HTHFinancial Services · Financial ConglomeratesThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering Hilltop Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $41 — +8.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 61 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilltop Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (92): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (33): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HTH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $40 → $42 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $34 → $39 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 30 Apr 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 30 July 2024 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 July 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Jan 2024 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 24 July 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 July 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 Apr 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Equal-Weight | — |
| 7 July 2022 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 26 July 2021 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 26 July 2021 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 Apr 2021 | Stephens & Co. | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 Apr 2021 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
HTH appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Hilltop Holdings, Inc. returned +18.1% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 55% of US stocks
Cheaper than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 12% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Hilltop Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $2.1B and an enterprise value of $2.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter shrank 10.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $166.6M, a 13.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.70.
Trailing P/E: 15.6×; forward P/E: 15.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.36%, paying out 33% of earnings.
Hilltop Holdings, Inc. employs 3,530 people — $344K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HTHHilltop Holdings, Inc. | $2.1B | 61 |
| VOYAVoya Financial, Inc. | $9.5B | 41 |
| FRHCFreedom Holding Corp. | $11.5B | 7 |
| TMSTeamshares, Inc. | $336.9M | 18 |
| RILYBRC Group Holdings, Inc. | $153.9M | 69 |
| BLXBladex, Inc.* | $2.3B | 23 |
| NTBThe Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd.* | $2.2B | 75 |
* Nearest Financial Services names by size — few financial conglomerates companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilltop Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Hilltop Holdings reported that net interest income grew 9% year over year to $122 million, while PrimeLending recorded an $11 million pre-tax loss attributed to higher interest rates.
Why it matters — The figures highlight contrasting developments in HTH’s net interest income and PrimeLending business.
Hilltop Holdings stock slumped after the company fell notably short of analyst estimates for revenue and net income. It maintained its dividend policy and continued buying back shares.
Why it matters — HTH watchers may weigh the earnings shortfall alongside the company’s continued dividend policy and share repurchases.
Hilltop Holdings held its Q3 2026 earnings conference call on October 23, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and participating analysts but provides no discussion of results or business developments.
Why it matters — The call is relevant to HTH watchers, but this excerpt does not include performance details or management commentary.
Hilltop reported third-quarter 2026 net income attributable to common stockholders of $24.9 million, or $0.44 per diluted share. Growth in banking operations was partly offset by interest-rate-driven pressure in its mortgage and broker-dealer businesses.
Why it matters — The results highlight how performance in HTH’s banking operations was balanced by pressure in its mortgage and broker-dealer businesses.
Zacks Investment Research notes that Hilltop Holdings’ Q3 headline figures reflect the quarter ended September 2026 and suggests comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals. The excerpt does not provide the results or comparisons.
Why it matters — HTH watchers may use the reported headline figures alongside estimates and year-ago results to assess quarterly performance.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Hilltop Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $41, with estimates ranging from $39 to $42. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering Hilltop Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilltop Holdings, Inc. 61 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, Hilltop Holdings, Inc. ranks 61 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +8.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilltop Holdings, Inc. 61 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hilltop Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HTH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $39 to $42 over the next 12 months.
Hilltop Holdings, Inc. returned +18.1% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hilltop Holdings Inc. is a Dallas-based financial holding company that provides banking, mortgage, and capital markets services through its core businesses, PlainsCapital Bank, PrimeLending, and HilltopSecurities.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 26 Oct 2026): "Hilltop Holdings: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". Hilltop Holdings reported that net interest income grew 9% year over year to $122 million, while PrimeLending recorded an $11 million pre-tax loss attributed to higher interest rates.
Hilltop Holdings Inc. is a Dallas-based financial holding company that provides banking, mortgage, and capital markets services through its core businesses, PlainsCapital Bank, PrimeLending, and HilltopSecurities. The company serves business and consumer banking clients primarily in Texas, while its mortgage origination operations reach customers across the United States. Through its broker-dealer and investment banking platforms, Hilltop Holdings offers securities brokerage, institutional advisory, fixed-income trading, municipal finance, and related financial services. Its diversified structure positions it as a multi-line financial services provider focused on relationship banking, residential lending, and market-oriented advisory solutions. Hilltop Holdings Inc. plays a broad role in the U.S. financial sector by linking regional banking expertise with national mortgage and capital markets capabilities.
CEO Mr. Jeremy Blue Ford · 3,530 employees · United States · https://www.hilltop.com
