TCBKFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 6 Wall Street analysts covering TriCo Bancshares hold a median 12-month price target of $57 — +8.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TriCo Bancshares on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (91): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Value (39): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (37): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $55 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $63 → $57 |
| 27 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $66 → $65 |
| 27 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $61 → $63 |
| 14 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $55 → $66 |
| 14 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | $63 → $61 |
| 14 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 23 Jan 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Raymond James | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
TCBK appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, TriCo Bancshares returned +23.2% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Cheaper than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
TriCo Bancshares has a market value of $1.7B and an enterprise value of $1.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $429.2M. The latest quarter grew 11.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $135.5M, a 31.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.17.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $133.1M.
TriCo Bancshares spent $36.4M on share buybacks and $46.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 12.2×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.74%, paying out 35% of earnings.
TriCo Bancshares employs 1,111 people — $386K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TriCo Bancshares — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research highlights TriCo’s Q3 earnings for the quarter ended September 2026, noting that key metrics can be compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. The excerpt provides no specific results or comparisons.
Why it matters — These metrics may give TCBK watchers additional context on quarterly performance beyond the headline top- and bottom-line figures.
TriCo reported quarterly earnings of $1.18 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.08. Earnings were $1.04 per share in the year-ago quarter.
Why it matters — The results show TriCo exceeded the consensus earnings estimate for the quarter.
TriCo Bancshares reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $38.0 million and diluted EPS of $1.18, and declared a $0.36 cash dividend. The company said it remains focused on customers and financial performance as it prepares for its merger with First Hawaiian Bank.
Why it matters — The results and declared dividend, along with the company’s comments on merger preparations, are relevant updates for TCBK watchers.
Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC, led by former Louisiana Attorney General Charles C. Foti Jr., is investigating the proposed sale of TriCo Bancshares to First Hawaiian, Inc. The investigation examines the adequacy of the price and process in the deal, under which TriCo shareholders would receive 2.095 First Hawaiian shares per TriCo share.
Why it matters — The investigation signals potential concerns about the fairness of the deal's terms and process, which could affect whether the proposed sale proceeds for TCBK shareholders.
Zacks Investment Research highlights TriCo (TCBK) as a potentially strong dividend stock, noting that dividends are a key shareholder benefit and raising the question of whether the company fits that profile.
Why it matters — TCBK watchers would care because the item draws attention to the company's dividend profile and its appeal to income-focused shareholders.
The 6 Wall Street analysts covering TriCo Bancshares have a median 12-month price target of $57, with estimates ranging from $55 to $63. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 6 analysts covering TriCo Bancshares, 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks TriCo Bancshares 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, TriCo Bancshares ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +8.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks TriCo Bancshares 83 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering TriCo Bancshares publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $55 to $63 over the next 12 months.
TriCo Bancshares returned +23.2% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
TriCo Bancshares is a bank holding company that serves as the parent of Tri Counties Bank, a California-chartered commercial bank focused on consumer, small business, and commercial banking. The company provides a broad range of banking products and services, including personal and business deposit accounts, loans, credit solutions, treasury management, and wealth management services through Tri Counties Advisors.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 22 Oct 2026): "TriCo (TCBK) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say". Zacks Investment Research highlights TriCo’s Q3 earnings for the quarter ended September 2026, noting that key metrics can be compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. The excerpt provides no specific results or comparisons.
TriCo Bancshares is a bank holding company that serves as the parent of Tri Counties Bank, a California-chartered commercial bank focused on consumer, small business, and commercial banking. The company provides a broad range of banking products and services, including personal and business deposit accounts, loans, credit solutions, treasury management, and wealth management services through Tri Counties Advisors. Its operations are centered on retail and commercial banking relationships across California, serving individual customers, entrepreneurs, and established businesses. TriCo Bancshares plays a regional financial role by supporting everyday banking needs, business financing, and cash management services within its local markets. Headquartered in Chico, California, TriCo Bancshares is positioned as a community-oriented financial institution with a diversified banking platform built around deposits, lending, and customer service.
CEO Mr. Richard P. Smith · 1,111 employees · United States · https://www.tcbk.com
