HLTConsumer Cyclical · LodgingThe 28 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $362 — +19.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 55 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (84): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Value (43): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HLT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +19.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $312 → $316 |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
| 2 Sept 2026 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Peer Perform | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | CICC | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $353 → $345 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $379 → $382 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $359 → $360 |
| 29 July 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $367 → $368 |
| 29 July 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | $326 |
| 29 July 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $365 → $367 |
| 21 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Upgrade | Outperform | $350 → $370 |
| 21 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $363 → $365 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HLT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. returned +13.8% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 3% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $68.8B and an enterprise value of $81.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.5B. The latest quarter grew 2.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.6B, a 12.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.81.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.9B, after $170.0M of capital spending.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. spent $3.3B on share buybacks and $139.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 44.8×; forward P/E: 29.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.20%, paying out 9% of earnings.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. employs 182,000 people — $69K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. | $68.8B | 55 |
| MARMarriott International, Inc. | $88.5B | 63 |
| HHyatt Hotels Corp. | $14.6B | 49 |
| WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | $5.2B | 52 |
| CHHChoice Hotels International, Inc. | $4.4B | 45 |
| ORLYO'Reilly Automotive, Inc.* | $70.3B | 60 |
| CVNACarvana Co.* | $72.2B | 44 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few lodging companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Hilton Worldwide director Chris Carr sold 439 shares in a transaction valued at approximately $136,239. The sale represented 5% of the stake he held before the filing.
Why it matters — A Hilton watcher would monitor this insider transaction for any signals about director sentiment, though the relatively small size suggests a routine sale.
An insider at a travel stock disposed of 7,289 shares at $309.81 per share, for a total transaction value of approximately $2.3 million. The traded volume represented 26% of the equity stake the insider held before the filing.
Why it matters — A HLT watcher may take note of significant insider selling activity as a potential signal, since the disposition equaled roughly a quarter of the insider's prior stake.
A Seeking Alpha report reaffirms Hilton Worldwide Holdings as a Buy, noting it is outperforming Hyatt in several key metrics. The company shows resilient earnings, strong operating margins, and global portfolio growth, supported by double-digit RevPAR growth in Asia and robust net unit expansion, despite macro headwinds and negative equity.
Why it matters — HLT watchers would care because the report highlights strengthening portfolio durability and a capital-light, fee-driven model that supports dividend coverage and share buybacks, reinforcing confidence in the company's forward outlook.
Hilton Food Group PLC shares rose 14% on Thursday after the food producer lifted its full-year profit targets, with interim results beating market expectations. Shore Capital reiterated its 'house stock' rating and updated its financial model, with shares climbing from 631p to 718p.
Why it matters — Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) watchers may monitor the broader Hilton brand family, and this positive earnings momentum in the associated food group reflects favourably on the Hilton name.
Hilton's Asia Pacific President Alan Watts identified one Asian country as the fastest-growing and most exciting travel and tourism market globally for the next decade. The hotel company is also seeing strong momentum in Southeast Asia and Japan, even as travel demand in China lags.
Why it matters — Strong growth in key Asia Pacific and Southeast Asian markets offers Hilton potentially significant expansion opportunities even as its performance in China trails.
The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $362, with estimates ranging from $270 to $394. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 28 analysts covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc., 17 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. 55 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 17 Sept 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. ranks 55 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (84 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +19.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. 55 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HLT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $270 to $394 over the next 12 months.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Inc. returned +13.8% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a global hospitality company that operates a broad portfolio of hotel, resort, and timeshare brands.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 17 Sept 2026): "Hilton Director Chris Carr Sells 439 Shares". Hilton Worldwide director Chris Carr sold 439 shares in a transaction valued at approximately $136,239. The sale represented 5% of the stake he held before the filing.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. is a global hospitality company that operates a broad portfolio of hotel, resort, and timeshare brands. The company focuses on managing, franchising, owning, and leasing properties, while also licensing its brands, trademarks, and service marks to third-party operators. Its business is organized around management and franchise services and ownership operations, serving travelers across luxury, premium, midscale, and extended-stay segments. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. also supports guests through booking channels, loyalty offerings, and related hospitality services that connect its brands across international markets. Headquartered in McLean, Virginia, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. plays a major role in the lodging industry through a large, globally distributed platform of properties and brand families.
CEO Mr. Christopher J. Nassetta · 182,000 employees · United States · https://www.hilton.com
