TICKERNERD
Menu
NCLHNCLHConsumer Cyclical · Travel Services

NCLH Stock Forecast: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 1 Sept 2026
$15
−4.40% on the day

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $20 — +29.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 25 of 100 as at 31 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$7.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
25 / 100
Median analyst target
$20
Analysts covering
27
Revenue$2.6B+4.9% y/y
Operating income$363.3M
Net income$222.6M
Free cash flow$144.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−10.6%
1M
−16.7%
YTD
−30.9%
1Y
−37.9%
From 52W high
−42.7%
From 52W low
+4.3%
$15
$27
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NCLH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Aug 2026
25 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
73
Value
56
Revisions
51
Accruals
45
Growth
35
Momentum
26
Issuance
24
Volatility
21
Size
19

Quality (73): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Volatility (21): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (19): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NCLH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NCLH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NCLHHigh $32Median $20Low $15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says27 analysts
10 Buy17 Hold0 Sell
Low $15Median $20High $32

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +29.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Aug 2026MizuhoDowngradeNeutral$22 → $17
18 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$17 → $20
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$19 → $18
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$25 → $22
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$24 → $22
31 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$26 → $25
31 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$25 → $22
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
23 July 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold$20
23 July 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold—
20 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$27 → $26
20 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
17 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold$16 → $18
17 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
14 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$14 → $16
14 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NCLH appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

NCLH vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 1 Sept 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. returned −37.9% against +19.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NCLH vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NCLHS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NCLH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−6.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
19
Fundamentals

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.1×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.0×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.9%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
642.0%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Gross margin
39.9%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Operating margin
14.0%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Net margin
7.5%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
36.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.3%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. has a market value of $7.6B and an enterprise value of $23.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $10.2B. The latest quarter grew 4.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $760.8M, a 7.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.60.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.2B.

  • Shares outstanding: 459.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.1×; forward P/E: 9.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. employs 44,500 people — $228K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NCLH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTravel Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.$7.6B
25
MMYTMakeMyTrip Ltd.$5.5B
43
GBTGGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc.$5.0B
70
TNLTravel + Leisure Co.$4.2B
84
LINDLindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.$1.7B
71
CCLCarnival Corp. Ltd.$33.0B
57
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.$38.1B
100

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NCLH news & analysis

Oceania Cruises® Floats Out Oceania Sonata™, Marking Major Construction Milestone for First Ship in New Sonata Class

PRNewsWire · 27 Aug 2026positive

Oceania Cruises, a brand of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, floated out its newest vessel, Oceania Sonata, at the Fincantieri shipyard in Marghera, Italy. This marks a major construction milestone for the first ship in the new Sonata Class.

Why it matters — For NCLH watchers, this milestone signals continued progress in expanding and modernising the Oceania Cruises fleet under the new Sonata Class.

Oceania Cruises® Elevates Onboard Enrichment Across the Fleet

PRNewsWire · 26 Aug 2026positive

Oceania Cruises, a brand of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, announced an expansion of its onboard enrichment program across the fleet, adding more expert speakers, special-interest programming, and new experiences aimed at deepening cultural discovery for guests.

Why it matters — For NCLH watchers, this signals continued investment in the Oceania brand's guest experience and destination-focused positioning, which could support the company's premium cruise offering.

Can NCLH's 2.5% Capacity CAGR Support a Free-Cash-Flow Inflection?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

A Zacks Research analysis examines whether Norwegian Cruise Line's roughly 2.5% capacity growth rate could support a free-cash-flow inflection. It notes that slower fleet growth, an annual capex reduction of nearly $1 billion, and more than $500 million in savings could support a stronger free-cash-flow profile.

Why it matters — A potential free-cash-flow inflection, driven by reduced capex and cost savings, could point to a healthier financial position for NCLH going forward.

A Hedge‑Fund Stampede Into This Deep-Value Stock Could Mark the Start of a Steep Rebound

24/7 Wall Street · 21 Aug 2026positive

The article notes that a large number of hedge funds are buying up a lesser-known stock that has fallen sharply from its peak. It suggests this "deep-value" pattern of buying could mark the possible start of a steep rebound for the stock.

Why it matters — A NCLH watcher would care because the piece highlights how heavy hedge-fund accumulation in a beaten-down stock can signal the potential beginning of a recovery, a dynamic relevant to a company trading well off its highs.

Norwegian Cruise Line Drops 5%, Carnival Falls 4%, Royal Caribbean Slips 3% as Oil Climbs

24/7 Wall Street · 20 Aug 2026negative

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings' shares dropped 5% as crude oil prices climbed, with rival operators Carnival and Royal Caribbean also falling. The move reflects rising fuel costs that map directly onto cruise companies' operating cost line.

Why it matters — Higher crude oil prices directly raise Norwegian Cruise Line's fuel-related operating costs, so an NCLH watcher would track oil moves as a cost pressure on the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NCLH stock

What is the NCLH stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $20, with estimates ranging from $15 to $32. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NCLH stock a buy right now?

Of the 27 analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., 10 rate it a Buy, 17 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 25 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NCLH?

As at 31 Aug 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ranks 25 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (73 of 100).

Will NCLH stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +29.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 25 out of 100 as at 31 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NCLH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NCLH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $32 over the next 12 months.

How has NCLH stock performed over the past year?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. returned -37.9% over the 12 months to 1 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. do?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises.

What is the latest news on NCLH?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 27 Aug 2026): "Oceania Cruises® Floats Out Oceania Sonata™, Marking Major Construction Milestone for First Ship in New Sonata Class". Oceania Cruises, a brand of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, floated out its newest vessel, Oceania Sonata, at the Fincantieri shipyard in Marghera, Italy. This marks a major construction milestone for the first ship in the new Sonata Class.

Company

About Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises. The company provides vacation travel services across contemporary, premium, and ultra-luxury segments, serving leisure travelers with a range of shipboard experiences, dining options, entertainment, wellness amenities, and shore excursions. Its fleet sails to destinations worldwide, including Europe, the Caribbean, Alaska, Asia, Australia, and South America, making it a broad participant in the international cruise and hospitality market. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. also supports pre- and post-cruise travel arrangements through select air and hotel packages, reinforcing its role as an integrated leisure travel provider. Based in Miami, Florida, the company focuses on delivering branded cruise products that appeal to different traveler preferences and spending levels.

CEO Mr. John W. Chidsey III, J.D. · 44,500 employees · United States · https://www.nclhltd.com