SBHConsumer Cyclical · Specialty RetailThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +9.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 81 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (92): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Volatility (40): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (39): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SBH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $17 → $19 |
| 12 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 12 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $16 → $13 |
| 12 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $20 → $17 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 21 Jan 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Jefferies | Assumes | Hold | $16 |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 15 Sept 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Sept 2025 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 18 Feb 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 25 Nov 2024 | TD Cowen | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 15 Nov 2024 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SBH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 86% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research highlights Sally Beauty (SBH) as a top-ranked growth stock, based on its Zacks Style Scores framework for identifying market-beating stocks.
Why it matters — The recognition signals that Sally Beauty scores well on Zacks' growth criteria, which SBH watchers may consider a notable positive development for the company.
A Zacks Investment Research article identifies SBH among five stocks with attractive EV-to-EBITDA ratios and strong earnings outlooks, including PKX, PARR, BIP, and DINO. The piece highlights SBH's valuation as potentially favorable.
Why it matters — SBH watchers would care because the article suggests the stock's valuation metric (EV-to-EBITDA) is attractive relative to its earnings outlook.
Sally Beauty Holdings announced that CEO Denise Paulonis and CFO Adrianne Lee will present at the Canaccord Genuity 46th Annual Growth Conference in Boston on August 11, 2026, with a live webcast available on the company's investor relations website.
Why it matters — The presentation at a growth-focused investment conference provides the company an opportunity to communicate its strategy and outlook to analysts and institutional investors.
Sally Beauty Holdings stock rose 7.8% after its third-quarter earnings topped analyst estimates, as margin gains, digital growth, and solid cash flow outweighed a slight revenue miss. The company also narrowed its outlook.
Why it matters — A SBH watcher would care because the share price surged on an earnings beat driven by margin gains, digital growth, and cash flow, even as revenue slightly missed and the outlook was narrowed.
The article keeps a Strong Buy rating on Sally Beauty Holdings, saying shares are undervalued and profit growth is expected this year despite a slight revenue miss and lowered full-year sales guidance. SBH outperformed on adjusted EPS and net income, with the Sally Beauty Supply segment delivering solid comparable-sales and segment-profit growth that offset weakness in the Beauty Systems Group.
Why it matters — SBH watchers would care because the piece highlights that stronger-than-expected earnings and retail-segment momentum outweighed the company's revenue shortfall and reduced guidance.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $13 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. 81 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Aug 2026, Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. ranks 81 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +9.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. 81 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SBH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $20 over the next 12 months.
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. returned +23.6% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. is a renowned distributor and retailer of professional beauty products.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 7 Aug 2026): "Sally Beauty (SBH) is a Top-Ranked Growth Stock: Should You Buy?". Zacks Investment Research highlights Sally Beauty (SBH) as a top-ranked growth stock, based on its Zacks Style Scores framework for identifying market-beating stocks.
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc. is a renowned distributor and retailer of professional beauty products. The company operates globally through two distinct segments: Sally Beauty Supply and Beauty Systems Group. Sally Beauty Supply focuses on providing a comprehensive range of hair color, hair care, nail care, and skin care products, catering primarily to retail consumers as well as professional salons. Meanwhile, Beauty Systems Group distributes professional beauty supplies directly to licensed beauty professionals and salons, offering a wide array of brands and tools essential for the beauty industry. Sally Beauty Holdings plays a pivotal role in the beauty and cosmetics market by bridging the gap between product manufacturers and the end-users, both in retail and professional settings. Its extensive product portfolio and robust distribution network ensure that beauty professionals and consumers have access to the latest in beauty trends and innovations. Thus, Sally Beauty Holdings is instrumental in shaping the beauty industry landscape, supporting the growth of personal care brands, and enhancing the accessibility of professional-grade beauty products to a broad audience.
CEO Ms. Denise A. Paulonis · 11,000 employees · United States · https://www.sallybeautyholdings.com