NOCIndustrials · Aerospace & DefenseThe 23 Wall Street analysts covering Northrop Grumman Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $630 — +14.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 88 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Northrop Grumman Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (44): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Northrop Grumman Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NOC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $635 → $600 |
| 22 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | $785 → $655 |
| 22 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $580 → $550 |
| 22 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $666 → $685 |
| 14 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | $603 → $533 |
| 13 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $680 → $580 |
| 13 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 June 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 26 May 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 18 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 2 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 42% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NOC appears on the weeks it earns a place.
The U.S. Defense Department signed a framework deal with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman to expand production capacity of missile-interceptor components.
Why it matters — For Northrop Grumman, this deal signals potential future revenue from increased production of missile-defense components.
Northrop Grumman has signed multi-year framework agreements with the U.S. Department of War and Lockheed Martin aimed at accelerating missile interceptor production.
Why it matters — The agreements provide Northrop Grumman with long-term demand certainty and a streamlined path to scale up a key defense product line for the U.S. and its allies.
Zacks Investment Research compares GE Aerospace and Northrop Grumman, concluding that GE outperforms NOC on stronger growth estimates, share gains, and commercial engine momentum, though at a steeper valuation.
Why it matters — NOC watchers would care because the analysis suggests Northrop Grumman is currently viewed less favorably than a key aerospace competitor on growth and market momentum.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Northrop Grumman (NOC) as a top value stock for long-term investors, using its Zacks Style Scores system.
Why it matters — The designation suggests NOC scores well on value-oriented metrics, which may draw attention from investors seeking long-term holdings.
Western defense companies, including Northrop Grumman, are partnering with Ukrainian firms to learn how to adapt production for wartime conditions and accelerate manufacturing.
Why it matters — The trend signals that NOC and other Western defense contractors may shift toward faster, more resilient production methods shaped by Ukraine's wartime experience.
The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Northrop Grumman Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $630, with estimates ranging from $538 to $815. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 23 analysts covering Northrop Grumman Corp., 14 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Northrop Grumman Corp. 88 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 1 Aug 2026, Northrop Grumman Corp. ranks 88 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 23 analysts implies +14.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Northrop Grumman Corp. 88 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Northrop Grumman Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NOC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $538 to $815 over the next 12 months.
Northrop Grumman Corp. returned -5.0% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Northrop Grumman Corporation is an American aerospace, defense, and security company that provides advanced technology solutions to government and commercial customers worldwide. The company focuses on solving complex challenges across space, aeronautics, defense, and cyberspace, with most of its business concentrated on serving the U.S.
The most recent item we track (Reuters, 3 Aug 2026): "US signs deal to boost production of missile-interceptor parts". The U.S. Defense Department signed a framework deal with Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman to expand production capacity of missile-interceptor components.
Northrop Grumman Corporation is an American aerospace, defense, and security company that provides advanced technology solutions to government and commercial customers worldwide. The company focuses on solving complex challenges across space, aeronautics, defense, and cyberspace, with most of its business concentrated on serving the U.S. Department of Defense and intelligence community, as well as allied international governments. Northrop Grumman operates through four primary business sectors: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems, each delivering specialized platforms, sensors, and software-driven capabilities. Its portfolio includes stealth and uncrewed aircraft, strategic missile and weapons systems, missile warning and tracking, radars and mission electronics, satellites and spacecraft, solid rocket propulsion, cyber and C4ISR solutions, and long-term sustainment and modernization services. Headquartered in Falls Church, Virginia, Northrop Grumman plays a significant role in global security infrastructure, supporting critical missions across land, sea, air, space, and cyber domains for customers in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Asia-Pacific, and other regions.
CEO Ms. Kathy J. Warden · 95,000 employees · United States · https://www.northropgrumman.com