TICKERNERD
Menu
TCBKTCBKFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

TCBK Stock Forecast: TriCo Bancshares Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$54
+0.41% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering TriCo Bancshares hold a median 12-month price target of $63 — +17.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 88 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
88 / 100
Median analyst target
$63
Analysts covering
6
Revenue$109.8M+7.9% y/y
Net income$34.2M
Free cash flow$23.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.8%
1M
−5.7%
YTD
+15.4%
1Y
+20.4%
From 52W high
−12.5%
From 52W low
+35.2%
$40
$61
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TCBK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TriCo Bancshares on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
88 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
89
Growth
81
Revisions
79
Momentum
77
Quality
70
Volatility
65
Accruals
55
Value
39
Size
38

Issuance (89): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Value (39): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (38): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TCBK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TCBK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$35$40$45$50$55$60$65$70Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TCBKHigh $67Median $63Low $56

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says6 analysts
1 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $56Median $63High $67

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$66 → $65
27 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$61 → $63
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$55 → $66
14 July 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral$63 → $61
14 July 2026Piper SandlerDowngradeNeutral—
14 July 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
14 July 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeMarket Perform—
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
26 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
26 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
26 Jan 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
23 Jan 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
27 Oct 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
24 Oct 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform—
28 July 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
25 July 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
25 July 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform—
28 Apr 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
28 Apr 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TCBK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TCBK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, TriCo Bancshares returned +20.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TCBK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TCBKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TCBK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.7%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.8×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
24.1%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
43.2%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
31.8%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
10.4%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.4%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 59% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • TriCo Bancshares has a market value of $1.7B and an enterprise value of $1.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $429.2M. The latest quarter grew 10.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $135.5M, a 31.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.17.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $133.1M.

  • TriCo Bancshares spent $36.4M on share buybacks and $46.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 32.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.8×; forward P/E: 12.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.69%, paying out 35% of earnings.

  • TriCo Bancshares employs 1,114 people — $385K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TCBK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TCBKTriCo Bancshares$1.7B
88
QCRHQCR Holdings, Inc.$1.7B
84
BFCBank First Corp.$1.7B
55
OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc.$1.7B
68
BYByline Bancorp, Inc.$1.7B
89
RBCAARepublic Bancorp, Inc. (Kentucky)$1.7B
75
FSUNFirstSun Capital Bancorp$1.8B
21

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TriCo Bancshares — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TCBK news & analysis

Tri Counties Bank Donates $25,000 to Bring Downtown Redding Steam Whistle to Life

Business Wire · 8 Sept 2026positive

Tri Counties Bank donated $25,000 to help complete the Downtown Redding Steam Whistle, a community landmark honoring the workers, entrepreneurs and industries that shaped the North State. The donation will fund systems needed to bring the whistle to life, including a boiler, steam-generation equipment, programmable controls and musical synchronization.

Why it matters — The donation reflects Tri Counties Bank's community engagement and local brand presence in its Redding market, which may be of interest to TCBK watchers.

Why TriCo (TCBK) is a Top Dividend Stock for Your Portfolio

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) as a top dividend stock for a portfolio, examining whether the company has what it takes to be a strong dividend option for shareholders.

Why it matters — The piece draws attention to TCBK's dividend appeal, which is directly relevant to income-focused shareholders watching the company.

TriCo Bancshares Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend

Business Wire · 21 Aug 2026positive

TriCo Bancshares' Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.36 per share on its common stock on August 20, 2026. The dividend is payable on September 25, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 11, 2026, and marks the 148th consecutive quarterly cash dividend paid.

Why it matters — TCBK watchers would care because the declaration continues the company's long-running record of 148 consecutive quarterly dividend payments, reflecting sustained shareholder returns.

TriCo (TCBK) is a Top Dividend Stock Right Now: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Aug 2026positive

Zacks highlights TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) as a top dividend stock, examining whether the company has what it takes to reward shareholders through dividends. The article frames dividend income as one of the key benefits of share ownership.

Why it matters — The recognition could draw investor attention to TCBK's dividend profile and overall shareholder value proposition.

Tri Counties Bank Releases Small Business Cybersecurity Study

Business Wire · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Tri Counties Bank released a new cybersecurity study based on a Harris Poll survey of more than 300 U.S. small business owners, examining how they view cyber threats, prepare for attacks, and assess the potential impact on their operations.

Why it matters — The study highlights the bank's engagement with small business clients and its focus on cybersecurity support, a relevant factor for those tracking TCBK's community and business banking efforts.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TCBK stock

What is the TCBK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering TriCo Bancshares have a median 12-month price target of $63, with estimates ranging from $56 to $67. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TCBK stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering TriCo Bancshares, 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks TriCo Bancshares 88 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TCBK?

As at 12 Sept 2026, TriCo Bancshares ranks 88 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (89 of 100).

Will TCBK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +17.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks TriCo Bancshares 88 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TCBK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering TriCo Bancshares publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TCBK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $56 to $67 over the next 12 months.

How has TCBK stock performed over the past year?

TriCo Bancshares returned +20.4% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does TriCo Bancshares do?

TriCo Bancshares is a bank holding company that serves as the parent of Tri Counties Bank, a California-chartered commercial bank focused on consumer, small business, and commercial banking. The company provides a broad range of banking products and services, including personal and business deposit accounts, loans, credit solutions, treasury management, and wealth management services through Tri Counties Advisors.

What is the latest news on TCBK?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 8 Sept 2026): "Tri Counties Bank Donates $25,000 to Bring Downtown Redding Steam Whistle to Life". Tri Counties Bank donated $25,000 to help complete the Downtown Redding Steam Whistle, a community landmark honoring the workers, entrepreneurs and industries that shaped the North State. The donation will fund systems needed to bring the whistle to life, including a boiler, steam-generation equipment, programmable controls and musical synchronization.

Company

About TriCo Bancshares.

TriCo Bancshares is a bank holding company that serves as the parent of Tri Counties Bank, a California-chartered commercial bank focused on consumer, small business, and commercial banking. The company provides a broad range of banking products and services, including personal and business deposit accounts, loans, credit solutions, treasury management, and wealth management services through Tri Counties Advisors. Its operations are centered on retail and commercial banking relationships across California, serving individual customers, entrepreneurs, and established businesses. TriCo Bancshares plays a regional financial role by supporting everyday banking needs, business financing, and cash management services within its local markets. Headquartered in Chico, California, TriCo Bancshares is positioned as a community-oriented financial institution with a diversified banking platform built around deposits, lending, and customer service.

CEO Mr. Richard P. Smith · 1,114 employees · United States · https://www.tcbk.com