TICKERNERD
Menu
NRGNRGUtilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

NRG Stock Forecast: NRG Energy, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$112
−1.18% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $187 — +67.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 27 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$23.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
27 / 100
Median analyst target
$187
Analysts covering
16
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−8.7%
1M
−20.5%
YTD
−29.1%
1Y
−22.0%
From 52W high
−38.9%
From 52W low
0.0%
$112
$183
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NRG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NRG Energy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
27 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
88
Quality
79
Growth
57
Revisions
45
Momentum
28
Accruals
25
Issuance
24
Size
9
Volatility
9

Value (88): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Volatility (9): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NRG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NRG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26NRGHigh $267Median $187Low $104

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
13 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $104Median $187High $267

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +67.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$215 → $195
5 Aug 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$226 → $211
28 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$200 → $204
28 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
28 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$213 → $212
28 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
28 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$221 → $216
28 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
16 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$203 → $209
16 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$223 → $226
15 July 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
21 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$157 → $154
21 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
31 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
18 Mar 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradeOutperform—
27 Jan 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
20 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
9 Dec 2025UBSInitiatesBuy—
7 Nov 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NRG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

NRG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.8%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
8
Fundamentals

NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.5×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / book
5.7×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.7×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
11.0%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Gross margin
26.9%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Net margin
2.6%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
23.8%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.1%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.7%

Higher than 39% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

NRG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Independent Power Producers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NRGNRG Energy, Inc.$23.8B
27
TLNTalen Energy Corp.$14.4B
33
VSTVistra Corp.$46.2B
28
OKLOOklo, Inc.$7.8B
2
CEGConstellation Energy Corp.$98.9B
29
KENKenon Holdings Ltd.$3.5B
17
CNPCenterPoint Energy, Inc.*$25.3B
42

* Nearest Utilities names by size — few utilities - independent power producers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NRG Energy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NRG news & analysis

NRG Energy named as potential bidder for West Virginia coal plant in bankruptcy

Reuters · 18 Aug 2026neutral

NRG Energy has been named as a potential bidder for a West Virginia coal plant that entered bankruptcy last month with $13 million in cash and several profitable years ahead, according to a court filing.

Why it matters — NRG watchers would care because the company is being considered as a potential acquirer of a bankrupt coal asset, signaling possible expansion in its generation portfolio.

Why Shares of NRG Energy Are Crashing This Week

The Motley Fool · 6 Aug 2026negative

NRG Energy reported its Q2 2026 financial results on Tuesday, and its shares are declining this week. The report notes a 1.6% forward dividend yield, which may appeal to conservative investors.

Why it matters — NRG watchers would care because the stock's decline this week follows the release of the company's Q2 2026 earnings, and the forward dividend yield is a relevant factor for income-focused investors.

NRG Energy Q2 Earnings Call Focuses on Customer-Backed Power

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026positive

During its Q2 earnings call, NRG Energy presented a growth strategy built around a 1.2-GW Texas data-center power project, emphasizing protected returns and customer-backed cash flows.

Why it matters — NRG watchers would care because the company is anchoring its strategy on a large customer-backed data-center project, which points to contracted, stable revenue as a core growth driver.

NRG Energy: Aggressive GW Expansion (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha upgraded NRG Energy to Buy, citing its transformative LS Power acquisition and a new hyperscaler-focused BYOP project. The company's 1.2 GW Texas gas plant, expandable to 5.4 GW, is expected to secure long-term EBITDA growth through capacity-based PPAs and asset-backed hedges.

Why it matters — NRG watchers would note the rating upgrade and the strategic expansion into hyperscaler-focused power projects, which could reshape the company's growth outlook.

NRG Energy Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 5 Aug 2026positive

NRG Energy reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion, up 34% from a year earlier, during its earnings call. The company also outlined plans for a 1.2-gigawatt Texas power plant intended to support a cloud and AI hyperscaler's data center load.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and the company's new Texas power plant plan signal growth tied to rising AI and data center electricity demand, a key driver for NRG watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NRG stock

What is the NRG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $187, with estimates ranging from $104 to $267. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NRG stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc., 13 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NRG Energy, Inc. 27 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NRG?

As at 22 Aug 2026, NRG Energy, Inc. ranks 27 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (88 of 100).

Will NRG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +67.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NRG Energy, Inc. 27 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NRG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering NRG Energy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NRG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $104 to $267 over the next 12 months.

How has NRG stock performed over the past year?

NRG Energy, Inc. returned -22.0% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does NRG Energy, Inc. do?

NRG Energy, Inc. is an integrated energy company that produces, sells, and distributes electricity and energy services across key U.S.

What is the latest news on NRG?

The most recent item we track (Reuters, 18 Aug 2026): "NRG Energy named as potential bidder for West Virginia coal plant in bankruptcy". NRG Energy has been named as a potential bidder for a West Virginia coal plant that entered bankruptcy last month with $13 million in cash and several profitable years ahead, according to a court filing.

Company

About NRG Energy, Inc.

NRG Energy, Inc. is an integrated energy company that produces, sells, and distributes electricity and energy services across key U.S. markets. The company operates through segments including Texas, East, West/Services/Other, Vivint Smart Home, and Corporate Activities, reflecting a mix of power generation, retail energy supply, and home services. NRG Energy serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers with electricity and related energy solutions, often bundled with value-added services such as home protection and smart home offerings through its Vivint Smart Home segment. Its portfolio spans conventional generation assets and retail brands that compete in deregulated power markets, particularly in Texas and the Eastern United States. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, NRG Energy plays a significant role in providing reliable power and customer-centric energy services, acting as a key intermediary between wholesale power markets and end users.

CEO Dr. Lawrence Stephen Coben Ph.D. · 15,637 employees · United States · https://www.nrg.com