TICKERNERD
Menu
RCLRCLConsumer Cyclical · Travel Services

RCL Stock Forecast: Royal Caribbean Group Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 6 Oct 2026
$289
+5.00% on the day

The 29 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group hold a median 12-month price target of $355 — +22.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 41 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$74.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
41 / 100
Median analyst target
$355
Analysts covering
29
Revenue$4.8B+6.5% y/y
Operating income$1.3B
Net income$1.1B
Free cash flow−$877.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+10.8%
1M
+9.5%
YTD
+5.2%
1Y
−7.2%
From 52W high
−15.7%
From 52W low
+25.4%
$230
$342
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RCL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Royal Caribbean Group on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
41 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
91
Revisions
82
Value
49
Growth
44
Momentum
39
Issuance
37
Accruals
34
Volatility
31
Size
3

Quality (91): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Volatility (31): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RCL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RCL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$250$300$350$400Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RCLHigh $425Median $355Low $262

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says29 analysts
22 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $262Median $355High $425

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +22.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
28 Sept 2026Deutsche BankUpgradeBuy$299
28 Sept 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy$425
24 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$345 → $394
24 Sept 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$297 → $298
23 Sept 2026BMO CapitalReiteratesOutperform$370
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$280 → $300
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$327 → $362
29 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
29 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$410 → $415
29 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$350 → $372
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
29 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$361 → $388
29 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
21 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$362 → $327
8 July 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
8 July 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesOutperform$370
22 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RCL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

RCL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, Royal Caribbean Group returned −7.2% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

RCL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26RCLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

RCL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.1×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
7.3×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.0×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.5%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−6.8%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
47.3%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Operating margin
27.1%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Net margin
23.5%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
44.7%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.1%

Higher than 71% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Royal Caribbean Group has a market value of $74.3B and an enterprise value of $97.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $18.7B. The latest quarter grew 6.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 23.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $16.18.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$416.0M.

  • Royal Caribbean Group spent $2.0B on share buybacks and $1.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 267.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 17.1×; forward P/E: 13.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.08%, paying out 31% of earnings.

  • Royal Caribbean Group employs 107,950 people — $173K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

RCL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTravel Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RCLRoyal Caribbean Group$74.3B
41
ABNBAirbnb, Inc.$95.8B
89
BKNGBooking Holdings, Inc.$122.7B
79
CCLCarnival Corp. Ltd.$36.8B
60
VIKViking Holdings Ltd. (Bermuda)$36.4B
39
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.$31.2B
99
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.$7.1B
21

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Royal Caribbean Group — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RCL news & analysis

SILVERSEA UNVEILS 103 NEW SAILINGS FOR 2028-2029, INCLUDING NEW S.A.L.T. CULINARY VOYAGES AND A SOUTH AMERICA CIRCUMNAVIGATION

PRNewsWire · 6 Oct 2026positive

Silversea announced 103 new sailings for 2028–2029, with itineraries timed around cultural events in 56 countries. The collection includes new S.A.L.T. culinary voyages and a South America circumnavigation.

Why it matters — Silversea is a Royal Caribbean Group brand, so the announcement highlights new itinerary offerings within the group’s luxury cruise portfolio.

Can Royal Caribbean's Record 2027 Pricing Sustain Its Growth Run?

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that Royal Caribbean enters 2027 with record pricing, strong bookings, new ships and deeper loyalty engagement, supporting continued growth momentum.

Why it matters — These reported demand and engagement indicators are relevant to RCL watchers assessing the company's growth momentum.

Royal Caribbean (RCL) is a Top-Ranked Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Royal Caribbean (RCL) as a top-ranked momentum stock, using its Zacks Style Scores feature from the Zacks Premium research service to identify strong stocks for value, growth, or momentum investors.

Why it matters — A positive ranking from Zacks' momentum screening could signal to RCL watchers that the stock is currently performing well on momentum metrics.

Royal Caribbean (RCL) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for Investors

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Sept 2026positive

Royal Caribbean (RCL) closed at $265.86 on the latest trading day, a +1.99% gain from its prior close, advancing while the broader market declined. The Zacks article highlights this price movement for investors.

Why it matters — RCL watchers would note the stock's positive move against a declining market as a signal of relative strength on the day.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RCL stock

What is the RCL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 29 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group have a median 12-month price target of $355, with estimates ranging from $262 to $425. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RCL stock a buy right now?

Of the 29 analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group, 22 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Royal Caribbean Group 41 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RCL?

As at 6 Oct 2026, Royal Caribbean Group ranks 41 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (91 of 100).

Will RCL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 29 analysts implies +22.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Royal Caribbean Group 41 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RCL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Royal Caribbean Group publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RCL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $262 to $425 over the next 12 months.

How has RCL stock performed over the past year?

Royal Caribbean Group returned -7.2% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Royal Caribbean Group do?

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates vacation experiences at sea through Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises.

What is the latest news on RCL?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 6 Oct 2026): "SILVERSEA UNVEILS 103 NEW SAILINGS FOR 2028-2029, INCLUDING NEW S.A.L.T. CULINARY VOYAGES AND A SOUTH AMERICA CIRCUMNAVIGATION". Silversea announced 103 new sailings for 2028–2029, with itineraries timed around cultural events in 56 countries. The collection includes new S.A.L.T. culinary voyages and a South America circumnavigation.

Company

About Royal Caribbean Group.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates vacation experiences at sea through Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises. Its business centers on passenger cruise travel, with itineraries that span short getaways, premium sailings, and luxury voyages across destinations worldwide. The company serves a broad leisure-travel audience, offering accommodation, dining, entertainment, shore excursions, and onboard services across its fleet. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. also participates in the wider vacation market through brand management and cruise operations that appeal to families, couples, and upscale travelers. Headquartered in Miami, Florida, the company plays a significant role in the cruise and leisure travel industry as one of the major operators shaping global cruise vacation offerings.

CEO Mr. Jason T. Liberty · 107,950 employees · United States · https://www.rclinvestor.com