LVWRConsumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles

LVWR Stock Forecast: LiveWire Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026

$1.47

−7.55% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 23 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile.

Market cap

$304.0M

Ticker Nerd rank

23 / 100

Median analyst target

—

Analysts covering

Revenue$9.1M+55.2% y/y

Operating income−$18.0M

Net income−$18.2M

Free cash flow−$14.3M

Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown

Total return, dividends reinvested

−5.2%

+19.5%

YTD

−66.7%

−69.7%

From 52W high

−76.3%

From 52W low

+126.9%

$0.65

$6.21

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

LVWR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores LiveWire Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026

23 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals

Growth

Size

Quality

Momentum

Revisions

Issuance

Value

Volatility

Accruals (84): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Volatility (11): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

LVWR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LVWR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says1 analysts

0 Buy1 Hold0 Sell

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
9 May 2024	Citigroup	Maintains	Neutral	$7.75 → $7.25
5 Oct 2023	Citigroup	Maintains	Neutral	—
24 July 2023	Citigroup	Maintains	Neutral	—
7 Feb 2023	Citigroup	Maintains	Neutral	—
24 Oct 2022	Citigroup	Initiates	Neutral	—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. LVWR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Performance

LVWR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, LiveWire Group, Inc. returned −69.7% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

LVWR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

LVWR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: −4.0×
Price / sales: 9.7×
Price / book: 25.3×
EV / EBITDA: −5.5×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 55.2%
Earnings growth (YoY): 55.2%
Gross margin: −0.5%
Operating margin: −194.4%
Net margin: −234.5%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: −160.2%
Return on assets: −39.4%
Dividend yield: 0.0%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

LiveWire Group, Inc. has a market value of $304.0M and an enterprise value of $351.0M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $31.3M. The latest quarter grew 55.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$73.4M, a −234.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.37.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$50.9M, after $3.3M of capital spending.
LiveWire Group, Inc. spent $1.1M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Shares outstanding: 205.4M.
Trailing P/E: −4.0×; forward P/E: −4.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
LiveWire Group, Inc. employs 151 people — $207K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

LVWR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRecreational Vehicles

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
LVWRLiveWire Group, Inc.	$304.0M	23
MBUUMalibu Boats, Inc.	$433.3M	49
MCFTMastercraft Boat Holdings, Inc.	$476.5M	66
WGOWinnebago Industries, Inc.	$696.8M	92
EMPDEmpery Digital, Inc.	$87.2M	14
KNDIKandi Technologies Group, Inc.	$63.9M	3
LCIILCI Industries	$1.9B	91

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own LiveWire Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest LVWR news & analysis

LiveWire® S4 Honcho™ Meets Criteria for Motorcycle Safety Foundation® Rider Training Programs Opening a New Path Into Rider Training

Business Wire · 2 Oct 2026positive

LiveWire announced that its S4 Honcho Street electric motorcycle meets the Motorcycle Safety Foundation's criteria for use in rider training programs and will join the MSF training lineup. The company described this as a step forward in rider education and in its mission to make motorcycling more accessible and safer for new riders.

Why it matters — A recognized placement in MSF rider training programs could broaden exposure to LiveWire's electric motorcycles among new riders and support its goal of expanding rider accessibility.

S4 Honcho™ Begins U.S. Dealer Deliveries as LiveWire Names Nationwide Giveaway Winner

Business Wire · 21 Aug 2026positive

LiveWire announced the arrival of the first production S4 Honcho Trail motorcycles in the United States, marking the beginning of its first mini-moto platform rollout across its U.S. dealer network. The company also named a winner in a nationwide giveaway.

Why it matters — A LiveWire watcher would care because this marks the start of LiveWire's first mini-moto platform rollout across its U.S. dealer network, expanding the company's product lineup.

LiveWire Group Regains Compliance with NYSE Continued Listing Standards

Business Wire · 10 Aug 2026positive

LiveWire Group announced that on August 3, 2026, the NYSE notified the company that it had regained compliance with the NYSE's minimum share price requirement, based on its average closing share price over the 30-trading-day period ended July 31, 2026. This follows a prior notice on July 23, 2026 that the company was not in compliance.

Why it matters — Regaining compliance with the NYSE's continued listing standards removes a listing-related uncertainty for LiveWire shareholders.

One Year Later, LiveWire Remains Extremely Risky

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026negative

LiveWire remains highly unprofitable and cash negative despite increased electric bike sales and a $75M loan from Harley-Davidson. Its EBITDA margin is deeply negative with unchanged losses, and with $53M in cash and roughly $13M quarterly cash burn, it faces less than a year of runway absent further financing.

Why it matters — LVWR watchers would care because the report indicates the company has limited cash runway and shows no improvement in unit economics or gross margins, pointing to potential financing pressure.

From Sturgis to Sliding Sideways in Milwaukee: LiveWire and Gas Monkey Garage Reunite to Build a Custom S4 Honcho™ for New Flat Track Race Class

Business Wire · 4 Aug 2026positive

LiveWire announced a new partnership with Richard Rawlings and Gas Monkey Garage to build a one-of-one custom S4 Honcho Trail motorcycle, marking the second collaboration between the companies. The custom build is set for its public debut at the 2027 Mama Tried Motorcycle Show.

Why it matters — A new high-profile custom build with Gas Monkey Garage extends LiveWire's brand visibility and follows up on the success of their prior S2 Alpinista collaboration.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about LVWR stock

Is LVWR stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering LiveWire Group, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks LiveWire Group, Inc. 23 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank LVWR?

As at 8 Oct 2026, LiveWire Group, Inc. ranks 23 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (84 of 100).

What is the LVWR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering LiveWire Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LVWR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has LVWR stock performed over the past year?

LiveWire Group, Inc. returned -69.7% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does LiveWire Group, Inc. do?

LiveWire Group, Inc. is an electric vehicle manufacturer focused on two-wheeled mobility products.

What is the latest news on LVWR?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 2 Oct 2026): "LiveWire® S4 Honcho™ Meets Criteria for Motorcycle Safety Foundation® Rider Training Programs Opening a New Path Into Rider Training". LiveWire announced that its S4 Honcho Street electric motorcycle meets the Motorcycle Safety Foundation's criteria for use in rider training programs and will join the MSF training lineup. The company described this as a step forward in rider education and in its mission to make motorcycling more accessible and safer for new riders.

Company

About LiveWire Group, Inc.

LiveWire Group, Inc. is an electric vehicle manufacturer focused on two-wheeled mobility products. LiveWire develops and sells electric motorcycles, along with related parts, accessories, and apparel, while its STACYC segment offers electric balance bikes for kids, electric bikes, and related products. The company serves wholesale partners, independent dealers and retailers, distributors, and direct-to-consumer online customers. Its products are sold under the LiveWire brand across the United States and selected international markets. Headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, LiveWire Group operates as a subsidiary of Harley-Davidson, Inc. and plays a niche role in the growing electric motorcycle and youth mobility categories.

151 employees · United States · https://www.livewire.com