KEYKEYFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

KEY Stock Forecast: KeyCorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$20
−0.60% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering KeyCorp hold a median 12-month price target of $24 — +21.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$21.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$24
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$1.9B+7.1% y/y
Net income$509.0M
Free cash flow$233.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
−9.8%
YTD
−1.3%
1Y
+14.4%
From 52W high
−16.7%
From 52W low
+22.7%
$16
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

KEY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores KeyCorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
98
Issuance
74
Value
73
Revisions
71
Momentum
59
Quality
45
Accruals
38
Volatility
27
Size
9

Growth (98): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Volatility (27): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

KEY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KEY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$20$30$40$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26KEYHigh $43Median $24Low $22

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
12 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $22Median $24High $43

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Oct 2026TD CowenReinstatesBuy$23
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$27 → $25
2 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$25 → $23
1 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$26 → $24
23 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$24 → $23
23 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
15 Sept 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight$26
15 Sept 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
22 July 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral$22 → $23
22 July 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
22 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$28
22 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
22 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$25 → $26
22 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
22 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$24 → $25
7 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$25 → $27
7 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
6 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$23 → $25
6 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. KEY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

KEY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, KeyCorp returned +14.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

KEY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26KEYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

KEY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.7%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

KeyCorp (KEY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.6×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.9×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
19.8%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
34.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Net margin
27.5%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.3%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.1%

Higher than 91% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

KeyCorp (KEY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • KeyCorp has a market value of $21.2B and an enterprise value of $36.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.6B. The latest quarter grew 10.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.0B, a 26.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.72.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B.

  • KeyCorp spent $1.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.1B.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.6×; forward P/E: 9.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.12%, paying out 48% of earnings.

  • KeyCorp employs 17,493 people — $434K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

KEY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
KEYKeyCorp$21.2B
64
FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. (North Carolina)$22.8B
70
RFRegions Financial Corp.$22.9B
60
CFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc. (Rhode Island)$26.9B
43
EWBCEast West Bancorp, Inc.$17.1B
55
BAPCredicorp Ltd.$30.5B
65
HBANHuntington Bancshares, Inc.$30.6B
8

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own KeyCorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest KEY news & analysis

KeyCorp (KEY) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research says KeyCorp has two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat ahead of its upcoming report, and offers expectations to help readers prepare.

Why it matters — KEY watchers may want to consider the report's earnings expectations ahead of the upcoming release.

Will KeyCorp (KEY) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research says KeyCorp has a strong earnings surprise history and currently has two key ingredients associated with a likely beat in its next quarterly report.

Why it matters — The report highlights factors that may be relevant to investors tracking KEY’s upcoming earnings results.

KEYBANK NAMED OFFICIAL RETAIL BANK OF COLORADO AVALANCHE

PRNewsWire · 5 Oct 2026positive

Kroenke Sports & Entertainment announced a three-year partnership renewal with KeyBank, which includes a new designation for KeyBank as the exclusive Official Retail Bank Partner of the Colorado Avalanche. The agreement gives KeyBank naming rights for the KeyBank Ice Deck and introduces a KeyBank Small Business Spotlight program highlighting Colorado-based small businesses.

Why it matters — KeyBank, which operates more than 50 branches in Colorado, strengthens its brand presence in a key regional market through a multi-year sports partnership and marketing program.

Why Regions Financial's Dividend Raise Signals Confidence That KeyCorp's Frozen Payout Cannot Match

24/7 Wall Street · 4 Oct 2026negative

Regions Financial raised its dividend while KeyCorp has kept its payout frozen for nearly three years. The article compares the two banks' balance sheets to assess which dividend is safer for income-dependent retirees.

Why it matters — A KEY watcher would care because the piece positions KeyCorp's frozen dividend as less favorable than Regions' recent increase, based on balance-sheet strength.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about KEY stock

What is the KEY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering KeyCorp have a median 12-month price target of $24, with estimates ranging from $22 to $43. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is KEY stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering KeyCorp, 12 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks KeyCorp 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank KEY?

As at 14 Oct 2026, KeyCorp ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (98 of 100).

Will KEY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +21.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks KeyCorp 64 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the KEY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering KeyCorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KEY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $22 to $43 over the next 12 months.

How has KEY stock performed over the past year?

KeyCorp returned +14.4% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does KeyCorp do?

KeyCorp is a bank holding company headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio. Through its primary subsidiary, KeyBank National Association, the company provides a broad range of financial services to individuals, small businesses, commercial clients, and institutional customers across the United States.

What is the latest news on KEY?

The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 15 Oct 2026): "KeyCorp Earnings Are Imminent; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call". KeyCorp is scheduled to release its third-quarter earnings report before the market opens on Tuesday, Oct. 20. The headline notes that analysts revised forecasts ahead of the earnings call.

Company

About KeyCorp.

KeyCorp is a bank holding company headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio. Through its primary subsidiary, KeyBank National Association, the company provides a broad range of financial services to individuals, small businesses, commercial clients, and institutional customers across the United States. Its consumer banking offerings include deposit accounts, lending, mortgages, home equity products, credit cards, and student loan refinancing, while its commercial banking business serves middle-market and corporate clients with cash management, equipment financing, commercial real estate lending, and treasury services. KeyCorp also delivers wealth management, investment services, trust and custody solutions, and capital markets capabilities such as underwriting, advisory, derivatives, foreign exchange, and syndicated finance. The company plays a significant role in regional and national banking by combining branch-based banking with digital platforms and specialized advisory services.

CEO Mr. Christopher Marrott Gorman · 17,493 employees · United States · https://www.key.com