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NBHC Stock Forecast: National Bank Holdings Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$42
+0.46% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering National Bank Holdings Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $49 — +16.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 14 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
14 / 100
Median analyst target
$49
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$127.7M+23.8% y/y
Net income$26.5M
Free cash flow$131.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
−2.6%
YTD
+12.4%
1Y
+11.7%
From 52W high
−10.6%
From 52W low
+21.1%
$34
$47
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NBHC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores National Bank Holdings Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
14 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
62
Momentum
61
Growth
41
Size
36
Revisions
32
Value
30
Issuance
28
Quality
21
Accruals
13

Volatility (62): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (13): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NBHC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NBHC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$35$40$45$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NBHCHigh $51Median $49Low $46

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
2 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $46Median $49High $51

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$52 → $51
23 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$49 → $46
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$48 → $52
22 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
22 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$46
6 Apr 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
25 Mar 2026Piper SandlerAssumesOverweight$48
19 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
29 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
28 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
17 Sept 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
24 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
23 Apr 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
2 Apr 2025Hovde GroupMaintainsMarket Perform—
4 Dec 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
18 Nov 2024Hovde GroupDowngradeMarket Perform—
24 Oct 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
24 Oct 2024Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
24 Oct 2024Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NBHC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

NBHC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, National Bank Holdings Corp. returned +11.7% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NBHC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
9095100105110115120125Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NBHCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NBHC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

National Bank Holdings Corp. (NBHC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.5×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.1×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.1%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−22.1%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
28.6%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
21.8%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
6.5%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.9%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 65% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

National Bank Holdings Corp. (NBHC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • National Bank Holdings Corp. has a market value of $1.9B and an enterprise value of $1.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $460.9M. The latest quarter grew 22.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $98.6M, a 21.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.38.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $145.2M.

  • National Bank Holdings Corp. spent $38.2M on share buybacks and $52.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 44.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 17.5×; forward P/E: 10.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.07%, paying out 53% of earnings.

  • National Bank Holdings Corp. employs 1,250 people — $369K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NBHC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NBHCNational Bank Holdings Corp.$1.9B
14
GABCGerman American Bancorp, Inc.$1.9B
91
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.$1.8B
89
HAPNHappen, Inc.$1.9B
76
BLXBladex, Inc.$1.9B
33
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.$1.8B
14
LOBLive Oak Bancshares, Inc.$1.8B
47

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own National Bank Holdings Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NBHC news & analysis

National Bank Holdings Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend

GlobeNewsWire · 4 Aug 2026positive

National Bank Holdings Corporation (NYSE: NBHC) announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.32 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on September 15, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on August 28, 2026.

Why it matters — The declaration of a quarterly dividend provides NBHC shareholders with a scheduled cash return on their shares.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NBHC stock

What is the NBHC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering National Bank Holdings Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $49, with estimates ranging from $46 to $51. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NBHC stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering National Bank Holdings Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks National Bank Holdings Corp. 14 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NBHC?

As at 12 Sept 2026, National Bank Holdings Corp. ranks 14 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (62 of 100).

Will NBHC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +16.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks National Bank Holdings Corp. 14 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NBHC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering National Bank Holdings Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NBHC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $46 to $51 over the next 12 months.

How has NBHC stock performed over the past year?

National Bank Holdings Corp. returned +11.7% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does National Bank Holdings Corp. do?

National Bank Holdings Corp Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity of National Bank Holdings Corp, a bank holding company headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado. The company operates through community banking brands including Bank Midwest, Community Banks of Colorado, and Hillcrest Bank, serving commercial, small business, and consumer clients across regional U.S.

What is the latest news on NBHC?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 4 Aug 2026): "National Bank Holdings Corporation Announces Quarterly Dividend". National Bank Holdings Corporation (NYSE: NBHC) announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.32 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on September 15, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on August 28, 2026.

Company

About National Bank Holdings Corp.

National Bank Holdings Corp Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity of National Bank Holdings Corp, a bank holding company headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado. The company operates through community banking brands including Bank Midwest, Community Banks of Colorado, and Hillcrest Bank, serving commercial, small business, and consumer clients across regional U.S. markets. Its banking subsidiaries provide deposit accounts, lending products, treasury and payment services, and other relationship-based financial solutions designed for everyday banking and business needs. The stock represents ownership in a diversified regional banking franchise focused on traditional banking activities rather than nonbank financial services. National Bank Holdings Corp Class A Common Stock is used by market participants to track the performance of a regional lender with exposure to local economies, deposit growth, credit activity, and community-oriented banking operations.

CEO Mr. G. Timothy Laney · 1,250 employees · United States · https://www.nationalbankholdings.com