NCLHConsumer Cyclical · Travel ServicesThe 27 Wall Street analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $20 — +40.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 22 of 100 as at 21 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (73): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Momentum (16): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NCLH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +40.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $22 → $20 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Downgrade | Neutral | $22 → $17 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 18 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $17 → $20 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $19 → $18 |
| 31 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $25 → $22 |
| 31 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $24 → $22 |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $26 → $25 |
| 31 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $25 → $22 |
| 23 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Downgrade | Hold | $20 |
| 23 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 20 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $27 → $26 |
| 20 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | $16 → $18 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NCLH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 22 Sept 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. returned −44.0% against +17.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 78% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. has a market value of $6.5B and an enterprise value of $22.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $10.2B. The latest quarter grew 4.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $760.8M, a 7.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.60.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.2B.
Trailing P/E: 8.6×; forward P/E: 8.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. employs 44,500 people — $228K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) shares fell 1.88% on the latest trading day, settling at $14.12, a decline that came even as the broader market gained.
Why it matters — NCLH watchers would care because the stock's decline against a rising market highlights its underperformance on that trading day.
Zacks.com users have been closely watching Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) recently, making it a trending stock. Zacks notes that it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the company's stock prospects.
Why it matters — The report highlights that NCLH is drawing significant investor attention, and it points to key facts that could shape the stock's outlook for watchers.
Seeking Alpha reports that Norwegian Cruise Line faces pressured net yields, declining load factors, and weakened EBITDA through fiscal 2027 due to ongoing macro and demand headwinds. The analysis notes the company is trading below sector and historical averages, while high leverage and a lack of dividends temper near-term upside.
Why it matters — A watcher would care because the headline flags sustained financial pressure for NCLH through 2027, tempered only by management's pricing and fleet strategies that may stabilize performance without near-term gains.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings shares fell 3% to $14 midday Tuesday, leading a cruise-sector pullback. The decline followed Wells Fargo trimming its price target on a rival operator and citing Caribbean pricing pressure, which also dragged Carnival and Royal Caribbean lower.
Why it matters — A NCLH watcher would care because Caribbean pricing pressure and sector-wide analyst adjustments can weigh on Norwegian's stock even when the action targets a rival.
Norwegian Cruise Line announced the entertainment lineup for the debut of its new ship, Norwegian Aura, scheduled for May 2027, headlined by the production "Whitney: A Celebration of Whitney Houston." The announcement was made in Miami on September 15, 2026.
Why it matters — This gives NCLH watchers insight into the product offerings and guest experience planned for its upcoming vessel, which could influence demand for the new ship's inaugural season.
The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $20, with estimates ranging from $15 to $32. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 27 analysts covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., 10 rate it a Buy, 17 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 22 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 21 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 21 Sept 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ranks 22 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +40.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. 22 out of 100 as at 21 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NCLH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $32 over the next 12 months.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. returned -44.0% over the 12 months to 22 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 18 Sept 2026): "Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: What You Should Know". Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) shares fell 1.88% on the latest trading day, settling at $14.12, a decline that came even as the broader market gained.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a global cruise company that operates Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises. The company provides vacation travel services across contemporary, premium, and ultra-luxury segments, serving leisure travelers with a range of shipboard experiences, dining options, entertainment, wellness amenities, and shore excursions. Its fleet sails to destinations worldwide, including Europe, the Caribbean, Alaska, Asia, Australia, and South America, making it a broad participant in the international cruise and hospitality market. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. also supports pre- and post-cruise travel arrangements through select air and hotel packages, reinforcing its role as an integrated leisure travel provider. Based in Miami, Florida, the company focuses on delivering branded cruise products that appeal to different traveler preferences and spending levels.
CEO Mr. John W. Chidsey III, J.D. · 44,500 employees · United States · https://www.nclhltd.com
