NBHCFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering National Bank Holdings Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $46 — +20.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 13 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores National Bank Holdings Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (53): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (14): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NBHC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $45 → $43 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $51 → $49 |
| 27 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $52 → $51 |
| 27 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | $49 → $46 |
| 23 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $48 → $52 |
| 22 Apr 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $46 |
| 6 Apr 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Piper Sandler | Assumes | Overweight | $48 |
| 19 Feb 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 Jan 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 Jan 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 17 Sept 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 24 July 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Apr 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Apr 2025 | Hovde Group | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NBHC appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, National Bank Holdings Corp. returned +2.5% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
National Bank Holdings Corp. has a market value of $1.7B and an enterprise value of $1.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $460.9M. The latest quarter grew 22.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $98.6M, a 21.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.38.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $145.2M.
National Bank Holdings Corp. spent $38.2M on share buybacks and $52.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.1×; forward P/E: 9.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 3.35%, paying out 53% of earnings.
National Bank Holdings Corp. employs 1,250 people — $369K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own National Bank Holdings Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
National Bank Holdings Corporation expects to release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on October 27, 2026. Management will discuss the results on a conference call at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time on October 28.
Why it matters — NBHC watchers can note the scheduled dates for the results release and management’s review call.
Zacks Investment Research asks whether National Bank Holdings (NBHC) has the qualities of a strong dividend stock. The excerpt offers no conclusion.
Why it matters — NBHC watchers may find the item relevant as it raises a question about the company's dividend-stock appeal.
National Bank Holdings Corporation (NYSE: NBHC) announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.32 per share of common stock. The dividend is payable on September 15, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on August 28, 2026.
Why it matters — The declaration of a quarterly dividend provides NBHC shareholders with a scheduled cash return on their shares.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering National Bank Holdings Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $46, with estimates ranging from $43 to $49. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering National Bank Holdings Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks National Bank Holdings Corp. 13 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, National Bank Holdings Corp. ranks 13 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (53 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +20.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks National Bank Holdings Corp. 13 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering National Bank Holdings Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NBHC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $49 over the next 12 months.
National Bank Holdings Corp. returned +2.5% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
National Bank Holdings Corp Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity of National Bank Holdings Corp, a bank holding company headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado. The company operates through community banking brands including Bank Midwest, Community Banks of Colorado, and Hillcrest Bank, serving commercial, small business, and consumer clients across regional U.S.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 6 Oct 2026): "National Bank Holdings Corporation Announces Date for 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Release". National Bank Holdings Corporation expects to release its third-quarter 2026 financial results after market close on October 27, 2026. Management will discuss the results on a conference call at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time on October 28.
National Bank Holdings Corp Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity of National Bank Holdings Corp, a bank holding company headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado. The company operates through community banking brands including Bank Midwest, Community Banks of Colorado, and Hillcrest Bank, serving commercial, small business, and consumer clients across regional U.S. markets. Its banking subsidiaries provide deposit accounts, lending products, treasury and payment services, and other relationship-based financial solutions designed for everyday banking and business needs. The stock represents ownership in a diversified regional banking franchise focused on traditional banking activities rather than nonbank financial services. National Bank Holdings Corp Class A Common Stock is used by market participants to track the performance of a regional lender with exposure to local economies, deposit growth, credit activity, and community-oriented banking operations.
CEO Mr. G. Timothy Laney · 1,250 employees · United States · https://www.nationalbankholdings.com
