RCLConsumer Cyclical · Travel ServicesThe 29 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group hold a median 12-month price target of $355 — +26.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Royal Caribbean Group on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (91): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (34): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RCL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +26.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sept 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Upgrade | Buy | $299 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | $425 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $345 → $394 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $297 → $298 |
| 23 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | $370 |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $280 → $300 |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $327 → $362 |
| 29 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $410 → $415 |
| 29 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | $350 → $372 |
| 29 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $361 → $388 |
| 29 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $362 → $327 |
| 8 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Outperform | $370 |
| 22 June 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RCL appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Royal Caribbean Group returned −6.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Royal Caribbean Group has a market value of $77.2B and an enterprise value of $100.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $18.7B. The latest quarter grew 6.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 23.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $16.18.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$416.0M.
Royal Caribbean Group spent $2.0B on share buybacks and $1.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.8×; forward P/E: 14.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.04%, paying out 31% of earnings.
Royal Caribbean Group employs 107,950 people — $173K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Royal Caribbean Group — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Royal Caribbean Group scheduled a conference call for 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, to discuss its third-quarter 2026 financial results.
Why it matters — The call will provide RCL watchers an opportunity to hear the company's discussion of its third-quarter 2026 results.
Royal Caribbean shares have risen 22% since the company announced it would acquire Sandals Resorts.
Why it matters — The share move since the acquisition announcement is relevant to RCL watchers tracking investor response to the deal.
Royal Caribbean (RCL) closed at $282.32 in the latest trading session, down 2.24% from the previous day. The headline states that the decline exceeded the broader market's move.
Why it matters — RCL watchers may note the stock's session decline and its underperformance relative to the broader market.
Silversea announced 103 new sailings for 2028–2029, with itineraries timed around cultural events in 56 countries. The collection includes new S.A.L.T. culinary voyages and a South America circumnavigation.
Why it matters — Silversea is a Royal Caribbean Group brand, so the announcement highlights new itinerary offerings within the group’s luxury cruise portfolio.
Cruise stocks traded higher as a group, with Royal Caribbean gaining 4%, alongside a 5% rise in Norwegian Cruise Line and a 4% rise in Carnival.
Why it matters — The group-wide move puts Royal Caribbean's gain in the context of a broader cruise-stock rally.
The 29 Wall Street analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group have a median 12-month price target of $355, with estimates ranging from $262 to $425. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 29 analysts covering Royal Caribbean Group, 22 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Royal Caribbean Group 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, Royal Caribbean Group ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 29 analysts implies +26.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Royal Caribbean Group 43 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Royal Caribbean Group publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RCL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $262 to $425 over the next 12 months.
Royal Caribbean Group returned -6.9% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates vacation experiences at sea through Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 8 Oct 2026): "ROYAL CARIBBEAN GROUP TO HOLD CONFERENCE CALL ON THIRD QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS". Royal Caribbean Group scheduled a conference call for 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, to discuss its third-quarter 2026 financial results.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates vacation experiences at sea through Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, and Silversea Cruises. Its business centers on passenger cruise travel, with itineraries that span short getaways, premium sailings, and luxury voyages across destinations worldwide. The company serves a broad leisure-travel audience, offering accommodation, dining, entertainment, shore excursions, and onboard services across its fleet. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. also participates in the wider vacation market through brand management and cruise operations that appeal to families, couples, and upscale travelers. Headquartered in Miami, Florida, the company plays a significant role in the cruise and leisure travel industry as one of the major operators shaping global cruise vacation offerings.
CEO Mr. Jason T. Liberty · 107,950 employees · United States · https://www.rclinvestor.com
