NRGUtilities · Utilities - Independent Power ProducersThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $187 — +80.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 27 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NRG Energy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (88): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Volatility (11): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NRG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +80.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $165 → $162 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $215 → $195 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform | $226 → $211 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $200 → $204 |
| 28 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $213 → $212 |
| 28 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $221 → $216 |
| 28 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $203 → $209 |
| 16 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform | $223 → $226 |
| 15 July 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $157 → $154 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NRG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, NRG Energy, Inc. returned −36.1% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 41% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
NRG Energy, Inc. has a market value of $22.3B and an enterprise value of $46.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $33.1B. The latest quarter grew 11.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $849.0M, a 2.6% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $316.0M, after $1.2B of capital spending.
NRG Energy, Inc. spent $1.8B on share buybacks and $439.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 27.3×; forward P/E: 9.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.82%, paying out 48% of earnings.
NRG Energy, Inc. employs 16,702 people — $2.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| NRGNRG Energy, Inc. | $22.3B | 27 |
| TLNTalen Energy Corp. | $13.4B | 27 |
| VSTVistra Corp. | $47.7B | 27 |
| OKLOOklo, Inc. | $7.1B | 2 |
| CEGConstellation Energy Corp. | $92.3B | 31 |
| KENKenon Holdings Ltd. | $3.4B | 21 |
| EIXEdison International* | $21.3B | 73 |
* Nearest Utilities names by size — few utilities - independent power producers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NRG Energy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
NRG Energy shares fell 1.07% to close at $106.23 in the latest trading session, underperforming as the broader market posted gains. The stock declined despite positive market conditions.
Why it matters — The decline indicates NRG underperformed the market on that trading day, which is relevant for investors tracking the stock's relative momentum.
NRG Energy's stock closed the recent trading session at $113.46, up 1.62% from its previous close, outpacing the broader stock market. The article highlights this positive price movement for the company's shares.
Why it matters — The stock's outperformance relative to the market signals growing investor confidence in NRG, which a shareholder or potential investor would want to track.
Zacks.com reports that users have increasingly been watching NRG Energy (NRG), noting that it is worth knowing the facts that could determine the stock's prospects. The article highlights growing investor attention on the company without detailing specific developments.
Why it matters — An NRG watcher would care because rising investor attention and coverage of the company suggests the stock is drawing increased market focus, making it relevant to monitor.
A Seeking Alpha article discusses NRG Energy's valuation and growth outlook, highlighting its dual retail and generation model enhanced by the CPower acquisition. The piece notes near-term earnings per share forecasts of $8.80 this year and $10.25 next year, with management prioritizing debt repayment over aggressive share repurchases.
Why it matters — The article underscores the value of NRG's customer relationships and disciplined execution, which are central to the company's profitability and earnings growth trajectory.
NRG reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has since declined 8%. The article questions what may come next for the stock in light of that post-earnings drop.
Why it matters — NRG watchers would care because the piece highlights a meaningful post-earnings decline in the stock price and raises questions about the company's near-term trajectory.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $187, with estimates ranging from $104 to $270. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc., 13 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NRG Energy, Inc. 27 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 19 Sept 2026, NRG Energy, Inc. ranks 27 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (88 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +80.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NRG Energy, Inc. 27 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering NRG Energy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NRG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $104 to $270 over the next 12 months.
NRG Energy, Inc. returned -36.1% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
NRG Energy, Inc. is an energy and home services company that supplies electricity, natural gas, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across the United States and Canada.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 17 Sept 2026): "NRG Energy (NRG) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why". NRG Energy shares fell 1.07% to close at $106.23 in the latest trading session, underperforming as the broader market posted gains. The stock declined despite positive market conditions.
NRG Energy, Inc. is an energy and home services company that supplies electricity, natural gas, and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across the United States and Canada. The company operates retail energy brands, wholesale power generation assets, and smart home offerings that support energy management, security, and connected-home services. Its business is organized around regional power and customer-facing segments, reflecting a model that combines generation, retail supply, and customer solutions in competitive energy markets. NRG Energy also provides products and services such as energy plans, home protection, and backup power solutions, giving it a broad role in both household and business energy needs. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, NRG Energy is positioned as a diversified participant in the North American energy market.
CEO Mr. Robert J. Gaudette · 16,702 employees · United States · https://www.nrg.com
