TICKERNERD
Menu
NCLHNCLHConsumer Cyclical · Travel Services

NCLH Stock Forecast: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Aug 2026
$19
+1.18% on the day

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $21 — +11.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 23 of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$8.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
23 / 100
Median analyst target
$21
Analysts covering
27
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.8%
1M
−3.5%
YTD
−15.2%
1Y
−21.9%
From 52W high
−29.8%
From 52W low
+27.9%
$15
$27
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NCLH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Aug 2026
23 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
73
Value
53
Revisions
46
Accruals
45
Growth
35
Momentum
31
Volatility
25
Issuance
24
Size
17

Quality (73): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Issuance (24): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NCLH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NCLH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NCLHHigh $32Median $21Low $15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says27 analysts
11 Buy16 Hold0 Sell
Low $15Median $21High $32

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$19 → $18
31 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$25 → $22
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$24 → $22
31 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$26 → $25
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$25 → $22
23 July 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold$20
23 July 2026Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold—
20 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$27 → $26
20 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
17 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold—
17 July 2026JefferiesMaintainsHold$16 → $18
14 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral$14 → $16
14 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
9 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$20 → $22
9 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 July 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesMarket Perform$21
8 July 2026BMO CapitalInitiatesMarket Perform—
1 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
23 June 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
16 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NCLH appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

NCLH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.5%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.3×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.9×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

Price / book
3.4×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.4×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.9%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
642.0%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Gross margin
39.9%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Operating margin
14.0%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Net margin
7.5%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
36.7%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.3%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

NCLH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTravel Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.$8.7B
23
MMYTMakeMyTrip Ltd.$5.7B
40
GBTGGlobal Business Travel Group, Inc.$4.9B
68
TNLTravel + Leisure Co.$4.6B
87
LINDLindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.$2.2B
70
CCLCarnival Corp. Ltd.$38.2B
57
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc.$39.1B
100

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NCLH news & analysis

Oceania Cruises® Spotlights Longer Voyages as the Ultimate Way to Explore the World

PRNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026positive

Oceania Cruises, a brand under Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, is promoting its extended itineraries including Grand Voyages and 180-day Around the World journeys, positioning longer trips as a way for travelers to experience deeper cultural immersion across multiple destinations.

Why it matters — The emphasis on longer, higher-priced luxury voyages could drive higher revenue per guest and differentiate NCLH's Oceania brand in the premium cruise market.

Oceania Cruises® Launches Curated Conversations

PRNewsWire · 6 Aug 2026positive

Oceania Cruises, a Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings brand, announced the launch of Curated Conversations, a new onboard enrichment series featuring discussions with influential figures from technology, film, culture, and the arts, aimed at enhancing the guest experience for curious travelers.

Why it matters — This new onboard enrichment program reflects NCLH's continued investment in differentiating the Oceania brand experience, which could support guest satisfaction and brand positioning.

Norwegian Cruise Line Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026positive

Norwegian Cruise Line reported second-quarter results that beat its guidance, and management outlined a turnaround plan focused on marketing, revenue management, cost controls, and fleet optimization.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and the detailed turnaround plan signal that management is taking concrete steps to improve the company's financial and operational performance.

Why Norwegian Cruise Line Stock Is Sinking

The Motley Fool · 31 July 2026negative

The Motley Fool reports that high fuel costs and reduced travel demand are negatively affecting Norwegian Cruise Line's results, and the company's turnaround plans will require more time to take effect.

Why it matters — For NCLH watchers, this signals that the company continues to face significant headwinds from both costs and demand, and its recovery is likely to take longer than previously anticipated.

Norwegian Cruise Line: The Tide Isn't Turning (Rating Downgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026negative

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings reported weak Q2 results, weighed down by macroeconomic pressures and commercial execution issues. The company lowered its 2026 guidance, signalling that its commercial turnaround is not progressing.

Why it matters — NCLH watchers would care because the lowered 2026 guidance suggests the expected recovery may be stalling, raising questions about the company's near-term outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NCLH stock

What is the NCLH stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $21, with estimates ranging from $15 to $32. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NCLH stock a buy right now?

Of the 27 analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., 11 rate it a Buy, 16 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 23 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NCLH?

As at 12 Aug 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ranks 23 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (73 of 100).

Will NCLH stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +11.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 23 out of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NCLH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NCLH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $32 over the next 12 months.

How has NCLH stock performed over the past year?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. returned -21.9% over the 12 months to 12 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. do?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a global cruise company that provides cruise travel services to leisure travelers worldwide.

What is the latest news on NCLH?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 13 Aug 2026): "Oceania Cruises® Spotlights Longer Voyages as the Ultimate Way to Explore the World". Oceania Cruises, a brand under Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, is promoting its extended itineraries including Grand Voyages and 180-day Around the World journeys, positioning longer trips as a way for travelers to experience deeper cultural immersion across multiple destinations.

Company

About Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a global cruise company that provides cruise travel services to leisure travelers worldwide. The company operates three core brands: Norwegian Cruise Line, focused on contemporary and premium cruising; Oceania Cruises, specializing in upper-premium voyages with destination-focused itineraries; and Regent Seven Seas Cruises, offering luxury, all-inclusive experiences. Together, these brands serve a wide range of guest preferences, from mainstream to ultra-luxury segments. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. offers itineraries across Europe, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, South America, Africa, Canada, Bermuda, the Caribbean, Alaska, and Hawaii, emphasizing diverse destinations and onboard experiences. The company is known for its flexible “freestyle” cruising concept, which provides guests with more choice in dining, entertainment, and scheduling compared with traditional cruise formats. Founded in 1966 and headquartered in Miami, Florida, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. plays a significant role in the global travel and tourism industry by combining transportation, hospitality, dining, and entertainment into integrated cruise vacation products.

CEO Mr. Harry J. Sommer · 41,700 employees · United States · https://www.nclhltd.com