OVLYOVLYFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

OVLY Stock Forecast: Oak Valley Bancorp Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$34
−0.15% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 55 of 100 as at 29 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$290.1M
Ticker Nerd rank
55/ 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
0
Revenue$20.6M+3.8% y/y
Net income$5.1M
Free cash flow$3.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.9%
1M
+2.3%
YTD
+17.2%
1Y
+28.1%
From 52W high
−1.3%
From 52W low
+29.1%
$27
$35
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

OVLY stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Oak Valley Bancorp on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 29 Oct 2026
55/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
87
Volatility
77
Issuance
67
Size
61
Accruals
60
Quality
52
Growth
48
Value
31
Revisions
25

Momentum (87): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Revisions (25): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

OVLY stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on OVLY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$26$28$30$32$34$36Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26OVLY

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

OVLY appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

OVLY vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Oak Valley Bancorp returned +28.1% against +14.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

OVLY vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26OVLYS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

OVLY analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.4×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.5×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.8%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−3.6%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
37.9%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Net margin
27.8%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.5%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.2%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.2%

Higher than 81% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Oak Valley Bancorp has a market value of $290.1M and an enterprise value of $98.6M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $83.8M. The latest quarter grew 1.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $23.5M, a 28.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.82.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $24.5M.

  • Oak Valley Bancorp spent $5.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 8.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.4×.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.19%, paying out 24% of earnings.

  • Oak Valley Bancorp employs 247 people — $339K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 30 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

OVLY vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp$290.1M55
ISBAIsabella Bank Corp.$291.1M62
QNBCQNB Corp.$292.8M30
BPRNPrinceton Bancorp, Inc.$293.6M64
LCNBLCNB Corp.$283.9M80
WNEBWestern New England Bancorp, Inc.$282.2M83
FUNCFirst United Corp.$299.0M91

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Oak Valley Bancorp — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest OVLY news & analysis

OVLY's Q3 Earnings Fall Y/Y on Lower Fee Income, Higher Costs

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Oct 2026negative

Oak Valley Bancorp reported lower year-over-year Q3 earnings per share. Growth in net interest income and margin expansion were offset by higher operating expenses and lower non-interest income.

Why it matters — OVLY watchers may note that rising costs and weaker non-interest income outweighed improvement in net interest income and margin.

Oak Valley Bancorp Reports 3rd Quarter Results

GlobeNewsWire · 21 Oct 2026neutral

Oak Valley Bancorp reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $6.45 million, or $0.77 per diluted share, compared with $5.11 million ($0.61 per share) in the prior quarter and $6.69 million ($0.81 per share) a year earlier. For the first nine months of 2026, net income was $16.87 million, or $2.02 per share, versus $17.58 million ($2.12 per share) in the same period of 2025.

Why it matters — The results show quarterly earnings increased from the prior quarter but were below the year-earlier quarter, while year-to-date earnings were also below the comparable 2025 period.

OVLY's Loan Growth and Strong Capital Offset Rising Costs

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Oct 2026positive

Oak Valley Bancorp's loan growth, rising net interest income, solid capital position and diversified revenues support its banking performance and growth prospects, while the headline notes rising costs.

Why it matters — OVLY watchers may weigh the cited growth and capital strengths alongside the pressure from rising costs.

OVLY's Q2 Earnings Decline Y/Y Due to Higher Operating Costs

Zacks Investment Research · 28 July 2026negative

Oak Valley Bancorp reported a year-over-year decline in Q2 earnings per share, as higher operating expenses and weaker non-interest income offset loan growth and a wider net interest margin.

Why it matters — The earnings decline signals that rising costs are weighing on profitability even as the bank's core lending and interest-income performance improves.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about OVLY stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank OVLY?

As at 29 Oct 2026, Oak Valley Bancorp ranks 55 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (87 of 100).

What is the OVLY stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Oak Valley Bancorp publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for OVLY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has OVLY stock performed over the past year?

Oak Valley Bancorp returned +28.1% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Oak Valley Bancorp do?

Oak Valley Bancorp is a bank holding company headquartered in Oakdale, California, that operates primarily through its wholly owned subsidiary, Oak Valley Community Bank. The company provides commercial banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses, with a focus on the Central Valley and Eastern Sierra regions of California.

What is the latest news on OVLY?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 27 Oct 2026): "OVLY's Q3 Earnings Fall Y/Y on Lower Fee Income, Higher Costs". Oak Valley Bancorp reported lower year-over-year Q3 earnings per share. Growth in net interest income and margin expansion were offset by higher operating expenses and lower non-interest income.

Company

About Oak Valley Bancorp.

Oak Valley Bancorp is a bank holding company headquartered in Oakdale, California, that operates primarily through its wholly owned subsidiary, Oak Valley Community Bank. The company provides commercial banking services to individuals and small to medium-sized businesses, with a focus on the Central Valley and Eastern Sierra regions of California. Its current offerings include a broad mix of loan and deposit products, such as checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, certificates of deposit, commercial real estate loans, business lending, and other relationship-based banking services. Oak Valley Bancorp also supports local customers through its Eastern Sierra Community Bank division, reinforcing its role as a regional financial institution serving retail and commercial banking needs.

CEO Mr. Richard A. McCarty · 247 employees · United States · https://www.ovcb.com