SBHConsumer Cyclical · Specialty RetailThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +12.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 10 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (92): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Volatility (41): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (39): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SBH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $17 → $19 |
| 12 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 12 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $16 → $13 |
| 12 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $20 → $17 |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Raymond James | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 21 Jan 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Jefferies | Assumes | Hold | $16 |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 15 Sept 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Sept 2025 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 18 Feb 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 16 Jan 2025 | Canaccord Genuity | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 25 Nov 2024 | TD Cowen | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 15 Nov 2024 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SBH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. returned +4.7% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 85% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $1.5B and an enterprise value of $2.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.7B. The latest quarter grew 0.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $192.3M, a 5.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.92.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $241.2M.
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. spent $92.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 8.3×; forward P/E: 7.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 8.18%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. employs 11,000 people — $339K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Sally Beauty's Fuel for Growth program is supporting gross margins and reducing costs, delivering $9 million in benefits during the third quarter with $45 million targeted in savings for 2026.
Why it matters — The program's reported cost savings and margin support are central to whether Sally Beauty can sustain its margin momentum going forward.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted Sally Beauty (SBH) as a strong growth stock, citing its Style Scores system as a way for investors to identify top-rated stocks. The item points to SBH's ranking within this framework.
Why it matters — An SBH watcher would care because the company has received positive recognition as a strong growth stock within Zacks' stock-rating framework.
Sally Beauty Holdings' Sally Ignited store remodel initiative is gaining traction, with the remodeled stores showing stronger customer metrics and sales performance that is outpacing the broader store fleet. The article questions whether the company can reach 80 Ignited stores while maintaining this momentum.
Why it matters — A Sally Beauty watcher would care because the remodel program's stronger sales and customer metrics suggest the strategy is boosting store-level performance, which could be a key driver for the company's growth.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether Sally Beauty (SBH) qualifies as a value stock. The article outlines the firm's Zacks Rank system, which centers on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also considering value, growth, and momentum trends to evaluate picks.
Why it matters — SBH watchers would care because the article provides an analytical framework for assessing the stock's appeal, potentially influencing investor attention and perception.
Sally Beauty Holdings reported earnings 30 days ago. Since that earnings report, the company's stock has declined by 1.2%.
Why it matters — SBH watchers would care about how the stock has performed in the weeks following the company's most recent earnings report.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $13 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 10 Sept 2026, Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +12.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. 83 out of 100 as at 10 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SBH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $20 over the next 12 months.
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. returned +4.7% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. is a specialty retailer and distributor of professional beauty supplies.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 11 Sept 2026): "Can Sally Beauty's Fuel for Growth Savings Sustain Margin Momentum?". Sally Beauty's Fuel for Growth program is supporting gross margins and reducing costs, delivering $9 million in benefits during the third quarter with $45 million targeted in savings for 2026.
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. is a specialty retailer and distributor of professional beauty supplies. Sally Beauty Holdings serves both salon professionals and individual consumers through its Sally Beauty Supply and Beauty Systems Group businesses, offering products across hair color, hair care, styling tools, nails, skin care, and related accessories. The company operates a broad omnichannel model that combines company-owned stores, franchised locations, e-commerce platforms, and outside sales consultants. Its assortment includes proprietary labels and professional brands used in salons and for at-home beauty routines. Sally Beauty Holdings plays an important role in the beauty and personal care market by connecting professional-grade products with everyday retail access across North America, Europe, and Latin America.
CEO Ms. Denise A. Paulonis · 11,000 employees · United States · https://www.sallybeautyholdings.com
