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SMG Stock Forecast: Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$50
−0.76% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $77 — +53.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$2.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
76 / 100
Median analyst target
$77
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$1.2B−1.3% y/y
Operating income$216.6M
Net income$112.2M
Free cash flow$321.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.6%
1M
−11.1%
YTD
−12.1%
1Y
−7.6%
From 52W high
−31.6%
From 52W low
+2.6%
$48
$73
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SMG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
76 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
98
Value
93
Volatility
85
Accruals
80
Revisions
59
Issuance
44
Momentum
42
Growth
42
Size
30

Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Growth (42): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (30): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SMG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SMG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SMGHigh $82Median $77Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
5 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $60Median $77High $82

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +53.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$77 → $60
29 Sept 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$76 → $75
3 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$75 → $76
3 Aug 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$70 → $78
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$74 → $77
30 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
16 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$63 → $70
16 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$72 → $74
8 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
8 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
8 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
26 Mar 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
3 Mar 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
29 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
14 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
6 Nov 2025StifelUpgradeBuy—
6 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SMG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SMG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. returned −7.6% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SMG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SMGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SMG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.8%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.8×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Price / book
−13.9×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.0×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.1%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−24.7%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.2%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Operating margin
16.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Net margin
2.1%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−40.6%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.3%

Higher than 93% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. has a market value of $2.9B and an enterprise value of $5.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.4B. The latest quarter grew 1.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $73.9M, a 2.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.15.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $263.3M.

  • Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. spent $12.1M on share buybacks and $154.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 58.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 17.8×; forward P/E: 10.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.29%, paying out 102% of earnings.

  • Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. employs 5,200 people — $649K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SMG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAgricultural Inputs
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro Co.$2.9B
76
MOSThe Mosaic Co.$6.0B
19
ICLICL Group Ltd.$6.4B
64
FMCFMC Corp.$1.3B
25
CTVACorteva, Inc.$8.0B
—
CTVACorteva, Inc.$9.0B
80
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.$18.1B
88

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SMG news & analysis

ScottsMiracle-Gro Names CIO to Accelerate Technology Transformation and SMG 2.0 Growth Strategy

GlobeNewsWire · 6 Oct 2026positive

Scotts Miracle-Gro named Prathima Hegde senior vice president and chief information officer. The announcement describes the appointment as part of the company's technology transformation and SMG 2.0 growth strategy.

Why it matters — The appointment is relevant to SMG watchers because it places a senior executive in charge of information technology as the company advances its stated transformation strategy.

Scotts Miracle-Gro: Slow But Steady Growth Can Drive Upside (Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 6 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha upgraded Scotts Miracle-Gro to Buy, citing a 27% decline and an estimated fair value of about $60. The article points to a shift toward higher-margin branded products, margin expansion, leverage reduction, and management targets for sales and EPS growth with stable free cash flow.

Why it matters — The stated strategy and financial targets may be relevant to SMG watchers assessing its profitability, balance sheet, and capital returns.

Zacks Industry Outlook Corteva, Archer Daniels Midland, The Scotts Miracle-Gro, Mission Produce and Dole

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article highlighting Corteva, Archer Daniels Midland, The Scotts Miracle-Gro, Mission Produce and Dole. The article lists these companies as part of its industry analysis.

Why it matters — Scotts Miracle-Gro watchers would care because the company is being included in an analyst firm's industry outlook, which can signal attention on the sector.

5 Agriculture Operations Stock Picks to Tap Long-Term Growth Trends

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research identified five agriculture operations stocks, including Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG), that it says are positioned to benefit from innovation, automation, and shifting food demand despite ongoing cost and commodity pressures.

Why it matters — This mention highlights SMG as one of a select group of agriculture operations companies viewed as promising for long-term growth, which could raise investor attention on the stock.

ScottsMiracle-Gro Advances Debt Reduction and Capital Allocation

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026positive

ScottsMiracle-Gro achieved its $275 million fiscal 2026 free cash flow target while reducing debt, renewing liquidity, and beginning share repurchases under a $500 million program. The company is advancing its debt reduction and capital allocation objectives.

Why it matters — A SMG watcher would care because the company is demonstrating progress on its financial goals, including stronger balance-sheet management and returning capital to shareholders.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SMG stock

What is the SMG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. have a median 12-month price target of $77, with estimates ranging from $60 to $82. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SMG stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co., 5 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SMG?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).

Will SMG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +53.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. 76 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SMG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SMG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $82 over the next 12 months.

How has SMG stock performed over the past year?

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. returned -7.6% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. do?

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is a consumer products company focused on lawn, garden, and indoor growing solutions. It develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of products for home lawn care, gardening, landscape maintenance, and hydroponic cultivation.

What is the latest news on SMG?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 6 Oct 2026): "ScottsMiracle-Gro Names CIO to Accelerate Technology Transformation and SMG 2.0 Growth Strategy". Scotts Miracle-Gro named Prathima Hegde senior vice president and chief information officer. The announcement describes the appointment as part of the company's technology transformation and SMG 2.0 growth strategy.

Company

About Scotts Miracle-Gro Co.

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company is a consumer products company focused on lawn, garden, and indoor growing solutions. It develops, markets, and sells a broad portfolio of products for home lawn care, gardening, landscape maintenance, and hydroponic cultivation. Its offerings include lawn fertilizers, grass seed, potting mixes, plant foods, soil amendments, weed and pest control products, and indoor growing supplies such as nutrients, lighting, and related hardware. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company serves homeowners, gardening enthusiasts, and indoor growers across the United States and international markets. Its business is organized around consumer lawn and garden products and hydroponic gardening products, making it a significant participant in the broader agricultural inputs and household gardening market.

CEO Mr. Nathan Eric Baxter · 5,200 employees · United States · https://scottsmiraclegro.com