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HZOHZOConsumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

HZO Stock Forecast: MarineMax, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$52
−0.08% on the day

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering MarineMax, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $53 — +1.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 72 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
72 / 100
Median analyst target
$53
Analysts covering
9
Revenue$611.3M−7.0% y/y
Operating income$37.2M
Net income$15.6M
Free cash flow$77.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.2%
1M
+0.5%
YTD
+116.4%
1Y
+105.6%
From 52W high
−0.2%
From 52W low
+144.7%
$21
$53
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HZO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MarineMax, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
72 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
100
Accruals
94
Issuance
85
Quality
55
Growth
46
Value
43
Revisions
43
Size
42
Volatility
28

Momentum (100): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Volatility (28): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HZO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HZO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40$45$50$55Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HZOHigh $53Median $53Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says9 analysts
1 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $35Median $53High $53

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +1.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral$41 → $53
12 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold$39 → $53
11 Aug 2026BenchmarkDowngradeHold—
11 Aug 2026Loop CapitalDowngradeHold—
21 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral$35
21 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
6 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
6 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$34 → $39
30 Jan 2026B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy—
23 Dec 2025Loop CapitalInitiatesBuy—
15 Oct 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
16 June 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
17 Apr 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
14 Apr 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
24 Jan 2025BenchmarkReiteratesBuy—
22 Jan 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
15 Oct 2024BenchmarkInitiatesBuy—
9 Sept 2024CitigroupUpgradeBuy—
29 July 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
26 July 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HZO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HZO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, MarineMax, Inc. returned +105.6% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HZO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180200220Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HZOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HZO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.8%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
327.4×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
18.3×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−7.0%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−7.0%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
35.7%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.1%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Net margin
0.2%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
0.5%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.7%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

MarineMax, Inc. (HZO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • MarineMax, Inc. has a market value of $1.2B and an enterprise value of $2.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.2B. The latest quarter shrank 7.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $4.8M, a 0.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.14.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $178.0M, after $28.9M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 22.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 327.4×; forward P/E: 33.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • MarineMax, Inc. employs 3,385 people — $649K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HZO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HZOMarineMax, Inc.$1.2B
72
WINAWinmark Corp.$1.1B
61
EYENational Vision Holdings, Inc.$1.3B
71
ARHSArhaus, Inc.$1.4B
39
SVVSavers Value Village, Inc.$1.4B
33
SBHSally Beauty Holdings, Inc.$1.6B
79
BOBSBob’s Discount Furniture, Inc.$1.9B
10

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MarineMax, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HZO news & analysis

HZO Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether MarineMax, Inc. is Obtaining a Fair Price for its Shareholders

Business Wire · 26 Sept 2026negative

Halper Sadeh LLC, an investor rights law firm, announced it is investigating the sale of MarineMax, Inc. to Safe Harbor Marinas for $53.00 per share in cash, focusing on whether MarineMax and its board of directors violated laws in the transaction and whether shareholders are receiving a fair price.

Why it matters — The investigation raises questions about the fairness of the $53.00 per share acquisition price and introduces potential legal risk to the deal for MarineMax shareholders.

BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: MarineMax, Inc. (NYSE – HZO), Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE – BZH), MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (Nasdaq – MKTX), CBIZ, Inc. (NYSE – CBZ)

GlobeNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

The law firm Brodsky & Smith issued a shareholder update reminding investors of its investigations involving MarineMax, Inc., along with Beazer Homes USA, MarketAxess Holdings, and CBIZ. The firm invites shareholders to contact Jason Brodsky or Marc Ackerman to discuss the investigation at no cost or financial obligation.

Why it matters — MarineMax (HZO) shareholders would want to be aware that a law firm has flagged the company's stock as the subject of an investigation, which could be relevant to their holdings.

MarineMax Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of MarineMax, Inc. - HZO

Business Wire · 11 Aug 2026negative

Law firm Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC announced an investigation into the proposed sale of MarineMax to Safe Harbor Marinas, under which shareholders would receive $53.00 per share in cash. The firm is examining whether the consideration and the sale process are adequate.

Why it matters — A HZO watcher would care because the investigation raises questions about the fairness of the price and process in the pending acquisition.

Levin Capital Applauds MarineMax Board for Acting on Shareholder Feedback and Pursuing a Value-Maximizing Sale to Safe Harbor Marinas

Business Wire · 11 Aug 2026positive

Levin Capital Strategies, a top 10 shareholder of MarineMax, issued a statement commending the Board for reaching a definitive transaction agreement to sell the company to Safe Harbor Marinas, a Blackstone Infrastructure portfolio company, for $53.00 per share in an all-cash deal.

Why it matters — A major shareholder publicly supporting the sale signals confidence that the transaction delivers maximum value for MarineMax shareholders.

Marinemax Stock Surges to New 52-Week High Toward Safe Harbor Buyout Price

Benzinga · 10 Aug 2026positive

MarineMax, a boat and yacht retailer, saw its stock surge to a new 52-week high on Monday. This followed investor reaction to the company's definitive agreement to be acquired by Safe Harbor Marinas in an all-cash transaction.

Why it matters — HZO watchers would care because the definitive all-cash acquisition agreement with Safe Harbor Marinas marks a significant corporate development driving the stock to a new 52-week high.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HZO stock

What is the HZO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 9 Wall Street analysts covering MarineMax, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $53, with estimates ranging from $35 to $53. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HZO stock a buy right now?

Of the 9 analysts covering MarineMax, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MarineMax, Inc. 72 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HZO?

As at 8 Oct 2026, MarineMax, Inc. ranks 72 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (100 of 100).

Will HZO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 9 analysts implies +1.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MarineMax, Inc. 72 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HZO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MarineMax, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HZO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $53 over the next 12 months.

How has HZO stock performed over the past year?

MarineMax, Inc. returned +105.6% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MarineMax, Inc. do?

MarineMax Inc. is a recreational boat and yacht retailer and superyacht services company that serves boating customers across the United States.

What is the latest news on HZO?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 26 Sept 2026): "HZO Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether MarineMax, Inc. is Obtaining a Fair Price for its Shareholders". Halper Sadeh LLC, an investor rights law firm, announced it is investigating the sale of MarineMax, Inc. to Safe Harbor Marinas for $53.00 per share in cash, focusing on whether MarineMax and its board of directors violated laws in the transaction and whether shareholders are receiving a fair price.

Company

About MarineMax, Inc.

MarineMax Inc. is a recreational boat and yacht retailer and superyacht services company that serves boating customers across the United States. MarineMax Inc. sells new and used boats, including premium sport boats, cruisers, fishing boats, motor yachts, and luxury yachts, through a retail network supported by marine parts, accessories, financing, insurance, brokerage, and service offerings. The company also operates marina and storage facilities, providing slip rental, maintenance, repair, and seasonal support for boat owners. In addition, MarineMax Inc. includes product manufacturing businesses through brands such as Cruisers Yachts and Intrepid Powerboats, giving it exposure to both retail distribution and premium marine production. Its integrated model connects boat sales, service, and waterfront infrastructure, making MarineMax Inc. a significant participant in the recreational marine market.

CEO Mr. William Brett McGill · 3,385 employees · United States · https://www.marinemax.com