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JOEJOEReal Estate · Real Estate - Diversified

JOE Stock Forecast: The St. Joe Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$70
+5.06% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile.

Market cap
$3.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
76/ 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
1
Revenue$158.8M+23.0% y/y
Operating income$54.8M
Net income$41.0M
Free cash flow$35.5M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.4%
1M
+7.8%
YTD
+19.5%
1Y
+20.8%
From 52W high
−2.5%
From 52W low
+27.4%
$55
$72
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

JOE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The St. Joe Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
76/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
97
Issuance
95
Volatility
86
Momentum
84
Accruals
65
Growth
58
Value
50
Size
26
Revisions
25

Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Revisions (25): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

JOE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on JOE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$55$60$65$70Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26JOE

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says1 analysts
0 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 Oct 2015Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
7 July 2015Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
19 Aug 2014Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
23 May 2014Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
11 Feb 2014Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
20 Nov 2013Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

JOE appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

JOE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, The St. Joe Co. returned +20.8% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

JOE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26JOES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

JOE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

The St. Joe Co. (JOE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
32.3×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / sales
7.1×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Price / book
5.0×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.7×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−3.0%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.6%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Gross margin
46.2%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Operating margin
39.4%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
22.3%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.6%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.2%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 70% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The St. Joe Co. (JOE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The St. Joe Co. has a market value of $3.9B and an enterprise value of $4.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $547.8M. The latest quarter shrank 3.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $123.7M, a 22.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.14.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $191.2M, after $25.6M of capital spending.

  • The St. Joe Co. spent $61.9M on share buybacks and $35.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 57.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 32.3×; forward P/E: 620.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.94%, paying out 30% of earnings.

  • The St. Joe Co. employs 906 people — $605K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

JOE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelReal Estate - Diversified
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
JOEThe St. Joe Co.$3.9B76
CWKCushman & Wakefield Ltd.*$3.5B51
HHHHoward Hughes Holdings, Inc.*$4.7B54
IHSIHS Holding Ltd.*$2.9B84
NMRKNewmark Group, Inc.*$2.3B58
COMP.EQCompass, Inc. (New York)*$7.7B25
OPENOpendoor Technologies, Inc.*$1.9B8

* Nearest Real Estate names by size — few real estate - diversified companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The St. Joe Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest JOE news & analysis

Dividend Announcements: October 24-30, 2026 (Part 2 Of 2)

Seeking Alpha · 4 Nov 2026neutral

The article highlights Seagate Technology (STX) for its dividend safety and quality score, while noting its yield and growth trail inflation. It also reports that Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) cut its dividend by 36.17%.

Why it matters — The excerpt discusses dividend developments at STX and BXMT but provides no information about The St. Joe Co. (JOE), so it offers no direct company-specific update for JOE watchers.

Florida State University Announces Aerospace Research and Innovation Facility at The St. Joe Company's VentureCrossings® Enterprise Centre

Business Wire · 3 Nov 2026positive

Florida State University announced plans to develop an aerospace research and advanced manufacturing facility at The St. Joe Company's VentureCrossings Enterprise Centre in Panama City, Florida. The site is near Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport.

Why it matters — The facility is planned within a St. Joe-owned enterprise centre, connecting the company’s property with FSU’s aerospace research and manufacturing activity.

What St. Joe (JOE) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 30 Oct 2026positive

St. Joe reported third-quarter results that CEO Jorge Gonzalez described as reflecting organic growth, despite comparisons with a prior-year period that benefited from the sale of Watercrest.

Why it matters — The call gives JOE watchers management's characterization of quarterly growth in the context of a prior-year asset sale.

The St. Joe Company (JOE) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 29 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of The St. Joe Company’s Q3 2026 earnings call.

Why it matters — The transcript provides JOE watchers with a record of the company’s Q3 2026 earnings-call discussion.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about JOE stock

Is JOE stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering The St. Joe Co., 0 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The St. Joe Co. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank JOE?

As at 4 Nov 2026, The St. Joe Co. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).

What is the JOE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The St. Joe Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for JOE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has JOE stock performed over the past year?

The St. Joe Co. returned +20.8% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The St. Joe Co. do?

The St. Joe Company is a Florida-based real estate development, asset management, and operating company focused on Northwest Florida.

What is the latest news on JOE?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Nov 2026): "Dividend Announcements: October 24-30, 2026 (Part 2 Of 2)". The article highlights Seagate Technology (STX) for its dividend safety and quality score, while noting its yield and growth trail inflation. It also reports that Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) cut its dividend by 36.17%.

Company

About The St. Joe Co.

The St. Joe Company is a Florida-based real estate development, asset management, and operating company focused on Northwest Florida. It develops and manages master-planned residential communities, commercial properties, and hospitality assets that support living, working, shopping, and leisure activity in the region. Its current business segments include residential development, hospitality operations, and commercial real estate, with offerings such as homesites, retail and office properties, resort-style amenities, golf courses, marinas, and mixed-use destinations. The St. Joe Company plays a significant role in shaping large-scale communities and land uses across coastal Northwest Florida, serving homebuilders, businesses, visitors, and local residents through integrated real estate projects and long-term asset ownership.

CEO Mr. Jorge Luis Gonzalez · 906 employees · United States · https://www.joe.com