RCLRCLConsumer Cyclical · Travel Services

RCL Stock Forecast: Royal Caribbean Group Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$324
+1.78% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group hold a median 12-month price target of $353 — +9.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 47 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$86.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
47 / 100
Median analyst target
$353
Analysts covering
28
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.2%
1M
+9.3%
YTD
+17.4%
1Y
+4.8%
From 52W high
−9.9%
From 52W low
+33.1%
$243
$360
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RCL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Royal Caribbean Group on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
47 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
90
Revisions
86
Momentum
54
Value
46
Growth
45
Volatility
39
Issuance
37
Accruals
35
Size
3

Quality (90): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (35): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Royal Caribbean Group — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

RCL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RCL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$250$300$350$400Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RCLHigh $425Median $353Low $262

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says28 analysts
19 Buy8 Hold1 Sell
Low $262Median $353High $425

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$280$300
29 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$327$362
29 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$410$415
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$350$372
29 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$361$388
21 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy
21 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$362$327
8 July 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesOutperform
8 July 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesOutperform$370
22 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight
16 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy
3 June 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy
1 June 2026Loop CapitalInitiatesHold
26 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
22 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
15 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
14 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
1 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy
1 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

RCL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.2%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.0×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.6×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / book
8.5×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.6×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.5%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−6.8%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
47.3%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Operating margin
27.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
23.5%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
44.7%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 21% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

RCL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTravel Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RCLRoyal Caribbean Group$86.7B
47
ABNBAirbnb, Inc.$91.3B
85
BKNGBooking Holdings, Inc.$150.1B
72
VIKViking Holdings Ltd. (Bermuda)$46.6B
64
CCLCarnival Corp. Ltd.$38.4B
57
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.$35.4B
99
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.$8.4B
24
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RCL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest RCL news & analysis

RCL Q2 Earnings Call Balances Europe Drag and 2027 Strength

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026positive

Royal Caribbean raised its full-year earnings outlook on the back of strengthening close-in demand. The lift comes even as Europe caps yield upside, while 2027 bookings continue to hold record pricing.

Why it matters — For RCL watchers, the upgraded full-year earnings guidance combined with record 2027 pricing signals persistent demand strength despite Europe's drag on yields.

Why Royal Caribbean (RCL) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Royal Caribbean (RCL) as a top momentum stock for the long-term using its Style Scores system. The piece explains why investors should consider the company based on this rating approach.

Why it matters — RCL watchers would care because a positive mention from a major research platform like Zacks can influence market perception and investor interest in the stock.

Carnival vs. Royal Caribbean: Which Cruise Stock Looks More Promising?

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research article compares Carnival (CCL) and Royal Caribbean (RCL), noting both cruise operators are benefiting from resilient cruise demand, premium offerings, and strong bookings as investors evaluate their growth outlooks.

Why it matters — RCL watchers would care because the article positions Royal Caribbean alongside its main competitor in a favorable industry environment of strong demand and bookings.

Royal Caribbean: Higher Margin Guests Meet Fuel Risks, Dip Buying Opportunity Ahead

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Royal Caribbean faces near-term fuel risks with limited hedging for the second half of 2026 and 2027, but has raised its FY2026 guidance due to successful loyalty, credit card, and digital platforms attracting higher-margin guests, alongside strong booking trends through 2027.

Why it matters — RCL watchers would care because fuel hedging gaps could pressure margins amid geopolitical tensions, while the raised guidance and strong bookings signal continued demand for the company's cruise offerings.

Is RCL Stock Worth Buying After Its Strong 2026 Earnings Outlook?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026neutral

Royal Caribbean issued a stronger 2026 earnings outlook and continues to see healthy demand, while also facing concerns around its premium valuation, debt levels, and heavy spending.

Why it matters — Royal Caribbean watchers are weighing the company's positive demand and growth outlook against its financial risks, which could influence the stock's near-term performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RCL stock

What is the RCL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group have a median 12-month price target of $353, with estimates ranging from $262 to $425. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RCL stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group, 19 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Royal Caribbean Group 47 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RCL?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Royal Caribbean Group ranks 47 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (90 of 100).

Will RCL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +9.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Royal Caribbean Group 47 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RCL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Royal Caribbean Group publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RCL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $262 to $425 over the next 12 months.

How has RCL stock performed over the past year?

Royal Caribbean Group returned +4.8% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Royal Caribbean Group do?

Royal Caribbean Group is a global vacation company focused on cruise and destination-based travel experiences. The group operates a diversified fleet of ships serving more than 1,000 destinations across all seven continents through its primary brands Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea.

What is the latest news on RCL?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Aug 2026): "RCL Q2 Earnings Call Balances Europe Drag and 2027 Strength". Royal Caribbean raised its full-year earnings outlook on the back of strengthening close-in demand. The lift comes even as Europe caps yield upside, while 2027 bookings continue to hold record pricing.

Company

About Royal Caribbean Group.

Royal Caribbean Group is a global vacation company focused on cruise and destination-based travel experiences. The group operates a diversified fleet of ships serving more than 1,000 destinations across all seven continents through its primary brands Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea. It also holds a joint venture interest in TUI Cruises, which includes the Mein Schiff and Hapag-Lloyd cruise brands. Royal Caribbean Group positions its offerings across the contemporary, premium, and luxury segments, providing a range of itineraries from short regional trips to extended international voyages. The company emphasizes shipboard amenities, onboard entertainment, dining, and curated shore excursions, as well as access to exclusive private destinations. Headquartered in Miami, Florida, Royal Caribbean Group plays a significant role in the travel and leisure industry, serving individual travelers, groups, and corporate clients seeking ocean-based vacation experiences.

CEO Mr. Jason T. Liberty · 107,950 employees · United States · https://www.rclinvestor.com