KDPConsumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-AlcoholicThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $38 — +15.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (80): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KDP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | HSBC | Upgrade | Buy | $40 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $36 → $38 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $30 → $32 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $38 → $39 |
| 23 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $33 → $38 |
| 23 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 16 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $34 → $38 |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $32 → $37 |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 June 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Overweight | $30 → $36 |
| 25 June 2026 | Barclays | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 12 June 2026 | Bernstein | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 11 June 2026 | Bernstein | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | BNP Paribas | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 16 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. KDP appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. returned +16.7% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 5% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. has a market value of $44.3B and an enterprise value of $84.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $16.9B. The latest quarter grew 75.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.8B, a 10.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.35.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $1.6B, after $462.0M of capital spending.
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. spent $1.3B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.
Trailing P/E: 32.3×; forward P/E: 12.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.82%, paying out 93% of earnings.
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. employs 50,000 people — $339K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Keurig Dr Pepper is selling its minority stake in Chobani back to the yogurt maker, along with a Pennsylvania campus, for $925 million. The sale occurs ahead of KDP's planned split into two public companies.
Why it matters — This transaction marks a significant portfolio change for KDP as it progresses toward its planned separation into two public companies.
Keurig Dr Pepper announced it will sell its investment in Chobani back to the yogurt maker for $925 million. The move comes as the beverage company reshapes its business following its acquisition of JDE Peet's.
Why it matters — KDP watchers would care because the divestiture reflects how the company is reallocating capital and restructuring its holdings after the JDE Peet's acquisition.
Keurig Dr Pepper announced it is selling its minority investment in Chobani and a Pennsylvania facility for $925 million in pre-tax proceeds, with the funds intended to support its deleveraging goals. The company is also updating and expanding its long-term commercial relationship with Chobani.
Why it matters — A Keurig Dr Pepper watcher would care because the proceeds from the sale support the company's debt-reduction objectives while the expanded commercial partnership with Chobani maintains and strengthens the ongoing business relationship.
Keurig Dr Pepper director Aaron E. Alt purchased 7,862 shares on Aug. 25, 2026, with an estimated total value of about $250,000, as reported by The Motley Fool.
Why it matters — A director's purchase of company stock is an insider buying activity that KDP watchers may note as a sign of confidence in the company.
Raw coffee costs have eased from last year's highs but remain historically elevated. The news item notes that amid high coffee prices, ground coffee is holding up better than K-Cups.
Why it matters — Elevated coffee costs and weak relative performance of the K-Cup format are relevant to KDP, which relies heavily on its Keurig single-serve coffee business.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $38, with estimates ranging from $29 to $42. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc., 13 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Sept 2026, Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (80 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +15.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KDP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $29 to $42 over the next 12 months.
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc. returned +16.7% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a North American beverage company focused on producing, marketing, and distributing a broad range of non-alcoholic drinks and single-serve coffee products.
The most recent item we track (WSJ, 1 Sept 2026): "Keurig Dr Pepper to Sell Chobani Stake, Pennsylvania Campus for $925 Million". Keurig Dr Pepper is selling its minority stake in Chobani back to the yogurt maker, along with a Pennsylvania campus, for $925 million. The sale occurs ahead of KDP's planned split into two public companies.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a North American beverage company focused on producing, marketing, and distributing a broad range of non-alcoholic drinks and single-serve coffee products. Its portfolio spans carbonated soft drinks, ready-to-drink coffee, tea, water, juices, mixers, and flavored beverages, alongside Keurig brewing systems and K-Cup pods. The company serves consumers through well-known brands including Dr Pepper, Canada Dry, Snapple, 7UP, Mott’s, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, and The Original Donut Shop. Keurig Dr Pepper operates across multiple channels, supplying retailers, convenience stores, foodservice outlets, offices, and e-commerce partners, while also supporting at-home coffee consumption and away-from-home beverage occasions. Its business is organized around U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International operations, giving it a diversified presence in both cold beverages and coffee systems.
CEO Mr. Timothy P. Cofer · 50,000 employees · United States · https://www.keurigdrpepper.com
