HLTConsumer Cyclical · LodgingThe 28 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $362 — +10.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 57 of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (89): The share price has been relatively steady.
Value (38): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HLT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $312 → $316 |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | CICC | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $353 → $345 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $379 → $382 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $359 → $360 |
| 29 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $367 → $368 |
| 29 July 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | $326 |
| 29 July 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $365 → $367 |
| 21 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | $350 → $370 |
| 21 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $363 → $365 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HLT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 12 Oct 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. returned +26.5% against +20.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 15% of US stocks
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $73.5B and an enterprise value of $86.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.5B. The latest quarter grew 2.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.6B, a 12.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.81.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.9B, after $170.0M of capital spending.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. spent $3.3B on share buybacks and $139.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 47.9×; forward P/E: 31.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.18%, paying out 9% of earnings.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. employs 182,000 people — $69K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. | $73.5B | 57 |
| MARMarriott International, Inc. | $97.9B | 66 |
| HHyatt Hotels Corp. | $15.2B | 53 |
| WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $5.5B | 55 |
| CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc. | $4.7B | 45 |
| RCLRoyal Caribbean Group* | $75.9B | 41 |
| ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.* | $73.0B | 91 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few lodging companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Major banks begin earnings season on Tuesday, offering an early indication of the economy’s health amid rising yields.
Why it matters — The results may provide context on economic conditions relevant to Hilton, though the excerpt gives no company-specific information.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results before the stock market opens on Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2026, followed by a conference call at 9 a.m. ET. CEO Christopher J. Nassetta and CFO Kevin Jacobs will discuss the company's performance and lead a question-and-answer session.
Why it matters — This date marks when Hilton investors and analysts can expect to see the company's third quarter financial results and hear directly from its leadership.
Hilton released its 2027 Trends Report, "The Great Rebalance," which finds travelers are moving away from seeking perfection and instead prioritizing personal growth, flexibility, and discovery on trips. The report indicates travelers are focusing on resetting, gaining perspective, and making the most of their time away rather than following others' definitions of an ideal vacation.
Why it matters — This report offers HLT watchers insight into emerging traveler preferences and demand trends that could influence Hilton's strategic planning and offerings heading into 2027.
In March 2020, Pershing Square CEO Bill Ackman warned that "hell is coming" and executed a $27 million credit hedge that generated $2.6 billion in proceeds, which he subsequently redeployed into equities during the COVID-19 market crash.
Why it matters — This piece recounts a notable investor's market-timing move rather than reporting on Hilton itself, offering background context on the broader market conditions that affected hospitality stocks like HLT.
Hilton Worldwide director Chris Carr sold 439 shares in a transaction valued at approximately $136,239. The sale represented 5% of the stake he held before the filing.
Why it matters — A Hilton watcher would monitor this insider transaction for any signals about director sentiment, though the relatively small size suggests a routine sale.
The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $362, with estimates ranging from $270 to $394. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 28 analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc., 17 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. 57 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Oct 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. ranks 57 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (89 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +10.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. 57 out of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HLT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $270 to $394 over the next 12 months.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. returned +26.5% over the 12 months to 12 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a global hospitality company that operates a broad portfolio of hotel, resort, and timeshare brands.
The most recent item we track (Market Watch, 11 Oct 2026): "Bank earnings to shed the first light on how higher yields are affecting the economy". Major banks begin earnings season on Tuesday, offering an early indication of the economy’s health amid rising yields.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a global hospitality company that operates a broad portfolio of hotel, resort, and timeshare brands. The company focuses on managing, franchising, owning, and leasing properties, while also licensing its brands, trademarks, and service marks to third-party operators. Its business is organized around management and franchise services and ownership operations, serving travelers across luxury, premium, midscale, and extended-stay segments. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. also supports guests through booking channels, loyalty offerings, and related hospitality services that connect its brands across international markets. Headquartered in McLean, Virginia, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. plays a major role in the lodging industry through a large, globally distributed platform of properties and brand families.
CEO Mr. Christopher J. Nassetta · 182,000 employees · United States · https://www.hilton.com
