SMGBasic Materials · Agricultural InputsThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $78 — +30.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 78 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Growth (41): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (28): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SMG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +30.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $75 → $76 |
| 30 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $70 → $78 |
| 30 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $74 → $77 |
| 16 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $63 → $70 |
| 16 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $72 → $74 |
| 8 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 June 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 26 Mar 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 14 Jan 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Stifel | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 6 Nov 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Oct 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 25 Sept 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Aug 2025 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 31 July 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SMG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. returned +2.7% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Cheaper than 70% of US stocks
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. has a market value of $3.5B and an enterprise value of $6.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.4B. The latest quarter grew 1.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $73.9M, a 2.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.15.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $263.3M.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. spent $12.1M on share buybacks and $154.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 22.8×; forward P/E: 12.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 4.47%, paying out 102% of earnings.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. employs 5,200 people — $649K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
ScottsMiracle-Gro announced it will acquire Black Kow, a 57-year-old trusted brand, as part of its SMG 2.0 growth strategy. The company plans to scale the brand and expand its availability nationwide.
Why it matters — For SMG watchers, the acquisition of an established brand aligns with the company's SMG 2.0 growth strategy and could broaden its market reach across the country.
Scotts Miracle-Gro reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has declined 11.3% since that report. The article raises the question of what may happen next for the stock following the earnings release.
Why it matters — SMG watchers would care because the double-digit decline since the last earnings report signals a notable market reaction that could bear on investor sentiment ahead of future updates.
ScottsMiracle-Gro's new CEO Nate Baxter described the 158-year-old company as a lifestyle brand, saying it now wants to focus on the backyard rather than the bag of product. He noted that the internal statement initially drew smirks.
Why it matters — A SMG watcher would care because a strategic repositioning toward lifestyle branding could indicate a shift in how the company communicates with consumers and markets its products.
A Zacks report notes that Scotts Miracle-Gro's growth, margin gains and deleveraging support its outlook, while cost pressures and seasonal demand remain key challenges. The article recommends holding the stock for now given these offsetting factors.
Why it matters — SMG watchers would care because the stock's outlook hinges on a balance of supportive growth and margin gains against persistent cost pressures and the company's exposure to seasonal demand.
SMG Swiss Marketplace Group Holding AG (SMGSY) released the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript documents the company's earnings presentation and management's discussion of quarterly results.
Why it matters — Investors following SMGSY can review management's commentary and quarterly performance details directly from the official earnings call transcript.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. have a median 12-month price target of $78, with estimates ranging from $70 to $82. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. 78 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Sept 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. ranks 78 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +30.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. 78 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SMG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $82 over the next 12 months.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. returned +2.7% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is a consumer products company focused on lawn, garden, and indoor growing solutions. It develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of products for home lawn care, gardening, landscape maintenance, and hydroponic cultivation.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 3 Sept 2026): "ScottsMiracle-Gro to Acquire Black Kow in Alignment with SMG 2.0 Growth Strategy". ScottsMiracle-Gro announced it will acquire Black Kow, a 57-year-old trusted brand, as part of its SMG 2.0 growth strategy. The company plans to scale the brand and expand its availability nationwide.
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is a consumer products company focused on lawn, garden, and indoor growing solutions. It develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of products for home lawn care, gardening, landscape maintenance, and hydroponic cultivation. Its offerings include lawn fertilizers, grass seed, potting mixes, plant foods, soil amendments, weed and pest control products, and indoor growing supplies such as nutrients, lighting, and related hardware. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company serves homeowners, gardening enthusiasts, and indoor growers across the United States and international markets. Its business is organized around consumer lawn and garden products and hydroponic gardening products, making it a significant participant in the broader agricultural inputs and household gardening market.
CEO Mr. Nathan Eric Baxter · 5,200 employees · United States · https://scottsmiraclegro.com
