NRGUtilities · Utilities - Independent Power ProducersThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $166 — +99.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 26 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NRG Energy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (88): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Volatility (8): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NRG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +99.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 11 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | CIBC | Maintains | Outperformer | $173 → $159 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform | $162 → $149 |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $209 → $182 |
| 27 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $204 → $163 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | HSBC | Initiates | Buy | $179 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $159 → $144 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $162 → $159 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $165 → $162 |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $215 → $195 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform | $226 → $211 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Scotiabank | Maintains | Sector Outperform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $200 → $204 |
| 28 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 28 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $213 → $212 |
| 28 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $221 → $216 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
NRG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, NRG Energy, Inc. returned −49.7% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Cheaper than 78% of US stocks
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Cheaper than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
NRG Energy, Inc. has a market value of $17.5B and an enterprise value of $44.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $33.1B. The latest quarter grew 11.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $849.0M, a 2.6% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $316.0M, after $1.2B of capital spending.
NRG Energy, Inc. spent $1.8B on share buybacks and $439.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 21.8×; forward P/E: 7.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.28%, paying out 48% of earnings.
NRG Energy, Inc. employs 16,702 people — $2.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| NRGNRG Energy, Inc. | $17.5B | 26 |
| TLNTalen Energy Corp. | $16.3B | 15 |
| VSTVistra Corp. | $46.9B | 41 |
| CEGConstellation Energy Corp. | $95.4B | 34 |
| OKLOOklo, Inc. | $4.4B | 1 |
| KENKenon Holdings Ltd. | $3.4B | 21 |
| NINiSource, Inc.* | $21.3B | 38 |
* Nearest Utilities names by size — few utilities - independent power producers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NRG Energy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Energy stocks, including Vistra, have slid amid existing pressure, but some analysts call the reaction excessive. The excerpt says newly elected officials may not slow the data-center boom as much as feared.
Why it matters — NRG watchers may view the stock-sector decline in light of ongoing concern about political effects on data-center growth.
Zacks Investment Research reports that NRG has recently drawn increased attention from users of Zacks.com. The item says this makes it worthwhile to examine the stock, but provides no further details.
Why it matters — NRG watchers may note the reported user interest, while the excerpt offers no specific information about the company or its stock.
Zacks Investment Research noted recent movements in the options market for NRG Energy and urged investors to pay close attention to the stock.
Why it matters — NRG watchers may want to follow options-market activity highlighted in the report.
NRG Energy closed at $94.62, down 1.5% from its previous close. The headline characterizes the decline as larger than the general market.
Why it matters — NRG watchers may note the reported closing price and daily decline relative to the broader market.
Zacks Investment Research says NRG lacks the combination of two key factors associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report, and highlights expectations ahead of next week’s release.
Why it matters — NRG watchers may find the preview useful for understanding the earnings-beat outlook and expectations before the report.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $166, with estimates ranging from $104 to $221. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering NRG Energy, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NRG Energy, Inc. 26 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, NRG Energy, Inc. ranks 26 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (88 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +99.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NRG Energy, Inc. 26 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering NRG Energy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NRG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $104 to $221 over the next 12 months.
NRG Energy, Inc. returned -49.7% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
NRG Energy, Inc. is an energy and home services company that supplies electricity, natural gas, and related energy solutions across the United States and Canada.
The most recent item we track (Market Watch, 4 Nov 2026): "As Vistra and other energy stocks slide, some analysts warn of an ‘excessive knee-jerk' reaction". Energy stocks, including Vistra, have slid amid existing pressure, but some analysts call the reaction excessive. The excerpt says newly elected officials may not slow the data-center boom as much as feared.
NRG Energy, Inc. is an energy and home services company that supplies electricity, natural gas, and related energy solutions across the United States and Canada. The company serves residential, commercial, industrial, governmental, and wholesale customers through a portfolio of retail energy brands and service offerings. Its operations include power generation, energy management, demand response, virtual power plant programs, carbon offsets, and trading in power and natural gas. NRG Energy also provides smart home security, automation, monitoring, and other connected home services through its Vivint operations. The company combines retail supply, generation, and home technology services to support both everyday energy needs and broader customer energy management, making it an important integrated participant in the North American utility and services market.
CEO Mr. Robert J. Gaudette · 16,702 employees · United States · https://www.nrg.com
