HLMNIndustrials · Tools & AccessoriesThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Hillman Solutions Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $12 — +44.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 74 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hillman Solutions Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (84): The share price has been relatively steady.
Momentum (44): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (39): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hillman Solutions Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HLMN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +44.4% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 July 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | $14 → $13 |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 July 2025 | Stifel | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 30 Apr 2025 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Apr 2025 | Baird | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 8 Apr 2025 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 19 Feb 2025 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 19 Feb 2025 | Benchmark | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 2 Jan 2025 | William Blair | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Nov 2024 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Nov 2024 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 17% of US stocks
Cheaper than 69% of US stocks
Cheaper than 62% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HLMN appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Hillman Solutions Corp. reported Q2 earnings of $0.17 per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate and unchanged from the $0.17 per share it earned a year ago.
Why it matters — HLMN watchers would note that the company met analyst expectations with results flat versus the prior-year period.
Hillman Solutions reported second quarter 2026 results for the period ended June 27, 2026, with net sales up 10% to $442 million. The company also agreed to acquire Kanebridge Corp. subsequent to quarter end, establishing an industrial master distribution presence in the U.S., and raised its fiscal 2026 net sales and adjusted EBITDA outlook.
Why it matters — A HLMN watcher would care because the company reported stronger sales growth, announced a distribution-focused acquisition, and raised its full-year guidance.
Hillman Solutions Corp. has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Kanebridge Corporation, a master distributor of industrial fasteners, for $315 million subject to customary adjustments. Kanebridge supplies more than 44,000 commercial and military-grade fastener SKUs to distributors across the U.S. and Canada from warehouses in Illinois and California.
Why it matters — The acquisition establishes Hillman's presence in the previously untapped industrial fastener distribution market, increasing its industrial total addressable market to $3 billion and diversifying its customer and end-market exposure.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Hillman Solutions Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $10 to $14. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Hillman Solutions Corp., 6 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hillman Solutions Corp. 74 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 1 Aug 2026, Hillman Solutions Corp. ranks 74 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (84 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +44.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hillman Solutions Corp. 74 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hillman Solutions Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HLMN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $14 over the next 12 months.
Hillman Solutions Corp. returned +7.2% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hillman Solutions Corp. is a provider of hardware-related products and merchandising services serving retail, professional distribution, and industrial maintenance, repair, and operations customers across North America.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Aug 2026): "Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) Q2 Earnings Match Estimates". Hillman Solutions Corp. reported Q2 earnings of $0.17 per share, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate and unchanged from the $0.17 per share it earned a year ago.
Hillman Solutions Corp. is a provider of hardware-related products and merchandising services serving retail, professional distribution, and industrial maintenance, repair, and operations customers across North America. The company focuses on small, frequently purchased hardware categories, offering a broad portfolio that includes fasteners and related hardware, threaded rod and metal shapes, builder’s hardware, rope and chain, personal protective equipment such as gloves and eyewear, and identification items like tags, letters, numbers, and signs. Hillman Solutions Corp. also operates a robotics and digital solutions business centered on automated key duplication and other personalization kiosks installed in retail stores, combining product sales with in-store automation and services. Its operations are organized into three segments: Hardware and Protective Solutions, Robotics and Digital Solutions, and Canada, reflecting its product mix and geographic focus. Founded in 1964 and headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, Hillman Solutions Corp. plays a significant role in simplifying complex, labor-intensive hardware categories for major home improvement chains, hardware stores, mass merchants, and other retailers throughout the United States and Canada.
CEO Mr. Jon Michael Adinolfi · 3,986 employees · United States · https://www.hillmangroup.com