MARConsumer Cyclical · LodgingThe 29 Wall Street analysts covering Marriott International, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $409 — -1.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 81 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Marriott International, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (93): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Growth (43): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MAR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −1.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 13 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | $395 → $414 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $363 → $409 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $420 → $455 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $406 → $456 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $426 → $463 |
| 2 Nov 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | $372 → $401 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $384 → $403 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $388 → $406 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $400 → $420 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $425 → $426 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $348 → $363 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Buy | $408 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $380 → $384 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $356 → $360 |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
| 20 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $412 → $395 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
MAR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Nov 2026, Marriott International, Inc. returned +59.1% against +11.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Cheaper than 99% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Marriott International, Inc. has a market value of $108.6B and an enterprise value of $125.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $26.9B. The latest quarter grew 305.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $2.6B, a 9.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $9.65.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.1B, after $596.0M of capital spending.
Marriott International, Inc. spent $3.6B on share buybacks and $731.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 41.5×; forward P/E: 31.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.70%, paying out 28% of earnings.
Marriott International, Inc. employs 414,000 people — $65K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| MARMarriott International, Inc. | $108.6B | 81 |
| HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. | $84.6B | 70 |
| HHyatt Hotels Corp. | $17.5B | 61 |
| WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $5.9B | 64 |
| CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc. | $5.4B | 58 |
| SBUXStarbucks Corp.* | $119.1B | 78 |
| LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.* | $119.7B | 41 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few lodging companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Marriott International, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Marriott International’s third-quarter 2026 earnings topped expectations across the board.
Why it matters — The results are relevant to MAR watchers assessing the company’s latest earnings performance.
Marriott reported a 6.5% increase in global revenue per available room in the third quarter. Hotel conversions accounted for over 40% of total openings year to date.
Why it matters — These figures highlight recent room-revenue growth and the role of conversions in Marriott’s year-to-date hotel openings.
Marriott’s Q3 2026 earnings beat estimates, with higher RevPAR, rising fees and room growth contributing to results. The excerpt cites strong demand and improved pricing as support.
Why it matters — MAR watchers may note that the reported earnings beat coincided with growth in RevPAR, fees and rooms, alongside strong demand and improved pricing.
The source identifies a Seeking Alpha transcript of Marriott International’s Q3 2026 earnings call; no call details are provided in the excerpt.
Why it matters — MAR watchers may note the earnings-call transcript is available, but the excerpt contains no financial or operating details to assess.
Marriott delivered another earnings beat and raised its outlook, as global travel demand exceeded its initial expectations despite wars.
Why it matters — The update highlights stronger-than-expected travel demand and earnings performance relevant to Marriott watchers.
The 29 Wall Street analysts covering Marriott International, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $409, with estimates ranging from $280 to $463. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 29 analysts covering Marriott International, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Marriott International, Inc. 81 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Marriott International, Inc. ranks 81 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (93 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 29 analysts implies -1.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Marriott International, Inc. 81 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Marriott International, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MAR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $280 to $463 over the next 12 months.
Marriott International, Inc. returned +59.1% over the 12 months to 3 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Marriott International, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Marriott International, a global hospitality company focused on lodging, residential, and timeshare businesses.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 3 Nov 2026): "Marriott's Earnings Beat Shows Why It's More Than a Bet on Travel Demand". Marriott International’s third-quarter 2026 earnings topped expectations across the board.
Marriott International, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Marriott International, a global hospitality company focused on lodging, residential, and timeshare businesses. Marriott International operates and franchises a broad portfolio of hotel brands across luxury, premium, select-service, and extended-stay segments, while also providing residential and vacation ownership offerings. The company serves business and leisure travelers, property owners, and developers through hotel management, franchise, and licensing models. Its operations span the United States and international markets, giving it a significant role in global travel, tourism, and accommodation services. Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, Marriott International is one of the most widely recognized names in hospitality, with a diversified brand platform that connects guests, owners, and partners across a large network of properties worldwide.
CEO Mr. Anthony G. Capuano Jr. · 414,000 employees · United States · https://www.marriott.com
