NGVCConsumer Defensive · Grocery StoresThe 3 Wall Street analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $40 — +44.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 60 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (91): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Momentum (25): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NGVC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +44.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Buy | $36 |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 9 Oct 2020 | Wolfe Research | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 18 Sept 2018 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Aug 2018 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 June 2018 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 Jan 2018 | RBC Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 17 Nov 2017 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 14 Aug 2017 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Feb 2017 | SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 31 Jan 2017 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 11 Oct 2016 | Citigroup | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 30 Sept 2016 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Sept 2016 | Barclays | Initiates | Equal-Weight | — |
| 19 May 2016 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Apr 2016 | RBC Capital | Downgrade | Sector Perform | — |
| 10 Feb 2016 | Deutsche Bank | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 20 Nov 2015 | SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 Aug 2015 | Jefferies | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 4 Aug 2015 | Wedbush | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NGVC appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 84% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Natural Grocers will host an in-person hiring event on August 25, 2026, in Appleton, Wisconsin, for a variety of positions ahead of the opening of its new store there this fall.
Why it matters — This signals company expansion with the upcoming opening of a new Natural Grocers store in Appleton, Wisconsin.
Seeking Alpha reiterates a buy rating on Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, noting robust healthy eating trends, revenue growth, strong comparable sales, and ongoing store expansion, despite a 6.2% stock decline and mixed profitability metrics.
Why it matters — The analysis highlights NGVC's long-term growth prospects and low leverage, which are key factors for investors monitoring the company's financial health and competitive position.
Natural Grocers' stock fell 14% after reporting a year-over-year decline in fiscal third-quarter earnings per share, driven by lower margins and higher pre-opening costs, though comparable-store sales growth provided some offset. Management also narrowed its fiscal 2026 earnings outlook.
Why it matters — The earnings decline and reduced outlook signal ongoing margin pressure and cost headwinds that could weigh on the company's near-term financial performance.
Natural Grocers announced it is hiring for multiple positions ahead of the opening of its new Appleton, Wisconsin store this fall. The company cited its status as the nation's largest family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer in an Aug. 10, 2026 press release.
Why it matters — The announcement signals the company's continued store expansion and job creation, which is relevant to watchers tracking Natural Grocers' growth footprint.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage reported a 1.8% increase in third-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales to $334.7 million. Comparable-store sales growth accelerated sequentially, despite management describing a challenging consumer environment.
Why it matters — An NGVC watcher would care because the sequential acceleration in comparable-store sales shows the company is growing even amid a difficult consumer backdrop.
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $40 to $54. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 3 analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. 60 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. ranks 60 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +44.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. 60 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NGVC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $54 over the next 12 months.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. returned -28.8% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a prominent natural and organic grocery retail company in the United States.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 22 Aug 2026): "Natural Grocers® Hosts In-Person Hiring Event in Appleton, Wisconsin on August 25, 2026". Natural Grocers will host an in-person hiring event on August 25, 2026, in Appleton, Wisconsin, for a variety of positions ahead of the opening of its new store there this fall.
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a prominent natural and organic grocery retail company in the United States. It specializes in offering a wide array of natural and organic food products, dietary supplements, vitamins, and health-related products. Known for its commitment to healthy products, Natural Grocers emphasizes the quality and sustainability of its offerings, catering to health-conscious consumers. The company operates numerous stores across the U.S., each featuring a strict policy against stocking products containing artificial colors, flavors, preservatives, and sweeteners. This unique approach distinguishes it within the health and wellness retail sector. Natural Grocers also provides its customers with educational resources about maintaining a healthy lifestyle, aligning with current consumer trends toward wellness and organic living. In the financial market, Natural Grocers plays a significant role as part of the specialty retail industry. It attracts attention from investors interested in the expanding organic and health food market, which continues to grow as consumer awareness about health increases. Founded in 1955 and based in Colorado, Natural Grocers has established itself as a key player in the natural foods retail space.
3,455 employees · United States · https://www.naturalgrocers.com