HLTConsumer Cyclical · LodgingThe 29 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $375 — -0.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 70 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (90): The share price has been relatively steady.
Value (37): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HLT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 13 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $335 → $400 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $400 → $410 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | $330 → $333 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Mizuho | Upgrade | Outperform | $329 → $421 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $360 → $362 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $384 → $375 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $349 → $362 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $345 → $360 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $383 → $386 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $336 → $349 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $365 → $387 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $370 → $375 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $382 → $383 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $368 → $384 |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Buy | $359 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
HLT appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and serversIn full
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. returned +45.9% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Cheaper than 8% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $81.0B and an enterprise value of $94.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.5B. The latest quarter grew 5.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.6B, a 12.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.81.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.9B, after $170.0M of capital spending.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. spent $3.3B on share buybacks and $139.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 49.1×; forward P/E: 34.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.16%, paying out 8% of earnings.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. employs 182,000 people — $69K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. | $81.0B | 70 |
| MARMarriott International, Inc. | $110.3B | 81 |
| HHyatt Hotels Corp. | $17.5B | 61 |
| WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $5.9B | 64 |
| CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc. | $5.4B | 58 |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Group* | $84.7B | 40 |
| MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.* | $84.3B | 31 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few lodging companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Hilton plans to return $3.5 billion to shareholders in 2026. System-wide third-quarter revenue per available room increased 5.8% year over year.
Why it matters — These details highlight Hilton’s planned shareholder returns and a reported operating metric for HLT watchers.
Benzinga reports that a Hilton Hotels analyst turned bullish, as part of a roundup of five analyst upgrades for Thursday. The excerpt does not identify the analyst or provide further details about the rating change.
Why it matters — A change in analyst outlook on Hilton is relevant to HLT watchers, though the excerpt provides no specifics about the rationale or rating.
Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Hilton Worldwide Holdings’ Q3 2026 earnings call, held October 27, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and analysts participating and opens with the conference call welcome.
Why it matters — The transcript provides HLT watchers with a record of the company’s quarterly earnings call, although the supplied excerpt contains no operating results or management commentary.
Investopedia reports that the data-center boom is benefiting businesses across the economy, including lodging.
Why it matters — The item highlights lodging as a sector benefiting from data-center-related activity, a trend relevant to HLT watchers.
Hilton reported third-quarter results above its expectations, citing stronger business and group travel demand, favorable calendar shifts and continued momentum following the World Cup. The company raised its full-year RevPAR outlook and said it expects favorable demand conditions into 2027.
Why it matters — The update provides HLT watchers with Hilton’s revised RevPAR outlook and its view of demand conditions beyond the current year.
The 29 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $375, with estimates ranging from $275 to $421. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 29 analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. 70 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. ranks 70 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 29 analysts implies -0.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. 70 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HLT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $275 to $421 over the next 12 months.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. returned +45.9% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a global hospitality company that operates a broad portfolio of hotel, resort, and timeshare brands.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 4 Nov 2026): "Hilton: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". Hilton plans to return $3.5 billion to shareholders in 2026. System-wide third-quarter revenue per available room increased 5.8% year over year.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a global hospitality company that operates a broad portfolio of hotel, resort, and timeshare brands. The company focuses on managing, franchising, owning, and leasing properties, while also licensing its brands, trademarks, and service marks to third-party operators. Its business is organized around management and franchise services and ownership operations, serving travelers across luxury, premium, midscale, and extended-stay segments. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. also supports guests through booking channels, loyalty offerings, and related hospitality services that connect its brands across international markets. Headquartered in McLean, Virginia, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. plays a major role in the lodging industry through a large, globally distributed platform of properties and brand families.
CEO Mr. Christopher J. Nassetta · 182,000 employees · United States · https://www.hilton.com
