HTHFinancial Services · Financial ConglomeratesThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering Hilltop Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $41 — +13.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilltop Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (92): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (32): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HTH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.0% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $40 → $42 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | $34 → $39 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 30 Apr 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 3 Feb 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 30 July 2024 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 July 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Jan 2024 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 24 July 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 July 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 Apr 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Equal-Weight | — |
| 7 July 2022 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 26 July 2021 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 26 July 2021 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 Apr 2021 | Stephens & Co. | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 Apr 2021 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HTH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Hilltop Holdings, Inc. returned +11.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 49% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Hilltop Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $2.1B and an enterprise value of $3.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 5.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $166.6M, a 13.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.70.
Trailing P/E: 13.5×; forward P/E: 14.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.42%, paying out 28% of earnings.
Hilltop Holdings, Inc. employs 3,600 people — $337K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HTHHilltop Holdings, Inc. | $2.1B | 85 |
| VOYAVoya Financial, Inc. | $8.6B | 54 |
| FRHCFreedom Holding Corp. | $10.8B | 8 |
| TMSTeamshares, Inc. | $402.4M | 19 |
| RILYBRC Group Holdings, Inc. | $186.1M | 70 |
| NWBINorthwest Bancshares, Inc. (Pennsylvania)* | $2.1B | 48 |
| PLGOPelagos Insurance Capital Ltd.* | $2.1B | 80 |
* Nearest Financial Services names by size — few financial conglomerates companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilltop Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Hilltop Holdings said it will host a live webcast and conference call on October 23, 2026, to review its third-quarter 2026 financial results. CEO Jeremy B. Ford and CFO William B. Furr will participate.
Why it matters — The event gives HTH watchers an opportunity to hear management review the company’s third-quarter results.
Hilltop Holdings has gained 13.5% so far this year, with improving margins, expense discipline, and capital strength offsetting asset-quality and mortgage banking risks. The Zacks article discusses whether investors should buy the stock at current levels.
Why it matters — The stock's year-to-date gain signals investor confidence in Hilltop's operational strengths despite lingering risks in asset quality and mortgage banking.
Hilltop Holdings' net interest income (NII) rose 5.6% year over year in the first half of 2026, supported by lower funding costs and loan growth. The article questions whether this upward trend will continue.
Why it matters — A HTH watcher would care because the increase in net interest income signals improving profitability from its core lending operations.
Seeking Alpha published its weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, covering companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.
Why it matters — HTH watchers would care because the article may reference Hilltop Holdings' dividend status or compare it against other dividend-paying companies in the classification list.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted Hilltop Holdings (HTH) as a strong momentum stock, examining whether it has the qualities momentum investors look for.
Why it matters — A positive momentum assessment from a major research firm could influence investor perception of HTH's near-term trading prospects.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Hilltop Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $41, with estimates ranging from $40 to $42. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering Hilltop Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilltop Holdings, Inc. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, Hilltop Holdings, Inc. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +13.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilltop Holdings, Inc. 85 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hilltop Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HTH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $42 over the next 12 months.
Hilltop Holdings, Inc. returned +11.8% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hilltop Holdings Inc. is a Dallas-based financial holding company that provides banking, mortgage, and capital markets services through its core businesses, PlainsCapital Bank, PrimeLending, and HilltopSecurities.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 14 Oct 2026): "Hilltop Holdings Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast". Hilltop Holdings said it will host a live webcast and conference call on October 23, 2026, to review its third-quarter 2026 financial results. CEO Jeremy B. Ford and CFO William B. Furr will participate.
Hilltop Holdings Inc. is a Dallas-based financial holding company that provides banking, mortgage, and capital markets services through its core businesses, PlainsCapital Bank, PrimeLending, and HilltopSecurities. The company serves business and consumer banking clients primarily in Texas, while its mortgage origination operations reach customers across the United States. Through its broker-dealer and investment banking platforms, Hilltop Holdings offers securities brokerage, institutional advisory, fixed-income trading, municipal finance, and related financial services. Its diversified structure positions it as a multi-line financial services provider focused on relationship banking, residential lending, and market-oriented advisory solutions. Hilltop Holdings Inc. plays a broad role in the U.S. financial sector by linking regional banking expertise with national mortgage and capital markets capabilities.
CEO Mr. Jeremy Blue Ford · 3,600 employees · United States · https://www.hilltop.com
