MTBFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering M&T Bank Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $258 — +13.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores M&T Bank Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (92): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Accruals (34): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MTB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 10 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Overweight | $253 → $304 |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $262 → $285 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $252 → $255 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $252 → $266 |
| 29 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $230 → $268 |
| 16 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | $240 → $250 |
| 16 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $236 → $267 |
| 16 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $263 → $266 |
| 16 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $242 → $250 |
| 16 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $230 → $255 |
| 16 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MTB appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, M&T Bank Corp. returned +17.2% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
M&T Bank Corp. has a market value of $32.6B and an enterprise value of $36.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $9.8B. The latest quarter grew 6.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.0B, a 30.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $18.94.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.6B, after $209.0M of capital spending.
M&T Bank Corp. spent $3.0B on share buybacks and $1.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 12.0×; forward P/E: 10.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.66%, paying out 32% of earnings.
M&T Bank Corp. employs 21,662 people — $453K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own M&T Bank Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
M&T Bank Corporation announced it will raise its prime lending rate from 6.75% to 7.00%, effective September 17, 2026. The change was disclosed via a press release from Buffalo, New York.
Why it matters — A change in the prime rate directly affects the interest charged on many of M&T's consumer and business loans, which can influence the bank's lending revenue.
Zacks Investment Research highlights M&T Bank Corporation (MTB) as a top dividend stock, noting that dividends are a key benefit of shareholding and posing the question of whether MTB has what it takes as a dividend pick.
Why it matters — For MTB watchers, this signals that the bank's dividend profile is being favorably examined by analysts at a major research firm.
A transcript of M&T Bank Corporation's presentation at the Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference was published on Seeking Alpha. The item covers M&T Bank's remarks at the industry conference.
Why it matters — An MTB watcher would be interested in management's remarks at a major financial services conference for insight into the company's outlook and strategy.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether M&T Bank (MTB) qualifies as a strong dividend stock, highlighting dividends as a key shareholder benefit. The article poses the question of whether the bank has what it takes to be a great dividend pick.
Why it matters — MTB watchers would care because the piece evaluates the bank's dividend appeal, a key factor for income-focused investors tracking the stock.
M&T Bank Corporation announced it will participate in the Barclays Global Financial Services Conference, which is being held in New York City. The announcement was made via press release.
Why it matters — A watcher of MTB would care because the company's participation in a major financial services conference signals engagement with investors and the broader financial community.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering M&T Bank Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $258, with estimates ranging from $224 to $304. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering M&T Bank Corp., 5 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks M&T Bank Corp. 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 17 Sept 2026, M&T Bank Corp. ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +13.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks M&T Bank Corp. 71 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering M&T Bank Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MTB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $224 to $304 over the next 12 months.
M&T Bank Corp. returned +17.2% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
M&T Bank Corporation is a U.S. bank holding company headquartered in Buffalo, New York.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 16 Sept 2026): "M&T Bank Increases Prime Rate". M&T Bank Corporation announced it will raise its prime lending rate from 6.75% to 7.00%, effective September 17, 2026. The change was disclosed via a press release from Buffalo, New York.
M&T Bank Corporation is a U.S. bank holding company headquartered in Buffalo, New York. It provides a broad range of retail and commercial banking services, along with trust, wealth management, and investment services through its principal banking subsidiaries. The company serves consumers, small businesses, middle-market companies, and institutional clients with products such as deposit accounts, lending solutions, treasury management, payments, mortgages, fiduciary services, and corporate trust capabilities. Its business is organized around Commercial Bank, Retail Bank, and Institutional Services and Wealth Management, reflecting a diversified regional banking model with a strong presence across the eastern United States. M&T Bank Corporation plays an important role in local and regional financial markets by supporting everyday banking needs and more specialized services for businesses and institutions.
CEO Mr. Rene F. Jones CPA · 21,662 employees · United States · https://www.mtb.com
