as a regulated bank holding company with a broad presence in commercial finance and personal financial services.

CEO Mr. Rene F. Jones CPA · 21,562 employees · United States · https://www.mtb.com