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VST Stock Forecast: Vistra Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 13 Aug 2026
$146
−0.19% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Vistra Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $222 — +51.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 30 of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$48.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
30 / 100
Median analyst target
$222
Analysts covering
20
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.6%
1M
−7.4%
YTD
−9.0%
1Y
−28.3%
From 52W high
−32.5%
From 52W low
+8.8%
$135
$217
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

VST stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Vistra Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Aug 2026
30 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
89
Value
73
Accruals
57
Issuance
55
Revisions
55
Momentum
21
Volatility
7
Growth
6
Size
5

Quality (89): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Growth (6): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (5): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

VST stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on VST, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250$300Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26VSTHigh $313Median $222Low $106

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says20 analysts
19 Buy0 Hold1 Sell
Low $106Median $222High $313

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +51.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
28 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$208 → $212
28 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$233 → $227
27 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$230 → $222
15 July 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$293 → $298
15 July 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
4 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
19 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
27 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
10 Feb 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
20 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
12 Jan 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Jan 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
12 Jan 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
12 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
6 Jan 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
16 Dec 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
25 Nov 2025KeybancInitiatesOverweight—
7 Nov 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
7 Nov 2025Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. VST appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

VST analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.0%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Vistra Corp. (VST) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.4×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.5×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / book
15.7×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.7×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−5.5%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−6.7%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Gross margin
34.6%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Operating margin
13.8%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Net margin
11.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.7%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.6%

Higher than 13% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

VST vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Independent Power Producers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
VSTVistra Corp.$48.9B
30
NRGNRG Energy, Inc.$25.9B
26
CEGConstellation Energy Corp.$101.0B
27
TLNTalen Energy Corp.$16.7B
35
OKLOOklo, Inc.$8.4B
2
KENKenon Holdings Ltd.$3.5B
17
XELXcel Energy, Inc.*$49.0B
19

* Nearest Utilities names by size — few utilities - independent power producers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Vistra Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest VST news & analysis

4 Nuclear Stocks Riding the AI Power Boom Into 2027 and Beyond

The Motley Fool · 13 Aug 2026positive

A Motley Fool article highlights four nuclear stocks benefiting from the AI-driven power demand boom expected to continue into 2027 and beyond. It notes that Oklo's acquisition of Atomic Alchemy will expand its capabilities beyond selling small modular reactors, and identifies Cameco, the second-largest uranium miner, as a force fueling the nuclear industry's recovery.

Why it matters — The piece underscores a broader tailwind for nuclear and power-related companies as AI drives rising electricity demand, a context relevant to Vistra watchers tracking the sector's outlook.

Vistra Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Pricing and Lotus, Revenues Miss

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Vistra Corp.'s second-quarter earnings exceeded estimates due to higher pricing and contributions from Lotus assets, though revenues missed estimates and net income was pressured by derivative losses.

Why it matters — The mixed results — an earnings beat alongside a revenue miss and derivative-related pressure on net income — give VST watchers a nuanced view of the company's recent financial performance.

VST Q2 Earnings Call Balances Data Center Growth With ERCOT Softness

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Vistra's Q2 earnings call maintained its 2026 guidance, citing data center demand as a driver of long-term growth, while noting that softer ERCOT pricing is casting uncertainty over its 2027 outlook.

Why it matters — A VST watcher would care because the call points to both the ongoing data center tailwind and potential pricing headwinds that could influence the company's future performance.

Vistra (VST) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reviewed Vistra's Q2 2026 earnings, comparing key metrics such as revenue and EPS against Wall Street estimates and prior-year results.

Why it matters — The article provides a data-point comparison that VST watchers would use to gauge the company's performance against analyst expectations and historical results.

Vistra Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026positive

Vistra reported second-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $1.767 billion, up more than 30% from roughly $1.35 billion a year earlier, driven by higher generation earnings and continued retail strength. The company reaffirmed its full-year financial outlook and stated it remains on track for another record year in 2026.

Why it matters — A VST watcher would care because the results show strong year-over-year earnings growth, reaffirmed guidance, and an expectation of another record year in 2026.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about VST stock

What is the VST stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Vistra Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $222, with estimates ranging from $106 to $313. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is VST stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Vistra Corp., 19 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Vistra Corp. 30 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank VST?

As at 12 Aug 2026, Vistra Corp. ranks 30 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (89 of 100).

Will VST stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +51.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Vistra Corp. 30 out of 100 as at 12 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the VST stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Vistra Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for VST are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $106 to $313 over the next 12 months.

How has VST stock performed over the past year?

Vistra Corp. returned -28.3% over the 12 months to 13 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Vistra Corp. do?

Vistra Corp is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas. It supplies electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across multiple U.S.

What is the latest news on VST?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 13 Aug 2026): "4 Nuclear Stocks Riding the AI Power Boom Into 2027 and Beyond". A Motley Fool article highlights four nuclear stocks benefiting from the AI-driven power demand boom expected to continue into 2027 and beyond. It notes that Oklo's acquisition of Atomic Alchemy will expand its capabilities beyond selling small modular reactors, and identifies Cameco, the second-largest uranium miner, as a force fueling the nuclear industry's recovery.

Company

About Vistra Corp.

Vistra Corp is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas. It supplies electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across multiple U.S. states through its retail energy business, while also operating a large generation fleet. Its portfolio includes natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage assets, supporting both wholesale power sales and customer-focused energy services. Vistra Corp also provides commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics services, and it manages asset closure activities for retired facilities. The company plays a significant role in the U.S. utilities market by combining power generation with direct retail energy delivery.

CEO Mr. James A. Burke CPA · 6,390 employees · United States · https://vistracorp.com