NFLXNFLXCommunication Services · Entertainment

NFLX Stock Forecast: Netflix, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$66
+4.69% on the day

The 51 Wall Street analysts covering Netflix, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $82 — +23.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 54 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$259.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
54/ 100
Median analyst target
$82
Analysts covering
51
Revenue$12.6B+13.4% y/y
Operating income$4.2B
Net income$3.4B
Free cash flow$1.5B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.1%
1M
−1.0%
YTD
−29.2%
1Y
−39.3%
From 52W high
−42.6%
From 52W low
+7.1%
$62
$116
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NFLX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Netflix, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
54/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
96
Volatility
96
Issuance
74
Growth
70
Value
70
Revisions
53
Accruals
29
Momentum
11
Size
1

Quality (96): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (11): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

NFLX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NFLX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NFLXHigh $126Median $82Low $57

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says51 analysts
33 Buy16 Hold2 Sell
Low $57Median $82High $126

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 16 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
22 Oct 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$120 → $95
22 Oct 2026Pivotal ResearchMaintainsHold$70 → $65
22 Oct 2026Wolfe ResearchDowngradePeer Perform—
21 Oct 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$105 → $90
21 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$70 → $65
21 Oct 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$95 → $80
21 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$100 → $85
21 Oct 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Perform—
21 Oct 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$110 → $90
21 Oct 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$80 → $78
21 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$85 → $81
21 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$80 → $77
21 Oct 2026NeedhamDowngradeHold—
21 Oct 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$85 → $80
21 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$85 → $78
21 Oct 2026RosenblattMaintainsNeutral$75 → $71
21 Oct 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy$100
21 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$115 → $100
21 Oct 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform$90 → $80
16 Oct 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$135 → $125

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

NFLX appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

NFLX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Netflix, Inc. returned −39.3% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NFLX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NFLXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NFLX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.1%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.0×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.2×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Price / book
8.7×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.6×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
43.9%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Gross margin
51.9%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Operating margin
34.6%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Net margin
29.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
53.5%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Return on assets
17.1%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Netflix, Inc. has a market value of $259.6B and an enterprise value of $265.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $48.4B. The latest quarter grew 11.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $13.6B, a 28.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.18.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $11.2B, after $818.8M of capital spending.

  • Netflix, Inc. spent $9.9B on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 4.2B.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.0×; forward P/E: 16.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Netflix, Inc. employs 16,000 people — $3.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NFLX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEntertainment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NFLXNetflix, Inc.$259.6B54
DISThe Walt Disney Co.$202.3B56
LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.$41.5B44
SKYDSkydance Corp.$40.7B20
TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.$36.3B43
FOXAFox Corp.$26.6B84
FWONKLiberty Media Corp.$23.8B26

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Netflix, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NFLX news & analysis

Netflix Is Playing a Bigger Game. Investors Should Take Notice

24/7 Wall Street · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Netflix reported record profits, repurchased nearly $5 billion of its stock, and signed deals with Disney and the NFL. The article notes that its shares remain just above a 52-week low.

Why it matters — NFLX watchers may note the contrast between the company’s reported business developments and its share price position.

Netflix just hired an adtech operator who knows how to solve 'gnarly problems'

Business Insider · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Business Insider’s headline says Netflix hired an adtech operator described as experienced in solving “gnarly problems.” The excerpt provides no further details about the hire.

Why it matters — The hire may be relevant to NFLX watchers following Netflix’s advertising operations.

Higher Margins, Better ROIC And Capable Management Define Pershing Square's Q3 2026 Portfolio

Seeking Alpha · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha’s article describes Pershing Square’s investment approach, emphasizing a margin of safety and citing estimated annual EPS growth of about 20% over three to five years for portfolio companies, along with higher margins, returns on capital, competitive positioning, and management capability.

Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention Netflix specifically, so it offers no company-specific information for NFLX watchers.

Netflix's new AI Discover tab helps you find something to watch based on your mood

TechCrunch · 3 Nov 2026positive

Netflix announced it is rolling out an “AI Discover” tab for users to try new ways of finding something to watch. Its first experimental feature will offer recommendations based on what users are currently in the mood for.

Why it matters — The update is relevant to NFLX watchers because it introduces an experimental, mood-based approach to content discovery on Netflix.

Netflix Trades at a Discount to the S&P 500's Valuation. Is It Deserved?

The Motley Fool · 3 Nov 2026negative

Netflix shares have fallen by more than half since peaking 17 months ago. Slowing revenue growth and uninspiring guidance have dampened market interest.

Why it matters — NFLX watchers may note that growth and guidance concerns are weighing on market interest in the stock.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NFLX stock

What is the NFLX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 51 Wall Street analysts covering Netflix, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $82, with estimates ranging from $57 to $126. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NFLX stock a buy right now?

Of the 51 analysts covering Netflix, Inc., 33 rate it a Buy, 16 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Netflix, Inc. 54 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NFLX?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Netflix, Inc. ranks 54 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (96 of 100).

Will NFLX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 51 analysts implies +23.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Netflix, Inc. 54 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NFLX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Netflix, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NFLX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $57 to $126 over the next 12 months.

How has NFLX stock performed over the past year?

Netflix, Inc. returned -39.3% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Netflix, Inc. do?

Netflix Inc. is a global entertainment company that provides subscription-based streaming services for television series, films, documentaries, and live programming.

What is the latest news on NFLX?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 4 Nov 2026): "Netflix Is Playing a Bigger Game. Investors Should Take Notice". Netflix reported record profits, repurchased nearly $5 billion of its stock, and signed deals with Disney and the NFL. The article notes that its shares remain just above a 52-week low.

Company

About Netflix, Inc.

Netflix Inc. is a global entertainment company that provides subscription-based streaming services for television series, films, documentaries, and live programming. The company offers a wide catalog of original productions and licensed content, delivered across internet-connected devices such as smart TVs, smartphones, tablets, and computers. Netflix also includes advertising-supported membership options and mobile games, broadening its service offering beyond on-demand video. Its business is organized around streaming entertainment for consumers in more than 190 countries and supports viewing in multiple languages and genres. Headquartered in Los Gatos, California, Netflix Inc. plays a major role in the digital media market by combining content licensing, production, and distribution within a single platform.

CEO Mr. Theodore A. Sarandos · 16,000 employees · United States · https://www.netflix.com