KEYKEYFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

KEY Stock Forecast: KeyCorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$22
+1.53% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering KeyCorp hold a median 12-month price target of $24 — +11.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$22.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
64/ 100
Median analyst target
$24
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$1.9B+7.1% y/y
Net income$509.0M
Free cash flow$233.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.7%
1M
+7.3%
YTD
+7.5%
1Y
+29.6%
From 52W high
−9.3%
From 52W low
+31.0%
$16
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

KEY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores KeyCorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
64/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
91
Growth
91
Value
65
Momentum
61
Quality
52
Issuance
50
Accruals
39
Volatility
22
Size
9

Revisions (91): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (22): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

KEY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KEY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$20$30$40$50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26KEYHigh $43Median $24Low $22

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
11 Buy9 Hold0 Sell
Low $22Median $24High $43

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$23 → $24
21 Oct 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
21 Oct 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$26 → $27
21 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
21 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$25 → $24
8 Oct 2026TD CowenReinstatesBuy$23
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$27 → $25
5 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
2 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$25 → $23
2 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
1 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$26 → $24
1 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
23 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
23 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$24 → $23
15 Sept 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight$26
15 Sept 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
22 July 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral$22 → $23
22 July 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
22 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$28
22 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

KEY appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

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The AI build-out map
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Performance

KEY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, KeyCorp returned +29.6% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

KEY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26KEYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

KEY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.1%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

KeyCorp (KEY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.7×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.0×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.5%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
18.4%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
37.4%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
28.0%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.2%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.9%

Higher than 90% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

KeyCorp (KEY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • KeyCorp has a market value of $22.5B and an enterprise value of $39.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.6B. The latest quarter grew 11.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.0B, a 26.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.72.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B.

  • KeyCorp spent $1.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.1B.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.7×; forward P/E: 9.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.86%, paying out 48% of earnings.

  • KeyCorp employs 17,562 people — $433K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

KEY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
KEYKeyCorp$22.5B64
RFRegions Financial Corp.$24.7B66
FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. (North Carolina)$25.8B75
CFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc. (Rhode Island)$28.3B41
BAPCredicorp Ltd.$28.5B58
EWBCEast West Bancorp, Inc.$18.4B58
MTBM&T Bank Corp.$32.6B68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own KeyCorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest KEY news & analysis

Will the Atlantic-Pacific Buyout Aid KeyCorp's IB Business Expansion?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Nov 2026positive

KeyCorp’s pending acquisition of Atlantic-Pacific is expected to expand its fund placement and advisory capabilities. The deal is described as supporting its financial sponsor business and investment banking growth.

Why it matters — KEY watchers may follow the acquisition for its potential to broaden the company’s financial sponsor and investment banking capabilities.

Has KeyCorp (KEY) Outpaced Other Finance Stocks This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares KeyCorp and Arrow Financial with their sector based on performance so far this year. The excerpt provides no performance figures or comparative result.

Why it matters — The comparison is relevant to KEY watchers, but the excerpt does not say whether KeyCorp outpaced its peers or sector.

KeyBanc Capital Markets to Acquire Atlantic-Pacific Capital

PRNewsWire · 3 Nov 2026positive

KeyBanc Capital Markets, KeyCorp’s corporate and investment banking unit, announced a definitive agreement to acquire Atlantic-Pacific Capital, a private capital advisor to financial sponsors.

Why it matters — The transaction is intended to expand KeyCorp’s reach in global fund placement, direct private placement and secondary advisory, strengthening its focus on financial sponsors.

KeyBank's Key Secured Credit Card® Program Surpasses 48,000 Client Graduations Since 2019

PRNewsWire · 29 Oct 2026positive

KeyBank said its secured credit card program has had more than 48,000 client graduations since 2019. More than 4,600 clients graduated in the first half of 2026; 68% did so within 12 months and 85% within 24 months.

Why it matters — The update highlights the scale and reported timing of client progress through a KeyBank financial inclusion program.

KEYCORP TO PRESENT AT THE BANCANALYSTS ASSOCIATION OF BOSTON CONFERENCE

PRNewsWire · 29 Oct 2026neutral

KeyCorp announced that CFO and Head of Technology Clark Khayat and Head of Institutional Banking Andrew Paine will present at the BancAnalysts Association of Boston Conference on November 5, 2026, at 3:40 p.m. ET. The company plans to review its performance, strategy, and outlook.

Why it matters — The presentation may provide KEY watchers with information about the company’s performance, strategy, and outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about KEY stock

What is the KEY stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering KeyCorp have a median 12-month price target of $24, with estimates ranging from $22 to $43. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is KEY stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering KeyCorp, 11 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks KeyCorp 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank KEY?

As at 4 Nov 2026, KeyCorp ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (91 of 100).

Will KEY stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +11.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks KeyCorp 64 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the KEY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering KeyCorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KEY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $22 to $43 over the next 12 months.

How has KEY stock performed over the past year?

KeyCorp returned +29.6% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does KeyCorp do?

KeyCorp is a bank holding company headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio. Through its primary subsidiary, KeyBank National Association, the company provides a broad range of financial services to individuals, small businesses, commercial clients, and institutional customers across the United States.

What is the latest news on KEY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Nov 2026): "Will the Atlantic-Pacific Buyout Aid KeyCorp's IB Business Expansion?". KeyCorp’s pending acquisition of Atlantic-Pacific is expected to expand its fund placement and advisory capabilities. The deal is described as supporting its financial sponsor business and investment banking growth.

Company

About KeyCorp.

KeyCorp is a bank holding company headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio. Through its primary subsidiary, KeyBank National Association, the company provides a broad range of financial services to individuals, small businesses, commercial clients, and institutional customers across the United States. Its consumer banking offerings include deposit accounts, lending, mortgages, home equity products, credit cards, and student loan refinancing, while its commercial banking business serves middle-market and corporate clients with cash management, equipment financing, commercial real estate lending, and treasury services. KeyCorp also delivers wealth management, investment services, trust and custody solutions, and capital markets capabilities such as underwriting, advisory, derivatives, foreign exchange, and syndicated finance. The company plays a significant role in regional and national banking by combining branch-based banking with digital platforms and specialized advisory services.

CEO Mr. Christopher Marrott Gorman · 17,562 employees · United States · https://www.key.com