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OBK Stock Forecast: Origin Bancorp, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$53
+0.62% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Origin Bancorp, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $59 — +10.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 68 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$1.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
68 / 100
Median analyst target
$59
Analysts covering
5
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.8%
1M
−0.3%
YTD
+43.4%
1Y
+40.0%
From 52W high
−3.2%
From 52W low
+67.1%
$32
$55
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OBK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Origin Bancorp, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
68 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
95
Issuance
85
Revisions
85
Growth
79
Size
39
Volatility
33
Value
31
Quality
31
Accruals
26

Momentum (95): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (26): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

OBK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OBK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50$55$60$65Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OBKHigh $62Median $59Low $56

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
4 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $56Median $59High $62

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$57 → $60
25 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$53 → $62
24 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$55 → $56
24 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
13 July 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral$51 → $55
13 July 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral—
24 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
2 Feb 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
30 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
29 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025DA DavidsonAssumesBuy$45 → $42
27 Oct 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
28 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
28 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
28 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
2 Apr 2025Raymond JamesDowngradeOutperform—
20 Mar 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
29 Jan 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesOutperform—
27 Jan 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OBK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

OBK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.6%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.6×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.3×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
33.3%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
131.1%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
42.7%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
26.4%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.0%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.0%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.9%

Higher than 43% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

OBK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc.$1.6B
68
RBCAARepublic Bancorp, Inc. (Kentucky)$1.6B
78
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.$1.6B
77
QCRHQCR Holdings, Inc.$1.7B
84
BFCBank First Corp.$1.7B
53
BYByline Bancorp, Inc.$1.7B
88
FSUNFirstSun Capital Bancorp$1.8B
19

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Origin Bancorp, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OBK news & analysis

Director Buys 3,700 Shares of Regional Bank Following 52% Rally

The Motley Fool · 19 Aug 2026positive

A director of Origin Bancorp acquired 3,700 shares on August 7, 2026, for a total estimated value of ~$199,000, increasing the insider's total equity holdings by 27%. The purchase came after the regional bank's shares had rallied 52%.

Why it matters — OBK watchers would note this as a meaningful insider purchase that increases executive skin in the game following a substantial share-price run-up.

Jim Cramer Says NorthWestern Energy Is ‘Winning,' So Is This Financial Stock

Benzinga · 5 Aug 2026neutral

On CNBC's "Mad Money Lightning Round," Jim Cramer called NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:NWE) a "winning" stock after the company posted better-than-expected second-quarter results. The headline also indicates Cramer called a financial stock a winner, though it is not identified in the excerpt.

Why it matters — Origin Bancorp (OBK) watchers may care because the item indicates Jim Cramer is taking a favorable view of financial-sector stocks, though the excerpt itself does not directly reference OBK.

Origin Bancorp: Favorable Macro In Texas Drives Earnings

Seeking Alpha · 29 July 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha article rated Origin Bancorp (OBK) as BUY, citing robust Texas-focused loan growth, record net interest income and margin, and projected 21% forward EPS growth. The article also noted OBK trades at a discount to its recent peak P/E but at a premium to sector medians.

Why it matters — OBK watchers would care because the article highlights Texas macro conditions as a key driver of earnings and notes all-time highs in dividends and share buybacks.

Origin Bancorp Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 24 July 2026positive

Origin Bancorp reported stronger second-quarter earnings, with management attributing the results to its 'Optimize Origin' initiative, which they said is improving profitability, supporting disciplined growth, and driving stronger client acquisition.

Why it matters — The update signals that the company's strategic initiative may be gaining traction and contributing to improved financial performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OBK stock

What is the OBK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Origin Bancorp, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $59, with estimates ranging from $56 to $62. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is OBK stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Origin Bancorp, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Origin Bancorp, Inc. 68 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OBK?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Origin Bancorp, Inc. ranks 68 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (95 of 100).

Will OBK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +10.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Origin Bancorp, Inc. 68 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the OBK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Origin Bancorp, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OBK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $56 to $62 over the next 12 months.

How has OBK stock performed over the past year?

Origin Bancorp, Inc. returned +40.0% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Origin Bancorp, Inc. do?

Origin Bancorp Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Origin Bank, providing a comprehensive range of banking services primarily to individuals and businesses.

What is the latest news on OBK?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 19 Aug 2026): "Director Buys 3,700 Shares of Regional Bank Following 52% Rally". A director of Origin Bancorp acquired 3,700 shares on August 7, 2026, for a total estimated value of ~$199,000, increasing the insider's total equity holdings by 27%. The purchase came after the regional bank's shares had rallied 52%.

Company

About Origin Bancorp, Inc.

Origin Bancorp Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Origin Bank, providing a comprehensive range of banking services primarily to individuals and businesses. This financial institution offers services such as personal and commercial banking, mortgage banking, wealth management, and capital solutions. Origin Bancorp focuses on meeting the needs of clients in various sectors including manufacturing, professional services, and real estate. Its customer-centric approach aims to establish long-term relationships by offering tailored financial solutions to businesses and personal clients alike. With headquarters in Choudrant, Louisiana, and a network of branches, Origin Bank holds a significant regional presence in the Southern United States. Its role in the financial market underscores the importance of community banking institutions in supporting local economies, facilitating growth, and providing essential financial products and services to both small businesses and individual consumers. Origin Bancorp emphasizes quality service delivery, technology integration, and strategic expansion, further positioning itself as a key player in the regional banking landscape.

CEO Mr. Drake D. Mills · 988 employees · United States · https://www.origin.bank