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TKO Stock Forecast: TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$172
−0.85% on the day

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering TKO Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $235 — +36.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$32.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
43 / 100
Median analyst target
$235
Analysts covering
22
Revenue$1.5B+18.2% y/y
Operating income$429.8M
Net income$303.9M
Free cash flow$349.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.5%
1M
−10.7%
YTD
−16.5%
1Y
−7.8%
From 52W high
−22.5%
From 52W low
0.0%
$172
$222
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TKO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TKO Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
43 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
95
Accruals
87
Quality
54
Issuance
54
Momentum
48
Growth
47
Revisions
45
Value
33
Size
7

Volatility (95): The share price has been relatively steady.

Value (33): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TKO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TKO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$160$180$200$220$240$260Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TKOHigh $250Median $235Low $185

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says22 analysts
18 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $185Median $235High $250

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 Sept 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$235 → $240
5 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$230 → $235
5 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
4 Aug 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$237
4 Aug 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
4 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
4 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$225 → $230
29 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$237
29 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
28 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$240 → $235
28 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$225 → $222
15 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
15 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$232 → $230
14 July 2026Seaport GlobalUpgradeBuy—
14 July 2026Seaport GlobalUpgradeBuy$210
7 May 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
1 May 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight—
27 Apr 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TKO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TKO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. returned −7.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TKO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
9095100105110115120125Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26TKOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TKO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+11.4%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
60.5×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.2×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / book
3.8×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.6×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.2%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
3.3%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Gross margin
64.1%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Operating margin
32.4%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
4.3%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.1%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.5%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 70% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • TKO Group Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $32.8B and an enterprise value of $22.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.3B. The latest quarter grew 18.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $661.4M, a 12.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.85.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B.

  • TKO Group Holdings, Inc. spent $1.8B on share buybacks and $937.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 74.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 60.5×; forward P/E: 37.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.91%, paying out 109% of earnings.

  • TKO Group Holdings, Inc. employs 4,000 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TKO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEntertainment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.$32.8B
43
LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.$39.2B
46
FOXAFox Corp.$24.7B
85
FWONKLiberty Media Corp.$22.5B
34
ROKURoku, Inc.$22.5B
91
NWSANews Corp.$16.8B
86
WMGWarner Music Group Corp.$15.1B
64

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TKO Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TKO news & analysis

TKO to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 7 Oct 2026neutral

TKO Group Holdings will release its third-quarter 2026 results after market hours on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, followed by a live teleconference and business update at 5 p.m. ET. The earnings release, call, and supporting materials will be available through TKO’s investor relations website.

Why it matters — TKO watchers can use the scheduled results release and call to follow the company’s quarterly performance and business update.

Watch CNBC's extended interview with TKO CEO Ari Emanuel and President Mark Shapiro

CNBC Television · 21 Sept 2026neutral

CNBC aired an extended interview with TKO Executive Chair and CEO Ari Emanuel and President and COO Mark Shapiro. During the interview, they discussed Emanuel's new memoir, the growth outlook for UFC and WWE, and sports valuations.

Why it matters — TKO watchers would gain direct insight from top leadership on the company's growth outlook and how it views the broader sports landscape.

TKO Group: The Next Earnings Win Comes From Selling More Around The Show

Seeking Alpha · 9 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha has issued a 'Buy' rating on TKO Group Holdings, citing its strong media rights, franchise value, and scalable revenue streams from UFC and WWE. The article highlights TKO's negotiating leverage from owning unique sports-entertainment IP and outlines 2026 revenue targets of $5.8B and adjusted EBITDA of $2.29B.

Why it matters — A TKO watcher would care because the article reinforces confidence in the company's ability to monetize its UFC and WWE franchises across sponsorships, licensing, and archives, supporting the outlook for future earnings growth.

TKO Declares Third Quarter 2026 Dividend

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026neutral

TKO Group Holdings announced that its board of directors has declared a third quarter 2026 quarterly cash dividend. Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC.

Why it matters — This dividend declaration signals TKO's ongoing commitment to returning capital to Class A shareholders, providing a concrete measure of shareholder returns for those tracking the company's cash flow and payout policy.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TKO stock

What is the TKO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering TKO Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $235, with estimates ranging from $185 to $250. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TKO stock a buy right now?

Of the 22 analysts covering TKO Group Holdings, Inc., 18 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TKO?

As at 14 Oct 2026, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (95 of 100).

Will TKO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +36.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 43 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TKO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering TKO Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TKO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $185 to $250 over the next 12 months.

How has TKO stock performed over the past year?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. returned -7.8% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does TKO Group Holdings, Inc. do?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in TKO Group Holdings, a premium sports and entertainment company focused on live events, media rights, and branded content.

What is the latest news on TKO?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 7 Oct 2026): "TKO to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Results". TKO Group Holdings will release its third-quarter 2026 results after market hours on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, followed by a live teleconference and business update at 5 p.m. ET. The earnings release, call, and supporting materials will be available through TKO’s investor relations website.

Company

About TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in TKO Group Holdings, a premium sports and entertainment company focused on live events, media rights, and branded content. The company operates through major combat and sports-entertainment businesses, including UFC, WWE, and IMG, which together support a broad platform spanning event promotion, content production, rights management, and consumer products licensing. TKO Group Holdings also works across partnerships, marketing, hospitality, and other commercial services tied to its intellectual property and global audience reach. Its Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity used by investors to participate in the company’s performance and capital structure. The asset reflects a business model centered on owned sports properties, recurring media distribution, and monetization of live entertainment franchises across international markets.

CEO Mr. Ariel Zev Emanuel · 4,000 employees · United States · https://tkogrp.com