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NGVC Stock Forecast: Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Oct 2026
$31
−2.81% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $40 — +27.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 74 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$725.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
74/ 100
Median analyst target
$40
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$334.7M+1.8% y/y
Operating income$16.3M
Net income$11.1M
Free cash flow$1.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.8%
1M
+6.1%
YTD
+27.6%
1Y
−21.1%
From 52W high
−21.1%
From 52W low
+34.8%
$23
$40
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NGVC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 24 Oct 2026
74/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
92
Issuance
82
Volatility
68
Revisions
65
Value
64
Accruals
51
Size
48
Momentum
47
Growth
34

Quality (92): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Growth (34): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NGVC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NGVC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50$60Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NGVCHigh $54Median $40Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $35Median $40High $54

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Sept 2026B of A SecuritiesInitiatesBuy$35
13 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy$36
13 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy—
9 Oct 2020Wolfe ResearchInitiatesOutperform—
18 Sept 2018CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
8 Aug 2018CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
12 June 2018CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
31 Jan 2018RBC CapitalUpgradeOutperform—
17 Nov 2017Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
14 Aug 2017CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
3 Feb 2017SunTrust Robinson HumphreyDowngradeHold—
31 Jan 2017JefferiesDowngradeHold—
11 Oct 2016CitigroupInitiatesBuy—
30 Sept 2016JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
23 Sept 2016BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight—
19 May 2016JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
21 Apr 2016RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform—
10 Feb 2016Deutsche BankInitiatesHold—
20 Nov 2015SunTrust Robinson HumphreyMaintainsBuy—
26 Aug 2015JefferiesInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

NGVC appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

NGVC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. returned −21.1% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NGVC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NGVCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NGVC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.6%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
15.3×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 79% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.8×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.8%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−4.6%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Gross margin
29.3%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.9%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
3.5%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
21.6%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.9%

Higher than 78% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. has a market value of $725.0M and an enterprise value of $1.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.3B. The latest quarter grew 1.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $47.6M, a 3.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.06.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $22.2M.

  • Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. spent $13.1M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 23.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 15.3×; forward P/E: 13.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.91%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. employs 3,455 people — $389K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 25 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NGVC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelGrocery Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.$725.0M74
VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc.$600.0M82
DNUTKrispy Kreme, Inc.$486.2M65
GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.$1.3B56
YSWYYesway, Inc.$1.5B4
IMKTAIngles Markets, Inc.$1.6B89
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.$2.0B65

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NGVC news & analysis

Natural Grocers® to Donate 1% of Sales on World Food Day to The Cornucopia Institute for Second Consecutive Year

PRNewsWire · 8 Oct 2026positive

Natural Grocers will hold a one-day in-store fundraiser on Oct. 16, 2026, donating 1% of sales to The Cornucopia Institute for the second consecutive year. The campaign aims to raise more than $45,000 to support organic integrity.

Why it matters — The campaign highlights NGVC’s continued fundraising partnership with The Cornucopia Institute and its World Food Day promotion.

Celebrate Autumnfest With Natural Grocers®, Oct. 8-10, 2026

PRNewsWire · 1 Oct 2026positive

Natural Grocers announced its fourth annual Autumnfest celebration, to be held Oct. 8-10, 2026. The event offers exclusive savings of up to 51% off for power® members, along with free samples and a chance to win $500 in groceries for all customers.

Why it matters — Autumnfest represents a customer-engagement and promotional event that could help drive foot traffic and sales during the fall season for Natural Grocers.

Natural Grocers® Opens Its Doors in Appleton, Wisconsin, With a Grand Opening Celebration on September 30, 2026

PRNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026positive

Natural Grocers announced it will open a new store in Appleton, Wisconsin, on September 30, 2026, with a grand opening celebration featuring giveaways, sweepstakes, samples, and savings for customers. The company described itself as the leading family-operated organic and natural grocery retailer in the U.S.

Why it matters — Store expansion into a new Wisconsin market signals continued retail growth for Natural Grocers, which is of interest to those tracking the company's footprint.

Natural Food Stocks to Watch as Clean-Label Demand Accelerates

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026positive

Zacks reports that natural-food demand is accelerating as shoppers increasingly favor clean-label products, and highlights Dole's expansion of sourcing and distribution to capture healthier food spending. The piece lists natural food stocks for investors to watch amid this trend.

Why it matters — The accelerating clean-label demand trend highlighted in the report signals a favorable market backdrop for a natural-grocer retailer like Natural Grocers.

Celebrate Organic Month at Natural Grocers® With Exclusive Savings, Education, Freebies, Sweepstakes, and More

PRNewsWire · 8 Sept 2026positive

Natural Grocers announced a month-long Organic Month celebration in Lakewood, Colorado, featuring exclusive savings, educational programming on the organic food movement, regenerative farming support, freebies, and a sweepstakes. Special offers are scheduled for Sept. 17–19, 2026.

Why it matters — The promotion could draw customer traffic and engagement with the company's organic-focused brand positioning during the dedicated campaign period.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NGVC stock

What is the NGVC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $40, with estimates ranging from $35 to $54. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NGVC stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. 74 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NGVC?

As at 24 Oct 2026, Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. ranks 74 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (92 of 100).

Will NGVC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +27.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. 74 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NGVC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NGVC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $54 over the next 12 months.

How has NGVC stock performed over the past year?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. returned -21.1% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. do?

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on natural and organic products for health-conscious shoppers.

What is the latest news on NGVC?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 8 Oct 2026): "Natural Grocers® to Donate 1% of Sales on World Food Day to The Cornucopia Institute for Second Consecutive Year". Natural Grocers will hold a one-day in-store fundraiser on Oct. 16, 2026, donating 1% of sales to The Cornucopia Institute for the second consecutive year. The campaign aims to raise more than $45,000 to support organic integrity.

Company

About Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on natural and organic products for health-conscious shoppers. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. operates small-format stores that offer natural and organic groceries, fresh produce, dietary supplements, body care items, household goods, and pet care products. The company emphasizes strict ingredient and sourcing standards, including a strong focus on organic produce and curated product selections that appeal to customers seeking cleaner-label and wellness-oriented options. Its stores also provide nutrition education resources, helping differentiate the brand within the broader food retail market. Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. serves consumers across the United States, with a store network concentrated in western, midwestern, and southern markets. Based in Lakewood, Colorado, the company plays a distinct role in the grocery sector as a specialized retailer centered on natural foods, supplements, and everyday wellness products.

3,455 employees · United States · https://www.naturalgrocers.com