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NGVC Stock Forecast: Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Aug 2026
$28
−1.00% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $40 — +43.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$648.3M
Ticker Nerd rank
62 / 100
Median analyst target
$40
Analysts covering
3
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+6.1%
1M
−14.9%
YTD
+12.4%
1Y
−26.8%
From 52W high
−30.9%
From 52W low
+18.7%
$23
$40
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NGVC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
62 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
90
Issuance
81
Value
63
Revisions
53
Volatility
51
Size
51
Accruals
50
Growth
34
Momentum
33

Quality (90): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (33): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NGVC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NGVC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NGVCHigh $54Median $40Low $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $40Median $40High $54

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +43.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy$36
13 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy—
9 Oct 2020Wolfe ResearchInitiatesOutperform—
18 Sept 2018CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
8 Aug 2018CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
12 June 2018CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
31 Jan 2018RBC CapitalUpgradeOutperform—
17 Nov 2017Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
14 Aug 2017CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
3 Feb 2017SunTrust Robinson HumphreyDowngradeHold—
31 Jan 2017JefferiesDowngradeHold—
11 Oct 2016CitigroupInitiatesBuy—
30 Sept 2016JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
23 Sept 2016BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight—
19 May 2016JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
21 Apr 2016RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform—
10 Feb 2016Deutsche BankInitiatesHold—
20 Nov 2015SunTrust Robinson HumphreyMaintainsBuy—
26 Aug 2015JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
4 Aug 2015WedbushUpgradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NGVC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

NGVC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.7×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

Price / book
2.8×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.0×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.8%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.6%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Gross margin
29.3%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.9%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
3.5%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
21.6%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.1%

Higher than 48% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

NGVC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelGrocery Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.$648.3M
62
DNUTKrispy Kreme, Inc.$574.1M
65
VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.$572.7M
81
GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.$1.1B
48
YSWYYesway, Inc.$1.5B
4
IMKTAIngles Markets, Inc.$1.6B
89
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.$1.8B
62

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NGVC news & analysis

Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage Is Looking Tastier As It Falls

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reiterates a buy rating on Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, noting robust healthy eating trends, revenue growth, strong comparable sales, and ongoing store expansion, despite a 6.2% stock decline and mixed profitability metrics.

Why it matters — The analysis highlights NGVC's long-term growth prospects and low leverage, which are key factors for investors monitoring the company's financial health and competitive position.

Natural Grocers' Stock Down 14% as Q3 Earnings Decline Y/Y

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026negative

Natural Grocers' stock fell 14% after reporting a year-over-year decline in fiscal third-quarter earnings per share, driven by lower margins and higher pre-opening costs, though comparable-store sales growth provided some offset. Management also narrowed its fiscal 2026 earnings outlook.

Why it matters — The earnings decline and reduced outlook signal ongoing margin pressure and cost headwinds that could weigh on the company's near-term financial performance.

Natural Grocers® Announces Career Opportunities Ahead of Appleton, Wisconsin Store Opening

PRNewsWire · 10 Aug 2026positive

Natural Grocers announced it is hiring for multiple positions ahead of the opening of its new Appleton, Wisconsin store this fall. The company cited its status as the nation's largest family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer in an Aug. 10, 2026 press release.

Why it matters — The announcement signals the company's continued store expansion and job creation, which is relevant to watchers tracking Natural Grocers' growth footprint.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage reported a 1.8% increase in third-quarter fiscal 2026 net sales to $334.7 million. Comparable-store sales growth accelerated sequentially, despite management describing a challenging consumer environment.

Why it matters — An NGVC watcher would care because the sequential acceleration in comparable-store sales shows the company is growing even amid a difficult consumer backdrop.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) held its third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the transcript of which was published by Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — The earnings-call transcript provides NGVC watchers with direct insight into the company's quarterly financial performance and management commentary.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NGVC stock

What is the NGVC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $40 to $54. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NGVC stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NGVC?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (90 of 100).

Will NGVC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +43.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. 62 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NGVC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NGVC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $54 over the next 12 months.

How has NGVC stock performed over the past year?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. returned -26.8% over the 12 months to 17 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. do?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a prominent natural and organic grocery retail company in the United States.

What is the latest news on NGVC?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 14 Aug 2026): "Natural Grocers By Vitamin Cottage Is Looking Tastier As It Falls". Seeking Alpha reiterates a buy rating on Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, noting robust healthy eating trends, revenue growth, strong comparable sales, and ongoing store expansion, despite a 6.2% stock decline and mixed profitability metrics.

Company

About Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a prominent natural and organic grocery retail company in the United States. It specializes in offering a wide array of natural and organic food products, dietary supplements, vitamins, and health-related products. Known for its commitment to healthy products, Natural Grocers emphasizes the quality and sustainability of its offerings, catering to health-conscious consumers. The company operates numerous stores across the U.S., each featuring a strict policy against stocking products containing artificial colors, flavors, preservatives, and sweeteners. This unique approach distinguishes it within the health and wellness retail sector. Natural Grocers also provides its customers with educational resources about maintaining a healthy lifestyle, aligning with current consumer trends toward wellness and organic living. In the financial market, Natural Grocers plays a significant role as part of the specialty retail industry. It attracts attention from investors interested in the expanding organic and health food market, which continues to grow as consumer awareness about health increases. Founded in 1955 and based in Colorado, Natural Grocers has established itself as a key player in the natural foods retail space.

3,455 employees · United States · https://www.naturalgrocers.com