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TKO Stock Forecast: TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$189
−0.19% on the day

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering TKO Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $235 — +24.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$35.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
50 / 100
Median analyst target
$235
Analysts covering
22
Revenue$1.5B+18.2% y/y
Operating income$429.8M
Net income$303.9M
Free cash flow$349.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.8%
1M
+3.0%
YTD
−8.7%
1Y
+3.1%
From 52W high
−15.1%
From 52W low
+8.6%
$174
$223
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TKO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TKO Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
50 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
96
Accruals
87
Momentum
61
Quality
56
Issuance
55
Revisions
53
Growth
46
Value
30
Size
7

Volatility (96): The share price has been relatively steady.

Value (30): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TKO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TKO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$180$200$220$240$260Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TKOHigh $250Median $235Low $185

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says22 analysts
18 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $185Median $235High $250

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$230 → $235
4 Aug 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$237
4 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$225 → $230
29 July 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$237
28 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$240 → $235
28 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$225 → $222
15 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
15 July 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$232 → $230
14 July 2026Seaport GlobalUpgradeBuy—
14 July 2026Seaport GlobalUpgradeBuy$210
7 May 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
1 May 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight—
27 Apr 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
11 Mar 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
5 Mar 2026Wolfe ResearchDowngradePeer Perform—
27 Feb 2026Seaport GlobalDowngradeNeutral—
26 Feb 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
19 Feb 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TKO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

TKO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. returned +3.1% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

TKO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TKOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

TKO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+4.2%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
66.5×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.8×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / book
4.1×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.3×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
18.2%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
3.3%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Gross margin
64.1%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Operating margin
32.4%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
4.3%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.1%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.5%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 19% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • TKO Group Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $35.9B and an enterprise value of $23.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.3B. The latest quarter grew 18.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $661.4M, a 12.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.85.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B.

  • TKO Group Holdings, Inc. spent $1.8B on share buybacks and $937.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 74.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 66.5×; forward P/E: 47.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.83%, paying out 109% of earnings.

  • TKO Group Holdings, Inc. employs 4,000 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

TKO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEntertainment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.$35.9B
50
LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.$41.7B
43
FOXAFox Corp.$26.8B
83
FWONKLiberty Media Corp.$24.1B
35
ROKURoku, Inc.$23.3B
89
WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.$71.2B
42
NWSANews Corp.$17.4B
84

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TKO Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TKO news & analysis

TKO Declares Third Quarter 2026 Dividend

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026neutral

TKO Group Holdings announced that its board of directors has declared a third quarter 2026 quarterly cash dividend. Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC.

Why it matters — This dividend declaration signals TKO's ongoing commitment to returning capital to Class A shareholders, providing a concrete measure of shareholder returns for those tracking the company's cash flow and payout policy.

TKO Group Holdings: WWE And UFC Are The Jewels

Seeking Alpha · 18 Aug 2026positive

The article discusses a buy rating on TKO Group Holdings based on positive outlooks for its UFC and WWE franchises. It highlights UFC's $7.7 billion Paramount deal and WWE's $1.6 billion ESPN agreement as expanding reach, distribution, and negotiating leverage despite short-term margin compression.

Why it matters — TKO watchers would care because these major media deals could strengthen the company's long-term negotiating position and content distribution, though they carry short-term margin effects.

TKO Group Holdings to Participate in the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference

Business Wire · 12 Aug 2026neutral

TKO Group Holdings announced that President and COO Mark Shapiro will participate in the Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference on September 8, 2026, in San Francisco. A live webcast and replay will be available on the company's investor relations website.

Why it matters — The presentation at a major industry conference provides TKO with an opportunity to share its strategic outlook with investors and analysts.

17 S&P 500 companies with growing revenue and profit margins — and some of their stocks are cheap

Market Watch · 10 Aug 2026neutral

MarketWatch reports on 17 S&P 500 companies that increased their quarterly sales per share by at least 40% while expanding both gross profit margins and operating margins, noting that some of these stocks are trading at low valuations. TKO Group Holdings is not specifically mentioned in the article.

Why it matters — A TKO watcher would be interested in the general market context of companies achieving strong revenue growth combined with margin expansion, which may be relevant when assessing TKO's performance against broader S&P 500 trends.

Taseko Mines Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 10 Aug 2026positive

Taseko Mines reported record quarterly revenue and strong operating cash flow in its second-quarter 2026 earnings call, supported by copper prices above CAD 6 per pound, steady output at Gibraltar, and the first full quarter of production from its Florence operation.

Why it matters — A TKO watcher would care because the results point to record financial performance and expanding production capacity for the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TKO stock

What is the TKO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering TKO Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $235, with estimates ranging from $185 to $250. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TKO stock a buy right now?

Of the 22 analysts covering TKO Group Holdings, Inc., 18 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TKO?

As at 2 Sept 2026, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (96 of 100).

Will TKO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +24.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 50 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TKO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering TKO Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TKO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $185 to $250 over the next 12 months.

How has TKO stock performed over the past year?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. returned +3.1% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does TKO Group Holdings, Inc. do?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in TKO Group Holdings, a premium sports and entertainment company focused on live events, media rights, and branded content.

What is the latest news on TKO?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 3 Sept 2026): "TKO Declares Third Quarter 2026 Dividend". TKO Group Holdings announced that its board of directors has declared a third quarter 2026 quarterly cash dividend. Class A common stockholders will receive their pro rata share of an aggregate distribution of approximately $150 million from TKO Operating Company, LLC.

Company

About TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in TKO Group Holdings, a premium sports and entertainment company focused on live events, media rights, and branded content. The company operates through major combat and sports-entertainment businesses, including UFC, WWE, and IMG, which together support a broad platform spanning event promotion, content production, rights management, and consumer products licensing. TKO Group Holdings also works across partnerships, marketing, hospitality, and other commercial services tied to its intellectual property and global audience reach. Its Class A Common Stock is the publicly traded equity used by investors to participate in the company’s performance and capital structure. The asset reflects a business model centered on owned sports properties, recurring media distribution, and monetization of live entertainment franchises across international markets.

CEO Mr. Ariel Zev Emanuel · 4,000 employees · United States · https://tkogrp.com