The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Mount Logan Capital, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $8.57 — +149.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 28 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mount Logan Capital, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Size (83): Smaller than most of the companies we track.
Momentum (2): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MLCI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +149.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 June 2026 | LUCID CAPITAL MARKETS | Initiates | Buy | $8.00 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
MLCI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 29 Oct 2026, Mount Logan Capital, Inc. returned −51.8% against +13.1% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 81% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 80% of US stocks
Cheaper than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 5% of US stocks
Higher than 4% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 3% of US stocks
Higher than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Mount Logan Capital, Inc. has a market value of $38.4M and an enterprise value of $69.9M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $62.7M. The latest quarter shrank 57.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$63.4M, a −101.0% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$46.7M.
Mount Logan Capital, Inc. spent $16.9M on share buybacks and $1.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: −0.5×; forward P/E: 8.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.67%, paying out 5% of earnings.
Mount Logan Capital, Inc. employs 21 people — $3.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mount Logan Capital, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Mount Logan Capital announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on November 5, 2026. The company will discuss the results on a conference call at noon Eastern Time on November 6.
Why it matters — MLCI watchers can note the scheduled results release and conference call, where the company will discuss its quarterly financial results.
BC Partners, a long-standing shareholder and strategic partner of Mount Logan Capital, adopted a Rule 10b5-1 and Rule 10b-18 trading plan to acquire additional Mount Logan common shares on the open market.
Why it matters — The plan outlines BC Partners’ stated intention to increase its ownership stake in MLCI through open-market purchases.
Mount Logan Management LLC signed a definitive agreement to become investment adviser to the AFA Asset Based Lending Fund, succeeding Alternative Fund Advisors, LLC. The transaction is expected to bring Mount Logan’s interval fund assets under management to approximately $460 million.
Why it matters — The agreement would expand Mount Logan’s interval fund platform and increase its interval fund assets under management.
Mount Logan Capital announced that the merger of the Alternative Credit Income Fund with BC Partners Lending Corporation was completed on September 29, 2026, following ACIF shareholder approval. The company expects the merger to be immediately accretive to FRE and EPS, with benefits beginning in the fourth quarter of 2026.
Why it matters — MLCI watchers may note the expected contribution to FRE and EPS, alongside the recently completed Yieldstreet transaction, which the company expects to contribute more than $6.5 million to FRE in 2027.
Mount Logan Capital Inc. announced it will host in-person 1x1 investor meetings at the Lake Street Capital Markets 10th Annual Best Ideas Growth (BIG10) Conference in New York City on September 10, 2026.
Why it matters — The company's participation in investor meetings at a major growth conference signals increased engagement and visibility with the investment community.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Mount Logan Capital, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $8.57, with estimates ranging from $8.17 to $8.97. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering Mount Logan Capital, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mount Logan Capital, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 28 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 28 Oct 2026, Mount Logan Capital, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (83 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +149.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mount Logan Capital, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 28 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Mount Logan Capital, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MLCI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8.17 to $8.97 over the next 12 months.
Mount Logan Capital, Inc. returned -51.8% over the 12 months to 29 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Mount Logan Capital Inc. is an alternative asset management and insurance solutions company focused on credit-oriented investing and annuity reinsurance.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 28 Oct 2026): "Mount Logan Capital Inc. Schedules Release of Third Quarter 2026 Results". Mount Logan Capital announced it will release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on November 5, 2026. The company will discuss the results on a conference call at noon Eastern Time on November 6.
Mount Logan Capital Inc. is an alternative asset management and insurance solutions company focused on credit-oriented investing and annuity reinsurance. The company operates through two main segments: Asset Management and Insurance Solutions. Its asset management activities center on public and private debt markets, including senior secured lending, asset-based finance, specialty finance, structured credit, venture lending, and select equity-linked opportunities. Through its insurance platform, Mount Logan Capital Inc. provides underwriting, portfolio construction, risk management, and reinsurance solutions for annuity products. The firm serves institutional and other clients in North America by combining investment advisory capabilities with insurance capital solutions, making it a specialized participant in credit markets and long-duration liability management.
CEO Mr. Edward Joseph Goldthorpe · 21 employees · United States · https://www.mountlogancap.com
