OBKOBKFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

OBK Stock Forecast: Origin Bancorp, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$53
+0.94% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Origin Bancorp, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $60 — +13.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
84/ 100
Median analyst target
$60
Analysts covering
6
Revenue$107.2M+26.5% y/y
Net income$33.8M
Free cash flow$30.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.4%
1M
+0.8%
YTD
+41.9%
1Y
+54.0%
From 52W high
−4.2%
From 52W low
+59.1%
$33
$55
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OBK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Origin Bancorp, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
84/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
96
Revisions
95
Growth
89
Issuance
67
Quality
62
Volatility
41
Size
38
Accruals
38
Value
37

Momentum (96): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Value (37): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

OBK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OBK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45$50$55$60$65Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26OBKHigh $62Median $60Low $56

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says6 analysts
4 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $56Median $60High $62

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Oct 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform$56 → $58
25 Sept 2026StoneXInitiatesHold—
4 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$57 → $60
4 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
25 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$53 → $62
24 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$55 → $56
24 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
13 July 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral$51 → $55
13 July 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral—
24 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
2 Feb 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
30 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
29 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025DA DavidsonAssumesBuy$45 → $42
27 Oct 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
28 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
28 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
28 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
2 Apr 2025Raymond JamesDowngradeOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

OBK appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

OBK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Origin Bancorp, Inc. returned +54.0% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

OBK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26OBKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

OBK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.7%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.7×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.9×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
56.0%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
338.1%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
45.8%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Net margin
31.1%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.4%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.3%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.9%

Higher than 78% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Origin Bancorp, Inc. has a market value of $1.6B and an enterprise value of $1.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $420.9M. The latest quarter grew 56.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $99.7M, a 23.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.20.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $175.4M.

  • Origin Bancorp, Inc. spent $28.4M on share buybacks and $21.9M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 30.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.7×; forward P/E: 11.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.90%, paying out 22% of earnings.

  • Origin Bancorp, Inc. employs 988 people — $426K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 31 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

OBK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc.$1.6B84
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.$1.6B57
LOBLive Oak Bancshares, Inc.$1.6B32
CASHPathward Financial, Inc.$1.6B61
BFCBank First Corp.$1.7B53
RBCAARepublic Bancorp, Inc. (Kentucky)$1.6B77
NBHCNational Bank Holdings Corp.$1.7B11

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Origin Bancorp, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OBK news & analysis

What Origin Bancorp (OBK) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 31 Oct 2026positive

Origin Bancorp reported record third-quarter results, with management citing benefits from its “Optimize Origin” strategy, including higher profitability, margin expansion, loan growth and disciplined expense management.

Why it matters — The call highlighted performance areas and strategic priorities relevant to investors tracking OBK.

Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 Oct 2026neutral

Origin Bancorp held its third-quarter 2026 earnings call on October 29, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and analysts participating but provides no details on results or discussion.

Why it matters — The call is a source of quarterly updates for OBK watchers, though the excerpt contains no financial or operational information to assess.

Origin Bancorp (OBK) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

Origin Bancorp reported quarterly earnings of $1.22 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.06. Earnings were $0.27 per share in the year-ago quarter.

Why it matters — The report gives OBK watchers an update on quarterly earnings relative to analyst consensus and the prior-year period.

Origin Bancorp (OBK) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research highlights Origin Bancorp’s (OBK) third-quarter earnings for the quarter ended September 2026, focusing on how key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and year-ago figures. The excerpt provides no specific metric results.

Why it matters — Those comparisons offer OBK watchers additional context for assessing quarterly performance beyond revenue and EPS.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OBK stock

What is the OBK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Origin Bancorp, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $60, with estimates ranging from $56 to $62. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is OBK stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Origin Bancorp, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Origin Bancorp, Inc. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OBK?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Origin Bancorp, Inc. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (96 of 100).

Will OBK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +13.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Origin Bancorp, Inc. 84 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the OBK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Origin Bancorp, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OBK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $56 to $62 over the next 12 months.

How has OBK stock performed over the past year?

Origin Bancorp, Inc. returned +54.0% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Origin Bancorp, Inc. do?

Origin Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates through its community banking franchise, Origin Bank.

What is the latest news on OBK?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 31 Oct 2026): "What Origin Bancorp (OBK) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call". Origin Bancorp reported record third-quarter results, with management citing benefits from its “Optimize Origin” strategy, including higher profitability, margin expansion, loan growth and disciplined expense management.

Company

About Origin Bancorp, Inc.

Origin Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates through its community banking franchise, Origin Bank. It provides a broad range of financial services to small and medium-sized businesses, municipalities, high-net-worth individuals, and retail customers. Its offerings include deposit accounts, commercial and consumer lending, residential mortgage lending, construction and real estate financing, treasury and cash management services, and insurance solutions. The company also supports clients with digital and mobile banking tools, business credit cards, overdraft protection, direct deposit, and other everyday banking services. Origin Bancorp focuses on relationship-based banking across regional markets, serving customers through a network that spans Louisiana, Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida. Headquartered in Ruston, Louisiana, Origin Bancorp plays an important role in regional banking by combining traditional deposit and lending services with commercial banking and client support solutions.

CEO Mr. Drake D. Mills · 988 employees · United States · https://www.origin.bank