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MOSMOSBasic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

MOS Stock Forecast: The Mosaic Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$22
−0.78% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering The Mosaic Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $27 — +24.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 17 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$6.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
17 / 100
Median analyst target
$27
Analysts covering
20
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.3%
1M
−5.8%
YTD
−8.6%
1Y
−30.3%
From 52W high
−38.2%
From 52W low
+9.0%
$20
$35
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MOS stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Mosaic Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
17 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
63
Accruals
57
Volatility
52
Issuance
43
Growth
31
Quality
30
Revisions
29
Size
20
Momentum
13

Value (63): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (13): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MOS stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MOS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MOSHigh $35Median $27Low $19

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says20 analysts
10 Buy9 Hold1 Sell
Low $19Median $27High $35

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$28 → $26
26 June 2026Rothschild & CoInitiatesBuy$30
17 June 2026Freedom BrokerUpgradeBuy—
21 May 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
18 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 May 2026RBC CapitalUpgradeOutperform—
12 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
12 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
12 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
30 Apr 2026CIBCMaintainsNeutral—
21 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
20 Apr 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
26 Mar 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral—
20 Mar 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
17 Mar 2026CIBCMaintainsNeutral—
3 Mar 2026BarclaysDowngradeEqual-Weight—
2 Mar 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
26 Feb 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—
26 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MOS appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

MOS analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−73.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

The Mosaic Co. (MOS) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
156.1×

Cheaper than 4% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / book
0.6×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.5×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−6.0%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−6.0%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
7.6%

Higher than 8% of US stocks

Operating margin
−0.1%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Net margin
−5.2%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−5.1%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.1%

Higher than 78% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MOS vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAgricultural Inputs
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MOSThe Mosaic Co.$6.9B
17
ICLICL Group Ltd.$7.0B
65
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro Co.$3.6B
76
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.$18.5B
85
NTRNutrien Ltd.$32.2B
87
FMCFMC Corp.$1.3B
26
CTVACorteva, Inc.$50.7B
61

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Mosaic Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MOS news & analysis

Mosaic Announces Pricing Terms of Offers to Purchase for Cash Certain of its Outstanding Debt Securities

PRNewsWire · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Mosaic announced the pricing terms, including the Reference Yield and Total Consideration, for its previously announced cash tender offers to purchase certain outstanding debt securities, as outlined in the Offer to Purchase dated August 10, 2026.

Why it matters — Investors tracking Mosaic's capital structure and debt management will note the company's ongoing effort to repurchase outstanding notes for cash.

Mosaic Commences Offers to Purchase for Cash Certain of its Outstanding Debt Securities

PRNewsWire · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Mosaic announced it has commenced cash tender offers to purchase certain of its outstanding debt securities, as detailed in an Offer to Purchase dated August 10, 2026. The offers are subject to the terms and conditions set out in that document.

Why it matters — A MOS watcher would care because the company is actively managing its debt by buying back outstanding notes, which could affect its capital structure and balance sheet.

Mosaic Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026negative

On its Q2 earnings call, Mosaic said it is managing production, costs and liquidity amid what CEO Bruce Bodine described as a difficult phosphate market driven by unusually high sulfur prices and constrained supply.

Why it matters — MOS watchers would care because the company is navigating a tough phosphate environment shaped by elevated sulfur costs and supply constraints that affect its operations.

The Mosaic Company (MOS) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of The Mosaic Company's Q2 2026 earnings call. The item is the transcript of the company's earnings presentation.

Why it matters — A Mosaic watcher would care because the transcript gives a documented account of what management discussed on the quarterly earnings call.

MOS Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Miss on Lower Volumes

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026neutral

Mosaic reported a Q2 adjusted earnings beat, but sales missed estimates on lower volumes and higher sulfur costs hurt results. The company also cut its 2026 capital expenditure guidance.

Why it matters — A MOS watcher would care because mixed results, softening volumes, rising input costs, and a reduced capex outlook signal growing pressure on the fertilizer maker's near-term operations and spending plans.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MOS stock

What is the MOS stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering The Mosaic Co. have a median 12-month price target of $27, with estimates ranging from $19 to $35. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MOS stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering The Mosaic Co., 10 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Mosaic Co. 17 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MOS?

As at 13 Aug 2026, The Mosaic Co. ranks 17 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (63 of 100).

Will MOS stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +24.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Mosaic Co. 17 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MOS stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Mosaic Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MOS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $19 to $35 over the next 12 months.

How has MOS stock performed over the past year?

The Mosaic Co. returned -30.3% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Mosaic Co. do?

The Mosaic Company is a U.S.-based agricultural inputs company that produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Its operations are organized around Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes, supporting the supply of fertilizers and related crop nutrient products used in global agriculture.

What is the latest news on MOS?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 14 Aug 2026): "Mosaic Announces Pricing Terms of Offers to Purchase for Cash Certain of its Outstanding Debt Securities". Mosaic announced the pricing terms, including the Reference Yield and Total Consideration, for its previously announced cash tender offers to purchase certain outstanding debt securities, as outlined in the Offer to Purchase dated August 10, 2026.

Company

About The Mosaic Co.

The Mosaic Company is a U.S.-based agricultural inputs company that produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Its operations are organized around Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes, supporting the supply of fertilizers and related crop nutrient products used in global agriculture. The company also produces phosphate-based animal feed ingredients and operates blending, bagging, storage, and port facilities that help move products through the fertilizer supply chain. Mosaic serves farmers, distributors, and agricultural customers across North America and Brazil, with a business model centered on mine-to-market nutrient production and distribution. Headquartered in Tampa, Florida, The Mosaic Company plays a significant role in the crop nutrition market by supplying essential inputs for plant growth and soil fertility.

CEO Mr. Bruce M. Bodine Jr. · 13,000 employees · United States · https://www.mosaicco.com