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SMG Stock Forecast: Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$61
−1.26% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $78 — +27.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$3.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
76 / 100
Median analyst target
$78
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.1%
1M
−5.0%
YTD
+6.6%
1Y
+1.9%
From 52W high
−17.1%
From 52W low
+19.3%
$51
$73
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SMG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
76 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
98
Value
92
Accruals
80
Volatility
75
Revisions
59
Momentum
45
Issuance
44
Growth
42
Size
28

Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Growth (42): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (28): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SMG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SMG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SMGHigh $82Median $78Low $70

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
5 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $70Median $78High $82

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$75 → $76
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$70 → $78
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$74 → $77
16 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$63 → $70
16 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$72 → $74
8 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
8 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
8 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
26 Mar 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
3 Mar 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
29 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
14 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 Nov 2025StifelUpgradeBuy—
6 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
5 Nov 2025JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
2 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
25 Sept 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
4 Aug 2025StifelMaintainsHold—
31 July 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SMG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

SMG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.7%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.5×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

Price / book
−17.0×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.3×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−24.7%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.2%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Operating margin
16.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Net margin
2.1%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−40.6%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.3%

Higher than 80% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SMG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAgricultural Inputs
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro Co.$3.6B
76
MOSThe Mosaic Co.$6.9B
17
ICLICL Group Ltd.$7.0B
65
FMCFMC Corp.$1.3B
26
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.$18.5B
85
IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.$479.1M
89
NTRNutrien Ltd.$32.2B
87

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SMG news & analysis

ScottsMiracle-Gro Brings America250's “Our American Story” to ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

GlobeNewsWire · 14 Aug 2026positive

ScottsMiracle-Gro is bringing America250's "Our American Story" storytelling initiative to ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. The initiative aims to collect oral and visual histories related to the Semiquincentennial.

Why it matters — This partnership associates the ScottsMiracle-Gro brand with a major national commemorative project, potentially enhancing its public visibility and community engagement.

ScottsMiracle-Gro Brings America250's “Our American Story” to ScottsMiracle-Gro Field

GlobeNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

ScottsMiracle-Gro is bringing America250's "Our American Story" national initiative to ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. Ohioans and Columbus Crew fans are invited to discover the initiative and record their stories for historic preservation.

Why it matters — A SMG watcher would care because the company is using its namesake venue to host a national community and historic-preservation initiative, boosting its community engagement and brand visibility.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Investigation Continued: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Continues to Investigate the Officers and Directors of The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company - SMG

Business Wire · 10 Aug 2026negative

Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC continues its investigation into Scotts Miracle-Gro's officers and directors following the Company's August 2023 disclosure of disappointing financial results, including a 6% decline in quarterly sales and a 420-basis-point drop in gross margin.

Why it matters — The ongoing investigation signals potential legal or governance concerns at Scotts Miracle-Gro that could affect investor confidence and company reputation.

Top 3 Ancillary Marijuana Stocks to Watch in August 2026

MarijuanaStocks · 6 Aug 2026neutral

The article highlights ancillary cannabis businesses, which support the industry through products, services, equipment, and technology without directly handling the plant, and notes these companies can benefit from industry growth while avoiding many regulatory challenges faced by licensed producers.

Why it matters — SMG watchers would care because the piece frames ancillary cannabis companies as positioned to gain from industry expansion while sidestepping regulatory hurdles, a category that includes support-focused businesses.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SMG stock

What is the SMG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. have a median 12-month price target of $78, with estimates ranging from $70 to $82. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SMG stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co., 5 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SMG?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).

Will SMG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +27.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. 76 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SMG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SMG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $82 over the next 12 months.

How has SMG stock performed over the past year?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. returned +1.9% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. do?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. is a leading manufacturer and seller of consumer lawn, garden, and pest control products.

What is the latest news on SMG?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 14 Aug 2026): "ScottsMiracle-Gro Brings America250's “Our American Story” to ScottsMiracle-Gro Field". ScottsMiracle-Gro is bringing America250's "Our American Story" storytelling initiative to ScottsMiracle-Gro Field. The initiative aims to collect oral and visual histories related to the Semiquincentennial.

Company

About Scotts Miracle-Gro Co.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. is a leading manufacturer and seller of consumer lawn, garden, and pest control products. The company's primary function is to provide a wide array of goods designed to enhance plant growth and maintain gardens, thereby catering to both amateur home gardeners and professional landscapers. Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. significantly impacts the agricultural and home improvement sectors, offering products that include fertilizers, plant food, potting soil, and weed control solutions. Additionally, the company has a robust presence in the hydroponics sector through its subsidiary, Hawthorne Gardening Company, which caters to the fast-growing cannabis and controlled-environment agriculture markets. Founded in 1868 and headquartered in Marysville, Ohio, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. plays a crucial role in promoting sustainable gardening practices and innovation in plant health and nutrition.

CEO Mr. James S. Hagedorn · 5,200 employees · United States · https://scottsmiraclegro.com