OVLYOVLYFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

OVLY Stock Forecast: Oak Valley Bancorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$35
−0.32% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$290.6M
Ticker Nerd rank
49 / 100
Median analyst target
Analysts covering
0
Revenue$20.6M+3.8% y/y
Net income$5.1M
Free cash flow$3.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.1%
1M
+3.5%
YTD
+17.6%
1Y
+21.2%
From 52W high
−1.0%
From 52W low
+39.1%
$25
$35
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OVLY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Oak Valley Bancorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
49 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Momentum
80
Issuance
66
Size
62
Quality
58
Growth
47
Value
37
Accruals
31
Revisions
25

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Revisions (25): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

OVLY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OVLY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$24$26$28$30$32$34$36Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OVLY

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. OVLY appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

OVLY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Oak Valley Bancorp returned +21.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

OVLY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26OVLYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

OVLY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.2×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.5×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.0%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−8.5%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
32.7%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
28.2%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.6%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.2%

Higher than 48% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Oak Valley Bancorp has a market value of $290.6M and an enterprise value of $98.8M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $83.8M. The latest quarter grew 5.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $23.5M, a 28.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.82.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $24.5M.

  • Oak Valley Bancorp spent $5.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 8.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.2×.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.17%, paying out 24% of earnings.

  • Oak Valley Bancorp employs 246 people $341K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

OVLY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp$290.6M
49
GBFHGBank Financial Holdings, Inc.$289.5M
17
ATLOAmes National Corp.$288.9M
94
FUNCFirst United Corp.$288.8M
95
ISBAIsabella Bank Corp.$288.7M
39
FRAFFranklin Financial Services Corp. (Pennsylvania)$284.6M
84
BPRNPrinceton Bancorp, Inc.$295.4M
96

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Oak Valley Bancorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OVLY news & analysis

OVLY's Q2 Earnings Decline Y/Y Due to Higher Operating Costs

Zacks Investment Research · 28 July 2026negative

Oak Valley Bancorp reported a year-over-year decline in Q2 earnings per share, as higher operating expenses and weaker non-interest income offset loan growth and a wider net interest margin.

Why it matters — The earnings decline signals that rising costs are weighing on profitability even as the bank's core lending and interest-income performance improves.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OVLY stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OVLY?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Oak Valley Bancorp ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

What is the OVLY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Oak Valley Bancorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OVLY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has OVLY stock performed over the past year?

Oak Valley Bancorp returned +21.2% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Oak Valley Bancorp do?

Oak Valley Bancorp is a bank holding company headquartered in Oakdale, California, that operates primarily through its wholly owned subsidiary, Oak Valley Community Bank. The company provides commercial banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses, with a focus on the Central Valley and Eastern Sierra regions of California.

What is the latest news on OVLY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 28 July 2026): "OVLY's Q2 Earnings Decline Y/Y Due to Higher Operating Costs". Oak Valley Bancorp reported a year-over-year decline in Q2 earnings per share, as higher operating expenses and weaker non-interest income offset loan growth and a wider net interest margin.

Company

About Oak Valley Bancorp.

Oak Valley Bancorp is a bank holding company headquartered in Oakdale, California, that operates primarily through its wholly owned subsidiary, Oak Valley Community Bank. The company provides commercial banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses, with a focus on the Central Valley and Eastern Sierra regions of California. Its current offerings include a broad mix of loan and deposit products, such as checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, commercial real estate loans, business lending, and other relationship-based banking services. Oak Valley Bancorp also supports local customers through its Eastern Sierra Community Bank division, reinforcing its role as a regional financial institution serving retail and commercial banking needs.

CEO Mr. Richard A. McCarty · 246 employees · United States · https://www.ovcb.com