RCLConsumer Cyclical · Travel ServicesThe 29 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group hold a median 12-month price target of $359 — +16.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Royal Caribbean Group on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (90): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (37): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RCL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $362 → $364 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $337 → $350 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Freedom Broker | Upgrade | Buy | $351 → $379 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $330 → $350 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | $355 → $360 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $358 → $361 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | $372 → $355 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | — |
| 20 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $337 → $340 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $388 → $358 |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | $305 → $330 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Jefferies | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $340 → $337 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Upgrade | Buy | $299 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | $425 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
RCL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Royal Caribbean Group returned +10.1% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Cheaper than 27% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Royal Caribbean Group has a market value of $83.1B and an enterprise value of $105.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $18.7B. The latest quarter grew 8.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 23.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $16.18.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$416.0M.
Royal Caribbean Group spent $2.0B on share buybacks and $1.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 18.1×; forward P/E: 14.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.98%, paying out 33% of earnings.
Royal Caribbean Group employs 107,950 people — $173K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Royal Caribbean Group — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian reported strong third-quarter earnings despite rising fuel prices. Royal Caribbean and Norwegian executives say hedging can help limit rising costs, while Carnival’s CEO favors reducing fuel consumption.
Why it matters — Royal Caribbean’s hedging strategy is one approach it says can help protect the company from fuel-cost increases.
Seeking Alpha says Royal Caribbean’s vacation strategy is expanding beyond ocean cruises into private island destinations, river cruises, and all-inclusive resort partnerships, with incremental growth expected from 2027. The article also cites a 15.74x P/E and reiterates a Buy rating.
Why it matters — RCL watchers may note the planned expansion across vacation offerings and the article’s view that it could capture more of customers’ annual vacation spending.
Seeking Alpha reports that Royal Caribbean beat its guidance, while ticket price per day declined for the second consecutive quarter. Onboard spending offset some of the weakness, and Caribbean capacity growth is noted as a risk.
Why it matters — Slowing ticket-price growth and capacity expansion could affect RCL’s net yields despite support from onboard spending.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings reported a better-than-expected quarter and lifted its full-year outlook. Royal Caribbean shares rose 3% as the results lifted cruise stocks broadly.
Why it matters — The item describes a sector-wide share move affecting Royal Caribbean following Norwegian’s earnings and outlook update.
Royal Caribbean reported strong earnings and raised its outlook, citing robust demand from affluent consumers. Load factors reached 112%, adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 45.4%, and the company plans a $3 billion Sandals Resorts acquisition.
Why it matters — The results and acquisition highlight RCL’s focus on affluent travelers and expanding its share of customers’ travel spending while seeking a hedge against fuel price volatility.
The 29 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group have a median 12-month price target of $359, with estimates ranging from $262 to $425. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 29 analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group, 24 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Royal Caribbean Group 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Royal Caribbean Group ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 29 analysts implies +16.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Royal Caribbean Group 42 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Royal Caribbean Group publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RCL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $262 to $425 over the next 12 months.
Royal Caribbean Group returned +10.1% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates vacation experiences at sea through Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises.
The most recent item we track (CNBC, 29 Oct 2026): "Cruise companies aim to keep fuel costs down. Their strategies for doing so differ". Carnival, Royal Caribbean and Norwegian reported strong third-quarter earnings despite rising fuel prices. Royal Caribbean and Norwegian executives say hedging can help limit rising costs, while Carnival’s CEO favors reducing fuel consumption.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates vacation experiences at sea through Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises. Its business centers on passenger cruise travel, with itineraries that span short getaways, premium sailings, and luxury voyages across destinations worldwide. The company serves a broad leisure-travel audience, offering accommodation, dining, entertainment, shore excursions, and onboard services across its fleet. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. also participates in the wider vacation market through brand management and cruise operations that appeal to families, couples, and upscale travelers. Headquartered in Miami, Florida, the company plays a significant role in the cruise and leisure travel industry as one of the major operators shaping global cruise vacation offerings.
CEO Mr. Jason T. Liberty · 107,950 employees · United States · https://www.rclinvestor.com
