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TCBKTCBKFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

TCBK Stock Forecast: TriCo Bancshares Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$55
−1.10% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering TriCo Bancshares hold a median 12-month price target of $63 — +14.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 87 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
87 / 100
Median analyst target
$63
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.3%
1M
−8.3%
YTD
+17.9%
1Y
+33.3%
From 52W high
−10.6%
From 52W low
+38.1%
$40
$62
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TCBK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TriCo Bancshares on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
87 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
89
Momentum
85
Growth
81
Revisions
80
Quality
70
Accruals
54
Volatility
47
Size
38
Value
33

Issuance (89): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Value (33): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TCBK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$35$40$45$50$55$60$65$70Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TCBKHigh $67Median $63Low $56

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
1 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $56Median $63High $67

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$66 → $65
27 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$61 → $63
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$55 → $66
14 July 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral$63 → $61
14 July 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral—
14 July 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
14 July 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
26 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
26 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
26 Jan 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
23 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
27 Oct 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
24 Oct 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform—
28 July 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
25 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
25 July 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform—
28 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
28 Apr 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TCBK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

TCBK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.7%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
24.1%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
43.2%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
31.8%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.4%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.4%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.6%

Higher than 58% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TCBK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TCBKTriCo Bancshares$1.8B
87
CASHPathward Financial, Inc.$1.8B
59
DCOMDime Commercial Bancshares, Inc.$1.8B
54
FSUNFirstSun Capital Bancorp$1.8B
19
TFINTriumph Financial, Inc.$1.8B
42
HOPEHope Bancorp, Inc.$1.8B
54
BYByline Bancorp, Inc.$1.7B
88

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TriCo Bancshares — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TCBK news & analysis

TriCo Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend

Business Wire · 21 Aug 2026positive

TriCo Bancshares' Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.36 per share on its common stock on August 20, 2026. The dividend is payable on September 25, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 11, 2026, and marks the 148th consecutive quarterly cash dividend paid.

Why it matters — TCBK watchers would care because the declaration continues the company's long-running record of 148 consecutive quarterly dividend payments, reflecting sustained shareholder returns.

TriCo (TCBK) is a Top Dividend Stock Right Now: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Aug 2026positive

Zacks highlights TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) as a top dividend stock, examining whether the company has what it takes to reward shareholders through dividends. The article frames dividend income as one of the key benefits of share ownership.

Why it matters — The recognition could draw investor attention to TCBK's dividend profile and overall shareholder value proposition.

Tri Counties Bank Releases Small Business Cybersecurity Study

Business Wire · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Tri Counties Bank released a new cybersecurity study based on a Harris Poll survey of more than 300 U.S. small business owners, examining how they view cyber threats, prepare for attacks, and assess the potential impact on their operations.

Why it matters — The study highlights the bank's engagement with small business clients and its focus on cybersecurity support, a relevant factor for those tracking TCBK's community and business banking efforts.

BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (Nasdaq – MKTX), CBIZ, Inc. (NYSE – CBZ), Sanara MedTech Inc. (Nasdaq – SMTI), TriCo Bancshares (Nasdaq – TCBK)

GlobeNewsWire · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Brodsky & Smith issued a shareholder update reminding investors of its investigations into several companies, including TriCo Bancshares (Nasdaq – TCBK). The notice invites TCBK shareholders to contact the law firm to discuss the investigation at no cost, providing contact details for Jason Brodsky and Marc Ackerman.

Why it matters — TCBK watchers may want to know that a law firm has opened an investigation into the company and that affected shareholders can contact the firm at no cost to learn more.

TriCo (TCBK) Could Be a Great Choice

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article asking whether TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) has what it takes to be a strong dividend stock for shareholders.

Why it matters — A TCBK watcher would care because the piece evaluates the company's dividend potential, a key factor for income-focused investors.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TCBK stock

What is the TCBK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering TriCo Bancshares have a median 12-month price target of $63, with estimates ranging from $56 to $67. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TCBK stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering TriCo Bancshares, 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks TriCo Bancshares 87 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TCBK?

As at 22 Aug 2026, TriCo Bancshares ranks 87 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (89 of 100).

Will TCBK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +14.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks TriCo Bancshares 87 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TCBK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering TriCo Bancshares publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $56 to $67 over the next 12 months.

How has TCBK stock performed over the past year?

TriCo Bancshares returned +33.3% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does TriCo Bancshares do?

Trico Bancshares serves as a regional bank holding company, operating primarily through its subsidiary, Tri Counties Bank. This financial institution provides a comprehensive range of banking services to individuals, businesses, and municipalities, with a strong focus on delivering local banking solutions.

What is the latest news on TCBK?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 21 Aug 2026): "TriCo Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend". TriCo Bancshares' Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.36 per share on its common stock on August 20, 2026. The dividend is payable on September 25, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 11, 2026, and marks the 148th consecutive quarterly cash dividend paid.

Company

About TriCo Bancshares.

Trico Bancshares serves as a regional bank holding company, operating primarily through its subsidiary, Tri Counties Bank. This financial institution provides a comprehensive range of banking services to individuals, businesses, and municipalities, with a strong focus on delivering local banking solutions. Known for its personalized customer service, Trico Bancshares offers traditional deposit products like savings and checking accounts, revenue-generating loan products such as commercial, real estate, and consumer loans, alongside online and mobile banking services. The bank plays a crucial role in the financial ecosystem of Northern and Central California, where it is predominantly active. Its approach combines the benefits of a community bank with the convenience and technology of a larger institution, thus effectively supporting the economic development of the regions it serves. Trico Bancshares' market significance lies in its ability to maintain a strong financial foundation while adapting to changing technological landscapes and customer preferences, influencing banking trends within its regional market.

CEO Mr. Richard P. Smith · 1,114 employees · United States · https://www.tcbk.com