TICKERNERD
Menu
SMGSMGBasic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

SMG Stock Forecast: Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$67
+8.71% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $73 — +7.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$3.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
80/ 100
Median analyst target
$73
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$1.2B−1.3% y/y
Operating income$216.6M
Net income$112.2M
Free cash flow$321.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+12.6%
1M
+37.0%
YTD
+18.8%
1Y
+28.9%
From 52W high
−7.6%
From 52W low
+38.7%
$48
$73
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SMG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
80/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
98
Value
90
Issuance
90
Accruals
83
Volatility
81
Momentum
58
Revisions
44
Size
26
Growth
23

Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Growth (23): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

SMG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SMG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SMGHigh $82Median $73Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
6 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $60Median $73High $82

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +7.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Oct 2026UBSUpgradeBuy$78 → $70
5 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$77 → $60
5 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
29 Sept 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
29 Sept 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$76 → $75
3 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$75 → $76
3 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$70 → $78
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$74 → $77
16 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$63 → $70
16 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$72 → $74
8 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
8 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
8 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
26 Mar 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
3 Mar 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
29 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

SMG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

The AI build-out map
PDF

  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

SMG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. returned +28.9% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SMG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SMGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SMG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.8%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.2×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
−18.2×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.7×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−24.7%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.2%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Operating margin
16.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Net margin
2.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−40.6%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.1%

Higher than 91% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. has a market value of $3.8B and an enterprise value of $6.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.4B. The latest quarter grew 1.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $73.9M, a 2.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.15.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $263.3M.

  • Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. spent $12.1M on share buybacks and $154.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 58.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 22.2×; forward P/E: 13.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.05%, paying out 102% of earnings.

  • Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. employs 5,200 people — $649K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SMG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAgricultural Inputs
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro Co.$3.8B80
ICLICL Group Ltd.$5.9B48
MOSThe Mosaic Co.$6.9B18
CTVACorteva, Inc.$8.2B84
FMCFMC Corp.$998.6M18
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.$16.9B92
IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.$420.9M91

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SMG news & analysis

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company’s Q4 2026 earnings call, held November 4, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and conference-call participants but provides no discussion of results or outlook.

Why it matters — The transcript is a source for SMG watchers seeking management remarks, though the provided excerpt does not include the substance of those remarks.

Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Scotts (SMG) Q4 Earnings

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Zacks says Scotts’ headline figures cover its quarter ended September 2026 and suggests comparing key metrics with Wall Street estimates and year-ago results. The excerpt provides no specific figures or performance outcomes.

Why it matters — The comparison may help SMG watchers assess quarterly performance against expectations and the prior-year period.

Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) Reports Q4 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Scotts Miracle-Gro reported a quarterly loss of $2.16 per share, compared with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $2.22 loss. The company reported a loss of $1.96 per share in the year-ago quarter.

Why it matters — SMG watchers may note the reported loss was smaller than the consensus estimate but larger than the loss a year earlier.

ScottsMiracle-Gro Reports Strong Fiscal 2026 Full-Year Results

GlobeNewsWire · 4 Nov 2026positive

Scotts Miracle-Gro reported fourth-quarter and full fiscal 2026 results, citing expanded GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins and non-GAAP adjusted EPS above guidance. The company said fiscal 2027 guidance calls for continued top- and bottom-line growth.

Why it matters — The results and outlook provide SMG watchers with updates on profitability, earnings relative to guidance, and the company’s stated growth expectations.

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company Announces Quarterly Dividend Payment

GlobeNewsWire · 3 Nov 2026neutral

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company announced that its Board approved a cash dividend of $0.66 per share. The dividend is payable December 4, 2026, to shareholders of record as of November 20, 2026.

Why it matters — SMG watchers may note the dividend amount and the payment and record dates.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SMG stock

What is the SMG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. have a median 12-month price target of $73, with estimates ranging from $60 to $82. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SMG stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co., 6 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SMG?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).

Will SMG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +7.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. 80 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SMG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SMG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $82 over the next 12 months.

How has SMG stock performed over the past year?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. returned +28.9% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. do?

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is a consumer products company focused on lawn, garden, and indoor growing solutions. It develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of products for home lawn care, gardening, landscape maintenance, and hydroponic cultivation.

What is the latest news on SMG?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Nov 2026): "The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published a transcript of The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company’s Q4 2026 earnings call, held November 4, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and conference-call participants but provides no discussion of results or outlook.

Company

About Scotts Miracle-Gro Co.

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is a consumer products company focused on lawn, garden, and indoor growing solutions. It develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of products for home lawn care, gardening, landscape maintenance, and hydroponic cultivation. Its offerings include lawn fertilizers, grass seed, potting mixes, plant foods, soil amendments, weed and pest control products, and indoor growing supplies such as nutrients, lighting, and related hardware. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company serves homeowners, gardening enthusiasts, and indoor growers across the United States and international markets. Its business is organized around consumer lawn and garden products and hydroponic gardening products, making it a significant participant in the broader agricultural inputs and household gardening market.

CEO Mr. Nathan Eric Baxter · 5,200 employees · United States · https://scottsmiraclegro.com